AltaGas Ltd
TSX:ALA

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TSX:ALA
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Updated: May 28, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2021-Q2

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Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the AltaGas Second Quarter 2021 Financial Results conference call. My name is [ Anis ], and I will be your operator for today's call. [Operator Instructions] After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. As a reminder, this conference call is being broadcast live on the Internet and recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Adam McKnight, Director, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Mr. McKnight.

A
Adam McKnight
Director of Investor Relations

Thanks, Anis, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for the AltaGas' second Quarter 2021 Financial Results conference call. Speaking on the call this morning will be Randy Crawford, President and Chief Executive Officer, James Harbilas, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. We're also joined here this morning by Randy Toone, Executive Vice President and President of our Midstream business, Blue Jenkins, Executive Vice President, President of our Utilities Business, and Jon Morrison, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Development.Consistent with prior quarters, in addition to the second quarter press release, financial statements and MD&A that were released earlier today, we've also published a first quarter earnings summary presentation. This presentation walks through the quarter and highlights some of the variances and nonrecurring items that we would assume would be helpful for the market to understand, and it's available on our website under Events and Presentations tab.As always, today's prepared remarks will be followed by an analyst question-and-answer period. I'll remind everyone that we will be available after the call for any follow-up or detailed modeling questions. We'll proceed on the basis that everyone is taking the opportunity to review the press release and our first quarter results. And for the structure of the call, we'll start with Randy Crawford to provide some comments on our second quarter performance and the progress on our strategic priorities. Followed by James Harbilas, providing a more detailed walk-through of our financial results, near-term outlook and guidance, and then we'll leave plenty of time at the end for Q&A.Before we begin, we'll also remind everyone that we will refer to forward-looking information on today's call. This information is subject to certain risks and uncertainties as outlined in the forward-looking information disclosure on Slide 2 of our investor presentation, which can be found on our website and more fully within our public disclosure filings on both the EDGAR and the CR system. And with that, I'll now turn the call over to Randy.

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Thank you, Adam, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased to announce that AltaGas delivered strong second quarter results, continue to execute on our strategic plan and positioned ourselves to meet the company's 2021 and longer-term growth plans.Our operating results were in line with our expectations for the quarter and reflect the benefit of operating a diversified set of long life infrastructure assets that are positioned to provide resilient and durable value for our shareholders. Despite ongoing headwinds associated with the U.S. dollar exchange rate, we delivered normalized earnings per share growth of 33% normalized. EBITDA growth of 12% and FFO growth of 10% year-over-year.Our U.S. utility business underpinned by our continued investment to update our pipeline network to reduce emissions, along with updated rates from our DC and Maryland jurisdictions, delivered 35% year-over-year EBITDA growth in local currency. These actions will result in better customer outcomes and provide reduced operating costs. Providing safe and reliable and affordable service to our customers across all 5 jurisdictions in which we operate as paramount. The sustainable operational efficiencies that we achieve are driving improved results and better outcomes for our customers. New customer growth at WGL continues to track ahead of our expectation and is in line with the robust population growth we've seen in the DMV area over the past decade, which has been higher than the national average by nearly 25% since 2010.On July 1, we filed a new rate case at one of our Alaska utility, CINGSA, requesting a U.S. $1.9 million rate increase and is a continuation of our ongoing plan to remain active in keeping our rates up-to-date. We are also pleased to make headway in promoting combined heat and power to larger commercial and industrial customers during the quarter, which is advancing our lower carbon focus that is part of our climate business plan.In the years ahead, we will continue to operate with a high degree of regulatory, capital and cost discipline that we believe is synonymous with delivering the best customer and stakeholder outcomes, which should also deliver steady normalized EPS and FFO per share growth. We believe this disciplined approach provides the foundation to support AltaGas' long-term strategic plan, and we'll continue to reward all of our stakeholders. We continue to build a world-class midstream and global export business and delivered another quarter of record volumes across the platform.Our utilities continue to achieve sustainable operational efficiencies and improved financial performance as we prioritize the health and safety of our employees, our customers and our stakeholders. Our midstream business is performing incredibly well, with record volumes in our global export businesses and solid volume growth across our entire platform. Our global export business shipped a record 90,106 barrels a day of North American propane and butane to Asia during the second quarter.Gas processing and fractionation volumes through our facilities were up 12% and 35% year-over-year, respectively, and continues to demonstrate that our platform is well positioned for future of the Montney. The outlook for Western Canadian supply growth looks increasingly positive, and we are witnessing strong well capitalized producer activity around our Montney focused platform in northeastern D.C.During the quarter, we exported 15 very large gas carriers to Asia with Ferndale exceeding 50,000 barrels a day in June, a new record for that terminal. Also during the quarter, we closed the purchase of approximately 1,600 acres of land adjacent to Ferndale LPG export facility. Incremental land will provide Petrogas with enhanced logistics flexibility and optionality to advance our promising future energy development initiatives that are aligned with the larger energy transition.From a strategic standpoint, AltaGas entered into a 7-year time charter with a 3-year optional extension for 2 new dual fuel VLGC's that will go into service in late 2023 and early 2024. The contract extends AltaGas' reached into the Asian market for its products and further derisk AltaGas' long-term export strategy.The procurement of the dedicated vessels will reduce shipping costs by approximately 25% compared to prevailing market rates and reduced pricing volatility. The vessels can carry 15% larger cargoes than the standard VLGC. As such, the vessel's deployment will drive reduced costs and provide better environmental outcomes.Heading into the second half of the year, we remain confident we will achieve our increased guidance ranges, and we remain on target to reduce our net debt to normalized EBITDA ratio by up to 5.5x over the course of 2021, and we'll continue to remain focused on further de-risking the platform. Longer term, we will continue to operate long life infrastructure assets that deliver durable and growing EPS and FFO per share for today and tomorrow and provide the foundation for steady dividend growth and provide the opportunity for ongoing capital appreciation.As we have said in the past, we continue to believe that natural gas will play a critical role in the energy transition as the fuel of the future. Our assets are long life and provide a great deal of future optionality. These assets provide the critical infrastructure needed to deliver low carbon natural gas today, while providing a foundation for delivery of carbon-free solutions in the years ahead, including renewable gas and hydrogen. And through this transition, we will tirelessly advocate for the best outcomes for the consumer and ensure that we are focused on delivering long-term sustainability in all forms; including economic, safety and environmental.And with that, I will turn the call over to James to dig into the operational and financial results of the quarter in more detail.

D
D. James Harbilas
Executive VP & CFO

Thank you, Randy, and good morning, everyone. Overall, the second quarter was a relatively clean quarter for us, and results were right in line with our expectations. Strong performance across all of our core businesses and the significant year-over-year EPS and FFO per share growth clearly demonstrates the visibility and growth within our utilities and midstream businesses and the continued execution of our strategic priorities.Petrogas continues to be a strong contributor for our integrated midstream business as it provides increased scale and optionality along our midstream value chain that realize continued volume growth across the entire platform. Our utility results were driven by our continued investment across our network, acute cost discipline and fewer COVID-19 headwinds.During the second quarter of 2021, we delivered normalized EPS of $0.08 compared to $0.06 in the second quarter of 2020, representing a 33% year-over-year increase. Normalized FFO per share of $0.56 compared to $0.51 in the second quarter of 2020, representing a 10% year-over-year increase and normalized EBITDA of $230 million compared to $206 million in the second quarter of 2020, representing a 12% year-over-year increase.Our utility results reflected the normal seasonal slowdown in energy demand that is associated with the spring and summer months and reported normalized EBITDA of $99 million compared to $80 million in Q2 2020, representing a 24% increase year-over-year. Strong operating performance across the segment was somewhat offset by a $9 million unfavorable move in the U.S. to Canadian dollar exchange rate. In local currency, EBITDA was up $28 million or 35% year-over-year.Utility segment growth continues to be underpinned by our disciplined investment in our distribution systems through our previously approved ARP programs. These programs are focused on driving better customer and environmental outcomes through improved safety and reliability, reduced leak rates and lower operating costs.WGL had another solid quarter with normalized EBITDA of $56 million compared to $44 million in Q2 2020. Excluding the $5 million negative impact of foreign exchange, WGL's EBITDA increased approximately $17 million or 39% year-over-year in local currency. Notable drivers include the rate cases of D.C. and Maryland, which became effective Q2 and late Q1, respectively, the ongoing capital investment across the network and lower COVID-19 related impacts on usage and late fees.This was partially offset by lower asset optimization revenue. As Randy mentioned, we continue to make solid progress towards earning our allowed returns at WGL through a combination of capital, rates and cost discipline, which you continue to see reflected in our quarterly results.SEMCO and ENSTAR's combined normalized EBITDA was $33 million in the second quarter, down $5 million from the same period last year, entirely as a result of the negative impact of foreign exchange. Stronger customer growth and usage was offset by higher G&A costs associated with higher property taxes and employee benefits. And finally, normalized EBITDA from retail energy marketing business was $10 million in the quarter, an increase of $11 million year-over-year, driven by favorable gas and power margins and increased demand from C&I customers.Within our midstream segment, we reported $142 million of normalized EBITDA in the second quarter compared to $111 million in the second quarter of 2020, which represented a 28% year-over-year increase. EBITDA from global exports was approximately $70 million during the second quarter, reflecting the record shipments of LPG's to Asia across 15 VLGCs from the RIPET and Ferndale terminals.Record export volumes were underpinned by strong operational efficiencies across the 2 terminals, demonstrating the value of our expanded midstream operations and the integration of the Petrogas assets as we continue to optimize our operations and logistics networks and embrace best practices across the AltaGas and Petrogas teams.Our processing and fractionation business also realized strong volume growth across the midstream platform with gas processing up 12% year-over-year and fractionation volumes up 35% year-over-year, driven by increasing producer activity on the back of improving fundamentals in commodity prices and a number of customers growing into their contractual commitments. We continue to benefit from our strong footprint in the heart of Montney, which we believe will continue to outpace development in other parts of the basin.Processing and fractionation volumes at our non-Montney facilities were also up year-over-year, driven by increasing drilling activity and the strengthening in commodity prices. We remain focused on actively derisking the midstream platform and reducing commodity price exposure and volatility. We had approximately 84% of our frac exposed volumes for the quarter hedged at $25 a barrel.AltaGas remains well hedged through the balance of 2021 with approximately 79% of 2021 total expected global export volumes [ sold ] or collectively hedged. This includes an average FEI to North American financial hedge price of approximately U.S. $10.79 per barrel for both propane and butane. We also have 98% of our expected frac exposed volumes hedged at $25.70.In the corporate segment, strong contributions from higher generation of life was more than offset by higher G&A costs largely associated with higher long-term incentive plan costs due to the significant increase in our share price during the quarter and year-to-date. Depreciation and amortization expense for the second quarter of 2021 was $108 million compared to $93 million for the same period in 2020. The increase was mainly due to new assets placed in service and the consolidation of the Petrogas assets. Interest expense of $69 million was down slightly over last year's at $71 million as a result of lower average interest rates and a lower U.S. dollar to Canadian dollar exchange rate, which were partially offset by higher average debt balances.We continue to make significant progress towards strengthening our financial position and improving our leverage ratios through 2021, which include reducing net debt by more than $630 million year-to-date, which was supported by the sale of the noncore U.S. transportation and storage business on April 23. This was an important milestone as it reflected the continuation of our strategy and ongoing efforts to derisk the platform and deleverage the balance sheet.We are reiterating the increased guidance that we made concurrent with first quarter results, which includes $1.65 to $1.80 for normalized EPS and $1.475 billion to $1.525 billion for 2021 normalized EBITDA. Our 2021 capex outlook remains unchanged at approximately $910 million.As Randy mentioned, our corporate strategy remains unchanged as we are focused on operating long life infrastructure assets that provide resilient and durable value for our stakeholders. Our focus continues to be steady returns that compound value over time. That concludes our prepared remarks, and we would be happy to turn it over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Dariusz Lozny with Bank of America.

D
Dariusz Lozny
Research Analyst

My first one is I wanted to follow-up on -- you mentioned chartering a couple of vessels for your export strategy. I was just curious how you're thinking about that on a go-forward basis? Are you going to be looking to potentially acquire more capacity to vertically integrate the logistics side of things a little bit? And also, how could you possibly -- or how might you do that in terms of transportation of NGL's to Ferndale and RIPET facilities? I know you've mentioned in the past that logistics had been an issue. So just curious how you're thinking about that on a prospective basis.

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Well, thank you for the question. When we looked at the value proposition of the 2 ships, our first driver was the commitment that it's going to reduce our shipping costs by 25%. So that's a key to improving our -- being a low-cost shipper for our customers and continuing to improve our gross margin. So -- but overall, we feel like this is a strategic to control more of the value chain to the markets and essentially reaching further into the market on our customers going forward. So it's -- the 2 ships are a small part of that, and it's the beginning of us creating optionality for ourselves and our customers going forward.

D
Dariusz Lozny
Research Analyst

Okay. Great. And one more, if I could. I'm just curious about your power assets. I know you've clearly said in the past that those are considered noncore. We've been seeing a lot of news in California, specifically about resource adequacy and things along those lines. So just curious how those -- how you're thinking about plans for those power assets either now or in the intermediate term?

D
D. James Harbilas
Executive VP & CFO

Yes. It's James here. Dariusz. I mean obviously, we -- our thinking hasn't changed around Blythe. I mean, the power segment has been identified as something that's on core. That being said, though the asset is performing extremely well. It's been -- second year in a row here where it's being dispatched significantly higher than where it has been historically, and it's obviously helping to meet some of the power shortages in California. We think that the asset has a bright future in terms of being able to meet California's power needs. So we're not in a rush to sell it, but we said that if the right value comes along and it fully reflects the intrinsic value of that asset, and it's accretive to our debt metrics, we would consider it, but nothing in the plans right now.

Operator

Your next question comes from Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan.

J
Jeremy Bryan Tonet
Senior Analyst

On the land acquisition that you announced today, the 1,600 acre land, can you speak on the potential energy transition opportunities?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Sure. Give you a little color on that. I think besides the sizable breadth of the land, it has access to hydropower. It's in close proximity to carbon capture opportunities. So in the short run, we plan to use the land to expand our rail system to handle unit trains, which will increase efficiency, lower our logistics costs. In the longer term, we're exploring all the low emissions opportunities. Including construction of hydrogen facilities that will enhance our product mix and further position AltaGas as a -- become an energy export leader up the West Coast of North America. And I'm confident that the culture of innovation at AltaGas and our track record of building challenging and complicated projects will position us to succeed.But this is going to take several years, right? And it's going to require some governmental policy support, but there's no debate, we're heading into a lower carbon world. And overall, our asset base is well positioned to be at the forefront in my judgment in this energy transition.

J
Jeremy Bryan Tonet
Senior Analyst

Got it. And then one more just on the export side. It seems like you've been able to capitalize on that pretty well. Just wondering how the synergies for the Petrogas integration and the optimization across RIPET and Ferndale have been tracking against your initial expectations?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Yes, I'm going to let Randy Toone comment on that because his team has done just an excellent job, and it's exceeding our expectations, quite frankly. And you can see it in the results that the overall efficiency and flexibility and synergies have been tremendous. And the team is hitting on all cylinders. So Randy, you want to add?

R
Randy W. Toone
Executive VP & President of Midstream

Jeremy, yes, we were initially -- we're targeting $30 million worth of synergies for the year, and we are expected to do more than that. The 2 businesses come together. We've really identified a lot of great things to do. And you can see it with our export capability to both Ferndale and RIPET. And we think that we're going to do even more in the second half of this year.

Operator

Your next question comes from Rob Hope with Scotiabank.

R
Robert Hope
Analyst

First question continues on the export team. With the increasing volumes and activity that we're seeing in Northeast B.C., has that driven any incremental conversations on additional contracting or tolling of RIPET that could support an expansion?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Rob, thank you for the question. Conversations with producers are constructive, right, and we speak to them regularly, and we are focused on securing additional tolling volumes at RIPET and Ferndale. So we're currently at 35% at RIPET and we're targeting higher, higher, percentages. But really, the recent strengthening of fundamentals, improving commodity prices are starting to support the conversation, and we are seeing increased interest from aggregators who want to participate on the upside of having direct access to the Asian market.So in summary, Rob, I'll tell you that the industry consolidation is resulting in stronger counterparties, larger balance sheets, capable of taking long-term commitments. So with our greater scale and the tools in our toolbox around logistics and supply chain, we're optimistic that we'll continue to provide that access and increase tolling volumes into the future.

R
Robert Hope
Analyst

All right. I appreciate that. And then just kind of a question on the similar vein. When we take a look at the synergies of having 2 export terminals on the West Coast, are you able to move barrels in between the 2 facilities? Like, for instance, if we're seeing kind of fires impacting B.C. rail, could you ship them down to Ferndale? And the fact that you do have Ferndale, does that push off the need to expand RIPET as you could further optimize your existing capital first?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Yes. I mean, I think you're spot on. And look, the fact is even we'll move ships between the 2 ports from the rail logistics, we have some challenges and we've had with some of the CNN and some of the fire pits. But overall, our ability to reroute those to our facilities and that [ optionality ] has created significant benefits and opportunities, and we're just scratching the surface.So Randy, do you want to add anything more to that?

R
Randy W. Toone
Executive VP & President of Midstream

Yes. As we've talked about before, RIPET can do more than we're currently doing the 50,000 barrels a day. We think we can get that above closer to, say, 70,000 barrels a day, and it's all about logistics and the Petrogas and AltaGas assets combined have made us more efficient on the logistics front. And so we are going to continue to optimize both terminals to increase export volumes.

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

And I'll add that just the 2 products also provides us another layer of optimization of our assets, right, depending on the availability and the logistics associated with that. So really a lot of value to the scale and optionality. So thank you for the question.

Operator

Your next question comes from Robert Catellier with CIBC.

R
Robert Catellier

I wondered if you could provide your initial thoughts on how the Blueberry River First Nation case can impact both current operations and future development in the Montney, not just for the industry but also for your specific strategy?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Yes. Well, AltaGas has had just excellent stakeholder relationships with all the first nations, and particularly the blueberry. And so clearly, our asset position, having existing capacity and to be able to take the growing volumes is certainly something of value to us. And it makes us distinctive. So we think it's somewhat of a competitive advantage.Clearly, as we work with all of our stakeholders going forward, we think that our constructive relationships are not going to impact a lot of our future growth. But I think it's important to understand that it's -- from our perspective, when you have access to land and someone's land that it's important to have an excellent relationship with them and to manage the environment that impacts along the way. So we have -- I think they have an excellent relationship, and I think that, that's how we were going to progress going forward.Randy, do you want to...

R
Randy W. Toone
Executive VP & President of Midstream

No, I think Randy said it, I think our stakeholder Relations group has done a great job in Northeast B.C. and even around RIPET, and we know that we have to work with the first nations to do any kind of development, and we've always done that. So we don't think that this ruling is going to have a major impact to our business.

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

And we think we can help our producers in those in the North Montney to continue to develop, and we can leverage those strong relationships going forward.

R
Robert Catellier

Okay. For the sake of further clarity, the timing of the purchase of the 1,600 acres of Ferndale and the timing of the Blueberry River case, that's just coincidental and it doesn't reflect the pivot of your focus, perhaps reporting more emphasis on Ferndale?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

No. No, those are just coincide on the timing, no. We've been focused on optimizing Ferndale and our core competency around exporting, and we're very bullish on North Montney and the development there, too. So no change in the fact of our integrated strategy overall.

R
Robert Catellier

Yes, that's what I thought. And just last question for me then is on the retail. That's quite a notable improvement, the results there year-over-year. Can you speak a little bit more to the drivers there and whether you foresee that as being sustainable over the next 12 months?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Blue, I'll let you comment on that.

D
Donald M. Jenkins

Yes, of course. Yes, good question, Rob. Notably, the challenge we had in Q2 of last year was related to that was the first full quarter where we were facing the COVID impact. And so of course, our usage expectations and profiles didn't match our transportation and purchase profile. So as we've gotten more confident in those usage profiles, etc., what you see this year is a better management and more reflective of our expectations as we work our way through COVID. So really, the change was just coming into the year with the expectations of COVID and being able to manage around that usage profile.So yes, we do think we're slightly above budget for the year, and we expect that to look the same as we go throughout the year. So will it continue? Yes, we think so. We just -- we weren't surprised by a full quarter of COVID this year.

R
Robert Catellier

Right. So it's more to do with COVID effects coming off that it has to do with the winter storm effect and maybe incentivizing more demand for retail products?

D
Donald M. Jenkins

Correct. So -- no, demand has been good. Yes, I would characterize there was minimal, if any, impact from the winter storm activity.

Operator

Your next question comes from Ben Pham with BMO.

B
Benjamin Pham
Analyst

I wanted to go back on some of your comments on the new acreage of hydrogen. Is the thought process, I wanted to clarify that you would not be getting in the production of hydrogen. It seems more to benefit from that market expanding and if it's more the expectation or exportation of hydrogen that you would be looking at?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Yes. This is -- yes, this is a longer-term vision. Then in terms of all the attributes and our additional land purchase. And so the fact that, as I mentioned in my previous answer and in the comments, some of the attributes associated with our access to ports, hydropower, green power as well as pipeline access there that we have a vision in the long run. Again, this is a long-term transition, right? And we're looking at that into the future, keeping our eye on the fact that we have a strong track record of building challenging and other projects.So again, long term, nothing immediate, no significant dollars to invest, but just wanted to make sure that investors understood the attributes of this and how we're looking at the future energy transitions and serving our customer needs in Asia to help them transition to cleaner burning fuels and reduce carbon emissions.

B
Benjamin Pham
Analyst

That was -- thanks, Randy. And there's also a mention of Alberta power prices benefiting your results, have been hearing that price impacts you for some time. Is that just simply that your Cogen plants output into the market? Are you just moving some of the volumes internally to the external market?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Yes. I think the answer is yes. Randy, I'll let you comment about that specifically.

R
Randy W. Toone
Executive VP & President of Midstream

Yes, that's just with our Cogen facilities at Harmattan complex, we've been able to take advantage of the high-power price in Alberta.

B
Benjamin Pham
Analyst

And do you usually sell that to the spot market? Are you using that -- do you typically use that -- or you typically use that internally?

R
Randy W. Toone
Executive VP & President of Midstream

Those Cogens are largely to provide power to Harmattan. And then with the excess volume we sell into the grid on a [ slot basis ].

B
Benjamin Pham
Analyst

Okay. And then maybe my last question is on the spread. Like what's been impacting some of the softness in this spread? Do you think it's the supply-driven, demand driven combination?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

We're -- look, we continue to see robust demand information, certainly local domestic prices. But the spreads continue to come in a [ dip ] here, but you can see in the forward outlook that they continue to be stronger on what we expect and have seen increasing demand going forward.So -- and you got -- Ben, as you know, I mean, our structural advantage around being of the Northwest Coast of North America, provides a significant transportation advantage. And so we're -- we continue to optimize that going forward.

Operator

Our next question comes from Robert Kwan with RBC Capital Markets.

R
Robert Michael Kwan
MD & Energy Infrastructure Analyst

I'm just wondering, you've talked a bunch about things, especially the export side, exceeding expectations, some of the integration and the synergies. And so I'm just kind of wondering, as you were thinking about your guidance, what are some of the headwinds that you're seeing for the second half of the year, things that you're cautious about just in terms of maintaining guidance versus either changing it or even just a directional guide?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Well, Robert, thanks for the question. As you know, we increased our guidance into the first quarter, and we're coming into the second quarter, and I think the team has done an excellent job by continuing to execute. As I said in my prepared remarks. And while we have some currency headwinds and such, I would be disappointed if we're not in the high end of our guidance range going forward. So clearly, we're just in the second half, the team is executing quite clearly in doing a great job. So again, we'll -- we can revisit that, but overall, as an easiest quarter goes buyback. Overall, we're well positioned to get in the high end of our guidance range.James, did you want to give many of the other head…

D
D. James Harbilas
Executive VP & CFO

Yes. Yes, I just wanted to add. Like obviously, Randy touched on one of the headwinds that's been creating volatility for us and everyone else that has U.S. dollar-denominated revenues and EBITDA. So that's something that we keep our eye on for the back half of the year. But right now, propane spreads have been tracking below where they were when we rolled out our guidance. So obviously, as Q3 unfolds and we get into another winter season, we'll see if those rebound and if they create a bit of a tailwind for us. But right now, those are headwinds that we need to take into account with respect to the current guidance range.

R
Robert Michael Kwan
MD & Energy Infrastructure Analyst

Got it. But I thought when you redid your guidance range, didn't you remark your FX assumption? And aren't we slightly ahead of that? So that's a tailwind, actually, isn't it at this point? Flight -- but, still.

D
D. James Harbilas
Executive VP & CFO

Well, so yes. So Robert, I mean, obviously, when we remarked it in the first quarter, we saw it go from what we had in our budget at $132 million down to $126 million. We've seen a further decline in the 5-bank forecast 123. And I think the spot right now is about 124, 125. So if it stays there in the back half of the year, then I agree with you, it would become a tailwind. But when we set -- when we reforecasted the business in the quarter, the exchange rate between Q1 and Q2 is [ down hill ].

R
Robert Michael Kwan
MD & Energy Infrastructure Analyst

Got it. Okay. So is this maybe just a little bit with respect to Randy is disappointed if you're not at the high end, just trying to stay conservative, given you just increased guidance a quarter ago?

D
D. James Harbilas
Executive VP & CFO

Ran -- Randy? Yes, that's…

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Yes. I think -- look, we want to be clear, and we'll visit these each quarter, but I stand by my comment, and the team is doing an excellent job hitting on all cylinders. So.

R
Robert Michael Kwan
MD & Energy Infrastructure Analyst

Got it. If I can just quickly come back to the question around vertical integration and chartering the vessels. How far down the value chain would you be willing to go? Would you be willing to get into receiving terminals on the other side?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

No, I'm not just -- I think what we want to be able to is we're building relationships with our customers, global customers across the world and into Asia. And so our ability to be -- have direct access. Think about it as extending your pipeline right into the market areas. I think where we would be focusing in on our value chain. I think it adds value to our customers as well and derisk the platform. So not a lot further than that, I don't believe.

R
Robert Michael Kwan
MD & Energy Infrastructure Analyst

Got it. If I can just one last question here. We've seen strong asset valuations in private markets. Is that enticing enough for you to look to transact on assets maybe that you wouldn't have considered? Or is your focus pretty squarely at this point on the sale of MVP as it relates to more material dispositions?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Sure. We're -- I think we've demonstrated as a management team that we are focused on creating shareholder value and that we will recycle capital, and we will grow our core assets as we stated. So we have our noncore assets and to the extent that other assets that don't meet necessarily our growth profile or that are better to be monetized and recycled to these tremendous organic growth opportunities we have both in the midstream and utility. We'll look at that, right? But we're not going to -- we're in a position where we continue to improve the strength of our balance sheet, focus on driving organic growth going forward and a long durable, resilient model, increasing our dividends over time.So I guess the short answer is, Robert, we'll look at all of that, right? And -- but overall, our focus is continuing to invest in these core businesses and demonstrate the growth that we have.

Operator

Your next question comes from Patrick Kenny with National Bank.

P
Patrick Kenny
Managing Director

Just maybe back to your G&P business here and the continued trend of consolidation across the E&P sector, specifically in the Montney region. And given where commodity prices are at these days, I'm just curious how far out we might be in terms of needing to expand capacity at either North Pine, Townsend or potentially needing to add infrastructure across other assets in your portfolio?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Sure. No, great question, will. The fortunate part, as we've said in the past, that we've made significant investments in our midstream infrastructure and over $2 billion, investing in our -- obviously, our export capabilities as well as our fractionation and processing assets. So our focus has been -- we're in an enviable position, right, because we can move additional products with the capacity that we have already invested in. So that puts us in a really strong position overall.And while we work with our customers and to stay out in front of this as they develop their world-class resource, we have the opportunity to do module other expansion opportunities with the facilities that we have. So we'll continue to work with our customers. But right now, I think given the fact that we have available opportunities and we can connect our producers to these value global and domestic markets bodes well for our growth and our profitability into the future. So there will be a time there will be needed for additional assets, and we'll be -- we stand ready to be there.

P
Patrick Kenny
Managing Director

Okay. Great. And then within the utilities, just curious if you might be working on any emerging opportunities on the RNG front, just with respect to connecting into new supplies there and whether or not this might represent a little bit of upside to that 8% rate base CAGR outlook?

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Yes. No, excellent point. Blue, I'll let you come in. But yes, the team is doing -- looking at all of those, and we've talked a lot about that, and we're bringing some of our first RNG into the system. So Blue, I'll let you comment on the activities.

D
Donald M. Jenkins

Yes. You bet. Thanks, Randy. Yes, Patrick, good question. So we signed a recent small deal with a local RNG facility, building the facilities and pipeline connections to deliver gas to that facility and, of course, take RNG from the facility. We are scrubbing several others and are working actively across the region for those opportunities. So yes, we're optimistic that we'll have more to come and more announcements as we go. Some of those are in fairly early stages. But yes, we think there's some upside around RNG over time.

Operator

The last question comes from Linda Ezergailis with TD Securities.

L
Linda Ezergailis
Research Analyst

Just wanted to follow-up again on your intriguing extending into vessels opportunity and the optionality around that. You mentioned that it is the beginning of you creating optionality. I'm wondering if there might be the potential to rent additional vessels? And if you can expand on that comment? And then as a second part to that question, might your optionality extend a little bit upstream as well or into other marketing type opportunities.

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Thank you, Linda. Thank you for the question. The first part of your question about the ships and additional opportunities in the optionality is we're starting here, and we think this makes good sense for the company. It's a small aspect of our overall volumes that we're moving. But if you think about what I mentioned on our structural advantage, our ten-day transportation to the open waters of the Pacific to the growing markets of Asia, China and India as well. I mean, this really does and will create tremendous optionality for ourselves and for our customers and to be able to get them access to these growing markets.So I think it will ultimately allow us, and as you said, even further upstream. So as we optimize our footprint and focus on our leading export footprint that's extremely valuable to a robust Asian market. I believe it will also provide opportunities further upstream, right, to bring on more product, more investments in the basin as well. So yes, it's all calculating a coordinated strategy and steps that we're taking, and we're excited about -- and Randy and Ken Wentworth and the team are doing an excellent job and looking forward as well to create even more value with maximizing the latent capacity that we have. Tremendous [ support ] assets. So thank you for the question.

L
Linda Ezergailis
Research Analyst

And just as a follow-on, with respect to creating optionality and accessing end markets, you've done a great job of expanding access to North American markets to global markets. But what about getting a little bit into upgrading as some of your peers have and accessing new markets through that, whether it be propane or butane or other products being partially upgraded.

R
Randall L. Crawford
President, CEO & Non

Yes. I think that we certainly -- when we are shipping to the global markets, we're getting some of that into upgrading to the [ PDH ] facilities. But our overall focus right now is to maximize the flow of the propane and butane to our customers and such. And so while we'll look upstream in different types of investments right now. I think when I look at our ability to provide almost 100 -- well, we have capacity up in excess of 130,000 barrels to global access markets across the world, right, as opposed to domestic markets alone, I think, is really valuable now. And I think that's where our focus is more on connecting the growth that's going on in Asia with the basin.But again, we'll look at those things, Linda. We're early on. And as we look at refining that product and if we can do upgrades, the team is extremely nimble and entrepreneurial, and we'll look at that. Right now, our focus is just maximizing the capacity and getting our customers connected to those markets.

Operator

This concludes the Q&A portion of today's call. I will now turn the call back to Mr. McKnight.

A
Adam McKnight
Director of Investor Relations

Thanks, Anis. And thank you, everyone, once again for joining our call today and for your interest in AltaGas. Just as a reminder, the IR team will be available after the call for any follow-up questions that you might have. That concludes our call this morning. I hope everyone enjoys the rest of their day. You may now disconnect your phone lines.