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Odfjell Drilling Ltd
OSE:ODL

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Odfjell Drilling Ltd Logo
Odfjell Drilling Ltd
OSE:ODL
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Price: 59.5 NOK 3.3%
Updated: Jun 3, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q1

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J
James Crothers
executive

Good afternoon, everybody, and welcome to the Odfjell Drilling Q1 2024 Results Presentation. My name is James Crothers and I'm the Investor Relations Officer of the company.

I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Kjetil Gjersdal; and our Chief Financial Officer, Frode Syslak. Before we begin, your attention is brought to the important information slide of our presentation, which we would encourage participants to read into.

Note that this presentation is only a summary of the quarter and a more comprehensive review of the quarter will be -- is available separately. Both the reports and today's presentations are available on our website, www.odfjelldrilling.com.

Our call today will begin with a brief summary of the quarter with Kjetil taking us through some of the key highlights. We will then move on to discussing our operations during Q1 and then move on to our financial review with Frode. We will then summarize the presentation and close the call.

Following the presentation, we'll open the Q&A session, and we invite all participants to submit something either via telephone line or electronically by the webcast tools which are available.

And with that, I'll hand over to Kjetil, our CEO, who will take us through the key highlights.

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

Thank you, James, and good afternoon, everybody. So we had a busy start to the year. A lot of progress has been made across the company. And if we look first at our key financial results, you can see that during Q1, we achieved a revenue of $194 million which is a new record for our company and an EBITDA of $85 million.

Our Own Fleet achieved a financial utilization of 97% during Q1. That is despite what has been a tough winter with a lot of weather, particularly in the North Sea. Our balance sheet continues to get stronger and stronger. The leverage ratio has now reduced to 1.8x and our equity ratio is 62%, and as noted previously, we have also repaid the $53 million Samsung Yard Credit during Q1.

And as of this quarter, our fleet is now fully booked until 2026, following the exercise of priced options by Equinor for the use of Deepsea Stavanger, and we have also made considerable progress on our upcoming SPS programs with a Deepsea Atlantic now planned to take place in late June, early July. And as noted in our report published today, we have increased our CapEx allocation for the 3 remaining SPS programs, which I will go a little bit deeper into -- later into the presentation.

And lastly, we have declared yet another quarterly dividend of $14.2 million for Q1 2024.

So moving then into operations. All of our fleet was active during the period with 5 of our units operating offshore in Norway and 3 working offshore Namibia. As per previous quarters, the Deepsea Aberdeen, the Atlantic and Stavanger were all working with Equinor.

The Atlantic and Stavanger were working on Johan Sverdrup Phase 2 and on various exploration projects, while the Aberdeen was working on the Svalin field before moving back to the Breidablikk field towards the end of the period.

The Deepsea Nordkapp remained working with Aker BP on the all [ 5 ] development throughout the quarter. The Yantai was working with Neptune Energy and Vår Energy on appraisal and exploration campaign. The Deepsea Mira continue to work with TotalEnergies on exploration campaigns around the Venus discovery. And post period is moving to new projects in Congo.

It is actually on transit there as we speak. The Deepsea Bollsta was working with Shell throughout Q1 before it begins its SPS program in Namibia during Q2.

And I'm sure as many of you are well aware, the Hercules successfully completed the [ Mope ] exploration well, which -- and had a significant discovery being made. Galp Energy, the operator, suggested resources of at least $10 billion, which reiterates the scale opportunity that's being proven in Namibia. And as a result of these movements, we are likely to see all of our units, no longer drilling offshore Namibia during Q2.

The operators are considering the next step for that basin. But given the potential that has been discovered so far and the likelihood of resources to extend also into South Africa, a portion of the Orange Basin.

We remain very excited about the potential for this area and we believe it's going to be a significant source of demand in a not-so-distant future in that area. Further, our fleet, as I said, is officially sold out with firm backlog until 2026.

The first contracting opportunity is then the Deepsea Aberdeen in early 2026. The backlog remains strong with $1 billion of firm contract revenue secured giving our company an exceptional feature for cash generation going forward. As can be seen in the lower chart on the slide here, the value of the 2025 backlog indicates that we are gradually rolling our fleet over to higher day rates, and marking a significant increase if you compare to 2023 levels. Further contract awards are expected to be secured during '24 with the company being actively involved in new tenders and contract discussions.

And before I move on, just a reminder, all of our backlog figures and contract values are clean day rates, and they don't include any services on top or nor any bonuses on performances and fuel and so on. If we look at the market, as we noted in our results statement this morning, we reiterate our view that the market dynamics that we've seen over the past year or so that they will persist.

We also see that there remains a clear preference for Tier-1 units with deepwater capability, which offers a more efficiently, a more flexible solution for our clients and ultimately delivers a lower well cost. Demand also continues to look strong in the medium to long term. Demand from our core area of Norway is said to increase and new resource discoveries in Namibia and South Africa, we believe, could be a driver of quite a significant demand in that basin, also as we move towards development driving. So ultimately, we believe that the market is in a great state of balance, which ultimately works for both operators and rig owners and we expect day rates going forward to continue to increase, beginning around 2025 and '26.

Then also, before I hand over to Frode, I would like to update you on our SPS programs. So currently, we have 3 SPS programs ahead of us for our Own Fleet. We haven't completed the Deepsea Nordkapp at the end of last year. The total cost of that SPS was estimated to be about $40 million. This Atlantic SPS will be completed next, and this is now scheduled to begin late June, early July.

This was originally planned to be executed in April, May, but it has slided into late June, early July. This is due to the fact that the work on Svalin field has taken longer than originally anticipated.

The scope for the Atlantic SPS that includes multiple upgrades to the unit to prepare it for its planned Deepwater campaign in the U.K. And this will include an increase of the variable deck-load capacity, installation of a new ultra-deepwater BOP and the new control system. And the Atlantic SPS, as I said, originally planned to begin early Q1, but it is now slided.

This is also one of the main reasons that we see that the cost has increased in combination with also a general cost inflation, but also some changes in scope of work, added new changes to the work. So all of this has resulted in increased cost to complete the SPS and to install the new BOP, which is now -- the installment of the BOP is now estimated to cost around $50 million.

Out of this, $20 million is funded by Equinor. And the average CapEx allocation for the remaining 3 SPS programs is now estimated to be around $50 million per rig.

And with that, I will now pass it on to you, Frode, to take us through the financial review.

F
Frode Syslak
executive

Thank you, Kjetil. I will begin with highlights from the profit loss statement on Page 11. As can be seen, operating revenue in Q1 '24 was $194 million compared to $171 million in Q1 '23. Operating revenue for the Own Fleet in the quarter was $151 million, while the External Fleet was $42 million. EBITDA for Own Fleet was $81 million, a margin of 54%. The EBITDA for the External Fleet was $6 million, a margin of 16%. Last corporate overhead and other adjustments, the group EBITDA was $85 million. The company delivered a net profit of $14 million in Q1, reduced from last quarter due to a positive impact of deferred tax assets being recognized in Q4 '23. Our net profit over the last 12 months was $70 million. And as can be seen, we are trending the right way on last 12 months revenue and EBITDA figures. Moving to Page 12 on the balance sheet. We see continuing deleveraging of the balance sheet to a net interest-bearing debt of $575 million as of the end of the quarter, and a leverage ratio now reduced to 1.8x. The company has a robust balance sheet with an equity ratio of 62% based on total assets of approx $2.2 billion. The available liquidity is $240 million, including the undrawn RCF of $145 million. As planned, this is reduced from prior quarters as the company in January repaid the 5-year seller's credit of $53 million to Samsung related to Deepsea Nordkapp. We are continuing our consistent generation of operating cash. Q1 produced cash flow from operations of $75 million. Net interest paid was $7 million and tax paid, $5 million. CapEx for the quarter was $27 million. Of this, SPS was $17 million, and the BOP on Atlantic was $9 million. Net cash flow from financing activities was minus $69 million. This includes the Q4 dividend payment of $14 million made in Q1. In accordance with our dividend policy, we maintain a dividend payment of $0.06 per share for the quarter, with the last day, including dividend rights being 23rd of May, and payment to be made on the 13th of June. This will be the fourth consecutive quarterly dividend payment made after the dividend program was implemented. The company's ambition as earlier communicated, is to grow the cash distributions in the medium term, in line with increasing underlying earnings and reducing CapEx commitments. Finally, we wanted to remind stakeholders of an upcoming dilution effect as a result of an issuance of new shares to Akastor under a 6-year warrant agreement. This was initially arranged in 2018 in relation to the acquisition of stranded assets, Stena Midmax, now known as Deepsea Nordkapp. These warrants mature on the 31st of May and has a subscription price for Akastor of $0.01 per share. Based on the share price at yesterday's closing, the warrants will result in around 2.7 million shares being issued to Akastor. The exact number of shares which are issued will depend on the share price on the 30th of May. The indicative impact at various examples, share prices, as shown on the right-hand side of this slide. With that, I'll pass back to Kjetil, who will summarize the presentation.

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

Thanks, Frode. Once again, good operational quarter, another which has been busy, our fleet was fully active and it performed well. Our balance sheet, it keeps getting stronger, and we anticipate this trend to continue going forward. Our view of the market is maintained with supply and demand remaining in balance but with increasing demand in certain areas, which facilitates for stronger day rates. The fleet is in an early phase of moving from legacy day rate, which we will soon see impacting our revenue and EBITDA figures, particularly from Q4 '24 and onwards. And finally, with our outlook for the market remaining positive and our business performing well, we have elected to announce a further quarterly dividend of $14.2 million. So with that summary, I will pass it on back to you, James, for the Q&A.

J
James Crothers
executive

George, can you please open the Q&A session?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is coming from Fredrik Stene from Clarksons Securities.

F
Fredrik Stene
analyst

I have a couple of questions for you today, obviously. And I wanted to start with current, call it, contracting climate. I think in your written report, you alluded to potential additional contract awards. This year, you seem to be in active dialogue with some counterparties. And you also mentioned a preference among some operators that they now want to make sure that they are able to keep high-spec assets for longer. So I guess that would be resolved in longer contracts as well. So I guess it's a 2-part question. First, what kind of contracts are you considering? And if you feel that there is something coming or firm up this year, we're talking about stuff to fill up 2026. Are we talking about new fiber contracts? Any color you can give on that would be helpful. And also, how have other P&Cs beyond day rates developed in your contracting discussions? How are we thinking about potential cancellation fees or anything else that protect you as a rig owner?

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

Yes, I guess, the easy answer to your question, Fredrik, is yes to all of the above. We are looking to also filling up '26 and onwards. And there's also interest for longer term work beyond that, both in Norway but also other places. So I would say, in general, there are quite some exciting requests out there, and we are pursuing any -- all of them but in particularly the ones that we find interesting. So yes, hopefully, we can revert back with some news later this year about that. And in terms of -- yes, on terms of conditions, I think you particularly mentioned cancellation rights and so on. I think the industry standard when it comes to harsh environment and the area that we operate in is pretty straightforward. We feel actually very good projected around those, that being reason for various cancellation reasons. And I think what we all see, what our peers see that is terms that we very well can live with and are well projected.

F
Fredrik Stene
analyst

Second question relates to the SPS that you're going to go through Nordkapp being completed, I guess, some kind of payments remain, but the work itself seems to be done, 3 more rigs over the next 12 months-ish that you own yourself, but also some on the managed rigs. And you clearly gave some commentary on how the costs have developed, higher cost and pressure on that. But the time that you're budgeting seems to be the same, which, I guess, is good for just higher revenue efficiency during those periods. But beyond that, are there any additional risk related to Deep SPS schedules going forward? Do you think that there can be even more cost pressure? Or are you starting to look in some of that CapEx on all of the 3 rigs? And as a side question to that and relating to risk, in particular, you have some of the managed rigs also going on to SPS. How is the risk in those SPS split between you and the rig owners? Are you exposed to something if something goes wrong during that SPS period? Or are you still going to collect your management fee?

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

So first, we don't see any risk of further cost increase on the Aberdeen and Stavanger. We feel that, that is very much on control. I think what we have seen on Deepsea Atlantic, the Deepsea Atlantic, it has its 15-year SPS now. Obviously, as all the rigs get the more demanding, these SPSs gets also. We like to maintain our rigs good. We believe that we're going to have them for many, many years going forward. So it's important for us to use this opportunity to get the rigs in the state that will keep the uptime going forward. Also, the Atlantic project is far more complex than the other ones, as it includes a lot of upgrades, which will be performed simultaneously with the remaining SPS. So that makes that Atlantic projects quite special compared to the other ones, which are pretty more straightforward SPSs and such with a lower risk. So that, I believe, was the answer to your first question. The other question was about SPS on our managed rigs. And that is -- I mean, the owner of the rigs have the responsibility for the SPS cost is on. I want to keep in mind that the SPS for Bollsta and for Mira, these are the first SPS for these rigs, 5-year SPSs. We saw that in lookup normally a much easier scope. So I don't see the risk there being particularly high. Of course, doing it in Namibia has some challenges, but nothing more than we can handle. I'd also like to note that on Mira, a lot has been done already on the SPS before the rig left Bergen down to Africa. So -- and with regards to management fees with the different fees regulated on the activity level of the rig and we still receive our compensation as we should with the contract that we have with the owners during that period as well.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We do not appear to have any further audio questions coming at this moment. So I'd like to turn the call over to James to take any questions that were submitted through the webcast.

J
James Crothers
executive

So with a few questions coming through on the -- thank you very much for all these that have been submitted so far. So I'll take this question first. So which day rates do you believe new builds could be considered? Kjetil, maybe that's one for you.

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

Yes. That's an interesting question. I think, there's been a lot of talk about it. But if you do some very easy math, you'll be looking at the price around $800 million for a rig. I think depending on the contract length, you will definitely need a lengthy contract, 5 years or above. And I think you're looking at day rates around $800,000 a day to make that happen as we see it today. That is due to the fact that the price of the rig, the lead time, the payment terms, the execution risk and so on. So that will be my quick answer today.

J
James Crothers
executive

We have other question here. What revenue and costs hit your profit and loss when a managed rig does not have work? How much of the BOP upgrade will hit in 2024 CapEx? And when is the Deepsea Stavanger scheduled to start the Aker BP, Kjetil? Maybe we take that last question first. That's probably the easiest to start with, Kjetil, you want to talk about that?

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

Yes, I can start with the Stavanger. So as for now, Deepsea Stavanger is expected to work for Equinor throughout '25 and it will then move over to Aker BP in the beginning of '26, where it will start its 5-year contract with Aker BP.

J
James Crothers
executive

And yes, do you want to take the next question -- the previous 2 questions on how revenue and costs in P&L when the managed rig doesn't have work and how much of the BOP would be into 2024 CapEx?

F
Frode Syslak
executive

Yes. So on the managed rigs not having work, we will have full cost coverage of the personnel and other expenses. However, our daily management fee is reduced when rigs are idle. Meaning that the bottom line from the external rig segment will be reduced. But still, we are on a daily management fee, although lower than when the units are in operation. Regarding the BOP, much of that is already paid per Q1, more than half -- the remaining half of the $50 million is expected paid during 2024.

J
James Crothers
executive

Looking into 2025, when the SPSs are all complete for Own Fleet, what's the priority for use of cash?

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

As you said, it all depends on the revenue generation and then hopefully, our CapEx commitment goes as planned. This will be -- the dividend policy will be considered by the Board every quarter. And -- but what we see is that there will be definitely more capacity to do something about that from 2025 and onwards and maybe even earlier.

J
James Crothers
executive

So we've had a few questions on increasing the size of the fleet. How does the company feel about the idea of doing that and how could we possibly do that?

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

Yes. I can -- from an industrial point of view, as an industry, we still think there's room for consolidation and we would like to be an active participant in those discussions. As we have repeatedly said, for Odfjell Drilling, any consolidation would need to be accretive on a relative valuation, implied rig values and so on. And from a free cash flow to equity per share and as a result, dividend per share perspective. So there's various ways to do this. We can use the share, for instance, if we're talking about a share deal, the free cash flow to equity per share is a very key metric in that equation. I mean, I think also when we talk about M&A, you have to take another perspective. And that is how we see the future of our industry, and it's about taking a strategic approach. But again, we will take a holistic approach, and we will only do something if we believe it adds value to Odfjell Drilling's shareholders.

J
James Crothers
executive

Last question is coming in. So please do, you probably can't answer all of them. Maybe we'll just take 1 or 2 more. If we don't answer your question, please just send me an email directly. My email is just at the bottom of PowerPoint and online as well. So a quick question here is that any challenges specifically performing SPSs in Namibia relative to doing them in Norway?

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

It is a bit more challenging during it -- down there logistically-wise and access to yards and key sites and so on. However, the situation that we have in Bollsta now and the white space available to do it allows us to do it in a very controlled way and we have a good opportunity to do it with costs under control. So yes, the answer is yes, but we are managing it.

J
James Crothers
executive

And maybe take one more question from the webcast. It's about new builds again. But if we were to order a rig today, how many yards could realistically make a harsh environment semi sub? And I suppose what would it look like?

K
Kjetil Gjersdal
executive

Okay. No, I mean, actually, I know who used to make them. There's some in Korea, there's some in Singapore and you have the Chinese. However, if all of them are still willing to do it, I don't know, to be honest. So I think that we have not spent a lot of time in exploring new build opportunities. So I don't have any fresh info from the yards there.

J
James Crothers
executive

I think we'll be closing the webcast questions for now, if you have any other questions that weren't asked -- were answered by us on this call, please do just send them on.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

James, there's no questions coming at this time.

J
James Crothers
executive

Okay. Thank you all for joining and for your interest in the company. Also Odfjell Drilling's next conference call on results will be on the 21st of August. If you like any more color on today's results, or if you do have any other further questions, just for you to get in touch at my email address, which is jchu@odfjelldrilling.com. Thanks very much for joining. George and team, I think it concludes the call.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. Thanks for your attendance. You can now disconnect. Have a good day, and goodbye.