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Select Medical Holdings Corp
NYSE:SEM

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Select Medical Holdings Corp
NYSE:SEM
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Price: 33.95 USD -0.79% Market Closed
Updated: May 20, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2018-Q1

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Operator

Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for Select Medical Holdings Corporation’s earnings conference call to discuss the first quarter 2018 results and the company’s business outlook. Speaking today are the company’s Executive Chairman and Co-founder, Robert Ortenzio; and the company’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Martin Jackson. Management will give you an overview of the quarter and then open the call for questions.

Before we get started, we would like to remind you that this conference call may contain forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the company, including, without limitation, statements regarding operating results, growth opportunities and other statements that refer to Select Medical plans, expectations, strategies, intentions and beliefs. These forward-looking statements are based on the information available to management of Select Medical today, and the company assumes no obligation to update these statements as circumstances change.

At this time, I will turn the conference call over to Mr. Robert Ortenzio.

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for Select Medical’s First Quarter Earnings Conference Call for 2018. Before I outline our operational metrics, I want to provide you with some summary comments and updates since we presented to you last quarter.

Our Inpatient Rehab and Concentra business segments both had a great quarter with strong double-digit revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth on a same-quarter year-over-year basis. Our Inpatient Rehab segment experienced significant growth in terms of both revenue and adjusted EBITDA as our joint venture development projects opened in late 2016 and throughout 2017 continued to mature.

On a same-quarter year-over-year basis, revenue grew 20.7% and adjusted EBITDA increased 64%, which was driven by growth in both volume and rate in this segment.

We continue to build our JV pipeline with expected two to three new projects per year. We opened our new Ochsner rehabilitation joint venture early this week, and believe our Dignity, Las Vegas joint venture will open in the fourth quarter of this year. We expect double-digit growth in both revenue and EBITDA for the foreseeable future in this business segment.

Our Concentra segment had same-quarter year-over-year revenue growth of 42.1% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 35.7%, driven primarily by the acquisition of U.S. HealthWorks on February 1, which added 219 centers and 21 on-site clinics. Beginning February 1, U.S. HealthWorks’ results are included in our Concentra segment and consolidated in Select’s financials.

U.S. HealthWorks added $90 million of net revenue, [approximating] $9 million of EBITDA. Concentra on a standalone basis without U.S. HealthWorks realized a 6% growth in revenue, 14% growth in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.3%.

Our LTAC segment also had a good quarter on a year-over-year same quarter basis with revenue growth of 4.4%, occupancy rate growing from 68% to 71%, admission growth of 5.6%, and compliant population at 99.8%. We realized substantial growth in patient volume in mid-January through the balance of the quarter, which required increasing our clinical staffing with traveling nurses, agency nursing and overtime. This increase in [costly] staffing had a negative impact on our EBITDA margins in January, but as we fine-tuned our clinical staff throughout the balance of the quarter, we saw margins grow nicely from 12% in January to almost 19% in March. We believe this bodes well for our LTAC business as we normalize occupancy rates back to historical levels.

Finally, our Outpatient Rehab segment experienced some modest revenue growth driven by improved pricing in the quarter, which faced a challenging quarter weather-wise in several outpatient markets, but we were able to overcome much of that challenge with strong performance in our legacy clinics. We estimate the weather impact to us was approximately $1.8 million for the quarter.

We continue to make progress in our Physio clinics and are seeing nice traction in a number of their markets, but we still believe it will take another 6 to 9 months to reach our expected financial objectives.

Let me take you through some additional operational highlights for the first quarter. Overall our net revenue for the first quarter increased by $161 million to $1.25 billion for a 14.8% year-over-year growth rate with top line growth in each of our four business segments. Net revenue in our LTAC segment in the first quarter increased to $465 million compared to $445 million in the same quarter last year. Patient days increased 4.2% to 266,000 days compared to 255,000 days in the same quarter last year.

Net revenue per patient day remained stable at $1,730 per day in the first quarter compared to $1,731 in the same quarter last year. As I mentioned, net revenue in our Inpatient Rehab segment in the first quarter increased 20.7% to $175 million compared to $145 million in the same quarter last year. Patient days increased 23.5% to 77,000 patient days compared to 62,000 days in the same quarter last year.

Net revenue per patient day increased 7% to $1,623 in the first quarter compared to $1,517 per day in the same quarter last year.

Net revenue in our Outpatient Rehab segment in the first quarter increased 2.8% to $257.4 million compared to $250.4 million in the same quarter last year. Our net revenue per visit was $103 in the first quarter compared to $99 per visit in the same quarter last year.

Patient visits decreased slightly to 2.07 million visits in the first quarter compared to 2.08 million visits in the same quarter last year. Decline in visits is primarily related to severe weather condition that impacted our clinics within certain regions of the country during the quarter.

Net revenue in our Concentra segment for the first quarter increased 42.1% to $356 million compared to $251 million in the same quarter last year. For the first quarter, revenue from our centers was $322 million and the balance of approximately $34 million was generated from on-site clinics, community-based outpatient clinics and other services.

For the centers, patient visits were 2.6 million and net revenue per visit was $124 in the first quarter compared to almost 1.9 million visits and $116 per visit in the same quarter last year. Increases in net revenue in visits were primarily related to the acquisition of U.S. HealthWorks. Increases in rate related to both higher reimbursement rates at the U.S. HealthWorks centers and improved workers compensation rates at the existing Concentra centers.

Total adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter grew 17.5% to $163.2 million compared to $138.9 million in the same quarter last year with consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin at 13% for the first quarter compared to 12.7% for the same quarter last year.

Our LTAC segment adjusted EBITDA increased slightly to $73 million in the first quarter compared to $72.3 million in the same quarter last year. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the LTAC segment was 15.7% in the first quarter compared to 16.3% in the same quarter last year.

During the first quarter last year, we had adjusted EBITDA gains in some of our since closed hospitals. Excluding those gains, adjusted EBITDA margins would have been 15.4% in the first quarter last year.

Inpatient Rehab adjusted EBITDA increased 64% in the first quarter to $26.8 million compared to $16.3 million in the same quarter last year. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the Inpatient Rehab segment was 15.3% in the first quarter compared to 11.3% in the same quarter last year. The increase in adjusted EBITDA and margins were primarily the result of improved performance in the new hospitals we opened in 2016 and 2017. Adjusted EBITDA results for the Inpatient Rehab segment include start-up losses of approximately $800,000 for the first quarter compared to approximately $2 million in start-up losses in the same quarter last year.

Outpatient Rehab adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was 30.5 million compared to 31.4 million in the same quarter last year.

Adjusted EBITDA margin for the Outpatient segment was 11.9% in the first quarter compared to 12.5% in the same quarter last year. As I mentioned, several of our clinic markets were impacted by severe weather in the quarter, which is the primary reason for the decline in adjusted EBITDA and margin as compared to last year.

Concentra adjusted EBITDA was 57.8 million for the first quarter compared to 42.6 million in the same quarter last year. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 16.2% in the first quarter compared to 17% in the same quarter last year. The decline in adjusted EBITDA margin is primarily attributable to the acquisition of U.S. HealthWorks as their centers operate at lower margins than our existing Concentra centers, as well as incurred cost associated with integration activities.

Earnings per fully diluted share was $0.25 in the first quarter compared to $0.12 in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings per fully diluted share was $0.29 per diluted share for the first quarter compared to $0.21 per diluted share for the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings per fully diluted share excludes the loss on early retirement of debt in both the first quarters of this year and last year, and the related tax effects.

Adjusted earnings per share also excludes costs associated with the acquisition of U.S. HealthWorks and its related tax effect in the first quarter of this year. Before I conclude, I wanted to provide a couple of quick comments on the regulatory and development front.

On April 24, the proposed LTAC rules were posed and on April 27 the proposed rehab rules were posted by CMS. While we typically don't comment publicly on proposed rules, we were pleased to see the proposed elimination of the 25% rule for the LTACs. The 25% rule has been an overhang to the industry since 2004. Its elimination should help provide stability to the industry that we expected with the implementation of patient criteria. On the development front, yesterday we announced the expansion of services in our Banner joint venture with the planned purchase of a rehab hospital in the Austin, Texas area, which is expected to close in July.

I’ll now turn it over to Marty Jackson for some additional financial details before opening the call up for questions.

M
Martin Jackson

Thank you, Bob. Good morning everyone. For the first quarter, our operating expenses, which include our cost of services, general and administrative expenses were $1.1 billion. This compares to $957 million in the same quarter last year. Beginning in 2018, the majority of the expense we historically characterize as bad debt is now included as a component of net revenue and reflected as a reduction of revenue on the income statement.

As a percentage of our net revenue, operating expenses for the first quarter were 87.6% compared to 87.8% in the same quarter last year.

Cost of services, which were $1.07 billion for the first quarter compared to $929 million in the same quarter last year. As a percent of net revenue, cost of services were 85.1% for the first quarter. This compares to 85.2% in the same quarter last year.

G&A expense was $31.8 million in the first quarter compared to $28.1 million in the same quarter last year. G&A as a percent of net revenue was 2.5% in the first quarter compared to 2.6% of net revenue for the same quarter last year.

During the first quarter of this year, we incurred $2.9 million of U.S. HealthWorks acquisition costs that have are included in the G&A expense. Excluding these costs, G&A as percent of revenue was 2.3% in the first quarter of this year. As Bob mentioned, total adjusted EBITDA was $163.2 million and the adjusted EBITDA margin was 13% for the first quarter. This compares to adjusted EBITDA of $138.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.7% in the same quarter last year.

Depreciation and amortization was $46.8 million in the first quarter as compared to $42.5 million in the same quarter last year. We generated $4.7 million in equity and earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries during the first quarter compared to $5.5 million in the same quarter last year.

In conjunction with the acquisition of U.S. HealthWorks on February 1, Concentra entered into an incremental $555 million first-lien term loan and a new $240 million second-lien term loan. Concentra’s revolving facility increased from $50 million to $75 million, which was undrawn at closing. In addition, the $619 million of original first lien term loan at Concentra was repriced, which reduced borrowing spreads by 25 basis points.

On March 23, we completed repricing of select senior secured credit facilities, which reduced our borrowing spreads on our $1.1 billion term loan by 75 basis points, and our outstanding revolving loan by 50 basis points. As a result of these financing activities, we have recorded a $10.3 million loss on early retirement of debt during the first quarter of this year; $2.3 million of which was related to the repricing of Select’s credit facility and $8 million was related to the Concentra repricing and the first lien term loan. During the first quarter of 2017, we recorded a loss on early retirement of debt of $19.7 million.

Interest expense was $47.2 million in the first quarter. This compares to $40.9 million in the first quarter last year. The increase in interest expense is primarily related to the financing of the U.S. HealthWorks transaction. The company recorded an income tax expense of $12.3 million for the first quarter. This compares to an income tax expense of $13.2 million in the same quarter last year. This represents an effective tax rate of 21.8% and 36% respectively.

The lower effective tax rate this year is the result of the Federal Tax Reform legislation that was enacted in December last year, and certain tax benefits from the equity transactions at Concentra. Net income attributable to Select Medical Holdings was $33.7 million for the first quarter and fully diluted earnings per share were $0.25. Adjusted EPS, excluding the effects of losses on early retirement of debt and the U.S. HealthWorks acquisition cost, and the related tax effects, was $0.29.

At the end of the quarter, we had $3.5 billion of debt outstanding and $119.7 million of cash on the balance sheet. Our debt balance at the end of the quarter included: $1.14 billion in Select term loans, $245 million in Select revolving loans, $710 million in Select 6.375% senior notes, $1.17 billion in Concentra first-lien term loans, $240 million in Concentra second-lien term loans; and $56 million in unamortized discounts, premiums and debt issuance cost to reduce the overall balance sheet debt liability. We also had $49 million consisting of other miscellaneous borrowings and notes payable.

Operating activities provided $50.7 million of cash flow in the first quarter, which compares to $55.9 million use of cash in the same quarter last year. Our days sales outstanding, or DSO, was 56 days at March 31, 2018, compared to 58 days at December 31, 2017.

Investing activities used $556 million of cash in the first quarter. The use of cash was primarily related to the $517.1 million in acquisitions and investments, and $39.6 million in purchases of property and equipment during the quarter. Financing activities provided $502.4 million of cash in the first quarter. The provision of cash primarily relates to the financing activity for the U.S. HealthWorks acquisition. In addition, we had net borrowings of $15 million on Select’s revolving loans, and $5.7 million in net borrowings of other debt, which was offset in part by principal payments on our term loans of $2.9 million, and a $7.9 million decrease in overdrafts.

Additionally, in our earnings press release, we reaffirmed our business outlook for the calendar year 2018 provided earlier this year for both net operating revenue and adjusted EBITDA.

We expect net revenue to be in the range of $5 billion to $5.2 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $630 million to $660 million. We now expect fully diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $0.93 to $1.08, which includes a loss on retirement of debt and U.S. HealthWorks acquisition cost. We expect adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $0.97 to $1.12 in 2018, which excludes the loss on early retirement of debt and U.S. HealthWorks cost and the related tax effects.

This concludes our prepared remarks. And at this time, we’d like to turn it back over to the operator to open up the call for questions.

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Frank Morgan from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

F
Frank Morgan
RBC Capital Markets

Good morning. I was very interested in that occupancy progression across the first quarter in the LTAC business and the margin improvement, so I'm just curious what caused – was it a change in the switching staff over from the contract or temporary staffing to get less costly permanent labor in there to help those margins improve so much, or was it just purely volume overcame the cost of the contract labor. And just curious, is that a good sustainable number if you could hold that level of occupancy, is the 19% margin is the number we should be looking for?

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Yes, Frank. There really was quite a jump-up, I mean in our average daily census, from December to January, and then it continued in February and March. And I guess the point is that we are trying to make is that, we went from about – a little bit north of 2700 [ADC] to a little bit north of 2700, all the way up to about 3,000. So, we needed to add additional clinicians at that point in time.

And in order to do that rapidly, as we said, we had to include a bunch of agency nurses, as well as overtime for our people, and then also some traveling nurses. The premium associated with hiring those people is pretty significant. And as we went through February and March, we were able to make some adjustments for that. And as we made those adjustments, we saw the margins improve.

F
Frank Morgan
RBC Capital Markets

Got you, and…

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

To the extent that we are able to maintain a 71% occupancy rate over a longer period of time, we think that the higher margins are achievable.

F
Frank Morgan
RBC Capital Markets

Got you. And, the adjustments you made, were those just either being more optimizing the use of contract or was it - did you hire people in place of the temps?

M
Martin Jackson

We did hire some additional people. The other thing is you had a number of signing bonuses that took place early on in the quarter and then those nurses were with you, so that’s one of the other additional expenses, it’s really front-end loaded.

F
Frank Morgan
RBC Capital Markets

Okay. That makes sense. Now I guess the other big question is, why did the occupancy, I mean, we are certainly glad to see that. But can you point to any one thing? Was it, is there any change you’ve seen in the competitive landscape? Are you seeing competitors drop out of the market? Or is it just kind of the - you’re just gaining traction with this education of on-patient criteria and getting appropriate patients? And, then, with flu any way, I mean, what’s the correlation between complaint basis cases and effective flu?

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Well Frank, this is Bob. And, there is no question in the quarter in those couple of months where we really saw that spike in our occupancy that I think - we think that there is a pretty strong correlation with the flu. With a lot of older people, it’s a big pulmonary event. So, you’re going to see more event patients, and I think we can point directly to that. So, that is without question part of that surge on occupancy that we saw, and I think we saw it across the whole healthcare spectrum.

F
Frank Morgan
RBC Capital Markets

And, I guess, maybe that 71% occupancy doesn’t hold in the near-term, maybe it does, maybe it doesn’t. But is it fair to say that 19% margin that’s like whenever you - if you stay at this occupancy at 71% or if you get back to this occupancy, is it fair to say that 19% is a good representation of what you should be able to do financially at that margin level or at that occupancy level.

M
Martin Jackson

Frank, I think 17% to 18% is probably a good number for us, and at 71% occupancy rate without fluctuation. I think we’ve also talked in the past about the fact that our expectation is we will be able to get back on an annual basis to historical levels, which is that 71%. And it really is just an educational process that we are going through as we continue to explain to our referral sources about the new criteria reimbursement.

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Yes, I think Mark is right. We certainly think that there is some upside and we want to continue to drive to that, but we really don’t want to go ahead of ourselves on that. So, we do think that there is good opportunity for us in the future to get our occupancies back on an annual basis on those low 70s. And, with that and depending on the labor market, we expect to have - see the rewards of that.

F
Frank Morgan
RBC Capital Markets

Got you. And, then just hopping over to the IRF side of the business clearly that part of your business seems to be really picking up speed as these projects mature, but how far away do you think we are on some of your earlier projects? Like how close are we to optimal margin on those particular projects? And, what would that number be? Would that also be a sort of high-teens kind of a number?

M
Martin Jackson

Yes, it would be a high-teens number. And, you don’t remember Frank, as we continue to grow, as we bring on incremental joint venture deals, it becomes a smaller component of our overall base. So, you will see the margins continue to grow on the rehab side. And, again as development becomes smaller and smaller component overtime that has less of an impact of the overall margin.

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Yes, even as you’ve seen big gains with these numbers that is not to suggest that the hospitals that are driving those gains are fully mature. They are just hospitals that have come out of the startup period and are now contributing pretty dramatically, but they’re still not fully mature operation, so we think…

F
Frank Morgan
RBC Capital Markets

Got you. One more, but maybe a Bob question and I’ll hop back in the queue. But I’m just curious you’ve been very successful with your JV development strategy continue to add new wins, right. I’m just curious if you could give us kind of why you think - what’s the biggest driver for Select in terms of being able to distinguish itself to really going out winning that business and being as successful as you’ve been? Thanks.

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

It’s really been the history of doing that going all the way back to 2011 and before, we plotted a strategy where we wanted to partner with the very large systems, the multi-billion dollar systems, Banner which is one of our older ones and then on to Cleveland Clinic. As we’ve gotten marquee system partners and we’ve been very successful with them and gained their trust. I think that perpetuates the ability to do that with more systems.

And, we see that in our pipeline and I think that often times everybody, when there is a thought that we kind of capture that business with great systems along comes another one, whether our recently announced Banner Health System which is just fabulous system or deal with UCLA and Cedars or with Ochsner, these are all in the healthcare world, these are undisputed leaders in what they do.

And, we feel the partnering with them, positions us very nicely. So, I think it’s difficult than for others to follow on exactly. So, we are really excited about that, we are excited about our pipeline and some of the things that we are doing. And, our ability with some of these big systems to then spread to research and training, we think it’s really exciting for our company. So, we are really pleased with where we are.

F
Frank Morgan
RBC Capital Markets

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Peter Costa from Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is now open.

P
Peter Costa
Wells Fargo Securities

Thanks. I think Frank covered the LTAC business pretty well. But I would like to talk about the Concentra business for a moment. If U.S HealthWorks came on, it looks like about 14% adjusted EBITDA margin. How long do you think it will take you to get that up towards the sort of the 17% that you were at last year for the rest of Concentra, and can they go higher overall or is it the same type of business and stated - does it stay lower? Where do they end up?

M
Martin Jackson

It’s a great question Peter. Let me point out those, the margin for U.S. HealthWorks, the approximate margin for U.S. HealthWorks is about - in the first quarter, it’s about 10%.

P
Peter Costa
Wells Fargo Securities

Okay.

M
Martin Jackson

Okay. And, so that margin and that has some severance costs, I think it’s about $2.3 million for the severance expense in that, so you add that back you’re in that 11% plus range. The ability to get that up to 16-17%, we think over the next year or so is very achievable.

P
Peter Costa
Wells Fargo Securities

And, do you think it takes a year or do you think - how long do you think that takes?

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Yes, we do. We do think it will probably take a year to 18 months because a lot of that has to do with some of the synergies that we are attempting to get. So, again we are going to do that over, we are going to use our very systematic approach that we go through and do it on a timely basis, but we think it’ll take probably 18 months to fully achieve those margins.

P
Peter Costa
Wells Fargo Securities

And, then did you pickup any receivables with U.S. HealthWorks or how did that come on board in terms of the receivable fund?

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Sure. It was a stock deal. So, yes, we certainly picked up the receivables.

P
Peter Costa
Wells Fargo Securities

How much?

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Probably somewhere - I don’t have the specifics right in front of me. But I believe it’s right around $80 million.

P
Peter Costa
Wells Fargo Securities

Okay. Thank you.

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Sure. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Bill Sutherland from Benchmark. Your line is now open.

B
Bill Sutherland
Benchmark

Thank you. Bob, I wonder if you could go through the pipeline of a development schedule here for your future IRF JVs? Thanks

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

We only disclose any of our partnership after they’re signed. So, we don’t give any information. I think the most that we give is some kind of guidance on how many new deals we expect to do per year. I think we’ve said two to three. We’ve had good success in achieving that over a multi-year basis. So, we don’t give any more detail other than that.

B
Bill Sutherland
Benchmark

I’m sort of thinking about the ones that you have signed and you’ve broken, in some cases broken ground?

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Yes, we do. Any of those that are announced or the recently announced ones were the Banner deal, well Ochsner was just opened, Dignity in Las Vega, which is under construction, and Banner Health System in Arizona where we expect to do 2 rehab hospitals pretty much simultaneously with them and some other post-acute care services. And, then also in - the narrative today there was the announcement of the expansion of the Baylor joint venture with the signed acquisition of a rehab hospital in the Austin area specifically in Lake Travis.

B
Bill Sutherland
Benchmark

So, you’ve got this time next quarter you’ll have the Ochsner added to the total, plus the Baylor, and then Vegas comes on Q4 and then Banner is next year?

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Yes, I think that’s right.

B
Bill Sutherland
Benchmark

Okay. I noticed you have one last LTAC quarter-over-quarter, is there much more portfolio optimization there to go?

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Well, I think that any of that optimization, as you put, is will be ordinary course, we may see an opening here or there, we may see a consolidation here or there. So, I don’t think that you would - we’ve had a lot of questions about whether there were closures as a result of the implementation of the new criteria, I think that has passed. So, you won’t see any closures as a result of that. But sometimes there’s other reasons why we may either open it an LTAC, relocate it or close consolidate one to only ordinary course at this time.

B
Bill Sutherland
Benchmark

Yes, I recalled some mention of plans to open an LTAC, was it in Virginia?

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Yes, we did, Bill. We did Riverside was the LTAC we have opened up on in the eastern part of Virginia.

B
Bill Sutherland
Benchmark

Okay. So, that was the one that was added to the portfolio last year, okay.

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

Yes, we also I think have announced that we’ll open a new LTAC in ‘19 with one of our joint ventures in Florida.

B
Bill Sutherland
Benchmark

Okay. And, Marty on integration cost for U.S. HealthWorks, should there be any additional ones this quarter?

M
Martin Jackson

We think there will be additional integration cost over the next three quarters, Bill. I mean, our expectation as those integration cost shouldn’t exceed probably $5 million to $6 million, including the $2.3 million that I mentioned before that was already spent in the first quarter.

B
Bill Sutherland
Benchmark

Okay. And, then last for me. I wonder if you could go back to the commentary in the IRF, I’m sorry, in the adjusted EBITDA margin for LTAC for ‘17 without gains on closed hospitals, I’m not sure I understand the commentary means there?

M
Martin Jackson

Yes, if you take a look at the amount of - the difference in the hospital number between Q1 of ‘17 versus Q1 of ’18, we have closed 6 hospitals. And, those hospitals actually contributed positive EBITDA in the first quarter of ‘17. So, when you remove that - you actually had significant - you actually had some very nice growth on the same store basis.

B
Bill Sutherland
Benchmark

That makes sense, okay. Thanks guys.

M
Martin Jackson

Thanks, Bill.

Operator

Thank you. And, our next question comes from Kevin Fishbeck from Bank of America. Your line is now open.

K
Kevin Fishbeck
Bank of America

Great, thanks. I wanted to ask question on the physiotherapy turnaround, it wasn’t quite clear, I think when you guys first talked about turning that business around. You gave that 6 to 9 months turnaround at towards the end of last year. When you say 6 to 9 months, you’re talking about from the original 6 to 9 months; you’re saying that it’s still 6 to 9 months from today?

M
Martin Jackson

Yes, Kevin, we think it’s probably 6 to 9 months from today. I think we modified that the last earning’s call where we say - we thought it’s going to take 9 to 12 months. So, we’ve seen that come down from the last quarter when we’re saying, we think it’s 6 to 9 months. But we are seeing some nice improvements in many of the areas that we are focused on physio, and again we think that 6 to 9 months from now we will back on track.

K
Kevin Fishbeck
Bank of America

Okay. So, if you could just remind us what the remaining issues are right now to reaching the target margins?

M
Martin Jackson

It has to do with what we had talked about before which was, we lost a number of physiotherapist in certain markets. And, it’s really just replenishing those PTs that have good relationships with their referral sources. And, we continue to, as I said we continue to make progress there and see some nice traction.

K
Kevin Fishbeck
Bank of America

Okay. And, then I guess a little bit about the labor backdrop right now, I wasn’t sure if, it sounds like the LTAC cost were not really labor, broader labor issue is more kind of volume driven, I’m not sure physiotherapy labor on is a shortage issue or whether it’s just going to be one time specific to that business issue, but if you talk a little bit about your ability to hire or retain staff across your different business lines?

M
Martin Jackson

Yes, I think as it relates to the first quarter when we talk about the increase in the labor cost and really has to do with the substantial acceleration of our average daily census. And, having to immediately bring on nurses, so we could - basically take care of those patients. And, we’ve got an ongoing HR Program to recruit and bring on an onboard clinicians, but when you see that substantial jump as I mentioned a couple of hundred ADC, you really just can’t go through your standard HR Recruiting Program, you’ve got to make adjustments and that’s what we did.

K
Kevin Fishbeck
Bank of America

And, I guess, what’s the kind of the overall wage expectation for 2018?

M
Martin Jackson

I mean, expectation is, I think we build into our budget somewhere in that 3% to 3.5% increase on clinicians.

K
Kevin Fishbeck
Bank of America

Okay. And, then Concentra, the core growth there kind of X U.S. HealthWorks is pretty strong. Does that – business get helped by flu at all or is that kind of a good number to be thinking about the next few quarters?

M
Martin Jackson

For the most Concentra is really focused on worker entries, on the worker comp side.

K
Kevin Fishbeck
Bank of America

Okay. So, is there anything about the comp or I guess you talked about kind of 14% kind of core Concentra growth. Is that something that’s the way to think about the next few quarters?

M
Martin Jackson

We think that they did very, very well this quarter. I would not, I certainly don’t and I know Bob doesn’t assume that we are going to see 14% same quarter year-over-year growth on EBITDA line. I think what you’ve got to do is you’ve got to take a look at the second and third quarter were pretty strong last year so.

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

They have done a great job and they have exceeded our expectations and they’re performing very well. And, so the great momentum, but we don’t want to get ahead of ourselves in terms of where you can normalize all that.

K
Kevin Fishbeck
Bank of America

Okay. And, then just last question. Equity earnings, I think, was down year-over-year what was that related to?

M
Martin Jackson

This is really the unconsolidated entities that we have including our Baylor and Emory they were down a little bit on a year-over-year same quarter basis and that’s really reflected in that number.

K
Kevin Fishbeck
Bank of America

Is that because like kind of staff losses or anything that you would point to or just a little bit weaker?

M
Martin Jackson

Just a little bit weaker, just a little bit weaker.

K
Kevin Fishbeck
Bank of America

Okay. Thank you.

M
Martin Jackson

Thanks, Kevin.

Operator

Thank you. And, that concludes today’s Q&A session. I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Ortenzio for any closing remarks.

R
Robert Ortenzio
Executive Chairman and Co-founder

No closing remarks. Thanks everybody for joining us.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today’s conference. This concludes today’s program. You may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day.