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Canaccord Genuity Group Inc
TSX:CF

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Canaccord Genuity Group Inc
TSX:CF
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Price: 8.72 CAD Market Closed
Updated: May 12, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q1

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Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. I’d like to welcome everyone to the Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. Fiscal 2024 First Quarter Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]

As a reminder, this conference call is being broadcast live online and recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Mr. Dan Daviau, President and CEO. Please go ahead, Mr. Daviau.

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Thank you, Operator, and thanks for everyone joining us for today’s call. As always, I’m joined by Don MacFayden, our Chief Financial Officer.

Today’s remarks are complementary to our earnings release, MD&A and supplemental financials. Copies of which have been made available for download on SEDAR and on the Investor Relations section of our website at cgs.com.

Within our update, certain reported information has been adjusted to exclude significant items to provide for a transparent and comparative view of our operating performance. These adjusted items are non-IFRS financial measures. Please refer to our notice regarding forward-looking statements and the description of non-IFRS financial measures that appear on our investor presentation and in our MD&A.

And with that, let’s discuss our first quarter fiscal 2024 results. Firm-wide revenue for the three-month period amounted to $343 million, an increase of 8% compared to the same period last year.

Excluding significant items, pre-tax net income amounted to $33 million, up 20% compared to the same period last year and almost double compared to the previous fiscal quarter. This translated to adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.07 for the three-month period with a $0.20 contribution from Wealth Management being offset by a negative contribution from Capital Markets.

First quarter profitability was impacted by higher interest expense due to market rate increases and several large isolated charges, which led to increased development costs and higher general and administrative expenses.

Firm-wide general and administrative expenses increased 14% year-over-year due to higher promotion and travel expenses, reflecting increased activity levels in connection with conferences and other client engagement opportunities, primarily in our Capital Markets division. Our compensation ratio for the three-month period decreased by 8.4 percentage points year-over-year and 10 percentage points sequentially to 54%, largely reflecting the changes in value of stock-based compensation awards.

While our financial results remain below our expectations, our ability to deliver modest profitability during a period when Capital Markets activities were so challenged across the industry and particularly in several of our core focused sectors reinforces the earnings power of our Wealth Management businesses, which have continued to contribute stable and predictable earnings.

Reflecting this stability, our Board of Directors has approved a dividend per common share of $0.085 in line with the previous quarters. And lastly, we continue to have a strong balance sheet with sufficient capital to support our business priorities.

In light of our expectations for industry-wide activity levels going forward, we undertook a process to establish a more cost-effective organizational structure without compromising our market position or the client experience. This process has led us to think critically about the number of people that we need to advance our strategic priorities while helping our clients reach their goals.

Subsequent to the end of the quarter, we implemented a reduction of approximately 3.7% of our global workforce or 6.5% of our North American workforce. The majority of employee departures occurred in our Capital Markets business in addition to a smaller number in IT and operational roles.

Importantly, these changes do not impact our day-to-day operations or our comprehensive client coverage in key sectors and verticals. As a result of this initiative, the company expects to record a restructuring charge of approximately $10 million in the second fiscal quarter.

This should better position us to achieve our historical profitability ranges in a normalized revenue environment to continue investing strategically in the business and return capital to our shareholders.

Looking at our Global Capital Markets business. Notwithstanding the modest increase in activity levels in the previous fiscal quarter, our performance reflects a continued difficult backdrop for both capital raising and advisory activities.

Revenue of $146 million for the first quarter decreased by 11% compared to the same period last year. This division incurred a pre-tax loss of $7.6 million, with positive contributions from Canada and Australia, offset by losses in the U.S. and U.K. As previously mentioned, profitability in this division was largely impacted by increased general and administrative costs in addition to the impact of fixed cost and a reduced revenue environment.

Consistent with industry trends, investment banking revenue remains well below historical levels. First quarter revenue in this segment amounted to $30 million. Although, this represents an increase of 137% compared to the same period a year ago, I will remind you that we incurred mark-to-market losses in certain inventory and warrant positions during that comparison period.

Our Australian investment banking business contributed 48% of this amount, reflecting improved activity levels in the metal and mining sectors. Activity level in our advisory segment have outperformed the broader market since transaction volumes began to slow in early 2022, which was not unexpected given our core focus sectors. That said, beginning last quarter, the environment for completions has become less supportive.

As a result, first quarter revenue contribution from this segment was 51% lower than the same period last year at $40 million. Approximately 62% of this revenue was contributed by our U.S. business, reflecting activity in the technology and consumer sectors.

It was a difficult quarter for our U.K. Capital Markets business with small cap underwriting and advisory activity in the region at a near standstone. The impact of higher fixed costs in this reduced revenue environment led to an adjusted pre-tax net loss of $6 million. This business continues to be a valuable contributor to our cross-border capabilities in both underwriting and advisory, and we will expect it to improve as market conditions become more constructive.

Demand for capital in our focus sectors remains exceptionally strong. Next week we are hosting our 43rd Annual Global Growth Conference in Boston and it will feature presentations from 440 companies in dynamic growth sectors over four days.

The environment across our industry appears to be improving and we continue to enjoy a healthy pipeline of investment banking and advisory activity. We are seeing a modest uptick in buy-side appetite to put money to work in high-quality new issues. However, there remains a lot of uncertainty in the pace and timing of deals launching and closing. While a significant improvement may not be reflected in the first half of this fiscal year, we reasonably anticipate stronger results towards the back half.

Turning to our Global Wealth business. This division contributed 56% of our firm-wide revenue for the first fiscal quarter. The adjusted earnings per common share from this division amounted to $0.20, which was offset by a loss in our Capital Markets division.

On a consolidated basis, first quarter revenue from this division amounted to $191 million, up 3% from the previous fiscal quarter and up 18% compared to the same period a year ago. The adjusted pre-tax net income contribution increased by 46% year-over-year to $36 million.

Client assets at the end of the three-month period amounted to $97 billion, an increase of 7% compared to the same period last year. 54% or $103 million of revenue in this division was contributed by our U.K. Wealth business and is in line with the record set in the previous quarter. This represents a year-over-year increase of 41%, which primarily reflects substantially higher interest income, and commissions and fee revenue contributed by the PSW acquisition, which was completed in the same period last year.

Looking at our Canadian business, revenue of $73 million was in line with the same period a year ago and adjusted pre-tax net income of $9 million increased by 39% year-over-year. Despite the impact of the prolonged downturn in new issue activity and the reduced market value of client assets, this business has delivered consistent revenue for the last eight quarters.

Buying assets in this business amounted to $37 billion, which is closer to the peak of $38 billion prior to the onset of the market downturn. The increase of 9.8% year-over-year and 4% sequentially is attributed to improving market valuations, positive inflows and new assets from the Mercer acquisition, which closed in the previous quarter. We expect the revenue and net income contribution from this transaction will be more fully reflected in our next fiscal quarter.

Revenue in our Australian business was in line with the same period a year ago at $15 million. Buying assets in this business have increased 15% year-over-year to $5.4 billion and our recruiting efforts have helped us achieve a 6% increase in the number of advisory teams. Despite weak new issue activity, this business achieved modest profitability, which reflects our disciplined investments in growing the business.

In each of our Wealth Management businesses, we’ve increased engagement on a number of fronts aimed at driving both organic and inorganic growth. Across the organization, we’ve been focused on several important initiatives to strengthen our competitive position, drive growth in our Wealth Management businesses and ultimately enhance value for our shareholders. We look forward to keeping you updated on our progress.

Looking at the market backdrop, inflation is starting to come down and we believe the current rate tightening cycle is closer to its end. Like most of our peers, we look forward to a healthy increase in new business activity as our clients begin to anticipate recovery.

Of course, we’re keeping a realistic view of the pace of recovery, knowing that transaction volumes and broad market participation tends to improve sporadically before taking hold for a cycle.

With that, Don and I will be pleased to take your questions. Operator, could you please open the lines?

Operator

Thank you, sir. [Operator Instructions] One moment please for your first question. Your first question will come from Stephen Boland at Raymond James. Please go ahead.

S
Stephen Boland
Raymond James

Good morning. Maybe just a little bit more on, obviously, the departures. You mentioned a good portion was in Capital Markets in Canada and the U.S. I guess I’m trying to see how you balance the departures with some of the comments in your presentation that you expect to go deeper into your core Capital Markets businesses going forward and that’s part of your strategy. I’m just wondering, again, how you balance that out, departures ahead of trying to actually get more penetration within certain your -- with your clients?

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Yeah. Great question, Steve. The -- I don’t think that the statements necessarily are conflicting. When you think of departures, and let’s say, there was 100-ish people in our North American Capital Markets business, that’s sub-4% of the people that we have globally in sub-7% of the people we have in North America.

The -- we can easily take out optionality of the business without impacting our core segments. So some of the exits, not necessarily all of them would have been in sectors and areas that aren’t necessarily core to us or aren’t necessarily core to our business going forward, some of them clearly are.

But when you look at the reductions, it’s significantly less than what other people have seen on the street. We’re probably a little late to it relative to some of our peers as well. Part of that may be impacted by the privatization and other things we were looking at.

But these were relatively marginal, some very good people. But unfortunately, the current environment doesn’t permit us to keep everyone in an environment like this. I’m not quite sure I answered your question perfectly, but that’s the best thing I can do.

S
Stephen Boland
Raymond James

Okay. No. That’s good. And second question is in your presentation as well, your acquisition strategy in the U.K. is, you’re looking to do accretive fin -- look for accretive financing opportunities without diluting the group’s shareholders. So I guess the question would be, one, are you still actively looking for more acquisitions in the U.K. and can you flush that out in terms of accretive financing opportunities?

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Yeah. I mean the -- I guess the first point is, yes, we continue to look at acquisition opportunities in our U.K. Wealth Management business, for sure. We’ve got a lot of offices there. We’ve got a lot of ability to tuck-in acquisitions. We continue to examine a number of different targets.

To the extent that we’re looking at anything bigger, we wouldn’t be using group’s balance sheet. We’ve got mechanisms to fund locally as well there. Not that we’re close to anything bigger, not that I’m even contemplating that necessarily right now, but we’ve got certainly an ability to fund there locally.

We also have a reasonably robust balance sheet domestically in our U.K. Wealth business. We’re not without means in that business to continue to grow smaller acquisitions on our own balance sheet in that market.

So, yeah, I don’t see us getting further outside of something major. I don’t see us getting further diluted in that business. But listen, if we found something wildly accretive and we felt it made sense. I had no problem owning less of something that was worth a lot more so that our interest is worth a lot more. But that’s not currently the plan.

S
Stephen Boland
Raymond James

Okay. And then I’ll sneak one more in. In the past, we talked about signals that leading indicators that Capital Markets activity would improve, and you mentioned, the Canadian brokers starting to do some of their own deals. You also mentioned Australia, when you start to see mining. Is that pipeline -- do you see that building that gives you more confidence that the back half of fiscal 2024 will be -- there’ll be a higher volume of deals?

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Yeah. You’d have almost as good visibility as we would. But, yes, I mean, we’re seeing increased activity. We’re seeing the buyer strike starting to end a little bit. Obviously, we’ve seen broad good market performance on large cap stocks, relative -- material relative underperformance on the mid-cap and small-cap stocks.

Sooner or later, people are going to have to catch up with returns. So we’re seeing people look at the market and it’s premature and we’re at the beginning of August. So it’s a bad time to predict. But I’d like to think into the fall that we’re going to see a pickup of business.

M&A, we can predict a little bit better in advance, new issue activity is harder to predict in advance, as you know. But our pipelines are incredibly robust. We just -- the bid ask between where companies want to sell stock and buyers want to buy it, it’s narrowing. Let’s put it that way.

S
Stephen Boland
Raymond James

Okay. Thanks very much. Appreciate that.

Operator

Your next question will come from Rob Goff at Echelon Wealth Partners. Please go ahead.

R
Rob Goff
Echelon Wealth Partners

Good morning and thank you for taking my question.

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Hi, Rob.

R
Rob Goff
Echelon Wealth Partners

I was encouraged with respect to your recruiting efforts on the Wealth side in Australia. Perhaps could you talk to your recruiting in Wealth in both Australia and Canada? How is that pipeline looking, terms looking?

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Yeah. Really robust in both markets. It’s probably the best way to describe it. Canada, we have -- we track and we have an active pipeline. There’s dozens and dozens and dozens of people on that pipeline to the tune of multiple tens of billions of dollars of assets, bringing them all as over is an issue.

And when we do that, but our pipelines in all our markets, all our primary markets continue to be robust. Nothing’s really changed from where we’ve been historically. The cost of bringing advisers over, the pace of bringing advisers over.

We’ve been bringing -- we brought close to $20 billion of assets over to our franchise over the last several years. We continue to see the pace of activity, same as historical levels, maybe slightly better. So that’s great.

And you can see that the net number of advisers in Canada hasn’t grown that much. So we’ve cycled out retiring advisers, poor performing advisers with much stronger advisers. Our average book for adviser in Canada continues to grow. Our margins in Canada are remarkably strong given the lack of new issue business. So -- and our results in Canada are strong.

The reason I spent so much time on Canada before I entered Australia is, Australia is going through a similar trend as the trend we had in Canada and that was intentional. That was always our strategy.

Again, you’re not going to see a material increase necessarily in the number of advisers in Australia, but the average book per adviser, the funds under management, the discretionary funds under management, the fee-based funds, that all continues to grow. It’s roughly doubled since we’ve done the Patterson acquisition. Again, we continue to have a very robust pipeline of potential candidates in Australia and there’s a very active effort in all of our primary jurisdictions.

So continue to feel that we’re going to grow that business and I’d like to think that in five years’ time that our Australia business looks like our Canadian business, but that’s obviously it’s obviously a pretty far out projection, but there’s no reason to think we can’t continue to grow that business the way we have it. It’s a very set of similar dynamics in Australia as there is in Canada.

R
Rob Goff
Echelon Wealth Partners

Okay. And this is bit more towards the numbers. Your restructuring charges on the quarter were 3.3% and you made reference to those being roughly $10 million in the current quarter. Would it be fair to say that the increase there would be offset or largely offset by lower development costs as they came in at $22.6 million on the quarter, up from 13.3% Q-on-Q and $6.9 million year-on-year?

D
Don MacFayden
Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Rob. It’s Don.

R
Rob Goff
Echelon Wealth Partners

Hi.

D
Don MacFayden
Chief Financial Officer

Hi. I didn’t follow all the numbers you said there. But, yes, we had a small restructuring charge in the first -- in this current June quarter. There was some changes -- some personnel staff type changes in that quarter. And then the larger restructuring, which occurred this month makes up the $10 million we refer to as a charge for the second fiscal quarter. So combined they would be $13 million.

R
Rob Goff
Echelon Wealth Partners

Right. So the question there was just, in general terms, with the restructuring costs being $7 million higher for fiscal Q2, would you see reasonably comparable savings through reduced development expenses that came in at $23 million in the quarter? Is there a nice balance there?

D
Don MacFayden
Chief Financial Officer

No. The development expenses are isolated, it’s a different activity going through the development expenses. They were heightened in the June quarter, a lot of costs related to the expired takeover bid flow through development costs. Nothing really to do with restructuring.

R
Rob Goff
Echelon Wealth Partners

Right. And that’s where we’re seeing those development related -- those development costs related to the bid decreasing with the second quarter, nothing for...

D
Don MacFayden
Chief Financial Officer

Oh! Yes. Yes. Yes. They’re largely concentrated in that first quarter. So I mean there might be some true-ups as we go forward, but they’re largely behind us.

R
Rob Goff
Echelon Wealth Partners

That’s good. Thank you, guys. Good luck.

Operator

Your next question will come from Graham Ryding at TD Securities. Please go ahead.

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Hi, Graham.

G
Graham Ryding
TD Securities

Hi. Good morning. Maybe you could just stay on the theme of this for your Capital Markets outlook. You did mention that you feel like we may be getting closer to sort of the rate tightening cycle coming to an end. It sounds like that’s probably maybe a key ingredient needed here to get Capital Markets going? What are the other sort of key things that you’re looking for, you see a few cycles, obviously, in Capital Markets?

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Yeah.

G
Graham Ryding
TD Securities

What do you think are some of the key agreements we need to see to get Capital Markets activity going?

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Save me Don. The -- yeah, I mean, what we’re talking about -- don’t get me great in my math. But don’t -- the -- what we’re referring to as the new issue business, right? Obviously, the M&A business, we’ve got a lot more visibility on and you know that you can kind of predict M&A out in advance. I’ve told you that before.

So we’re feeling increasingly confident in our pipeline of M&A activity. Obviously, this last quarter was a poor quarter from an M&A completion perspective. So although, chunky, we feel that there’s a reasonably good pipeline going forward of M&A. So we feel pretty confident in stating, hey, this is going to be back half of the year weighted. You never know for sure and things could continue to get delayed, but we feel reasonably confident.

When we look at our advisory revenue of $40 million in Capital Markets last quarter. I mean, that’s down from your average of $100 million or $90 million or $80 million a quarter depending on the year you want to look at. So we feel confident that number will continue to go up.

Investment banking is just really tough to predict our new issue business. As you know, we did $30 million last quarter as we referred to, and again, this is down from $100 million quarters, $150 million quarter. This is a fraction a fifth of what we’ve been doing on a run rate basis. So, again, not that we’re going to go up to pandemic levels, but even from a pre-pandemic perspective, we’ll be doing $50 million, $60 million a quarter in that business.

I feel reasonably comfortable that we’re at the place where people are going to kind of start waiting back into the market. We’re going to see a pickup of activity. I’d like to think that that’s going to happen in the fall or certainly going to happen into the back half of our fiscal year.

We’ve seen broad market outperformance, as I’ve mentioned, generally, but it’s been narrowing a couple of stocks. So in our sector, tech, healthcare, sustainability. Outside of the mining sector, we really haven’t seen an immense amount of new issue activity and we’re getting to the place where companies need to issue and buyers are going to be chasing returns. So I’m not -- I don’t want to predict the recovery, it’s too soon. But if I said it was going up or going down, if I had to bet on, I’d bet going up. That’s kind of where we see activity levels.

G
Graham Ryding
TD Securities

And do you buy into the theme that debt financing is expensive now for a lot of companies, and at some point, they’re going to have to look back to the equity markets for capital needs?

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

True, but a lot of our clients can’t even access debt financing at competitive rates. And yes, debt financing is very expensive and that kind of impacts your M&A business more than anything else.

But again, our clients aren’t heavy users of balance sheets, not all of them, but generally speaking, the mid-cap tech companies and healthcare companies tend not to borrow a ton of money. But, yeah, I mean, it’s not that it’s expensive. It’s not available with debt financing for the most part.

So, yeah, we do believe that we’re going to see a pickup of activity when we talk to our competitors, particularly in the U.S., I think, they see a pickup of activity as well, Graham. So, again, I’m making a prediction, which I hate doing. But I think over the next six months, we should see a pickup of the new issue business broadly.

We’re seeing a pickup in our retail channel. We’re seeing some of the early stages of it, way too early to predict. And again, I hate making predictions in August when every one’s away and there’s a natural slowdown in the business. September will be the real telco side.

G
Graham Ryding
TD Securities

Okay. Great. Maybe just jumping to your U.K. Wealth business. It looks like assets are down like about 2% year-over-year. But if I look at the FTSE 100, maybe this is a proxy for the market, it was up 4% over that period. So I’m just wondering if there’s any adviser outflows or just asset outflows that are involved here or maybe some adviser attrition after that PSW deal? Is there -- any color as to why the growth there has been lagging?

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Yeah. There’s two primary factors, I think, which caused the decline assets. Number one, there always is some advisers, some small adviser outflows when you do an acquisition, we actually model it and predict it in advance. I don’t think it’s anything out of the ordinary. You’re always going to lose a little bit of assets on an acquisition no matter how hard you try. So some of it is that.

But we also have a relatively small cap focused fund management business inside that business and like every other small cap fund management business inside that business, those are down more than the market, plus there’s outflows in that market. So there’s actually small organic net inflows in our traditional Wealth business there, offset by the two factors that I just mentioned.

G
Graham Ryding
TD Securities

Okay. That’s helpful. And that small cap fund management business, what would the size of that be in terms of AUM?

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

£1 billion down from about £5 billion and making up those numbers. I’m looking at Don.

D
Don MacFayden
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Those are generally in line. Yeah.

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Yeah. So maybe it was as high as £5 billion, it’s now £3 billion.

G
Graham Ryding
TD Securities

Okay. And then, Don, one for you, I guess, on just the compensation ratio in the quarter was quite low. It seemed to be, in particular, very low in the Canadian Capital Markets, I think, it’s a 40% comp ratio. You mentioned -- Dan, you mentioned the stock-based comp was a factor. Is that -- if the shares are sort of continuing around this level, is that going to be a recurring theme for the next quarter or was there anything one-off here in this comp ratio?

D
Don MacFayden
Chief Financial Officer

There wasn’t anything necessarily one-off. It really was related to a decrease in stock price over the course of the quarter and that translates into the charges for the stock-based compensation. It won’t be -- as we have talked about before, looking at it on a quarter-by-quarter basis, tends to -- and especially on a regional basis, it tends to be kind of lumpy, so you can’t really read too much into that. It’s best to look at it over a longer term timeframe and once we get to the annual end of year, it tends to settle out at sort of a normal course kind of ratio.

The 40% ratio in Canada Capital Markets would not continue at that level. The effect of the -- unless there’s a dramatic change in the stock price up or down, obviously, then that would flow through, but if it maintained at roughly these levels, then that would not be an impact going forward on a quarterly basis.

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Yeah. If you look more broadly at our overall comp ratio in Capital Markets at 58.5%, appreciate some jurisdictions are bouncing around. That’s generally in line with our historical comp ratio in Capital Markets for the last 5 years or so. It tends to go up a little bit when the stock price goes up, because our charges goes up and tends to go down a little bit when our stock price goes down. So we’re in a relatively lower quarter. But I’d say, there’s no real change to our typical guidance of 60%-ish overall comp ratio for the year. That’s probably where we’ll kind of average out at.

G
Graham Ryding
TD Securities

Okay. That’s it for me. Thanks.

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Thank you.

Operator

There are no other questions. So I will turn the conference back to Mr. Daviau for any closing statements.

D
Dan Daviau
President and CEO

Great. Well, thank you, Operator, and thanks for everyone joining us today on the call. That concludes our first quarter fiscal 2024 conference call. Don and I are, as always, could be available for other questions as you go through the material. I appreciate your time. We are doing our AGM today. It’s going to be place -- taking place at 10 a.m. If you wish to join us, access details were provided in our information circular, but they’re also on our website if you’d like to join us. So thank you, again, everybody, and look forward to speaking to you again.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude your conference call for this morning. We would like to thank everyone for participating and ask you to please disconnect your lines.