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Capstone Copper Corp
TSX:CS

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Capstone Copper Corp
TSX:CS
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Price: 9.95 CAD 5.85% Market Closed
Updated: May 4, 2024

Earnings Call Analysis

Q3-2023 Analysis
Capstone Copper Corp

Company Enhances Operations and Targets Consistency

The company successfully improved its operations with October's endeavors, leading to a confident Q4 start. A structural overhaul including a robust maintenance program, managed by newly appointed VP of Mine and Maintenance, Hayden Halsted, and Director of Asset Integrity, Rob Taylor, has enhanced machinery uptime and mitigated previous production bottlenecks. Upgrades are planned for the back end of a key plant to ensure consistent output of 20,000 tonnes by end of Q1, starting Q2. Management is strengthened with experienced leadership focusing on systematic and detailed transformations.

Operational Discipline and Performance

In the third quarter, the company produced 13,700 tonnes of copper at a C1 cash cost of $2.83 per pound, while confronting unplanned downtime that caused a loss of about eight production days. Despite the setback, heightened operational discipline and a focus on key performance indicators are paving the way for enhanced reliability and throughput. The company is optimistically eyeing the fourth quarter, projecting it to be the most productive of the year, thanks to higher grade ores and steadier processing rates.

Expansion and Capital Investment Plans

A significant milestone was reached with the Mantoverde Development Project (MVDP), standing at 93% completion and a capital expenditure of $763 million. Although the total capital estimate saw a 5% increase from 2022, year-end completion and 2024 ramp-up are still within grasp. Once fully operational, the MVDP is expected to produce a considerable 120,000 tonnes of copper, paired with over 30,000 ounces of gold annually.

Sustainability Efforts and Community Engagement

The company earned recognition for its commitment to sustainable practice with the Copper Mark, demonstrating transparency, accountability, and a dedication to responsible production. Significant strides were made in biodiversity monitoring, air quality efforts, and community educational initiatives, reflecting a corporate philosophy that goes beyond mere profitability. An upcoming sustainability report titled 'Growing Responsibly' will provide further insights into these endeavors.

Future Growth and Cost Efficiency

Looking ahead, the MVDP is projected to increase annual copper production to around 260,000 tonnes, enabling a significant reduction in costs. Furthermore, there is potential to expand production even further, reaching over 380,000 tonnes of copper. The ongoing and future projects like Santo Domingo, Mantoverde Phase 2, and initiatives in the Pinto Valley promise to not only increase copper output but also to improve the company's cost efficiency and profitability.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q3

from 0
Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Capstone Copper Q3 2023 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded today on Friday, 3rd of November 2023. I would now like to turn over the conference to Jerrold Annett. Please go ahead.

J
Jerrold Annett
executive

Good morning. I'd like to welcome everyone to Capstone Copper's Q3 2023 Conference Call. Please note that the news release and regulatory filings announcing Capstone Copper's 2023 third quarter financial and operational results are available on our website and on SEDAR. If you are logged into the webcast, we will advance the slides of today's presentation, which are also available in the Investors section of our website. I'm joined today by our CEO, John MacKenzie; our President and COO, Cashel Meagher; our Chief Financial Officer, Raman Randhawa; and our Senior Vice President, Risk ESG and General Counsel, Wendy King.Following our brief remarks there will be an opportunity for questions. Please note that comments made on the call today will contain forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. This information, by its nature, is subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from the views expressed today. For further information on the risks and uncertainties to pertaining to our business, please see Capstone's most recent filings, which are available on our website and on SEDAR. And finally, I'll just note that all amounts we will discuss today are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise specified.Now I'll turn the call over to John MacKenzie.

J
John MacKenzie
executive

Thanks, Jerrold, and good morning, everyone. We're pleased to present our third quarter 2023 results and achievements. Starting with slide 5; I was in Chile last week, and I was thrilled to see how close we now are to finishing construction at our Mantoverde Development Project. This project is a culmination of many years of dedicated effort by our team from the permitting and engineering to the mine build, and now we're approaching commissioning and first production. MVDP is transformational for Capstone copper and will drive a step change improvements in our consolidated unit costs and a pathway to record operating cash flow generation.During the quarter we progressed the project in line with our schedule. As at September 30, we stockpiled approximately 5 million tonnes of sulfide ore, which positions us extremely well for the project ramp-up. We also commenced commissioning of the primary crusher and performed the first rotations of the SAG and ball mills. Meanwhile, at our tailings storage facility, mass excavation was completed and both the Starting Wall and the Cut-off Trench are nearing completion. The project remains on time with construction completion to occur by year-end. After that, we expect a 6-month commissioning and ramp-up to the MVDP's nameplate capacity of 32,000 tonnes of oil per day.As we approach completion, we've updated our total capital cost estimate for the project to $870 million. This reflects an increase of 5% from our initial estimates in March 2022 of $825 million and is largely driven by three factors. Firstly, inflationary impacts mostly related to higher diesel prices on pre-stripping and tailings earthworks corresponded to $20 million of the increase. Secondly, we've made several project improvements, including the purchase of additional retainers for best practice and concentrate transport and storage, a water reservoir as well as additional camp and warehouse infrastructure.These project improvements contributed to another $20 million of the increase. The balance corresponds to additional forecast ramp-up and commissioning costs. We have provided a link with our news release and presentation materials through a video update of the project from early October. We're excited to be in the final stages of construction. Turning to slide 6; we produced 40,300 tonnes of copper at consolidated C1 cash costs of $2.88 per pound in Q3. Production and costs were impacted by 8 days of unplanned downtime in the crushing circuits at our Pinto Valley operation in Arizona, along with our continued debottlenecking efforts at Mantos Blancos in Chile.Cozamin delivered another solid quarter as the mine has now ramped up to full production levels using the new cut and fill mining method. Overall, production slightly improved on Q2, and we believe we are well-positioned heading into Q4. Turning to slide 7; we are reiterating our consolidated guidance. Specifically, we continue to forecast second half production of 83,000 tonnes to 93,000 tonnes of copper.In terms of our C1 cash costs, we've noted that they are trending towards the upper end of our second half guidance range of $2.55 to $2.75 per payable pound of copper produced. We've also reiterated our consolidated capital expenditure guidance for 2023, although we've reclassified certain expenditures by operation as displayed on the slide. I believe that we are well set up to have our strongest quarter of the year in Q4.Now I'll pass over to Raman for our financial results.

R
Raman Randhawa
executive

Thank you, John. We are now on slide 8. In Q3, we recorded copper production of 40,300 tonnes and copper sales of 38,700 tonnes. LME copper prices during the quarter averaged $3.79 per pound, down 1% compared to $3.84 per pound in Q2 2023. Our realized copper price of $3.77 per pound was largely in line with LME average price. As a result, we recognized revenues in the quarter of $322 million. Realized copper prices including the impact of copper hedges resulted in a copper price of $3.69 per pound.The difference between the LME and our realized price translates into approximately $6 million impact after tax or $0.01 per share to our adjusted EPS. We reported consolidated C1 cash costs of $2.88 per pound in Q3, which were impacted by lower production levels and additional maintenance expenses. As we noted in the prior quarter, our higher C1 cash costs continue to be heavily influenced by the production denominator. We expect to increase our production in Q4 to drive a notable decrease in our C1 cash cost. Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 of $62.8 million improved from Q2, but was impacted by the unplanned downtime at Pinto Valley and our debottlenecking efforts that Mantos Blancos.Adjusted net loss attributable to shareholders of $15.8 million excluded a onetime deferred income tax expense of $24.3 million related to the Chilean Tax Reform, which includes a modest increase in taxes effective January 1, 2024. I believe that the uncertainty of the new taxation regime in Chile has been resolved and any impact to us is somewhat mitigated by our ongoing level of reinvestment in the country. Moving on to slide 9; on the left-hand slide, we summarize our available liquidity, which as at September 30 was approximately $425 million, including $130 million of cash and short-term investments and $295 million of undrawn amounts on our $700 million corporate revolving credit facility.During Q3, we increased the size of our revolving credit facility by $100 million, and we extended the maturity by one year to September 2027. We ended Q3 with a consolidated net debt balance of $855 million and attributable net debt balance of $705 million. Our balance sheet is in good shape. With Mantoverde [indiscernible] September 30 of $763 million, the remaining balance is approximately $107 million. We expect roughly $50 million to be incurred in Q4 2023 and the remaining balance of $57 million in 2024. Chart on the right-hand side of the page illustrates our EBITDA sensitivity at various copper prices. In the first two bars, you can see that we expect significant near-term EBITDA growth with Mantoverde sulfides at full run rate production. With MVDP at full capacity, we expect to generate approximately $1 billion of annual EBITDA assuming a $4 copper price.The EBITDA generation associated with Mantoverde will enable us to focus on generating free cash flow to delever our balance sheet and be below 1x net leverage at copper prices between $3.75 and $4 per pound, which provides additional liquidity to advance our future growth pipeline in terms of incremental brownfield expansions or Santo Domingo, depending on market conditions. Turning to slide 10; we outline our copper hedging program, which provides downside protection for our balance sheet through the MVDP construction and ramp-up period.In late July, we opportunistically entered into additional 20,000 tonnes of copper hedges for H1 2024 at an average floor price of $3.74 per pound. Overall, our hedge book, excluding QP hedges, includes 54,000 tonnes of copper over the next three quarters with a weighted average protective lower copper price of $3.54 per pound. Meanwhile, we have 21,000 tonnes of [indiscernible] in our portfolio with a weighted average ceiling price of $4.27 per pound. Following the ramp-up of Mantoverde development project, we have no further copper hedges in place, and we will have full exposure to the copper price.Now I'll hand it over to Cashel for the operations review.

C
Cashel Meagher
executive

Thanks, Raman. Pinto Valley produced 13,700 tonnes of copper at a C1 cash cost of $2.83 per payable pound during Q3. Operations were impacted by unplanned downtime in the secondary crushing circuit, resulting in approximately 8 lost days of production. As we discussed last quarter, we are placing an emphasis on operational discipline and key performance indicators in order to improve online time and reliability. We are prioritizing asset integrity assessments based on downtime, and we are implementing condition monitoring to improve our performance.Pinto Valley performed well in October and is set up to have its best quarter of the year in Q4, driven by higher grades and more consistent throughput. We continue to engage with our neighbors in the Pinto Valley District during the quarter as we explore value creation opportunities. Moving to slide 12; Cozamin Mine delivered a solid Q3, producing 5,900 tonnes of copper at a C1 cash cost of $1.85 per payable pound. The mine demonstrated another quarter of nameplate mining rates after transitioning to the new cut and fill mining method earlier this year. Cash costs in the quarter were impacted by crusher availability and unfavorable foreign exchange rates.Our Mantos Blancos asset is highlighted on slide 13. Total sulfide and cathode production yielded 12,100 tonnes of copper at a blended C1 cash cost of $2.82 per payable pound. Sulfide operations this year have not performed consistently at nameplate levels, while the major components, including the crushing, grinding and flotation circuits, remain more than capable of throughput rates in excess of 20,000 tonnes per day. Linkages between these systems, including pumps and pipes have exhibited bottlenecks. We are executing on our updated plan to address plant stability that includes improved maintenance and optimization of the concentrator and tailings system.The plan incorporates feedback from our new SVP, Head of Chile, Jim Whittaker; and our new General Manager, Jaime Rivera. We have also incorporated the learnings to date from operating the plant since the expansion was completed. We worked through several areas during the quarter, and we have addressed several of the bottlenecks in the crushing and grinding area of the mine. To facilitate a sustainable 20,000 tonnes per day throughput rate, we have identified additional tailings handling and pumping infrastructure that we expect to receive and install in early 2024, after which we expect to be operating at nameplate throughput rates. We are confident that we have both the team in place and the asset that will support full run rates.Our efforts focused on -- our efforts are focused on achieving this. And after that, we will recommence our studies related to Mantos Blancos Phase 2 as we believe the ore body can support a larger operation. Now on to Mantoverde on slide 14; Q3 2023 oxide production was 8,600 tonnes of copper in cathode at a C1 cash cost of $3.74 per payable pound. Oxide production and costs in the quarter were impacted by a temporary sulfuric acid supply shortfall, which has since been rectified. Most important significant progress was achieved at the MVDP during Q3.Progress now stands at 93%, with $763 million spent as of September 30. As previously mentioned by John, we have increased our total capital estimate for the project by 5% from the original 2022 estimate. However, we remain on track for the project completion by the year-end, followed by a ramp-up in 2024. The Mantoverde Development Project will produce approximately 120,000 tonnes of combined cathode and copper and concentrate with over 30,000 ounces of gold per year.Slides 15 through 18 show construction progress at several key areas of the MVDP. Slide 15 shows the primary crusher in the background with the covered coarse ore stockpile in the foreground. During the third quarter, we commenced commissioning tests of the primary crusher. Slide 16 shows a close-up of the processing flow sheet from a bird's eye view. The ball and SAG mills can be seen on the right. During the quarter, we installed the lubrication and cooling systems, completed initial testing of these components and performed the first rotation of these mills.On slide 17, we highlight the tailings storage facility. Mass excavation is complete and the starter wall and cutoff trench are nearing completion. We are also in the final stages of liner installation. And lastly, on slide 18, you'll find the desalination plant and has now been expanded to support the MVDP and we are currently ramping up flow rates to that capacity. I'm excited to complete construction of the MVDP by year-end and transition into the ramp-up stage for the project.Now over to Wendy King for the sustainability review.

W
Wendy King
executive

Thank you, Cashel. We're now in slide 19 with a review of our sustainability highlights for Q3. As previously disclosed, we are thrilled that both Mantoverde and Mantos Blancos were awarded the Copper Mark. Responsible operating practices are a vital component of our commitment to the environment, our employees, local communities and governments and must remain front of mind in everything we do. The Copper Mark is a powerful advocate for transparency and accountability and reinforces our values on responsible, sustainable production.We take pride in the achievements of our Chilean operations, and we are actively striving to replicate the success at Pinto Valley and Cozamin. Also in Chile, we were recently recognized by [ Corpora Ataccama ] for Achievements and Advances in Sustainability for our contributions to sustainable development in the region. The award was presented to John MacKenzie by the Chilean Minister of Mines and is another testament to the great work being done by our teams at Mantoverde and Mantos Blancos. At Cozamin during the quarter, we enhanced our biodiversity monitoring with [ camera traps ], which automatically capture photos driven by a change in the activity in its vicinity.Five of these cameras have been deployed throughout the site and will result in a significant difference in our ability to monitor local species. At Pinto Valley, we incorporated additional air quality monitoring stations to help us improve our understanding of localized air quality differences so we can continue to safeguard the health of workers and our communities. During the quarter, we continued supporting local community initiatives, emphasizing community safety, education, local school fundraising, technical training and community celebrations. Pinto Valley hosted a local community event that raised more than [ 50,000 ] for three area schools.Cozamin hosted a day-long community Safety Fair for families teaching safety skills in a fun and interactive way. In Chile, about 90 local community members graduated from Mantoverde's Learning for Development Program, earning certificates to increase their employability in the areas of food handling, security, forklift crane operations, warehousing and mine equipment maintenance. This supports our strategy to develop technical skills in local communities. In Chile, we have continued our initiatives of joining together with some of our partners to invest in community projects to have a more significant impact on the community programs.We are also working to develop these initiatives in the other jurisdictions in which we operate. Lastly, we anticipate releasing our first combined sustainability report for Capstone Copper, Growing Responsibly. This will be released in the coming weeks. We're very proud of this report, which provides enhanced information on our global policies related to sustainability and includes emissions data reported per unit of ore processed and unit of copper produced to give a clear and transparent picture of our emissions to allow stakeholders to follow our progress.Towards our diversity and inclusion objectives, we also highlight in the report the promotion of several women in key management roles in Chile and Pinto Valley. Women in leadership roles are a crucial driver for attracting and retaining more women to mining and our operations.And with that, I'd like to pass it back to John.

J
John MacKenzie
executive

Thanks, Wendy. Turning to slide 20; we've outlined our sector-leading growth plans and some of the additional upside within our portfolio. As can be seen, we expect MVDP at its run rate production level to bring us to a consolidated annual level of around 260,000 tonnes of copper at significantly lower costs. From there, we have a pathway to over 380,000 tonnes of copper production with the fully permitted Santo Domingo project. We have high returning brownfield expansions at both Mantoverde and Mantos Blancos with low capital intensity that are not pictured on the slide.And then further upside exists with oxides at Santo Domingo utilizing our SX-EW plant at Mantoverde, Mantoverde Phase 2, growth in our Pinto Valley district and cobalt optionality in our MV-SD district. On slide 21, we show more detail around what is driving the significant near-term cost reduction at MVDP. As can be seen in the graph on the left, 70% of our copper production today is from sulfides with the remaining 30% from higher-cost oxides. The oxide production has both lower grades and lower recoveries as the highest grade oxides have previously been mined and processed at Mantoverde and Mantos Blancos. With MVDP at full run rate, our copper production will be split roughly 85% sulfides and 15% oxides.In the graph in the middle, you can see the impact this has on our weighted average grades and recoveries. From a blended grade processed of 0.35% copper this year will move to a blended copper grade of just over 0.6% with MVDP up and running. Similarly, average recoveries will improve from 80% to closer to 90% across our portfolio. And in the chart on the right, this shows the overall effect, a significant increase in copper production and a significant reduction in our unit costs, leading to an overall increase in margin.On slide 22, we highlight the timelines for those catalysts and studies we have over the next year that supports our growth plans with further upside beyond this across our portfolio. We've continued to build a highly talented technical team and are working with strong engineering firms to execute on these studies. We now expect to deliver the updated Santo Domingo Feasibility Study in the first half of 2024. As we've advanced the study, we are of the view that this does not yet reflect the optimal project configuration and design, particularly as we take into account the synergies with Mantoverde and the flow sheet improvements that we have identified.As such, we've decided to commit additional time to ensuring that the project is designed and configured in a way that maximizes the value created for Capstone Copper prior to advancing to the phase of detailed engineering. We believe that this approach is in line with best practice in large project development. In conclusion, we reiterate that we are in the midst of a transformational period for Capstone. I am very excited that we're on track for project completion at MVDP by year-end that will lead to a step change to 260,000 tonnes of copper per year at significantly lower costs. This will expand margins and drive record operating cash flow generation for the company.With that, we're now ready to take questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Orest Wowkodaw from Scotiabank.

O
Orest Wowkodaw
analyst

Question about the Mantoverde. CapEx increased to $870 million, I guess, plus 5%. Can you give us some better color on what's driving that increase? And also, maybe more importantly, what confidence do you have that this is the last increase and the $870 million is going to be a final number? We've seen another project in the ramp-up phase announced a further CapEx overrun. So I guess trying to get a bit more color on why or if you think the $870 million will be the final number.

J
John MacKenzie
executive

Yeah. Thanks, Orest. So in terms of the increase in costs from $825 million up to $870 million, it's basically split into two components of $20 million each. The first is really around sort of certain inflationary impacts. We've already received three of the big electric shovels at Mantoverde. The fourth shovel is -- it's actually been delivered and is currently being assembled. However, that was subject to an escalation clause and with sort of higher inflation rates, that's sort of an additional number that wasn't taken into account in that $825 million.And then I think also -- whilst we have a fixed price contract with Osisko, the tailings facility was on a unit rate basis. And so I think, particularly the impact of higher diesel prices impacted the sort of all of the earth moving we needed for developing the trench and the start-up wall at the tailings facility. And then also some of the pre-stripping work was sort of similarly impacted by slightly higher diesel prices. The other $20 million came from areas that we identified would actually just improve and enhance the projects. So we're going to be transporting all of our concentrate to port using a relatively new technology called retainers.These are essentially containers, but ones which are filled at the site are then fully sealed can be transported to the ports. They actually act as the storage at the port and are then [ tipped ] directly into the vessel. So it is what we would regard as sort of leading practice in terms of kind of transport and storage of concentrate. And when we kind of looked at -- we had already ordered these retainers, we already sort of own what we initially regarded as sufficient retainers, but we decided to order more just to take into account sort of any potential fluctuations in -- you get things like swells at the ports, which can delay shipments.And we just wanted to make sure that we had adequate capacity in place. We also took the decision to put in a water reservoir, and that was really just based on -- we know that we have sort of more than sufficient water for the MVDP. However, during the ramp-up, you always have a water balance and some of that water comes out of the tailings facility and sort of recovery from tailings, but that takes some time before that is actually available to you. So we just felt that to sort of mitigate any water issues, we would build an additional water reservoir for the project.And then we've added just a little bit of extra camp space and the additional warehouse space, just to, I think, sort of better service the business going forward. We have been internalizing quite a few of our functions from external contractors to things like maintenance to doing it ourselves. And so we took the decision to put in some extra facilities. So that's the background to the increase. We've got a pretty clear line of sight to the end of construction. We're really in the stage of sort of final piping. It's now cabling and instrumentation. Everything that the project requires is already on site. So it's really down to just completing these last sort of stages of work.So we feel pretty comfortable in terms of the capital number that we've put out there. We don't see any reason to expect any difficulties during the ramp-up of the project. Clearly, if one does have any issues that can cause an impact on sort of additional CapEx required, but we certainly don't anticipate that at this stage. And I think one of the ways we mitigated that risk was we -- the key reason we appointed Osisko to be our EPC contractor on this contract was they've built four of these -- sort of almost identical concentrators before, three of which have been in South America. So they've been -- they've built these before.In our case they will be ramping it up as they've done with each of those other concentrators that they have built. And so I think we derive quite a lot of confidence from that experience that they have. And we've also, on our side, been spending pretty much a large part of the last year working on operational readiness. Our own operating team is in place. I think we've got top-notch people that we've been able to recruit at sort of at every level. And so I think all of that gives us a high level of confidence in having a successful ramp-up of the project.We've budgeted for a 6-month ramp-up period. We clearly hope to do a little bit better than that. But our current assumption is 6 months. And that's very much in line with Osisko's previous performance in ramping up very similar concentrators to this one. I think the other thing that gives us the confidence is the mine is ready. In fact, it's more than ready. It's -- we've now stockpiled 5 million tonnes of ore -- sulfide ore sitting in front of the crushers. So from a mining point of view, and we've actually exposed around a year's worth of sulfide ore. So the mine is basically just waiting now for the plant to be ready to take the ore.

O
Orest Wowkodaw
analyst

Just a quick follow-up question for Raman. With the ramp up, call it, in Q1, Q2 next year, is your expectation that all of the costs involved with ramping will be expensed or could we see kind of a capitalization of costs like we've seen with, call it, with QB2. Just wondering how to think about modeling Q1, Q2?

R
Raman Randhawa
executive

Yeah. We're looking at what tech is doing over there. So we analyze that a bit further. But really, the IFRS standard is once you have production, you start expensing those costs. So until you get the concentrate on your books. But once it's on your books and you produce it, you expense. So there will be a certain period of time we can capitalize the ramp-up commissioning costs, which is included in this $870 million. But beyond that, we expect to expense it.

Operator

Your next question comes from Ralph Profiti from Eight Capital.

R
Ralph Profiti
analyst

Thanks, operator. Good morning, everyone. John and Cashel, when you talk about the Pinto Valley Asset Integrity Program, right, and you brought up these KPIs, I'm just wondering, is there sort of strategic management of the grade and the mine plan being looked at or is this mostly focused on costs and continuous improvement or is there any impact on the mine plan itself, including stripping? And with that, are we potentially looking at some cost improvements going forward?

C
Cashel Meagher
executive

Thanks, Ralph. Look, it's not the mining. It's not the mine. That's performing as it should. The grades are coming out and a reconciliation as they should. I'll just start by saying we've been really pleased with our efforts to-date and what we've achieved in October. So we're off to a good start here for our catch up in Q4. So we've got our right foot forward. And that gives us some assurances that some of the initiatives that we've undertaken in our asset integrity and maintenance programs are starting to pay off. So one of the things we did was a structural design change.We're out -- we're going to implement a maintenance program and a maintenance manager. It's a different setup than what we had at Pinto Valley before where maintenance was in the domain of either the Mine Manager or the Plant Manager. And so what we're doing is we're elevating the expectation out of our maintenance department and improving those processes. And we actually appointed in the last quarter, a VP of Mine and Maintenance, whose excels in that area, Hayden Halsted, and then he has a fixed plant individual, a Director of Asset Integrity, [ Rob Taylor ].So they've been instrumental in helping us improve our uptime and reduce our downtime on our critical components, which usually are revolving around the crusher infrastructure and conveyance infrastructure that feed our mills. So we've seen already improvements there. And specifically, those are the areas that are changing their performance, and those are the areas that we're creating the bottlenecks of our production in Q3 and a little in Q2. So I'm happy to say that we're seeing it better. And it also helps that our schedule, our budget, our plan for the end of the year was a little higher grade. It's actually the highest grade in the sequence where we're coming into in Pinto Valley, and we're seeing that come forward too.

R
Ralph Profiti
analyst

Okay. Yeah. Good to hear. And at Mantos Blancos, it sounds like cash flow that 20,000 tonnes a day is something like an end of Q1 '24 target as sort of a rational expectation, maybe some spillover into sort of Q2 of 2024. And just wondering if that's something that we should be going by and do you think there's potential for some spillover CapEx into 2024, just to be able to iron out getting up to full capacity?

C
Cashel Meagher
executive

Yeah. We're working through the plan there. So there's going to be in the order of $20 million more required to bring the plant to the state that's required. I think we've described it before. The major components are there. They have the capacity. It's some of the piping, cabling and instrumentation that we're upgrading to be able to do it. And one of the things that we've zeroed in on and focused is actually the back end of the plant, the dewatering and tailings infrastructure.While it looked like on paper, it was capable of doing the design of 20,000 tonnes, we're going to have to upgrade that area. That is the area where there are some longer lead items that will take us to the time period you mentioned near the end of Q1, start of Q2 to be able to get this plant consistently and sustainably to 20,000 tonnes. Like we've achieved over 20,000 tonnes sporadically, but what we want is consistent production out of it. And that's the area we're focusing on is the back end of the plant and some upgrades to some instrumentation and piping in some other areas.But it's going to take another -- from where we're sitting today, that amount of time to be able to put these in. Again, we have a new General Manager for Chile for sorry, Mantos Blancos, and we have replaced some of the team. And these are really strong individuals with a lot of experience in this type of work. So we're very confident in the plans now going forward. They're very detailed out. We're no longer debottlenecking one issue at a time, and we're tackling the remaining issues at hand, and that is the timeframe we will require to be able to install and procure what we need.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no further questions at this time. John, please proceed with your closing remarks.

J
John MacKenzie
executive

All right. We look forward to updating you again in February with our Q4 results. And until then, keep well, and feel free to reach out to Jerrold or Daniel, if you have any further questions. Thank you for your continued support, and have a good day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.