TrueBlue Inc
NYSE:TBI
Earnings Call Analysis
Q4-2023 Analysis
TrueBlue Inc
In the face of economic uncertainty and a 12% year-over-year revenue decline to $492 million, the company is maneuvering through challenging market conditions with flexibility and thoroughness. Even as business spending tightens and hiring trends are impacted, the company remains adaptive, concentrating on service excellence and growing sales. As part of their strategy to optimize during this period, they are capitalizing on their flexible staffing solutions and targeting expansion in promising sectors like renewable energy and skilled trades.
As part of its response to the market downturn, the company has deepened its commitment to digital transformation, a strategic move evidenced by the rollout of their new proprietary JobStack app. This digital tool represents a milestone in efficiency and customer experience, and is part of the ongoing efforts to strengthen the company's market position. Moreover, the sale of the on-demand labor business in Canada allows for an increased focus on U.S. operations and serves as a lever to enhance long-term, profitable growth.
The company has actively managed expenses, demonstrated by an 8% decrease in SG&A costs, helping to mitigate revenue declines on comparable bases. Gross margin for the quarter fell slightly to 26.1%, affected by a shift towards renewable energy work with lower gross margins due to higher pass-through costs, alongside a decline in higher-margin business sectors like PeopleScout. Despite a net loss of $3 million versus a net income of $7 million the previous year, the company remains proactive about cost control and maintaining operational strength for the anticipated market rebound.
With a robust balance sheet, characterized by no debt and substantial cash and borrowing availability, the company is in a strong position to navigate and grow. Looking ahead to the first quarter of 2024, they brace for a revenue decline of 16% to 10%, a slight improvement from the previous quarter. Changes in business mix and other non-recurring factors are expected to depress gross margin by roughly 200 basis points. The cost structure has been adjusted to weather this decline and bolster margins as the year progresses.
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Greetings and welcome to the TrueBlue Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.At this time, I want to remind everyone that today's call and slide presentation contain forward-looking statements, all of which are subject to risks and uncertainties, and management assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties, some of which are described in today's press release and SEC filings, could cause actual results to differ materially from those in forward-looking statements.Management uses non-GAAP measures when presenting financial results. You are encouraged to review the non-GAAP reconciliations in today's earnings release, or at trueblue.com under the investor relations section, for a complete understanding of these terms, and their purpose.Any comparisons made today are based on a comparison to the same period in the prior year, unless otherwise stated. Lastly, a copy of the company's prepared remarks will be provided on TrueBlue's investor website at the conclusion of today's call, and a full transcript and audio replay will be available soon after the call.It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Taryn Owen, President and Chief Executive Officer.
Thank you, operator, and welcome, everyone to today's call. I am joined by our Chief Financial Officer, Carl Schweihs. We appreciate you being here with us.The economic environment that we, and many of our customers are operating in continues to be challenging. Uncertainty led to a greater focus on reducing costs, leading many companies to ask for more from their internal teams to be more selective in the temporary and full-time positions they choose to fill. These dynamics resulted in reduced market demand across the staffing industry.Revenue for the quarter was $492 million, down 12% compared to the prior year as economic uncertainty persisted, constraining business spend and impacting hiring trends. We are managing through this market cycle with agility and discipline, meeting our clients' current needs and ensuring we are favorably positioned to capitalize on opportunities as conditions improve.Our teams are highly focused on growing sales, providing excellent service and responding to our clients' immediate and evolving needs. As companies hesitate to make long-term workforce commitments, we are leveraging our short duration and flexible offerings to satisfy current needs and ensure we are ready to support clients as their needs change or expand. Additionally, we continue to seek opportunities in high-growth and attractive end markets with targeted expansion in areas such as renewable energy and skilled trades.While most sectors reflect softened demand, the long-term staffing outlook remains positive. We are well positioned to fill some of the structural staffing shortages we see as Baby Boomers retire, work from home trends continue and shortages in skilled trades expand. We understand the current market dynamics and the needs of our customers, and we also understand the urgency to see improvement in our results. We are committed to maintaining a dialogue with you and providing transparency about our efforts and progress.As we enter 2024, we are laser-focused on leveraging our inherent strengths to capture market share and managing our cost structure with discipline to enhance our long-term profitability.One of the core components of this strategy is positioning our contingent staffing business to compete in a digital forward future. We continue to advance the digital transformation of our business, positioning us to drive efficiencies and expand our reach through a differentiated experience that combines our technology with our expansive market presence and expertise.We recently achieved a significant milestone with the initial launch of our new, proprietary JobStack app. This new version of the platform allows us to control our road map, implement competitive enhancements and quickly address evolving user needs. We are excited to continue the roll-out of this technology over the next year as acceleration of our digital transformation remains a key strategic priority to strengthen our market position.Another key strategic priority is our expansion in high-growth, less cyclical and underpenetrated end markets to capitalize on secular growth opportunities. We already have a proven track record of success with renewable energy work and a strong position to capture further growth opportunities in that market. We also see an opportunity to explore ways to expand our presence in other key end markets such as skilled trades, healthcare and hospitality. Within RPO, we are focusing our efforts towards diversifying into higher skill placements and more specialized product offerings in attractive verticals like healthcare.An important element of this plan is enhanced focus and profitability through a simplified organizational structure. While we will continue to go to market under our current, well-established brands, streamlining our organization will create opportunities to drive efficiencies and bring our teams closer to our clients and associates, enabling greater focus on operational excellence, cross-selling and innovation.We have already made strides in this area with the sale of our on-demand labor business in Canada, which allows increased focus on our U.S. operations where we are an industry leader. With a more focused structure, we will be better able to reduce costs and leverage our strengths and assets to deliver long-term, profitable growth.While today's operating environment continues to present challenges, we are energized by the evolution in workforce needs that plays to our strengths and creates compelling long-term opportunities for our business. This optimism is evident in the broad insider buying of company shares on the part of management and the Board during the fourth quarter. We have clear strategic priorities that we are confident will help us capitalize on the growth opportunities ahead, enhance shareholder value and advance our mission to connect people and work.Building on our tremendous strengths and assets, our people, our tools, our experience and our market presence, we are committed to execute with the discipline and focus it will take to return to profitable growth.I will now pass the call over to Carl, who will share further details around our financial results and outlook.
Thank you, Taryn. On a comparable 13 week basis, revenue was down 15% and at the high end of our outlook due to strong performance in renewable energy work. Our fiscal fourth quarter included an extra 14th week versus the 13 weeks in the prior year period, adding incremental revenue of $20 million and driving reported revenue for the quarter of $492 million or a decline of 12%.Renewable energy work more than doubled, delivering its sixth straight quarter of revenue growth. Strength in this vertical helped to offset overall softness in market demand as economic uncertainty continues to weigh on businesses, driving greater focus on cost cutting and restricting hiring trends. While the tight labor market emphasizes the importance of retaining talent, cost pressures are causing businesses to ask more from their teams and be more selective in the positions they fill, leading to lower overall demand in the staffing market.Gross margin was 26.1% for the quarter, down 40 basis points. The decline was driven by unfavorable revenue mix due to the increase in PeopleReady's renewable energy work, which carries a lower gross margin than the general on-demand business due to more pass-through travel costs, as well as a decline in the revenue mix of our highest margin business, PeopleScout. These factors were partially offset by disciplined pricing in our PeopleReady business, which delivered its 11th consecutive quarter of positive spread between bill and pay rate inflation.We were able to reduce SG&A by 8% on a comparable 13 week basis with the extra 14th week contributing $7 million of additional expense, resulting in a reported decline of 3% for the quarter. We adjusted our cost structure to better align with client demand, and we remain focused on managing costs to enhance our profitability. These actions are balanced with maintaining our operational strengths to ensure we are well positioned for the rebound.We reported a net loss of $3 million for this quarter versus net income of $7 million last year. Included in our results for the quarter are $3 million of costs associated with our executive leadership transitions and an income tax benefit of $5 million due to the favorable impact of job tax credits. Adjusted net income was $3 million versus $13 million last year, while adjusted EBITDA declined to $5 million versus $21 million last year.Now, let's turn to the specifics of our segments. PeopleReady revenue decreased 9%, while segment profit decreased 65%, and segment profit margin was down 430 basis points. On a comparable 13 week basis, revenue decreased 13% with the extra week adding incremental revenue of $12 million. As we've mentioned, our renewable energy work outperformed this quarter, growing 126% and partially offsetting the general decline in market demand. Client volumes declined across most verticals, with the largest being in retail, hospitality and service industries.From a margin perspective, the contraction was largely driven by lower operating leverage as revenue declined, as well as increased revenue mix from renewable energy work, which includes more pass-through costs. These factors were partially offset by disciplined pricing, which delivered another quarter of favorable spread between bill and pay rate inflation, with bill rates up 8%, and pay rates up 7%.PeopleScout revenue decreased 31%, while segment profit increased 16%, and segment profit margin was up 260 basis points. On a comparable 13 week basis, revenue declined 32%, with the extra week adding incremental revenue of $1 million. The decline in demand was driven by lower client volumes as businesses continue to navigate in an uncertain environment. Clients are being more selective to the roles in which they choose to fill, with some implementing hiring freezes and others adopting elongated hiring processes.As businesses see less churn in their employee base and remain uncertain around their workforce needs, hiring volumes have declined to a level where some are relying more heavily on internal resources to fill jobs. While the decline in revenue resulted in lower operating leverage, PeopleScout's segment profit margin expanded due to cost actions taken this year as well as the revenue reserve adjustment recorded last year.PeopleManagement revenue decreased 8%, while segment profit decreased 33%, and the segment profit margin was down 70 basis points. On a comparable 13 week basis, revenue decreased 13% with the extra week adding incremental revenue of $8 million. Demand declined in both on-site and commercial driving services, consistent with the macro conditions evident in the verticals we serve, such as retail and transportation. The margin contraction was driven by lower operating leverage as revenue declined.Now, let's turn to the balance sheet. We finished the quarter with no debt, $62 million in cash and over $80 million of borrowing availability. With the recent renewal of our 5 year credit facility effective February 9, we have increased our borrowing availability to roughly $140 million. Our balance sheet is in excellent shape, providing a strong liquidity position and great flexibility to support future growth opportunities.Turning to our outlook for the first quarter of 2024, we expect a revenue decline of 16% to 10%. While this reflects an improvement to the comparable decline in Q4, it's primarily driven by a less challenging prior year comparison as current market conditions are expected to continue into the first quarter. We expect gross margin to be down roughly 200 basis points due to the changes in business mix with continued strength expected in renewable energy work as well as prior year workers' compensation reserve adjustments that are not expected to repeat.While we expect lower operating leverage with the revenue decline in Q1, our lean cost structure will drive improved margins as we move through the year. It is important to note that Q1 is seasonally our lowest revenue quarter, which creates a more pronounced impact on year-over-year profitability relative to other quarters. Our effective tax rate is highly sensitive in periods of low profitability where tax credits can drive significant movement. We expect a statutory income tax rate before job tax credits of 24% to 28% for the year with job tax credits of $5 million to $9 million.Additional information on our outlook can be found in the earnings presentation shared on our website today.Before we open the call for questions, I want to turn it back over to Taryn for some closing remarks.
Thank you, Carl. Before we wrap up, I want to reiterate that while current market conditions are challenging, we are taking decisive actions to preserve and enhance our strengths to deliver long-term value. We are entering 2024 with a strong balance sheet and clear strategic priorities, positioning us well to capitalize on growth opportunities and capture market share as conditions improve. We are confident that these strategic priorities, combined with our many strengths and assets, will enable us to advance our mission to connect people and work while delivering long-term value.This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, please open the call now for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets.
I wanted to focus on your outlook for the first quarter. Is it possible to get a little bit more color on the revenue side by your different segments?
Yes. Thanks, Jeff, for the question here. The revenue decline on a midpoint was 13%. The midpoint for PeopleReady is around 11%, PeopleManagement is around minus 6%, and PeopleScout minus 35%. The slight improvement from Q4 is really tied to a less challenging prior year comparison. As we think about kind of -- think about the quarter, January trends were slightly lower due to the renewables piece, but it's in line with expectations for where our outlooks are.
Okay. That's great. And is it safe to assume that at least on a reported basis, none of the segments will be profitable in the first quarter? I understand it's seasonality, but is that correct?
Yes, that's a good way to think about it.
All right. And you mentioned the renewable business, and it's great to see how much it's grown. Can you quantify how large it is right now and roughly what the gross margin difference is between your other businesses in this business?
Yes. So, if we kind of look back at the fourth quarter, as I said in our prepared remarks, our business mix -- the unfavorable mix there was about 130 basis points for renewable energy in the PeopleReady business, and that really carries a lower gross margin due to our general on-demand business really due to more pass-through travel costs.As we look at Q1, Jeff, it's about 140 basis points for renewable, but we'll continue to -- that will begin to normalize as we lap year-over-year comparisons. Just keep in mind, as the gross margin is lower for renewable vertical, it carries high pass-through costs due to remote geographies of many of these projects. If you exclude those pass-through costs, GM is really in line with other large accounts, and it's really an attractive business for us. For the quarter, we're a little north of about $50 million in renewable.
Yes. And Jeff, if I could add, certainly, we're seeing significant success in our renewable business, and we are expecting that to continue to grow double-digits as we move through this year.
Sorry, just to clarify, you said a little north of $50 million, $50 million, is that correct?
$50 million for the quarter, yes.
Our next question is from Mark Marcon with Baird.
Jeff, asked a lot of my questions as well in terms of the renewables. Just in terms of just the -- what sort of bill rates does that typically run? And how big is the pass-through component?
Well, we don't share specific bill rates. Kind of as I just mentioned, it's comparable. If you remove those pass-through costs, it's comparable to our large accounts, PeopleReady business.
Okay. How big is the pass-through component? So of the $50 million, what percentage of that is pass-through?
I don't have those numbers in front of me. I can get that back to you after the call.
Okay. And then on PeopleScout, you're projecting down 35%. Do you see anything on the horizon that would say, "Hey, it's going to stabilize?" Or do you think as long as the -- as long as job churn stays relatively low, and there's still a lot of uncertainty out there that we're probably going to be in this pattern?
Yes. Mark, this is Taryn. Thanks for the questions. Certainly, our customers in the PeopleScout space, they're really focused on reducing costs, and they have lower hiring volumes. And so what we're seeing is that they're relying more on their internal resources to fill positions. So while we've remained engaged with our customers, they are -- definitely have lower hiring volume. And in many cases, they were able to handle those themselves with the talent acquisition teams that they have.One of the things that we're doing to help drive revenue during this challenging time as our customers aren't making as many hires as we're offering some flexible solutions to them that they can utilize, where they may not be prepared to outsource all or part of their hiring function as they're trying to keep their internal teams busy. So an example of that is our recruiter on-demand offerings that we provide to help supplement their recruiting teams when they need some excess capacity.Just an example of that to bring to life, there's a customer that we were providing that recruiter on-demand service too, and that customer actually split their company into 2 divisions, and they needed some consulting support in terms of helping them develop their talent acquisition strategy and their recruitment technology solution. And so, PeopleScout was able to provide that solution to them. And ultimately, that recruiter on-demand offering as well as that consulting service that we provided resulted in a multi-year RPO contract award.So that's just an example of some of the things that we're doing to stay close to our customers and make sure that we're meeting their current needs, so that we're well positioned to help them expand when they do have increased [ finery. ]
Great. And so, Taryn, I take it with the vast majority of the clients, even if they're reducing the work, it's not like you've complete -- it's not like they've terminated their relationship with you just to get greater clarity on that, like in January of this year, like what percentage of the clients from January of last year did you retain on the PeopleScout side?
Yes. So we are retaining our customers. It's really around the volume in which they're utilizing us. Some have gone to 0, but we're under contract, and we remain engaged perhaps, again, with alternative solutions to help them right now. But definitely not a client retention issue as much as this is a hiring volume challenge on their side.
Okay. And then with regards to PeopleReady, can you just give us any regional differences or -- and if we think about some of the areas that were hardest hit, anything on the horizon that you would see in terms of stabilization? So for example, with retail in terms of PeopleReady. What are you -- how would you think about the balance of the year there?
Yes. I would say, if we kind of look back on the quarter, we've seen kind of similar results as we reported. Retail, obviously, was the most challenging end market for us, which has continued through this year, followed by kind of services and transportation, particularly in the PeopleReady business. You might also be just asking about state trends. Those look pretty close to the overall in the end markets as well as what we've seen in January. Just as a reminder, kind of our biggest geographic opportunities in PeopleReady, California, Florida, Texas, those make up just over 30% of our [ CTM ] business there in PeopleReady.
Yes. And just to add to that, in Q4, PeopleReady wins were really dominated in construction and hospitality and that has -- trend has continued as we've entered the first quarter here.
Our next question is from Will Brunemann with Northcoast Research.
I just wanted -- wondering, if you could provide a little bit more color. Are you guys seeing any changes in the competitive environment? And has the demand environment for the PeopleScout business changed at all?
In terms of the competitive environment, I wouldn't say we've seen a change there. Certainly, as we look at our PeopleReady business, we compete with both small regional players and larger staffing firms. And we continue to compete well there with a combination of both our technology that we have to offer as well as our expansive market presence. And certainly, we've made some good advancements there with the launch of our new JobStack app. And I would say, similarly, in our other businesses, the competitive landscape has remained pretty consistent.
Our next question is from Marc Riddick with Sidoti & Company.
So I was wondering if you could -- given the announcement this morning, could maybe shed a little light on the transaction and sort of how that -- or how that might register with the outlook commentary? And then I have a quick follow-up after that.
Marc, thank you for asking that question. If we just take a step back and look at what we're focused on as an organization. #1, we're focused on growth, execution and client delivery now as we navigate this challenging cycle with the agility and discipline that we've been talking about. But in addition to that, we have 3 clear strategic priorities. The first is to simplify our organization structure and the sale of the on-demand business for people ready in Canada is really part of that. Secondly, advancing our digital transformation across the enterprise and then finally, expanding our market presence into high-growth and underpenetrated markets.If we look at the focus around simplifying our org structure, we've made a number of strides here. And some of our on-demand labor business in Canada really is allowing us to focus on our U.S. operations, where we are an industry leader and make sure that we are focusing our -- both kind of financials and human capitals on our highest growth opportunities. In addition to that, we've made some other strides in this area. We brought together our on-site businesses with CMOs and staff management under a single leadership to really help us maximize some of the synergistic opportunities between those 2 businesses.And then finally, we're really working hard to better leverage the technology assets that we have across the entire organization. So an example of that is, we just started utilizing the technology that we have in our on-site business to support the growth and scale that we're seeing in renewables. So that sale of the Canadian business was really about just making sure we're remaining laser-focused on simplifying the organization and in areas where we see long-term growth opportunity.
And then, Marc, just to add on to what Taryn said, the Canadian operations are immaterial to both TrueBlue and to our PeopleReady's operations from an outlook perspective. And as we close the deal here in Q1, we'll share more going forward.
Great. And then I was wondering if you could -- given the strength of the balance sheet, especially as you finished the year, I was wondering if you could sort of give us a bit of an update as far as views on -- use of cash prioritization and whether or not acquisitions or the [ LICA ] is potentially on the table given the state of the industry?
Yes, thanks. In the current economic cycle, we're focused on balancing ample liquidity, making our strategic investments, and we'll return excess capital to shareholders via share repurchases. Just as a reminder, we've got $55 million under our current authorizations. But as those -- we talked about kind of the strategic investments, virtually all those are still in capital investments in our technology. And then I'd also say, Marc, right now, we're not actively pursuing acquisitions, but we're interested in targets that can help diversify our hiring mix and as we enter high growth and resilient end market verticals.
Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I would like to hand the floor back to Taryn Owen for closing comments.
Great. Thank you, operator, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. I do want to take this opportunity to thank the entire TrueBlue team for their resilience and dedication to fulfilling our missions to connect people and work. We look forward to speaking with you at upcoming investor events and our next -- and on our next quarterly call. If you have questions, please don't hesitate to reach out. Thanks so much, and have a great evening.