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Cadeler A/S
OSE:CADLR

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Cadeler A/S
OSE:CADLR
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Price: 52.3 NOK -0.95% Market Closed
Updated: May 2, 2024

Earnings Call Analysis

Q4-2023 Analysis
Cadeler A/S

Cadeler P&L Strong, Vessel Utilization High

Cadeler's financial results for the year indicated strong performance with adjusted revenue of EUR 109 million, topping the high end of their EUR 100 million to EUR 105 million guidance. Adjusted EBITDA stood at EUR 50 million, within the guided range of EUR 47 million to EUR 52 million, demonstrating solid profitability. The utilization rate for their vessels reached 75%, with an upward trend noted in Q4. Eneti's small impact after the 12-day post-acquisition inclusion resulted in EUR 3.4 million revenue and a EUR 600,000 adjusted EBITDA loss. The company also highlighted the full financing of their strategy, with total committed financing of EUR 1.2 billion and EUR 212 million already drawn. For the upcoming year, revenue is projected to be between EUR 225 million to EUR 245 million, with an EBITDA forecast of EUR 105 million to EUR 125 million.

Cadeler's Transformation and Strategic Expansion

Cadeler, with its focus on Transport & Installation (T&I) in the renewable energy sector, has been actively transforming its operational footprint. The company has expanded its fleet to four vessels with six more on order and one in negotiation. Their global presence, with offices in Denmark, the UK, the US, Taipei, and Tokyo, supports an office headcount of 233 and an offshore headcount of 363, numbers which are set to grow as future vessels are delivered. Cadeler has established a track record with over 850 foundations and 1,300 turbines installed, powering more than 11.8 million households. Growth in commercial activities has been substantial, with their pipeline expanding by 102% since June 2023, reflecting increased activities outside Europe, particularly in the APAC and US regions which show promising daily developments.

Financial Highlights and Growth Outlook

Cadeler's financial results for 2023 have been robust, with revenue reaching EUR 109 million and an EBITDA of EUR 50 million, despite integration of Eneti for only 12 days. The revenue and EBITDA outperformed the upper range of the company's outlook while maintaining an impressive 75% vessel utilization rate. Achieving 100% utilization in 2023 signals operational efficiency across the organization. The company has also realized synergies from its business combination with Eneti, resulting in lowered SG&A expenses. For 2024, Cadeler expects revenue between EUR 225 million to EUR 245 million and EBITDA between EUR 105 million to EUR 125 million, contingent on timely vessel deliveries and project execution.

Client Relationships and Capital Raising Initiatives

Cadeler emphasizes building strong and communicative relationships with clients and suppliers, adapting to fulfill mutual needs. This client-centric approach has led Cadeler to raise capital for a third A-class vessel, indicating high confidence in future vessel utilization. The company's long-term strategic partnerships focus on accountability, timeliness, flexibility, and going the extra mile for success.

Sustainability Goals and Innovation in Operations

As a leader in renewable energy, Cadeler is committed to sustainability, aiming for net-zero operations by 2035 and a 50% reduction in emissions intensity by 2030. Initiatives include energy efficiency improvements, show power connections, and adaptation to green fuels like methanol. Cadeler is preparing its fleet for green fuel usage through installations that are more cost-effective during vessel construction than retrofitting later. The company has also implemented new monitoring systems to enhance operational efficiency and plans to use biofuels from non-food sources. These sustainable practices are part of Cadeler's commitment to minimizing its environmental impact.

Future Strategy: Fleet Utilization and Expansion Plans

Cadeler is crafting strategies to improve cost-efficiency and vessel utilization, which entails flexible fleet deployment that can adapt to project changes. The firm's proactive engagement with suppliers is designed to speed up project readiness and deliver value to investors and clients. In addition to standard installation projects, Cadeler offers flexible solutions such as deploying additional vessels to accelerate project timelines when clients face delays. The company remains focused on transport, installation, and operations within the T&I space and is exploring opportunities in new regions like South America and the emerging floating wind market, viewing them as opportunities instead of threats.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q4

from 0
M
Mikkel Gleerup
executive

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to this Cadeler investor presentation in connection with the annual report for 2023. We are happy to see so many people who have interest in the company and have joined this presentation this morning.

We have a disclaimer here, and the disclaimer should be read in connection with this presentation and yes, then we'll go through the presentation. The presentation will start with a bit of highlights on 2023, then the financial results. And then at the end of the presentation, we have some market outlook and also about the company, what one can expect from Cadeler going forward.

So in terms of the 2023 key results, we have managed to deliver a EUR 109 million revenue and an adjusted EBITDA of EUR 50 million. We continue to see a robust market outlook and improved market sentiment for our services to our clients, and that has only strengthened towards the second half of 2023 and also in the first part of 2024. We see that our backlog continues to grow. Actually, since we listed in Norway in 2020, November, we have seen that the backlog has grown at around about double the pace of the market. And our total backlog today stands at EUR 1.8 billion, with more than 85% already have taken FID on these projects.

We continue to have a disciplined growth focus, and we continuously aim to strategically scale our organization and also with the merger with Eneti, we believe that we have a very, very strong organization that will be able to deliver the projects going forward. And also, we are focusing on strong financial bolstering of the company, and that really means that we are securing the capital -- the debt capital that is needed to deliver our CapEx projects, and hence, we consider ourselves as fully financed.

In terms of 2023 in brief note, in April, we signed a historic contract for the company because this was really around the Hornsea 3 project that we also spend a lot of time discussing with investors in the second half of 2023. But for us, this was installing all the foundations for the project in a full T&I setup with [ Hollandse ] and also half of the turbines on the same project. We also, in June, announced the merger -- the planned merger with Eneti in a business combination agreement. And as you know, in the second half of 2023, we delivered that merger and listed the company on the New York Stock Exchange on the 21st of December 2023.

We also commenced the crane upgrades, new cranes on both vessels. As we said back in 2020, when we ordered the first crane, we said that we would start this project on new cranes on the 2 existing vessels, and we did that as per the plan. We also revealed the names for the new builds, the wind peak, the wind pace, the wind ally and the wind [ days ]. Finally, names on what was known as the X and the F class. And we also announced the signing of an unsecured green loan of EUR 50 million with a noncommitted accordion of option up to EUR 50 million. And in December, a lot of things happened, obviously. But it was really about announcing the signing of a EUR 550 million senior secured green loan facility in the company, the merger with Eneti, listing on the New York Stock Exchange and also the first financing on the new builds for the 2 P class vessels with the [ Cynosure ] backed senior secured green term loan facility of EUR 425 million.

Obviously, 2023 has been a lot about executing on projects because as we grow, we need to -- remember the fundamentals in the company, and we are known as a company that deliver what we promise. And hence, we want to continue to have a very, very strong focus on that. So when Orca completed the Seagreen project, we were able to stay longer on that project than what we originally contracted, which was beneficial to Vestas to SSE and everybody else involved in that project. We also signed an O&M contract with Vestas and after the completion of Seagreen, we took Orca on an O&M campaign with Vestas all the way to the point where we had to take the vessel out of operation for the crane renewal project.

On Osprey, we completed the Hollandse Kust Zuid project, for Vattenfall. At the moment, the biggest single wind farm in the world and after that project was completed, we went straight on to execute some of the Hollandse Kust Zuid North project. And I think in that project, one of the real beauties of that project was, we were able to have 0 downtime between the project despite the fact that we were changing client on the project and also have different clients demobilizing and mobilizing at the same time. But everybody worked together to get maximum utilization out of the vessel. And I think that this is an example of what we will also aim to do in the future. [indiscernible] project was originally 85 firm days, but the clients decided to use the vessel up to 134 days.

After the completion Osprey continued on a small job with Siemens before we went into the crane replacement project. [indiscernible] we ended the year on the [indiscernible] and she is now in breast mobilizing for her next project, where we have decided to take a little bit extra time out on the vessel to ensure that she is fully up to speed for the project that we will be executing in a different region going forward. On [indiscernible], worked on the Union project for Siemens Gamesa until November and was in Singapore for maintenance and surveys, preparing her for the next campaign. She is returning to [indiscernible] this year and will be working in Asia.

And with these projects, you can say that Cadeler will be working in all major offshore wind regions in the world in 2024. Also delivering the crane project. We have successfully converted 2 vessels in parallel with a record-breaking time line of only 6 months. And both brands now have replaced their cranes with new 1,600-tonne NOV cranes, future proving them for the next generating turbines. I think what is remarkable here is that we have done this in parallel. We basically had a vessel on each side of a key in the Netherlands and a big crane in the middle, and we have done all the work in parallel. We believe that, that has reduced cost and is also minimize the vessel of higher time in the most unattractive period for the vessels that we could find.

When Osprey is currently on route to [indiscernible], and when Orca already there for final commissioning and final approvals and project mobilization. Orca is heading out on [ Moray West ], and Osprey will start on a [ invested ] project, the [ Golden and Revcom ] project. And I believe that what we can say on the crane renewal project is that we had a very strong collaboration in [ Skidam ] between many, many different subcontractors, making this project possible and thanks to everybody involved for all the hard work done on this project. A few practice from the crane upgrade project in [ Skidam ] I think it shows the technical complexity of what we did because the vessels really were elevated to the maximum height with the biggest PTC crane in the world lifting the components up, so we didn't have any interface issues with the legs and hence, also did not have to do any structural change to the legs while we installed these new cranes.

This is really a testament to the engineering power that is both in Cadeler and in the companies that we have worked with for this project. And I think also the fact that we already in 2020, December set when we ordered the disperse query that we would deliver this project in Q1 2024, and we have done so is also a very, very good, let's say, testament to our execution capabilities and also how we work on projects internally in Cadeler. In terms of the P&A class newbuilds. The first new build is getting close, and we are really excited to take that vessel online. We are delivering the wind peak in Q3 2024, as we have said before. We launched the vessel from the dry dock at Cosco Shipyard on the third of January and the crane was mounted on the first of February.

The construction is 89% completed and you see the S curve on the right side of the slide. And you can see that we are tracking as per the plan. The [ seed ] trial is planned to start mid-June this year, with delivery in August of this year as well. When [ Pace ] is delivering in Q2 2025, the [ Qidong ] was done on the 15th of February '24. And the [ sea trial ] is planned for Q1 '25. The construction at the moment is 65% completed. Wind Ally delivery in Q4 '25 steel cutting was done on the eighth of September '23, and the block fabrication completion level is currently at 33%. We do have some opportunity to deliver this vessel slightly early, but at the moment, we keep Q4 in here, but it could also be a Q3 delivery finally on this vessel.

In terms of [ wind days ], we are saying delivery on second half of 2026 and the basic and the detailed design has been completed. We have a small few tweaks in the design on this vessel, and that's why we have done a bit of work on the detailed design on this vessel as well. Steel cutting is planned for July '24. And in general, what we can say on the P and the A class is that we are on track both when it comes to budget and when it comes to time line. Also, a sneak peek from China, where you can see our site team in China, we have passed 3 million man-hours without an LTI out there, and that's something that we are very, very proud of. Because obviously, building at this pace requires a lot of man on-site, and we want to make sure that we build these vessels for the future safely.

And you can also see that the wind peak has been floated out, the crane is currently installed on the vessel and we can see that this is a remarkable unit that we will be delivering. Also pictures from [ Qidong ] of the first unit, where people from the Cadeler head office also participated. In terms of the N-class newbuilds, we currently have 22 catalysts on site in Korea, closely monitoring the progress of the new builds. We are delayed on the M class vessels, what was formerly known as the [ Nessan the Cyren ]. We are expecting to deliver the first M Class vessel in Q1 '25 before the project that this vessel is booked for and currently, we are confident that we will deliver on time for that project.

But we, of course, keep a very, very close eye on this because any slippage would mean that we would have to look into a Plan B, and that is something that we will be able to do also make a bit of bigger vessel fleet able to support our clients. We are looking at the next milestone, which is launching of the vessel, which is currently scheduled for the 30th of May, and all mega blocks are completed except the focal section. All the equipment has been delivered to the yard and most of it has already been installed in the blocks. On the wind mover, we are looking at the delivery around Q4 '25, so also a slight delay there but nothing that really impacts us at the moment because we are looking at the first year of project work for Wind Mover being in 2026. We have cut the steel. The [ keel ] will be late this year in August, and all blocks are under construction in China and Korea.

And I believe that we are on track on all equipment for timely delivery to the yard. And just a fun fact that we have the same amount of cable in each vessel on the Korea [ nut ] as the flight distance between Copenhagen and Oslo. So it is really complicated units that we are delivering and it is something that requires a lot of on-site attendance. Also, a sneak peek from Korea, where you can see that both [ Lex and Rex and premiums ] mega blocks are in construction. You see the half part of the vessel up in the upper right corner, and we are in a good place with these vessels. And we believe that these vessels will be very capable and also of very high quality when they are delivered and joining the Cadeler field.

We also merged with Eneti, the biggest milestone in 2023, something that we worked extremely hard on from January to December. And we've really combined decades of operating track record and strong fleets to accelerate the growth for the company. We do still believe very much in the strong deal rationale. There's a very strong demand outlook, and there's a lot of demand for what we can deliver in Cadeler as the combined company. We will see continued value chain bottlenecks, both in our area of the business, but also in other areas of the business. And there, we believe that larger and more versatile fleets will be able to deliver the redundancy that the clients are asking for when they need it. So when they have a problem, on scope that is unrelated to Cadeler scopes, they will be coming to Cadeler for support, and we are looking to be able to support that because we believe that this is where a real win-win is created.

Two industry-leading incumbents. We have built scale competencies and commercial flexibility, and we already start to see that. And we can also see that the synergies that we discussed with the market and our investors when we did the announcement of the merger, we are more confident today about delivering these synergies. We believe in meaningful value creation, as I said, and also the synergy potential is very much still evident. And as of the 21st of December, we now have a dual listing with a listing on the New Stock Exchange, and we believe that, that will drive a lot of opportunity for the company. And we have added a few picture from the big day. It was a big day for everybody in Cadeler. In terms of the post-merger integration process because merging the companies on paper is easy integrating them is where the real work starts.

And I think that we decided to be ready from day one, and we have added some pictures on the right side of the slide, where you can see that the Cadeler logos were up on the same day as listed in New York. And that was important for us. It was important to send the message to everybody that now we have one team, one unit, and we want to work together as one unit and one team. And in '24, we will continue to have a fully strong focus on the integrating of the units. So we create a one Cadeler team spirit and also deliver and capitalize on all the key synergies. We did a post-merger integration program already when we announced the deal, and we have been working across all the work streams since then. And I believe that we are in a very, very solid position at the moment with progress across all work streams with all planning finalized to secure a full integration of the companies.

We have also defined a new organization, and we have representation from both the old Eneti company and the old Cadeler company in the new Cadeler company. on all levels of the business from the most senior management and across the company. Initial focus is, of course, to align key areas like newbuild management, project approach enduring that we are delivering on time, branding and the organization. And looking ahead, we are very much focusing on safety culture, maintaining safe and efficient operation while we further streamline and harvest synergies for the benefit of the company, our investors and our clients and, of course, preparing for the significant fleet growth that we are looking into in '24, '25 and '26 and '27.

In terms of the merger synergies, as I already mentioned, we have already started to materialize those. And in terms of the transaction execution, we have already delivered more than we promised to the market in terms of the financial and SG&A synergies. And currently, we have achieved around EUR 25 million of annual synergies in that space from refinancing the company with better terms and conditions, more attractive rates, but also discontinuing part of the management team from the old Eneti organization. We have an operational and commercial plan for the midterm, where we expect to deliver between EUR 25 million and EUR 50 million in synergies and that is coming while we start to deliver the vessels, the newbuild vessels, but also working together on the vessels we already have on the fleet.

And we have already started to see some of this, and we will be communicating to the market these synergies as we progress over the next couple of years. And then, of course, in the long term, around about EUR 100 million that we discussed here when we announced the deal, that we believe is very much in our ability to deliver. And the full effect of the synergies will, of course, be when we have delivered the last newbuild vessel where we can really see what it means, both for us, for our investors and for our clients. to have a large and versatile fleet in the market.

And in terms of the time line for the fully delivered fleet, we have this slide here where you see 4 vessels on the water and then we have in '25, we have 5 vessels delivering -- sorry, 4 vessels delivering, we have wind fleet delivering '24 and 4 vessels delivering in '25. Then we have days delivering in '26 and as we have said also to market, we raised capital for a third A-Class vessel, which is expected to deliver in the first half of 2027 and we are currently in progress with the negotiations with the [indiscernible] , and we expect to be at a conclusion on this project very soon.

So all in all, when the last project is signed, a total fleet of 11 jackups. And the fully delivered fleet as it looks, except the last one that we haven't signed yet, I think that, that really is the most versatile, comprehensive and capable fleet in the industry in terms of jackups. Several milestones have been achieved since we listed the company on the 20th of November -- sorry, the 27th of November 2020. We have done by the placements in the market when we thought it was the right thing to do to grow the company in a controlled manner and deliver value to our investors but also adding scopes are on a horizontal level in the industry as the foundation, T&I scope, installing new cranes, securing capital for that in the IPO and also listing on the New York Stock Exchange. All meaningful growth initiatives that has made us one of the leading actors in this industry today.

And there are several milestones ahead of us. And all of these milestones are positive impact on our financial performance because when we deliver new vessels, we are able to just do more, and Peter will discuss that a little bit more in his section of the presentation. We started with an IPO, and you can say it's a humble start with a presence in Europe and a small sales office in Taipei. We had 2 vessels on the water and we discussed at that point in time, delivering one new build with the IPO. We had a total office headcount of 47 people and a total offshore headcount of 158 people. If we fast forward to today, where we are today. Then we are becoming a leading pure-play T&I company. We are now 4 vessels on the water. We have 6 on order and 1 in negotiation. We have offices in 2 locations in Denmark, in the U.K., in the U.S., in Taipei and in Tokyo. We have a total office headcount of 233 people, and a total offshore headcount of 363 people, and numbers will grow going forward because when we deliver vessels, more offshore people will be added.

We have installed 11.5 gigawatts of offshore wind, and we are powering more than 11.8 million households. We have a track record that is both located in Europe and APAC. We have more than 850 foundations installed and 375 plants. We have more than 1,300 turbines installed in more than 600 plant. So all in all, a real transformation of the company. And we do continue seeing growth also in the commercial side. We have done a slight difference to this slide this time around, but we have kept the legacy slide on the right side of the slide, where you can see starting from the gray box is how many projects we were bidding when we were looking at the first investor meetings in 2020. when we discussed the IPO with the investors to the dark blue boxes that are the projects we are bidding today. And if we look at where we are bidding projects at the moment, the listeners and the people on the call today will see that we have projects all over the globe at the moment.

29% of the pipeline projects are located outside Europe, 43% of the commercial pipeline are made up of long-term agreements. Europe continues to stay at the forefront with a massive demand and APAC and U.S. is increasing significantly with positive news from both regions almost on a daily basis. Only yesterday, the U.S. had more incentives also to support offshore wind, and we do believe that U.S. will be a meaningful region to play a role in going forward, and we already are starting to work in the U.S. from this year. As you see from this slide, we have several projects there and also an LTA. And the difference between the regions in globe here is that some of these projects that are on the globe do have a cross-regional scope and hence, we have decided to list it like this but really a positive development, and we see a total increase of 102% in our commercial pipeline from June '23.

So in less than a year, we have seen that the pipeline of commercial bidding activity has doubled. On projects that we are looking into, obviously, a lot of projects, I will not go through all of them, but also a record strong order backlog of EUR 1.8 billion, and this is a backlog that will grow significantly in 2024. So financial results, Peter, I'll be heading over to my partner here. Please go ahead, Peter.

P
Peter Hansen
executive

Thank you, Mikkel. Yes, this is P&L profit and loss for '23. As you can see, very, very strong results. Revenue of EUR 109 million and EBITDA adjusted of EUR 50 million in what we have adjusted for in the EBITDA is EUR 8 million in transaction cost that was incurred in the Eneti transaction. What is important to notice here is that Eneti is included only with 12 days from the 19th of December. The day we closed the transaction with Eneti and then we have consolidated 12 days of P&L in for Eneti. So a very small portion is coming from Eneti -- previous Eneti. On revenue, it's EUR 3.4 million and on EBITDA adjusted, it is a loss of EUR 600,000. So very, very small impact from previous Eneti in '23 when you look at the profit and loss.

If we look at how we realized our results as compared to the outlook, rewind in the upper end, our outlook for revenue was EUR 100 million to EUR 105 million. And obviously, subtracting the EUR 3.4 million from former Eneti, we are the higher end of the range. And the same goes from EBITDA adjusted to EUR 50 million. We guided EUR 47 million to EUR 52 million. So a very, very strong result. I think it's also worth noticing that utilization for the vessels was 75% for the total year with 2 world-class vessels on having the train upwards in Q4. Hence, it corresponds to 100% utilization in '23, which is a very, very strong result from the whole Cadeler team, the project organizations and the vessels.

SG&A obviously goes up, and that is impacted with these EUR 8 million in transaction costs as Mikkel says, we have realized the synergies that we guided from the business combination with Eneti if we combine the 2 stand-alone companies SG&A from the past and inflated it into '23, '24 numbers that will be above the EUR 70 million, and we see that we going forward will have SG&A to the tune of EUR 50 million. So that is already realized synergies. That was the P&L. When we look at the balances, that is, of course, full blown consolidation of Eneti. So that is the full balance sheet of the combined 2 companies. As of end of December, what we can say is that we have recorded EUR 17 million of goodwill from the business combination, and that is basically calculated as the difference between the purchase price calculated at the share price of Cadeler [ NOK 44.10 ] at closing 19th of December.

And then the net assets taking over from Eneti. The vessels we have recorded those at EUR 296 million, that is around EUR 70 million below what they were recorded through in Eneti as the book value. So in the PPA, we adjusted the value of those vessels and then it all resulted into a goodwill of EUR 17 million. As of the end of December 31, '23, we have paid all transaction costs and change in control costs. So we will not carry anything into '24 of those costs. Of course, there will be additional costs in integration but not significant expenses. If we look at the CapEx program and the financing, Mikkel have already talked into this, but we continue to be fully financed with the current plans. As you can see here, in December, we managed to sign EUR 1.1 billion of financing and we are in the process of securing also the financing on the A class versus and that more than covers the outstanding CapEx program that we have.

We are fully financed now. We were also fully financed before we did the product placement in connection with the 11th vessel. So that is a continuation of our strategy of always be fully funded, so we do not need to go to the market to increase capital. This is the financing overview. As you can see, we have a total committed financing of EUR 1.2 billion. We have utilized as of end of December, we have draw down EUR 212 million of those. The old class is, of course, in the existing fleet and a term loan on the cranes are for EUR 100 million. And then we have syndicated the P class and the M class, the former Eneti vessels we assigned agreement on those. On the M class we are negotiating with the group of lenders through a line term and conditions and pricing with what we see in Cadeler, that is one of the synergies that we have been talking about, and we are in advanced stages of negotiating that to what we are used to see in Cadeler benefiting from the bigger balance sheet with the 2 combined companies together.

If we look at the full year outlook for '24 and that is, of course, with the combined group for full year, we guided revenue in the range of EUR 225 million to EUR 245 million and at an EBITDA of EUR 105 million to EUR 125 million. What is important to say, what is the basic assumptions behind that, that is timely vessel deliveries and execution on projects. We have already seen the old class crane or the old class vessels leaving [indiscernible] with the new cranes then leasing dry dock before entering into a contract in May. And then we assumed when peak delivery in Q3, I said by May, we are also on track on that to do that. The first M class vessels, we do not expect to see any revenue from that in '24. So that is not built into this forecast.

As Mikkel said, this is the first step in what we see is the strong development in our financial results going forward. As we deliver a vessel, for example, the first P class vessel here in August '24 then we will see increased revenue from that vessel. We have calculated on an illustrative basis before. It could be to the tune of EUR 70 million of EBITDA. And then on top of that, that will be a T&I scope on the foundation vessels once they are delivered but what we will see is this will be the first year where we see a vessel being delivered, increased revenues, increased earnings and then record [indiscernible] the fleet are delivered as past schedule. That was the outlook.

M
Mikkel Gleerup
executive

Yes. And in terms of market outlook, I think it's important that we discuss that as well. Obviously, in 2023, I think arguably, there was a negative sentiment in offshore wind, at least in the second half of 2023. For us, we have a longer information runway, so to speak. So we already started to see some of the clouds leave the sky towards Q4, there will be part of Q4 and hence, we could see already that coming into '24, it would be a really, really busy period. But I think what is important to say is that we do actually discount some of the projects for installation by 2030 away where we can see that the supply chain doesn't have the capacity to deliver it. And hence, we have a view that there will be a lot of installation, but not so much as the stated policy targets.

It will be across regions, but of course, Europe will be the strongest region. And we believe that there will be so much work that the current supply chains will be under pressure into 2030 and beyond. At the moment, as we have said before, we see that the second half of the decade here will be very busy, but also we already start to see signs of the first part of the next decade also being incredibly busy the first half part of the next decade actually. And we are in a situation where for our own part there is a very, very significant lack of yard capacity out there and that is evident for everybody in the industry. And that will not start to free up before the end of the decade. And hence, with the building time, the design time and all of that, it is not easy to just put a lot of capacity online.

And we also see that from orders not being made and for conversions being let's say, the go to for some of the companies. In terms of what we see, I think that the capacity growth is enabled by the next-generation turbines, and although the turbine growth have slowed down, we expected that we would see a 20-megawatt turbine in this decade. At the moment, we see that, that comes after 2030 sometime. We do believe in the company in Cadeler that we will see a bigger turbine than the 15-megawatt turbine in this decade. How big it is, we say that it's probably around 18 megawatts. But that is to be seen. But the bigger turbines is good for the industry because we do see that it reduces the levelized cost of energy, we see CapEx savings on the balance of plant and also operational savings due to fewer turbine units.

And also, let's say, we have a fleet now that is prepared for it. So for Cadeler, turbine growth is positive. And we also see that if anybody ever thought that floating wind was a threat to bottom fixed turbines, then at least they are much more depending on a bigger turbine than bottom fixed is because the substructure is so expensive that they need a bigger turbine, much more than bottom fixed us. We don't see floating wind as a threat. We actually think that this is a market Cadeler play a role in, but it has been delayed at least with 5 years to the right, where we earlier predicted something around 2031, 2032, we believe that it's at least 5 years to date for that at utility scale mass outbuild.

In terms of delivering on key market challenges, we have mentioned a few here that turbines we continue to grow in size and complexity. Complexity really is around weight and how we load them on the vessel. So payload is something that is very important to keep an eye on. New regions that are looking towards offshore wind, Europe will face pressure on its supply chain because many of the new regions are considered to be export markets and also they will be harvesting from the same supply chain. And hence, we will see lower utilization because we have to transit between regions but also vessels can only be in 1 region at the time. We believe that bottom fix will remain significantly ahead of floating continued in this decade, and there will be continued value chain bottlenecks and project delays.

For Cadeler, the answer to some of this is really the partnership-driven approach that supports our clients. We try to early on engage in conversations with our clients. What is it that they need us to do for them to be successful because we need success as an offshore wind, so we can all come out on the other side as winners. We want to work across all regions and key markets to support our clients there. We want to support the outbuilding new regions. We believe in a large and experienced team, both on and offshore, that is required to deliver these projects, especially the more complicated T&I projects and foundations. And having a large and more capable and more versatile fleet is supporting our clients very much. And we do see that, that is something that the clients are willing to go for, both in terms of the price they're willing to pay, but also that we are invited to every single tender out there at the moment.

We see our vessels are optimized with longer lags, higher carrying capacity and the payload is something that I would argue that is one of the key parameters, especially when the turbines growth. And of course, also being able to install on deeper waters that we will see. We do see that continued innovation in processes and equipment is something that Cadeler will focus on in our R&D department, and this is all about optimizing efficiency. As I said before, the biggest difference between oil and gas and wind is that efficiency really matters in offshore wind. And strategic focus and ability to seize opportunities and achieve continued profitable growth is a focus for us. We will be there when the client needs us, and that is why we go into these partnership-driven approaches to understand what is it that could go wrong and where the client might need us so we can create these win-wins.

Our clients, they get their equipment installed on time, on budget, and our investors, they can benefit from that. In terms of continuing the growth journey, Cadeler is a growth company, and we will continue to be a growth company. We are one of the leading suppliers in the offshore wind industry. And as I said already, we have achieved significant milestones there and now have more than 550 employees on and offshore. A market cap of EUR 1.5 billion and a backlog of EUR 1.8 billion. The revenue will continue to go up. As Peter said, it will be like going up a staircase whenever you take a step, there's a new vessel being delivered and that will impact our revenues, our EBITDA and our net profits every time a vessel is delivered. And we can see that where there's gaps currently between first project and delivery of vessels, clients are out there, really, really keen to take that time from us on the vessels, hence, giving us utilization on the vessels straight out of the yard.

The team -- the leadership team that will deliver this is a team that has solid industry know-how. The team is led by Peter and myself, we formed the executives in the company. And then we have decided post-merger to separate the executive team into 2 teams, so the executive leadership team and the senior leadership team. And the executive leadership team is [ Regan ], our Chief People and Culture Officer. Alexander, our Chief Legal Officer, who joined us here at the first of March. He was one of the advisers on the Eneti merger and joined us from [ David Pok ], U.S. law firm and we're very happy to have Alexander joining the team. We have Jacob, our Chief Operations Officer, who is our safe pair of hands on everything we do out there with our clients. And then, Sarah, who used to be employed in Eneti and now our Chief Sales Officer.

It was evident from the very first moment we met Sarah that she had to form part of our executive leadership team sees a very, very strong person in addition to that strong team. In our senior leadership team, we have [indiscernible] , our well-known Chief Commercial Officer. He is the partnership guy of the company, and he ensures the relationship with all of our clients. And I think that he will continue to do a fantastic job for Cadeler. [ Peter Koh ], our Chief Technical Officer. He knows everything about these vessels and other vessel types and have done this job for many years, and he is also our safe pair of hands in terms of delivering. And his team have delivered the P40 project, the new cranes on the two O classes on time and on budget.

[indiscernible] our General Counsel continuing to be in our senior leadership team, we're very proud to have [ Anil ] is also ensuring the company from the outside world basically in terms of liabilities, insurance and so on and so forth. And then [ John Winge ] who also joined us from the Eneti side, and he has the position as General Manager for the U.K., which is our biggest regional office. And we believe that it's very important that we have a culture -- personal culture driver who knows the business in and out over there to be the Cadeler voice on site. And we're very proud also to have John in this team. Our new headquarter where Peter and I are currently standing in our canteen in our new headquarter has been inaugurated. We held a celebration with our partners on the 15th of March, Friday the 15th of March here in our office.

We had the ribbon cutting ceremony just here in front of us where we decided that [indiscernible] once again, will cut the ribbon to a Cadeler. She also cut the ribbon on our previous office. And this time, she was joined by 8 children from Cadeler employees. And was a magnificent day with our partners, and we are very happy to have had that day. A few pictures from the boardroom as well and also from the party we had with the team after having celebrated with the partners on the day. In terms of what is it that Cadeler is looking for. We are looking for strong partnership because we do believe that, that is a key enabler for continued success.

And we can see that it works because we can see that our clients, they are communicating openly with us in terms of what they need from Cadeler, what it is we have to deliver and what they are willing to do for us. And that is also why we went out this year in February and raised capital for a third A-class vessel. It's really based on what we talk to the clients about and hence, we have very, very high confidence on utilization on also this vessel. And we will continue to look at long-term view on strategic partnership growing with the partners, taking strong ownerships and being accountable, delivering on time and budget, solution-oriented, flexibility and willingness to go the extra mile for the clients because this is how we build successes into an industry that really needs successes.

And we are really equipped to deliver this, and we can also see that, that is the response we get from the clients and partners in the industry, and we are trying to do it in both directions. It's easy to be nice to the clients that pay us money, but we are also looking to do it in the other direction to the ones that supply us with equipment that enables us to be a solid contractor for our clients. And hence, we are also into deep discussions with our suppliers in terms of what they can expect from Cadeler going forward. But we are focused on the relationship with everybody in the Cadeler ecosystem. In terms of empowering the green horizon, Cadeler is committed to leading the way in sustainability. And the targets and the key levers is in place. We have set a target of being net zero operating by 2035 and a 50% reduction in Scope 1 and 2 emissions intensity by 2030.

This is simply what is required for a company of our sort that is operating in a renewable industry. In terms of decarbonization we have objectives, we want to improve energy efficiency. We want to enable electrification with show power connections. This will reduce our carbon footprint with more than 15% and also an adaptation to green fuels. And green fuels, I think there, we have an answer to that as well, not just reservation of space on the vessel. We are doing actual work on the vessels being delivered into the market. Sustainable practices, risk reduction from operations by 50% in 2030. Garbage management plans, minimize the use of hazardous substances, requirement for biodegradable grease and oil by risk of discharge into the environments present and minimize the environmental impact on a full life cycle analysis on everything we do, including the vessels.

And as I said, I think in the industry at the moment, a lot of people are talking about that the vessels are prepared for green fuels. They have space allocated for that. We have gone the next step, we have decided we want to do actual installation, making us ready to take these fuels on board when the fuels are ready to supply to us. So one of the pictures you see here is the methanol tank that will go on the P class and the A class vessels in China. And that means that we are ready. The bunker stations will be installed. The pipe systems will be installed because it is way too costly to do this when the vessel is in operation. These low flashpoint fuel types requires [indiscernible] , tanks pipes, broncho stations and a very specialty piping system in the engine room. And for that to be installed when the vessels in operation will be a complete nightmare.

And hence, we have decided to do now where the cost is lower and also the impact to operation in a very busy period of time is not present anymore. So we believe that we have taken a leading position in this. And we will be ready for this, both on the engine types, and we will actually be running a test project together with one of our key suppliers to try out low flashpoint fuels on one of the new builds and more to follow on that when we are ready to communicate it in full public. Continuous improvement for our current O class business will also be there. We have installed a new monitoring system to measure and improve operational efficiency. We do believe that a lot of efficiency can be harvested in educating the team on board in terms of what is actually the operational impacts of what you do out on board. And now we can really monitor that on a case-by-case basis.

Equipment upgrades to improve fuel efficiency and biofuel capacity and show power connection expected in the first quarter of 2025, also lowering the total carbon footprint on the business. And it's important for us to say that biofuels for us comes from a nonfood source because we do not believe in taking food and putting it into the tanks of a vessel. So it has to come from a nonfood source. In terms of being the go-to provider of T&I solutions, we have the largest and the most versatile fleet of next-generation offshore wind turbine and foundation installation vessels. And we believe that we are in a very solid position to support our clients. We have a global footprint and a very versatile fleet, we can rightsize the vessel for the project and for the turbine type or the foundation type.

And we believe that we have the ability also from a human resource to deliver to our clients, larger scopes and project sites on a global basis. So all in all, we believe that we are in a very, very solid position as a company in the industry. We have talked about where are the synergies coming from. And examples of this is really improving efficiency and to reduce cost and improve utilization because when you can reduce cost and improve utilization, you basically you have a double benefit. You don't spend money and you make more at the same time. And that is one of the things that we're looking for. And hence, we will try to not promise the specific vessel to the client, but from a capable vessel and then we will deliver a vessel that is already remobilized for that project, if at all possible.

And that is something we can already start to look into now and see that there are significant benefits in that. We will communicate openly about what we are delivering and when we are delivering it when we are ready to really talk about it and have the full overview of how much we can gain from that. Also in terms of accelerating projects. When we raised capital in February, we discussed this need to have extra capital ready for spare capacity. We have been in context, as I said, with our supply chain, to enable us to really be ready on a project in record time. We have 2 different time lines here. One that is what we would call the typical time line for being prepared for, for example, a foundation project. And then the bottom one, which is the Cadeler time line.

And that is really by integrating deeply with our suppliers and ensuring that we have the right agreement, the right terms and conditions, the right pricing and also the right designs to enable us to be ready on very short time when something is needed by our clients. And we do believe that, that will also harvest significant value for our investors and our clients. In terms of utilizing the fleets in different ways, we have shown this slide before. One can say that there can be a standard installation with only 1 vessel on the project, you can have 2 vessels that you can change the vessel as you go ahead because one vessel maybe need to go to another project and one comes off a different product and can go on this project. That could be one way to do it or you can have a more capable vessel coming in speeding up the project.

You can also have an additional second vessel to speed up if the client is late on the start so we can deliver on time, on budget. And also, you can have 2 vessels just as a plan to really speed up for late starts. All of these things are currently being discussed with our clients, and we do see that this is something that the clients really like because it's flexibility that they cannot get with any other supplier at the moment, and it has a lot of value for the clients to enable them to install when they have promised to install and I think we have also seen the larger utilities and the larger clients and partners out there already communicating publicly around taking less risk in the supply chain, and we do believe that this year is an example of taking less risk by increasing the redundancy for them and their projects.

What can be expected from Cadeler. We will continue to focus within the red dotted line on the slide, the transport installation and the operations and maintenance spaces. There are still other areas that is not a Cadeler scope at the moment, but we will not be, for example, delivering crude transfer vessels or starting to invest in wind farms. That is not what Cadeler is about. We want to be a leading contractor in the installation transport and installation business for foundations and turbines and we also want to play a role in the operations and maintenance. There are other T&I scopes that could be of interest to Cadeler in this bracket, and we continue to have an open mind and looking into this as we go ahead. We will also be open to vertical and horizontal expansion, organic and nonorganic growth, regional expansion. We are currently very interested in the South American region.

We see a lot of activity down there and Cadeler will play a role in the South American region when that market is ready for installation. And we do continue to focus on strategic partnerships, as I already said. And then also floating wind. Floating wind for us is an opportunity, not a threat. And when the market is ready for utility scale, mass outbuild, Cadeler will be there to support our clients because it is the same equipment, it happens offshore. And it's really same client, same equipment happens offshore. The only thing that is different is the installation method, and there, we will have a solution when we are at a market of significant size.

And this take us to the Q&A, and I think that this picture is an important story as well, and I just want to spend 2 seconds on saying what it is. It is really Wind Orca departing from [indiscernible] with this new crane and you have Wind Osprey in the background being almost ready for departing, but that has already taken place. But I think an important testament to our execution capability, we promised this back in 2020, December when we ordered the first crane and we have delivered according to our promise. Thank you.

U
Unknown Executive

Thank you, Mikkel. We have a few questions lined up here for the remainder of the presentation. First question will be, in which markets do you see potential? And will Asia be as big a market for Cadeler as Europe is today.

M
Mikkel Gleerup
executive

So we see potential in Europe, Asia, U.S. and South America at the moment. And the picture is changing fast. I think Europe will remain the biggest market for some time. And I think also, let's say, the bottlenecks will be different in the different markets because of supply and demand, let's say, imbalances that are different in the different markets. But we do see that Asia is a market that now has the ability to bring -- to build pipelines of work with more markets being online. So we see Korea is growing pretty fast. Taiwan has more a clear pathway to offshore wind. Japan is also having a clearer pathway. Vietnam is still a difficult market and a market that might be, let's say, mostly supported by the Chinese and then Australia.

But we do see that the region, even excluding Vietnam is a region where there is an ability to build up a pipeline. And so hence, we believe very much in Asia. The Philippines are also growing as we speak but it's still some years out, and they will certainly not use Chinese supply chain. In the U.S., I think it's non disputable fact that the U.S. will be a big market Trump or no Trump, I would almost say. And that is a market that we keep, let's say, a focus on as well. We said more than 2 years ago that we took a backseat approach to the U.S. market, and I think it was the right decision. But now working in the U.S., I think that on a case-by-case basis, we will work there if the risk and the reward is balanced. And I think that this is the discussion that we have with our clients at the moment, and I think that we also and an aligned level in terms of how to do these markets.

So I think Europe, first, Asia second, U.S., third and South America fourth.

U
Unknown Executive

Could you go through your assumptions for the upper end, high end of your 2024 guidance to interval in more detail when it comes to options being exercised and potential additional working days on top of the options.

P
Peter Hansen
executive

Yes. We will not guide that detail or granular but of course, it is. The lower end of the range is where we see the firm contracts and the already executed options, whereas in the upper end is where we fill in some spaces and some more options are utilized. So that is the dynamic in the range of revenue and thereby also EBITDA.

U
Unknown Executive

Thank you, Peter. Another question here is, do you aim for organic growth or new mergers as you see it?

M
Mikkel Gleerup
executive

I think we are open to both. We know that the organic growth just by adding so many [ spares ] for the newbuilds. But we are open to both, but I want to make it very, very clear. Eneti was all about that tick all the boxes. We believe very much in that merger. And we have to believe in a merger in order to go down that route. We have looked at many things, and we have also said no to many things. So we are not deeply hungry. We wanted to make sense for us as a company, for our investors and for our clients because this is where our true value is built. And that is how we want to build the company. We don't want to make it, let's say, a less attractive company by doing mergers. That is not our interest at all or in the interest of the investors the clients or anybody else.

U
Unknown Executive

Thank you, Mikkel. Could you, in broad terms, point out what are the future potential business risks as you see them?

M
Mikkel Gleerup
executive

I think that we are a company that is projects. So we have project risks, we have the safety risks. We are lifting ginormous equipment on the vessels, big in size, big in scale, big and weight and it is complicated. But I think that what has defined Cadeler is our execution risk -- our execution ability, sorry. And I think that also the fact that we are delivering the crane renewal on time, on budget is a testament to that. And we're also on track with the new builds that were Cadeler legacy projects. We are focusing on this. We will also be running a safety culture program on the legacy Eneti vessels during 2024. We have just gone through the same process in the last 1.5 years on the Cadeler vessels to really ensure that we are at the best place where we can be because safety is really what should keep management awake at night because if our operations are not able to get our people home safe that is not acceptable. And hence, we want to ensure that we have done everything possible to ensure that our people get home safe to their families.

U
Unknown Executive

Thank you very much. One last question here. You mentioned floating wind, but is there any other potential business areas that you're looking into?

M
Mikkel Gleerup
executive

I think we have discussed it publicly in the past also that the cable laying for us is an interesting space. The reason that we like cabling is that it actually builds on some of the fundamentals that Cadeler is built on. Strong engineering capabilities, strong project execution capabilities, but also there's a strong synergy with the foundation installation. And we do see some of our clients have a preference for scoping these 2 scopes into 1 scope. And hence, we are looking at it, but we will not go into this speculatively. It's a different market. And rightly, I would say that it has to be in a partnership with a client or in some sort of a partnership with somebody who already does this but it's a market that we are keeping an eye on. And if an attractive opportunity comes, then we will, of course, be discussing with our investors.

U
Unknown Executive

Thank you very much, Mikkel. I think this concludes the questions for now. So thank you for your answers, and thank you for the questions out there.

M
Mikkel Gleerup
executive

That's perfect. So right on time. Thanks to everybody who listened in for this hour. I hope that you benefited from this. As always, we want to run a very transparent operation here. So Peter and I are, of course, available if there's anything that was not properly answered in this presentation. But thanks for the support. Thanks for the continued support to every single investor from one share and to big holdings of the company. We are really, really pleased with the support that you give Cadeler. Thanks a lot.

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