Korn Ferry
NYSE:KFY
Earnings Call Analysis
Q3-2024 Analysis
Korn Ferry
Korn Ferry's third quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2024 reveals an organization bolstering itself against the cyclical nature of its industry with a proposed strategy that's seemingly paying off. While there was a 2% decline in fee revenue to $669 million, the diversified portfolio appears to be an effective shield, particularly with non-Search offerings like Consulting and Digital softening the blow. The company witnessed a 12% surge in Consulting bill rates and an 11% increase in Digital subscription and license revenue compared to the previous year, indicating resilience and a potential for stability even in fluctuating market conditions.
The company leadership outlined the shifting strategy that enabled Korn Ferry to pivot effectively in a challenging business environment. With almost $3 billion in fee revenue, the company is now reaping the benefits of a balanced and diversified business model. This is highlighted by the growth of the company's marquee and regional account program, which has seen top accounts grow from an average of $19 million to nearly $30 million, and a single account achieving a nearly $50 million run rate. The success is attributed to a horizontal approach that focuses on cross-firm collaboration.
The company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margin stood at 15.2%, showing a positive trajectory in profitability. This is further evidenced by an increase in adjusted fully diluted earnings per share (EPS), which grew by 6% year over year and 10% sequentially. Reflecting confidence in its financial position and commitment to shareholders, Korn Ferry announced another dividend of $0.33 per share, maintaining their balanced capital deployment strategy consisting of dividends and share repurchase programs.
Persistent growth was seen in the company's core segments, with their Consulting and Digital businesses growing 3% and 6%, respectively. New business trends continued to stabilize, especially noted with a year-over-year January increase of 11% and a good alignment with February expectations. Despite slower growth in markets like Executive Search and Recruitment Process Outsourcing (RPO), Korn Ferry projects optimism for the final fiscal quarter, propelled by strong new business trends and consistent profitability improvements.
Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, Korn Ferry forecasts fee revenue to range between $675 million to $695 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to improve modestly to approximately 15.3% to 15.5%, reflecting ongoing efficiency and profitability endeavors. Moreover, the company expects consolidated adjusted diluted earnings per share to be between $1.09 and $1.17 and GAAP diluted earnings per share to range from $1.06 to $1.14, suggesting a sustainable growth and successful execution of current business strategies.
The longer-term targets for EBITDA margin are set ambitiously at 16% to 18%, a significant improvement from pre-pandemic levels of around 12% to 12.5%. The personal initiatives like cross-selling and referrals, notably within emerging segments like Digital, could be critical growth drivers. The company has realized $50 million to $60 million of incremental fee revenue through successful cross-referrals since acquiring Lucas Group, signifying the power of synergy within Korn Ferry's ecosystem. Furthermore, the leadership emphasizes a company-wide priority on talent promotion, development, and productivity, indicating a keen focus on operational excellence as a growth lever.
Korn Ferry's Digital business has been identified as an area ripe with expansion potential, currently operating with an impressive margin that has recently increased from 25-26% to about 30%. The company envisions this segment could multiply 3 to 4 times its current size. Executives highlight the company's systematic approach to nurturing the business by fostering collaboration, driving innovation, and forming partnerships, noting that significant investment in the platform is ongoing. The Digital business's growth is expected to play a pivotal role in enhancing shareholder value and cements its position as the most profitable segment to focus on.
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Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Korn Ferry Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]We have also made available in the Investor Relations section of our website at kornferry.com a copy of the financial presentation that we will be reviewing with you today. Before I turn the call over to your host, Mr. Gary Burnison, let me first read a cautionary statement to investors. Certain statements made in the call today, such as those relating to future performance, plans and goals, constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although the company believes the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such statements. Actual results in future periods may differ materially from those currently expected or desired because of number of risks and uncertainties which are beyond the company's control. Additional information concerning such risks and uncertainties can be found in the release relating to this presentation and in the periodic and other reports filed by the company with the SEC, including the company's annual report for fiscal year 2023 and the company's soon-to-be-filed quarterly report for the quarter ended January 31, 2024.Also, some of the comments today may reference non-GAAP financial measures such as constant currency amounts, EBITDA, and adjusted EBITDA. Additional information concerning these measures, including reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, is contained in the financial presentation and earnings release relating to this call, both of which are posted in the Investor Relations section of the company's website at www.kornferry.com.With that, I'll turn the call over to Mr. Burnison. Please go ahead, Mr. Burnison.
Okay, thank you, Greg, and good afternoon, everybody. Number 1, I'm enormously proud of our organization and how we continue to acclimate, innovate, and align our business to the opportunity ahead. Clearly, the strategy is working. The results for the quarter, we did about $669 million of fee revenue, which was down 2%. But in terms of the strategy working, our non-Search offerings provided a substantial buffer against the more cyclically-sensitive recruiting offerings. Earnings and profitability were also good, 15.2% EBITDA margin. And the revenue from Consulting and Digital, when combined with our Interim business, now represent 50% of our top line. And during the quarter, our Consulting bill rate increased 12% and our Digital subscription and license revenue increased 11% over the prior year.In today's world, as organizations toggle between perform and transform, it's clear that vertical is out and horizontal is in, and that's exactly the same for us. And it's gratifying to see the results of this cross-firm collaboration strategy. Today we're approaching almost $3 billion in fee revenue with a balanced portfolio across solutions and geographies that's now generating over a third of our fee revenue from our very successful marquee and regional account program, where just 4 short years ago, our top 5 marquee and regional accounts averaged around $19 million per account, with the largest at $26 million, compared to today where our top 5 average almost $30 million and our largest account has a run rate of almost $50 million, driven to a large extent by this horizontal approach by our cross line of business referrals, which today generate about a quarter of our fee revenue. And further to that point, when I look at our $350 million plus Digital business, today 30% of our fee revenue is generated from consulting referrals and we're looking to expand this horizontal focus even further through 4 primary digital growth drivers: #1, a firmwide push around Digital sales, Digital offerings; secondly, increasing our commercial output and sales productivity; third, enhancing our product offerings like our talent applications and talent platform; and finally, increasing our Digital revenue through partnerships, including offering joint solutions and opportunities with HR technology providers.It's clear, given the results over the last few quarters, that we're at the threshold of even greater opportunity. And regardless of the environment, from one cycle to the next, our vision remains unchanged, to become the premier organizational consulting firm. Our household brand, unparalleled IP, and diversification strategy will continue to positively influence our performance and accelerate the trajectory of thousands of organizations. Indeed, Korn Ferry is uniquely positioned as a firm relentlessly focused on synchronizing strategy, operations, and talent, a firm that offers increasing relevant solutions in a rapidly changing world. And I think we're only really scratching the surface of what we can become.With those short remarks, I'm joined by Tiffany, Gregg, and Bob. And Bob, I think I'll turn it over to you next.
Great. Thanks, Gary, and good afternoon and good morning. Before I jump into the numbers, I just want to highlight a couple of points. First, I think the third quarter was a very good quarter, and I'm extremely proud of my Korn Ferry colleagues and all that they've accomplished. Second, equally as important, I think our performance this quarter continues to demonstrate that our strategy is working. The third quarter results were ahead of our expectations and really marked a strong start to the back half of our fiscal year. Both earnings and profitability improved year over year and sequentially despite seasonally lower fee revenue, a result of increasing productivity by leveraging our cost base, again an overall positive scorecard for our broader diversification strategy.We're excited about and confident in this strategy as it continues to play out just as we expected and have talked about, with resilience and growth in our Consulting and Digital business offsetting cyclical moderation and portions of our talent acquisition offerings. We continue to leverage existing client relationships. Our colleagues across lines of business, and our unique IP data and content to drive top line synergies with a particular focus on our marquee and regional accounts, as you heard Gary talk about that. A number of our key operating statistics improved in the quarter. We had higher hourly bill rates in both Consulting and Interim, which were up 12% and 21% year over year, and are really reflective of the exceptional value and impact our services deliver to our clients. Our subscription and license fee revenue in Digital increased 11% year over year and was actually 38% of Digital's total new business for the third quarter, which illustrates the underlying strength and relevance of our data and solutions, as well as contributing to increasing fee revenue stability going forward.Equally important, I'm pleased with the year-over-year period and sequential growth of our earnings and profitability. The adjusted EBITDA margin was 15.2% in the third quarter, with Digita,l Consulting, and RPO all improving their profitability, both year over year and sequentially, and Exec Search improving sequentially. Last, I'd like to highlight our balanced approach to deploying capital, specifically capital return to shareholders. In addition to our substantial dividend increase last quarter, this quarter we increased our share repurchases, acquiring 383,000 shares, which brings our year-to-date share repurchase to 565,000 shares, a total of $67 million has been returned to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases year to date, and our Board just approved another dividend of $0.33 share that's payable on April 15.Now let me turn the call over to Gregg who will take you through some overall company financial highlights.
Okay. Thanks, Bob. In the third quarter, which is typically seasonally slower, global free revenue was $669 million and was down only 2% year over year, measured at both actual rates and at constant currency. By line of business, Consulting and Digital grew 3% and 6%, respectively, year over year and combined generated 38% of total fee revenue in the third quarter. Fee revenue moderation in the third quarter for most of our Talent Acquisition solutions continued to stabilize. Executive Search and RPO were down 6% and 22%, respectively, year over year, while Professional Search and Interim were up 11% year over year, primarily driven by Salo, which was acquired in November of 2022.Consolidated new business in the third quarter, excluding RPO, was flat year over year at both actual rates and at constant currency. By line of business, Digital new business grew 2% year over year, Consulting was flat year over year, and Professional Search and Interim was up 9% year over year, driven in part by the acquisition of Salo. Executive Search new business was down 6% year over year, with recent monthly data points indicating that global demand is stabilizing. For RPO, new business in the third quarter was strong at $122 million and includes $83 million of renewals and extensions and $39 million of new logo wins. Exiting the third quarter and entering our fourth quarter, consolidated new business trends continue to improve. Excluding RPO, consolidated new business was up 11% and approximately 5% organically year over year in January and in line with expectations in February.Earnings and profitability also continued to improve in the third quarter. Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter grew 6% year over year to $102 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.2%, and was up 3% sequentially with a 120 basis point improvement in margin, despite seasonally slower fee revenue. Strong cost controls and greater consultant and execution staff productivity continued to drive growth and profitability, which has now improved sequentially for 3 consecutive quarters. Finally, our adjusted diluted earnings per share in the third quarter were $1.07, up 6% year over year and up 10% sequentially. Adjusted fully diluted earnings per share exclude $6.4 million, or $0.12 per share of after tax restructuring and acquisition integration cost, which were positively offset by $9.7 million or $0.18 per share of nonrecurring tax benefits. GAAP fully diluted earnings per share were $1.13 in the third quarter. Our investable cash position at the end of the third quarter remains strong at $496 million, and our capital allocation continues to be balanced. Through the end of the third quarter, we deployed $122 million of cash using $37 million for capital expenditures, $18 million for debt service, and returned $67 million to shareholders in combined dividends and share repurchases.With that I'll turn the call over to Tiffany to review our operating segments in more detail.
Thanks, Gregg. Starting with KF Digital. Global fee revenue in the third quarter was $90 million, which was up 6% year over year at actual rates and at constant currency. Digital subscription and license fee revenue in the third quarter was $33 million, which was approximately 37% of fee revenue for the quarter and up 11% year over year. Global new business for KF Digital was $111 million with $42 million, or 38% of the total, tied to subscription and license sales, up from 36% last quarter. The overall pipeline for Digital remains strong as we head into the fourth quarter and into the next fiscal year.For Consulting, fee revenue in the third quarter was $167 million, which was up approximately 3% year over year at actual rates and at constant currency. Fee revenue growth was strongest in organizational strategy, which increased 9% year over year. Today, we are selling larger and more complex transformational engagements, which use our rich proprietary data to drive unique and differentiated insights. Consulting's average bill rate continues to climb, now at $438 an hour, which is up over $46 an hour, or 12% from just one year ago. Adjusted EBITDA margins also improved, increasing 40 bps sequentially and by 230 bps year over year. Additionally, global new business Consulting in the third quarter was flat year over year with double-digit growth in EMEA and in North America.Total fee revenue in Professional Search and Interim in the third quarter was $131 million, up $13 million or 11% year over year. Breaking down the quarter, year-over-year fee revenue growth was mostly driven by the Interim portion of the business, which offset moderation in the Permanent Placement portion of the segment. Interim fee revenue grew to $78 million from $53 million year over year, driven by the recent acquisition of Salo. Interim's average hourly bill rate has increased to $129/hour, which is up $22 an hour or over 20% from one year ago and reflective of the added value of being part of the broader Korn Ferry ecosystem. Professional Search and Permanent Placement fee revenue declined by $23 million, or 19% year over year to $56 million. Professional Search and Interim new business increased 9% year over year in the third quarter, aided by the recent acquisition of Salo.Moving on to Recruitment Process Outsourcing. New business for the third quarter was $122 million, comprised of $39 million of new logos and $83 million of renewals, which included several marquee accounts. Total revenue under contract at the end of the quarter was approximately $696 million. Fee revenue in the third quarter totaled $81 million, which was down $23 million, or 22% year over year at actual rates and constant currency. Fee revenue was impacted by a moderation in hiring volume within the existing base of contracts as well as labor hoarding conditions which have continued in the market. Historically, fee revenue averaged 106% of the original contract value, which is why we view the current slowdown in demand as transitory and believe RPO is well positioned to benefit when client hiring returns to more normalized levels. The pipeline remains strong as RPO continues to renew existing clients and win new business with a differentiated service offering in the marketplace. Finally, global fee revenue for Executive Search in the third quarter was $199 million, down 6% at actual and 7% at constant currency. Overall, global demand in the third quarter would indicate that demand is stabilizing. Additionally, consultant productivity has improved, driving a year over year 222 basis point improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin.I will now turn the call back over to Bob to discuss our outlook for the fourth quarter of fiscal '24.
Great. Thanks, Tiffany. Monthly new business trends exiting our third quarter and entering the fourth quarter have begun to stabilize. January new business was up 11%, 5% organically, year over year; February new business was in line with our expectations; and we are well positioned to deliver our March new business, which historically is one of our best new business months of the year.Now, assuming normal monthly seasonal new business patterns and assuming no further changes in worldwide geopolitical conditions, economic conditions, financial markets, and foreign exchange rates, we expect fee revenue in the fourth quarter of fiscal '24 will range from $675 million to $695 million, our adjusted EBITDA margin to improve to approximately 15.3% to 15.5%, and our consolidated adjusted diluted earnings per share to range from $1.09 to $1.17. Finally, we expect our GAAP diluted earnings per share in the fourth quarter to range from $1.06 to $1.14.Now, in closing, we've made substantial progress as demonstrated by our continuing performance in delivering our strategic plan to lead the market in organizational consulting. Our top line diversification continues to serve us well as the non-Permanent Placement, Talent Acquisition portions of the business, which represent almost 50% of fee revenue, as Gary mentioned, remain on track to deliver consistent growth. Our IP, data, and science-backed services and solutions continue to differentiate us in this war for the best talent. Further, our strong cost-based management really positions us to deliver continuing improvements in earnings and profitability and positions us to successfully continue our balanced approach to capital deployment. As I always say, we're at the beginning of what's going to be a very long ballgame, and I truly believe our best is yet to come.With that, we'd like to answer any questions that you may have.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Trevor Romeo from William Blair.
First one is just on the overall macro and demand backdrop. I think if you look at some of the CEO confidence surveys, we've seen those increase a little bit so far in the last couple of months. I think the capital markets backdrop feels a bit more stable. Seems like maybe fewer people are talking about a severe recession now. So I guess how much change have you started to see in overall demand sentiment, and what do you think from this point could be a catalyst to start seeing a more significant demand recovery?
Well, the latter part is a tough question. Clearly, we've seen those same trends for sure. As I talked about on the last earnings call that my expectation was you'd start to see deflationary pressures. I think you're starting to see that for sure. Obviously, everybody is on pins and needles with respect to the Fed. But what I've said for some time, I think we're in the middle of a multi-quarter reset and back to a period of time where rates would be at more normalized levels from a period of 2 to 3 decades of very cheap money. And I think companies are adjusting to that reality. And what that is creating is a focus on organizations to have a more horizontal approach, less vertical, more horizontal, and perform at the same time they transform, which creates opportunities for our Consulting business and Digital offerings, which is exactly what you're seeing. And CEOs are looking not just at their strategy and how to be more horizontal but looking at their leadership and their talent. And I think that's reflective of the engagements that we're winning today.I would say that, as I was listening to Tiffany and Gregg and Bob, the word that kept coming up was stabilizing. And I think that is absolutely true for sure. And I do think there's some green shoots and it's hard to, again, I'm not going to say that 2 or 3 months make a trend, but certainly when you look at the most cyclical parts of at least our business, you take, for example, Pro Search number 1, we have seen an uplift in volume, and we think that uplift is 15% to 20% over the last few months, and that's what we're expecting in the fourth quarter. That's what February delivered. So I think that's a very positive sign. And Interim has also stabilized as well. So I think, for us, I think, those are 2 good green shoots, and I think they do portray a positive sign for the labor market.
Maybe a follow-up on margins. Nice improvement to 15% EBITDA in the quarter. Looks like a little bit of further improvement in the guidance. As we think about modeling margins maybe beyond the next quarter, can you talk about some of the puts and takes and maybe a base case for fiscal '25 and how quickly you could get back to that 16% to 18% target range you're looking for?
Well, that is, the longer term target is 16% to 18%. If I just dial it back before the pandemic on an apples-to-apples basis, so adjusting for the mix shift, as we entered this new business called Interim, which today is about $350 million, it was 0 4.5 years ago. That impacts the margin compares by 200 to 250 basis points. So when you adjust for that pre-pandemic, we were running 12%, 12.5% pro forma, adjusted for the mix margin. Today we're at 15%. So profitability is substantially ahead of where it was pre-pandemic. The business is up, call it, third quarter top line is up 30% from the pre-pandemic levels. Both of those data points I'm extremely proud on. We have to deliver profitable revenue growth, and we do think there's some upside in the EBITDA margin. And when that can crank up to 16% to 18%, I think part of that depends on the Fed and what a more normalized rate environment is going to look like. The Search business today is, call it, $800 million, it got to as high as $930 million, which probably isn't a good compare. But clearly there's a lot of room there, there's room on Pro Search, there's room on Interim, I think the Consulting business we're scratching the surface. So at the end of the day, in this kind of business, it's really about the top line. And that's why we've got a strategy really focused on one Korn Ferry, a horizontal approach to going to market, and I think that's reflective in the data around our marquee and regional accounts as well as the cross-referrals. But we do think there's upside on the EBITDA margin.
Your next question comes from the line of George Tong from Goldman Sachs.
Your Consulting and Digital businesses are seeing good growth, and you're making inroads with your Interim Search business. Can you provide some additional stats on cross-referrals and cross-selling involving these lines of businesses across the broader organization?
Digital is a huge opportunity for us. When we look at the cross-referrals into the Digital offerings, it's been underweighted compared to the rest of the portfolio. And so the cross-referrals, George, for this quarter, I think, it was about 25%, year to date, I think, is about 25%, something like that. The cross-referral percentages into Pro Search, Interim substantially higher, like way higher; RPO is the same thing historically, maybe not as much recently. Digital is an undersized penetration that we have to get at, and that's opportunity for us. And I think right off the top of my head, George, I want to say that that cross-referral percentage in the Interim is probably, and Bob can correct me on all this, but it's probably like 15% or so. Consulting, which is a good sign, that cross-referral percentage into Digital is like 30%. But for a firm overall, it's underweighted, which creates nothing but opportunity for us.
Yes, George, it's Bob. Just maybe a little bit more color on the Interim. So if you go back to the point in time when we acquired Lucas Group, and you roll the clock forward to today, as a result of being part of -- those businesses, being part of the Korn Ferry ecosystem, we've had somewhere around 1,500 to 1,600 incremental opportunities that were identified between lines of business and Interim, and they've won in the neighborhood of like 850 to 900 of those, creating $50 million to $60 million of incremental fee revenue that those businesses never would have gotten had they not been part of our ecosystem.
In recent periods, you've undertaken some cost rationalization actions, most of which are complete at this point. Do you envision needing to take additional cost or headcount actions, or do you think at this point the organization is right-sized for where we are in the cycle?
We are always looking at our talent in terms of promotion and development opportunities. That's something we're constantly at work at. No, I don't see any workforce actions other than our normal talent management processes.
Yes, George, I would say from a cost perspective, too, we're managing our BD and travel down to a number that I think is sustainable at this point as the business goes forward. And as I said in the past, on the real estate side, we have some opportunities, but the big opportunities are behind us at this point. To me, it's really all about what Gary said earlier. It's productivity, and that we're going to get leverage out of the top line growth once the clouds lift.
Your next question comes from the line of Josh Chan from UBS.
On the Digital business, so you've run the business at about 30% margin for the last 2 quarters now. About a year ago, it was 25% to 26% margin. So is the difference mainly the people that have come out of the business? And if that's the case, what does that mean in terms of the long-term growth potential in the Digital business going forward?
Well, I think we're scratching the surface of what the Digital business can be. We have to make sure that we're driving the entire firm across this IP that we have and creating knowledge transfer to clients. And could this be 3x or 4x the size of what it is today? Absolutely could be. But we have to invest in the platform, which we're continuing to do. The profitability is clearly up, not just because of the cost reductions, but also because of the collaboration between Consulting and Digital. I've never seen it to be higher. Clearly, it should be the most profitable part of our business. It creates, I think, enormous opportunity for shareholders. If we were to do nothing but double or triple that business, you can imagine what that could do for shareholder value. So it's clearly a focus of ours, but we've taken a very systematic approach to it in trying to build partnerships and an ecosystem, and also investing in the platform, in the technology platform that we have.
And on the Consulting side, I guess growth has been sustained by Europe's strength over the last couple of quarters. So does Europe continue to look strong on Consulting business, or at some point does that become a tougher compare as we look ahead here?
Clearly, it could be a tougher compare, but I think overall, in terms of where the Consulting business is, again, it's the beginning, not the end. We just continue to see, we have a fabulous team, a great leader in Mark Arian, and his strategy was to move the business towards bigger, more impactful, transformational assignments. And the business many years ago started out with assessments and smaller ticket engagements. And over time, through incredible team and the IP that we have and a firmwide push, we have systematically moved that towards bigger organizational strategy assignments. And you see it in the numbers, you see it in the bill rate. That bill rate, and I don't know the exact time, but it's like 3 or 4 years ago, I think that bill rate was sub $300 an hour. Now it's $438. That's a combination of everything and the strategy working. So, yes, do the compares get a little bit tougher? For sure they do, no question about it. But in terms of the long-term potential of this business, we're at the beginning.
Josh, it's Bob. One thing I would add is that as we move through the quarter, we did see, to talk about green shoots, some positive activities happening in North America as well.
Okay. Yes, that's really helpful. Congrats on the good quarter.
Thanks, Josh. We'll see you. Talk to you on Tuesday.
Your next question comes from the line of Andre Childress from Baird.
This is Andre on from Mark Marcon. My first question is just a follow up to some of the prior commentary you just had. Could you provide a little bit more of a breakdown in terms of what you're seeing by major geography between North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific?
I'll talk about revenue first. And overall, as a firm, we reported down 2%. EMEA was flat. The same for North America. Asia was down like 5%, and a large part of that was driven by the continuing challenges that every company is facing in China. On the new business front, for the quarter, overall, we were flat compared to the prior year. EMEA was up 6%. Asia continued to be challenged. Consulting was flat, Digital was up 2%. And in North America, we've seen stabilization over the past few months and quarters.
And then as a follow up, Digital saw a nice improvement pretty much across the board. And in your prepared remarks, you had a big point of emphasis in terms of trying to drive more cross-sells into that going forward. Could you provide a little bit more color on some of those strategies? And if you could, in particular touch on some of the commentary regarding joint solutions with HR technology providers and how you see that evolving over time?
Well, we've built everything up to this point really by ourselves. And when you look at world class consulting firms, they've typically enjoyed an ecosystem of partners that creates deal flow. And we, up to this point, really haven't been able to -- we haven't monetized that, and that's been an effort. We have a new leader in the Digital business, Mathias Herzog, who brings a fresh perspective. We've got a great. And so that is an opportunity for us. And so there are 3 to 5 largely technology players that we are working steadily with to create an ecosystem where we can deliver more value through our IP with their technology solutions to their clients and vice versa. And so I think it is a greenfield for us for sure.I think, also, the collaboration between Digital and Consulting, as I said earlier, has never been higher. I think that is something that's positive for us. And overall, as a firm, when you think about the kinds of data that we have and being able to provide insight to clients, it's extraordinary. I was on a call last week with a CEO, huge healthcare company. We've done thousands of assessments where we're able to tell that CEO exactly the DNA, an MRI of their organization, and juxtapose that with that organization strategy and show where the gaps are, which leads to assessment, leads to development. And so I do think as a firm that one huge focus for us, we're calling it [ KF Rise ], but a focus of that is to make sure that we are delivering scaled analytics through our data. We've done 103 million assessments over time. Every year we develop over 1 million professionals. We have comp data on 30 million people, 25,000 companies. And so a big, big focus of us here is to make sure that we're able to create more insight based on that data with clients. And we have to get the whole firm behind that effort. And that's an activity, and it's a big activity, that's underway for us right now.
Your next question comes from the line of Tobey Sommer from Truist.
I was wondering if you could give us some more color on that trend you quoted recently of Professional Search being up. Maybe talk about how broad based it is and any industry verticals that stand out as either leaders or laggards in that regard.
The industry verticals, I think, it's going to be hard for me to comment on. I would say that it's been somewhat broad based, for sure. But when you do look, it is up and to the right. And I'm not going to sit here and say 3 months, 4 months make a trend line. But I do think it is reflective of where companies are in terms of their adaptation in this multi-quarter reset. And so it is true that over the last few months we have seen in Pro Search monthly new business trends up 15%, 20%, largely in North America, but also in EMEA. And that's, I think, generally been one of the most cyclically sensitive parts of the labor market, at least of recruiting companies or staffing companies. So I do think that is a green shoot.The other thing that I would point out is on the RPO business, when you look back after this great resignation and we've talked about labor hoarding and you've seen other RPO providers and what's happened to their top line, we are expecting a shift. Largely over the last 2 to 3 quarters, you'll see that it's been substantial part of the business has been renewals, which is important. There's no question about it. Shows the quality of the work. And as Tiffany said, the revenue that we actually recognize from what we report as new business has been about 106% of notional value. But we do think there's going to be a shift away from that trend line more towards new wins. So I would expect that in this next quarter here we'll probably do $100 million, maybe a little bit north, in new business. And I think that trend of 70% or so renewals is going to flip a little bit. And I think you're going to see more new logos, less renewals.
I appreciate that. From a modeling perspective, is the effect of recent cost cutting fully captured in this quarter, or is there an incremental tailwind in the quarter you're guiding for beyond?
Bob, I'll let you answer that.
Yes. No, so I think most of the benefits of the actions we took are already embedded in our run rate numbers that we posted today. For us, as we said earlier, where we're going to continue to see a margin improvement is top line growth, and then also we're going to look to continue to drive productivity so that we're not adding back headcount as quickly as we maybe perhaps have in the past as that top line recovers.
Understood. And then from a cross-sell referral, I think you quoted being in the mid-20s now. Do you have any thoughts on the evolution of your approach to driving that? Is it still marquee account and marquee salesforce focused, or do you have different tools and approaches to trying to drive that higher?
No, it is. It clearly starts with a top-down go-to-market strategy, but we also have to make sure that we are doing it bottom-up. And the reality is we haven't had as much firmwide push around that as we would like to have or what there's opportunity to do. And so that is an initiative that we called [ KF Rise ] that's first and foremost investing in data and being able to do scaled analytics. Because I think wherever this thing goes, on AI, which we are absolutely trying to incorporate into our business, it starts with proprietary data and insight. Then it's how do we get that data and insight into our consultants' hands to differentiate Korn Ferry with our clients, and so that is an active part of the strategy. That scaled analytics, that data around sectors, industries, geographies, we have to do a better job of getting that into our consultants' hands across the entire platform to be able to differentiate Korn Ferry and offer more insight into customers. So that is definitely something that has been accelerated for us. I'm not going to say it's new, but we've certainly put a fresh emphasis on that.
And Tobey, this is Bob. The only thing I would add to that is historically I would say that we were more opportunistic than intentional. And I think it's part of what the program Gary is talking about. We're going to become much more intentional. Give you an example, in the past, if somebody was an account leader on an account and it was a $10 million account, we wanted 20% growth, we'd say, okay, go get $2 million. Now the KPIs are being built where we're actually saying we want $2 million, but $1 million of it needs to come from Consulting, $1 million of it needs to come from Digital, so that we're focusing efforts where we really see the opportunities and going after it with intent versus, again, just being more opportunistic and taking what was given to us.
My last question has to do with the bill rate growth in Consulting. I know you had some success with some government work in EMEA, and I'm just curious if that's the main driver of the bill rate growth or it's broad based, how would you characterize it, larger projects, et cetera?
Yes, it is broad, but clearly that's had an impact. What you're referencing around governmental work, no question about it. But I also think it's reflective of the strategy. And from going from smaller engagements to bigger, more impactful transformational assignments, that's how you get leverage. We still have to continue to push towards the organizational strategy, organizational design, transformation. We still have to push the firm in that direction, but clearly that's had a big, big impact on the bill rates as well.
And at this time, there are no further questions. I'd now like to turn the call back to Gary Burnison for any closing remarks.
Okay, Greg. Listen, thank you to everybody for listening. We're very, very excited, obviously, about the future of Korn Ferry. I think this is the beginning. We've proven that there's customer receptivity in the marketplace. The IP and the data that we have is enormous, and we're excited about the future. Thank you for taking an interest, and we'll talk to you next time. Thank you, Greg.
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