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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.
Thank you, everybody, for joining us and welcome to SL Green Realty Corp's Second Quarter 2018 Earnings Results Conference Call. This conference call is being recorded.
At this time, the company would like to remind listeners that during the call, management may make forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ from the forward-looking statements that management may make today. Additional information regarding the factors that could cause such differences appear in the MD&A section of the company's Form 10-K and other reports filed by the company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Also, during today's conference call, the company may discuss non-GAAP financial measures as defined by SEC Regulation G. The GAAP financial measure most directly comparable to each non-GAAP financial measure discussed and the reconciliation of the differences between each non-GAAP financial measure and the comparable GAAP financial measure can be found on the company's website at www.slgreen.com by selecting the press release regarding the company's second quarter 2018 earnings.
Before turning the call over to Marc Holliday, Chief Executive Officer of SL Green Realty Corp, I ask that those of you participating in the Q&A portion of the call, please limit your questions to two per person. Thank you.
I will now turn the call over to Marc Holliday. Please go ahead, Marc.
Okay. Thank you, everyone for joining us for SL Green’s second quarter 2018 earnings call. As I believe was evident from our reported results last night, we are off to another very good start to the first half of this year and it was an excellent second quarter. So it was similar in many respects to our first quarter, where our results were pretty much in line with expectations and guidance, but once again in line, that term in line I think materially understate the extraordinary effort and execution that went into producing these results and going into the kinds of results we produce quarter-over-quarter, year over year.
A lot goes into it to get to summarize into 8 to 10 bullet points, but we'd be happy today as part of the Q&A section to talk about each of these individual items that make up what I think a quarter that was very much in line with our prior guidance and talk about the kinds of activities we see in the third quarter that will continue to help us achieve our goals.
Notably, in this quarter, we had 71 leases signed in New York City and the suburbs covering more than 570,000 rentable square feet of office space. We closed or contracted for seven discrete property dispositions, representing a gross aggregate asset value of over $1.5 billion. We acquired the leasehold interest in 2 Herald Square, following foreclosure of the asset, a foreclosure that was consummated in under a year's time from start to finish. We originated or acquired $541 million of new debt and preferred equity investments, deals that were originated during the quarter at a retained yield of about 9.5% on average between mortgage and mezz.
There was also substantial construction and leasing progress at One Vanderbilt. We’ll talk a little bit about that later. And notably and obviously a continuation of our share repurchase program totaling an additional 3.5 million acquired in the second quarter alone. So all-in-all, I think a very respectable three months for the company and it should be obvious that most here have not yet begun to take the summer holidays. So maybe after the call. But at its core, our business strategy remains unchanged.
Property dispositions and joint ventures to fund targeted acquisitions and the largest stock buyback program in the commercial REIT sector and we do this in a way that is predominately leverage neutral and we do it in a way that maintains our liquidity in the range of $1.5 billion to $2 billion. So that while we’re pursuing the strategy of growth and accretion and optimization, we’re also doing so in a way that is very protective of the balance sheet.
The capital market environment for the strategy remains favorable, as private sector values remain well above the implied net asset value of the company and we have been able to execute this program in a tax efficient manner, thus far avoiding the need for any special dividends. You should expect to see a continuation of this program in the third quarter, as we have already identified additional assets for disposition in the suburban and Manhattan portfolios and we still believe that the repurchasing of our shares at current prices to be the best large scale investment opportunity that we are presented with.
Also of note, leasing velocity accelerated in the second quarter, both in the market and in our own portfolio and this was consistent with our expectations and puts us on track to meet or exceed our leasing goal for the year, notably the current pipeline stands at 1.3 million square feet and this is pipeline that is roughly consistent with the pipeline as it stood in the last quarter, notwithstanding 540,000 square feet of space leased in just Manhattan in the second quarter.
So the business narrative in New York City right now, the narrative amongst businesses and amongst our tenants is fairly positive and we see a lot of activity and expansion taking place in the market. This activity has not yet resulted in any observable spike in rents, but concessions do seem to be leveling and we are making substantial gains in leasing up our previously vacant space, as is evident by the 40 basis point improvement in our occupancy.
I’ll save any further market commentary for the Q&A portion of the call as it relates to the leasing market or the property investment market. But before opening up the lines for those questions, I do want to state how absolutely pleased I am with the progress at One Vanderbilt. Construction continues at pace and as I’ve alluded to in the past, the prior gains we've made in scheduling now has been solidified as the completion date under our GMP contract for the project has been moved up by five weeks from September 30, 2020 to August 25, 2020, a date where the building will be open just a little over two years from today.
So, very exciting and credit goes to our entire construction team and staff that has carefully coordinated every facet of the job and the 500 plus hardworking men and women that are on the site day after day, moving this project along at a pace that even exceeded our ambitious timeline at the outset.
If you haven't already seen the progress, I would encourage you to stop by next week and view the first installation of what will be over 8140 panels of [indiscernible] curtain wall, it’s going to be extraordinarily impressive as we begin to apply the curtain wall to the building and leasing as you know from prior announcements now stands at about 31% pre-leased with this quarter’s announcement of the McDermott Will lease and we expect to have additional announcements between now and December, as we continue to actively market and negotiate with tenants for additional space at the building.
So with that, I'd like to go right into Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Craig Mailman with KeyBanc Capital.
Just curious there have been some news reports about interest in 245 Park, just curious if you could comment at all about your interest levels, either from an equity position or deposition.
Unfortunately, we can't comment too much on that particular project. We have talked about 245 Park I think on prior calls in response to questions, in terms of the quality of the asset, location of the asset and what we perceive as an upside in that asset must be one that could benefit pretty substantially from a moderate redevelopment, sort of playing off the heels of the success we've enjoyed at 280 Park and in line with the other construction and redevelopment improvement that's taking place on park and buildings like 425 Park that announced to be new world headquarters for JP Morgan and obviously just a few blocks north of One Vanderbilt.
So, the building itself is a very substantial building, at least about 1.7 million or 1.8 million rentable square feet located in an extraordinary location, right at the base of Park Avenue near Grand Central and that asset is something that we've followed very closely, underwritten carefully and in the second quarter, made a phase one investment. That basically is a structured finance investment, it’s in the DPE Portfolio. It gives rise I guess to what you might see as a tick up in the DPE portfolio in the month -- in the quarter that just finished. And that's really where we stand at this point. We already had an existing mezzanine investment in that project and we've stated that earlier. So, really this was in addition to that previous investment and where we go from here is part of a Phase 2 and something that may be more equity like I think is yet to be seen and something that we may be able to comment on future calls.
And then just curious, as a second question, you had mentioned you guys have been pretty tax efficient so far funding the buyback to sales. Just curious about what you guys have kind of in a till here, if you guys still – what kind of cushion you have left to continue to sell assets, fund the buyback without any tax implications?
It’s Matt. As part of the kind of five primary criteria to fund buybacks thus far have been very tax efficient, not requiring any special dividends, using a lot of tax protections and strategies to create that and plan to do so for the next 500 as well as to how much is left. I mean, there's a whole host of things that goes into that. There's not a number that I’m going to quantify for you to say how much tax efficiency we have left, except to say that we certainly have a plan for the next 500 to be tax efficient and there is certainly room for much more, but how we go about doing that is part of a multi-faceted exercise and evaluating the assets, the funding, the returns, the liquidity, the leverage, the earnings and tax efficiency.
And our next question comes from the line of Manny Korchman with Citi.
It’s Michael Bilerman here with Manny. I just had a question on the debt and preferred equity originations you did in the quarter. Who wants to talk about it, but can you just give a little bit more color on sort of the number of transactions, the type of the transactions, were they refis or sales, the type of borrowers and just sort of, give a little bit more detail about, because it was a pretty big origination quarter, so just trying to get a little bit more color around it.
Sure. I think Marc highlighted obviously that an additional investment in 245 Park was part of the activity in the quarter and then we additionally had a large structured deal we did where we originated a mortgage and mezzanine position and then we'll probably ultimately sell a piece of that mortgage, but for now, we still have it on our balance sheet. Across sectors, office and really multi-family and we haven't really changed any of our underwriting criteria. It's kind of standard for our structured finance book.
And Andrew, how do you think that’s going to go through year end in terms of repayments that you're expecting versus what's in the pipeline now from an origination standpoint, where does this DP book sit at the end of the year?
Michael, it's Matt. So this is the high watermark for the year. As we provided guidance back in December, we said overall the balance would be down, average and absolute. This will come down over the balance of the year, just looking out over the next quarter, I'm looking at north of $400 million of repayments, with very little incremental origination to offset that. So definitely the high watermark of the year, consistent with how we planned for the year to go, because the originations ebb and flow and repayments are a little less predictable, but that balance will come down over the balance of the year.
So [indiscernible] and selling down positions that you originated this quarter, we could be in the $1.5 billion range by the end of the year?
That's really low. I wouldn't go that low, but down year-over-year is our expectation and we are maintaining that.
I thought we have guidance. This is the guidance on this. It’s down 100. So we’re not changing guidance right at this moment. So, I would say, the best proxy if you're trying to look at what we've -- how we think about it through the end of the year would be last year's balance minus 100, it's a living breathing portfolio and it's a lot of activity, so you can't be that specific, but that that's a very good estimate.
And our next question comes from the line of John Kim with BMO Capital Markets.
Your leverage today is above nine times net debt to EBITDA if you include a portion of that. And presumably this will be going higher with One Vanderbilt, your buyback at 245 Park Avenue. So can you remind us what leverage levels you’re comfortable with and how this compares to the target of 7 times, which is defined by Fitch or maybe calculated differently?
John, it’s Matt. So we are at 6.8 as against our 7.0 goal on Fitch’s math. That is the balance sheet leverage, including off balance sheet, we are at 8.8, so two times higher, factoring the sales we just closed and on an LTV basis, we are exactly neutral in the low-40s and our expectation is, over the balance of the year, ex One Vanderbilt, that stays flat to even down based on growth in EBITDA. So I’m sure leverage is affected by a large scale project going on where you have no EBITDA, but the underpinning of our share buyback program of being leverage neutral certainly on an LTV basis is maintained.
So the main difference with Fitch is they exclude development CapEx as well as, they only look at balance sheet?
Well, most of the rating agencies use balance sheet, not off balance sheet. They all calculate it differently. So one of the greatest or one of the hundred flaws with debt to EBITDA is everybody calculates it differently. So we use one of the three agencies as the standard, but they have a calculation that includes certain things, excludes certain things that maybe other rating agencies or other equity investors don't, but we had to create some standards so as not to create just our own math.
And then with the sale of the 724 Fifth Avenue, is this a one-off transaction or do you expect to sell more of your retail assets?
Well, we've sold some retail. So I don’t know about one-off. I think we showed a slide in December that showed over $2 billion of sales in the retail portfolio. And this is a continuation where we buy opportunistically, we stabilize and then depending on sort of the growth profile of the asset, we’ll look to exit.
And our next question comes from the line of Alexander Goldfarb with Sandler O'Neill.
Two questions. First, just going on your JV side at Worldwide Plaza, your partner in New York REIT just had it, well the CEO Wendy just left. So curious if that changes anything as far as the partnership goes or strategy for the building or this means that New York REIT may accelerate their sale and if that -- if you guys have any view of whether you'd increase your ownership or you’d say as it?
Well, I think the only thing we can comment on -- only thing we know is that Wendy has moved on. Will be -- we had been dealing with this investment, both with Wendy and at a board level. So I think there is some continuity there and there were colleagues of Wendy who were with us every step of the way of underwriting and making the deal who are still with the company and I guess will continue to be our counterpoints, adding variety for the asset. So we and RXR, we operate, we lease, we handle all the day-to-day management and activities of the building.
So in that regard, there's no change at a building lever. We have a mid-term plan, about a three year plan of making certain improvements of the building, capitalizing on some near-term leasing opportunities, which includes some recapture of space, which actually has been going on this year. On a smaller scale, the bigger opportunity out there is to focus in with [indiscernible] on their lease role, but that's not until 2024.
And there's also some opportunity to upgrade retail, which we're working on with RXR along 9th Avenue Frontage. So all of that is sort of in the works. We look at that as kind of a three-ish year business plan at which point, we'll reevaluate the building at that point. So I don't think anything has changed there. As far as what NYRT, what their intentions are with the interest they own, that's not something we can shed any light on.
Okay. And then the second question is for Matt. Matt, just curious if you've sort of framework for what you think the change in FASB accounting for internal leasing cost is going to have on you guys for next year or maybe the way you guys do it already, you already expensed it, so it’s not an impact.
Yeah. I hate to announce it on the call, but we’re going to Steve and his entire group, so we’re not going to take any other charge for that. We are going through the process right now of evaluating the impacts and alternatives. I don't view the impact to be meaningful. There will be an impact of course because you can't avoid it entirely, but there are strategies to mitigate it and we’re working through those right now.
And our next question comes from the line of Jamie Feldman with Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Marc, I want to go back to your comments on rent and concessions and just hoping you can provide a little bit more color or maybe Steve provide more color on were our rents rising in any types of assets right now, any submarkets are declining. And the same thing with concessions, like is there a way to dig a little bit deeper into the types of assets or submarkets that might be different than the overall market trends?
It's very hard to go through, whether it's submarket by submarket, building by building. A rent that's coming up for renewal, whether there will be a large mark to market or not because it depends what vintage year the lease was signed. I think that, in general and we can talk about some specific submarkets and Steve can do that. But in general, we can take our pulse from the vibe we get from our tenant base. And remember, we have almost 1000 tenants in the New York City, maybe more and it covers the entire gamut of industries and sectors.
And we are -- since this is our only market, I would say we cover this tenant pace as good or better than any recovers the tenant base, because we are in front of them 365 days a year, management wise, leasing wise, marketing wise, early renewal wise. And Andrew and I meet with them and we get a sense of the level of business optimism that's out there in terms of expectations of growth in revenues, expansion, M&A activity, et cetera. And I would say and what I said in my comments was that that sentiment right now is really fairly positive.
We see -- we're dealing a lot right now in a portfolio that doesn't have that much vacancy, trying to create space in buildings to accommodate the needs of tenants that want to consolidate or want to grow and we're only in midtown, Jamie. So, that commentary is really condensed into submarkets that would include 3rd avenue for sure, Grand Central Park certainly, 5th and 6th avenue, we have a big presence. I can't really differentiate submarket to submarket.
I’d say it's fairly consistent and it's evidenced by a couple of things. One, I'm looking at a CBR report in front of me where the headline is highest mid-year leasing activity since 2015. So that's a fairly positive commentary from midtown Manhattan, strongest quarter of leasing activity since ’15, exceeding 5 million feet and it's almost 10 million feet for the half year, which if you extrapolate would be 20 million feet for the full year, which would almost be a record year. So clearly, the velocity is there.
And the rents, which is one of the two projects primes you asked about, the rents we see, affirming of rents, but we don't see we’ll call a spike. So we're moving rents where we can, but I think we're moving them responsibly. We’re maintaining a mark to market, which right now I think for the first half of the year is averaged about 7% or in that range, which is within the range that we wanted. We'd like to see it higher, but it's solid and it's right where we would have expected it to be and it's a result of fairly significant amount of demand, not only that’s taken place in the first year, but also was in the pipeline.
We have pretty good visibility into the leasing for the next six months, both in our portfolio and the market and it should be, this will end up being quite a good year in the leasing market with concessions that have generally leveled off. And Steve can give a little more insight as to where are they dropping and where might they still be rising. And once that are affirmed and rising a touch, what I had said previously is in the second half of the year, hopefully, we can start to push those rents and see the market respond to a tightening and all of this is not withstanding the additional inventory, Manhattan West and Hudson yards.
We've always said that there's enough employment growth in this market and we only have the numbers through May. June numbers are actually coming out for New York City ironically. But through May, the employment growth was very good, very much on track and that's driving this demand. I think his level of optimism, notwithstanding, what we hear out there in terms of reasons to be nervous, you want to be nervous in a macro sense, but in our micro New York City economy, everything is pretty much operating at full tilt.
So Steve, I would see if you want to add to that.
I would add a couple more data points just to reinforce what Marc is saying, which is Midtown is really the big part of the leasing story this year. We said in the last earnings call, where within midtown, last year, it was about the leasing that was taking place in the Far West of the Hudson yards and the Manhattan West. This year, it’s all really focused back to Midtown core and within that Grand Central Terminal Park Avenue and 6th Avenue have been the dominant beneficiaries of the. Grand Central, in particular, which has been 52% of the leasing activity year to date.
So contrast that to last year and we've seen over 2 million square feet of positive absorption this year in Midtown. So the fundamentals of the market are very strong. And we're seeing to the extent that we see, rent appreciation, it's been more, I think it's been more on the lower end of the price point spectrum. There is continued strong demand for high quality product, but it doesn't feel like that rental rate has been increasing. It feels like, to the extent there's been rental rate appreciation, that's been at the lower end of the spectrum.
And then I guess on the concessions side, you said a lot of that didn’t come in at all and is it more on the free rent or constructions cost side, or GI side?
I think tenants are more willing to -- I think they’re less willing to sacrifice concessions as opposed to pay a little more rent. There are still a few landlords that are out there that are with outsized concessions that are buying deals and it skews people's perspective of the market.
And our next question comes from the line of John Guinee with Stifel.
Hey, Matt, can you give us the other 99 flaws to net debt to EBITDA.
Yeah. I’ll write them all down. I’ll distribute them in an email. No problem.
And talk a little bit about what it costs to build new product these days in the core of Manhattan around One Vande and the Plaza district versus what you think it might cost at Hudson Yards.
Well, are you excluding land?
All land. To the extent you guys have that kind of number at your fingertips, if you don’t, it’s not a big deal.
I think exclusive of land, it's probably 1200 or further so, wherever you’re building it to get to finish phase and then obviously land is far more valuable in Midtown East than it as in the West side of Manhattan. So you have to adjust, but there is no difference appreciably in construction cost between east and west and south.
Yeah. And I would – the 1200 a foot, everybody defines it differently. We like to be very comprehensive when we give a number. That's everything. I mean, that's hard, soft, tenant improvements, marketing, deficit ops, leasing conditions, everything. So that’s we think the right way to look at it. The actual hard cost or physical construction might be in the $600, $700, $800 foot range, but that's not a meaningful answer and at least we don't think. So, to deliver soup to nuts, that's probably the number and you gave you.
Land cost could be anywhere from three to, I don't know, $800 a foot on top of that. So you’re looking at sort of all in 1500, 2000 a foot in that range and One Vande falls right within that range. That's probably as good a proxy as any and the only real variable if you will from location to location will be the link component.
And then second question, third question after net debt to EBITDA. Have you formulated any plans for One Madison Avenue, the big credit space?
Yes. We have fairly exciting plans that have been formulated with much of that having crystallized in our minds and in our plans over the past three to five months and we're looking forward to unveiling glimpses of what that will look like and what our strategy is in December. But even though, we probably won't elaborate in much detail until then, we have a fairly comprehensive and set plan as we sit here today.
And our next question comes from the line of Michael Lewis with SunTrust.
I wanted to ask about street retail, both in terms of fundamentals. What you're seeing? And then also kind of more strategically, I know you answered a question about obviously some sales you've done and maybe some opportunistic buys, you’re always looking for, but is there any thought to kind of changing your exposure to street retailer or would that be kind of a knee jerk reaction?
We had a very active leasing quarter on the retail side. I mean, we signed Cody at 719 7th, which was the kind of credit timing we were looking for, for that asset. And we signed PUMA at 609 5th avenue in the largest deal to be done on 5th Avenue in sometimes. So we're getting, we feel, more than our fair share of tenancy and in terms of the percentage of retail as a percentage of our gross or our net, I think we're fairly comfortable with that number. We've been continuing to maintain or reduce that percentage over time as I answered to the earlier question. And as we sit today, we’re having some exciting retail conversations on 2 Herald, we have a lot of activity in other retail areas of our portfolio. We still view it is a business we are active in and want to continue to be a first mover in for sure.
We also see some opportunity coming out of that sector. I mean, as the question was asked before about the sale of 724 5th and the redemption of 720, Andrew referenced $2 billion of other sales over the past few years, but while that’s taking place, you have things like 2 Herald and we would expect imminently to announce another small deal on the Upper East Side, retail, residential, just sort of things that would be an outgrowth of a market in which is going through change, going through some dislocation and repricing and whenever you have that, you have a – you sort of have a period of paralysis if you will and then an inertia and then once you get past that, that usually then the next phase of that usually represents opportunity.
And I would hope and think we’ll be best positioned selectively. I don't think in any kind of large scale and certainly nothing that will materially alter the percentage of retail we own in the portfolio. But it's, for us, it's not about percent of retail, it's about the profitability of what we own, trying to move out of mature investments and move into value add investments where we can continue to push earnings, value creation and the like.
My second question maybe for Matt. I realized guidance was left unchanged. I wanted to ask a little about the components of guidance. Maybe more dispositions obviously, maybe more buybacks than you’ve planned at the beginning of the year. I was just curious if there's any other components that are kind of moving, it looks like G&A is running pretty well versus your original guidance. Is there anything else kind of worth talking about?
No. I mean you hit on the things that are, if there are any real variances or variables, I should say, that’s them. But the sales, we've talked about a buyback program that is earnings friendly. And so the next leg of the buyback program, the 500 is engineered to be that way as well. It is more than we expected to do when we came out with our initial guidance, but it keeps us within the range, based on how much we expect to do and how we expect to fund that. G&A, yes, running ahead of our expectations. That's a good thing. And the other ins and outs, whether it be the debt portfolio, interest expense basically wash themselves out. So keeping us right in our range.
And our next question comes from the line of Blaine Heck with Wells Fargo.
Steve, just on One Vanderbilt, you guys got a nice lease there this quarter and I know you talked about the bulk of leasing coming in late 2018 and 2019, but can you just give us an update on the pipeline there, maybe the number of prospects and the aggregate square footage of deals you guys are kind of actively working on.
We have four active proposals that we’re discussing with prospective tenants. We've got at least two more that we think are prospective tenants who are diligencing the building. We think they're likely to submit RFPs to us, whether we land any of those tenants is too early to really tell. But based upon the amount of tours, the amount of presentations, the enthusiasm for the brokers’ community, the reception that we're getting from prospective tenants, we are very confident that we're on plan, if not ahead of plan.
And then Matt, just following up on the guidance question. I think your original guidance for other income was around 24 million. You guys have done 28 million thus far this year. Can you just give a little color on what’s being included in that number in driving it higher than expected and maybe your outlook for the rest of the year?
Sure. It's actually not ahead of our expectation. So let’s so its classification of items on the face of the income statement. We present our guidance for other income, net of the expense for our service corp, which actually runs through operating expenses on the face of the income statement. So all in all, as I look after the, excuse me, the balance of the year, I expect to be within a few million dollars of our original guidance. So it's really just a classification issue.
As for the quarter, the biggest item in the other income line item on the face to the income statement are about $6 million of tax refunds we got up in the suburbs. Those were large part in our guidance. It’s just a matter of timing. We didn't have them all baked into the second quarter, but that’s when they rolled through, but all in all, largely on track with our full year other income guidance.
And our next question comes from the line of Steve Sakwa with Evercore.
Marc, I guess you quickly touched on the kind of the One Madison and I guess my question really related to kind of the Credit Suisse lease in 2020 and the Ralph Lauren lease in 2019, are there any kind of comments you can make about those two large expirations?
Well, Credit Suisse lease is up in 2020 and we have a very robust redevelopment and development plan for that building that, as I mentioned earlier, we're going to go into a deep dive on, on probably in December when we get to some real time to meet with everyone and present some visual. So in terms of status of lease, what exactly do you mean by status of lease? They’re in through 2020. Do you mean, are we going to be taking back the lease early?
Well, I just didn’t know what they were renewing for a piece of it, if they were going to give you back all of that, if that was going to completely vacate. I was just looking for a sense for some portion of how much they may stay?
I was never – the plan and again I just wonder, because – I want to make sure it gets, it’s looked at the right way. This building is a 100% redevelopment and development candidate, so that a renewal of the lease or a portion is not -- was never expected nor is expected, nor do I think it's really physically possible. So, the commencement of that work will begin in 2021.
If your question was earlier and by making some kind of deal with CS, that’s to be seen, but that not a now moment.
But, this building, in our opinion, is sort of the next great, not good, but very great opportunity within this portfolio to create extraordinary value in a part of the market that today has the lowest vacancy rates and is achieving the highest rents and we want to deliver a product that is both -- appeals to the tenant base that wants to be what really, I would say is the best sub market in the USA right now. This Midtown submarket, certainly in New York City by far.
And then make sure we have the right tenant who can create the kind of excitement and pay the kind of rents that are consistent with that level of development. So, the CS lease is not really a part of that exercise per se. I can't say whether they'll be the tenant or not. I guess that's possible, but before you get to that juncture, there is – there will be a couple of years of physical work to do with that building. So -- and we've talked about that and that's still the path we're on. There's no change in path there.
Okay. So just to be clear, we should assume that that building basically goes dark, the rent goes away and you commence some sort of large rescale redevelopment project that takes several years to unfold?
For sure. Yeah. The lease is up December 2020. So starting 2021, for sure and remember, we don’t want to sort of preempt, but the major value paradigm here is, there's somewhere between 250,000 and 450,000 square feet of unused -- and a bulk of that it as of air rights that can be used on a building which was built as a podium. So, I think the best we can say is let’s table that conversation for a few months and we'll have more to come on that, but this will be a very exciting redevelopment, not only for the company, but I think for New York City.
And then on 625, I would say it's too early to comment on any conversations ongoing there.
[Operator Instructions] And we have a follow-up question from the line of Jamie Feldman with Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Can you just provide more color to 2 Herald Square and the JV that you guys announced there and just kind of leasing challenges or leasing plans there.
Well, it's Matt. So Andrew alluded to leasing progress over there on all fronts up to the retail side, as to the JV, we expect a JV in financing later in the year. We will provide more details at that time. It will be a little bit premature to go out with that at this point, but a JV in financing, our expectations in the second half of the year.
Thank you. And that concludes our question-and-answer session for today. So with that said, I'd like to turn the call back over to CEO, Mr. Marc Holliday for closing remarks.
Okay. Thank you, everyone and we're back to work everybody.
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude the program and you may all disconnect. Everyone, have a wonderful day.