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European Residential REIT
TSX:ERE.UN

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European Residential REIT
TSX:ERE.UN
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Price: 2.3 CAD 2.22% Market Closed
Updated: May 16, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2020-Q2

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Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Second Quarter 2020 Results Conference Call. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Phillip Burns. Please go ahead, Mr. Burns.

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Before we begin, let me remind everybody that during our conference call this morning, we may include forward-looking statements about our future financial and operating results. I direct your attention to Slide 2 and our other regulatory filings. Joining me today is our CFO, Scott Cryer; and VP of Finance, Stephen Co. After I provide an update on our operational progress during the quarter, Scott will give an overview of our financial results and position. From inception on the 29th of March 2019, ERES' journey has been characterized by a formidable trajectory of accretive acquisitions. External growth via acquisitions was paused temporarily during the first half of 2020 by the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic in this corresponding onset of economic instability internationally. But most recently, ERES has restarted its acquisition initiatives. As shown on Slide 4, in the past 12 months, we grew our suite count by 1,773 units, up 46% from this time last year, a considerable increase, particularly given our pause on acquisitions, which I just mentioned. This pause was implemented to protect our liquidity amidst increasing global uncertainty. Despite this, our asset value increased by an even greater 54% from the compounding effect of market value uplifts, which we have recognized every quarter-to-date since inception, including a gain of EUR 25.4 million for the first 6 months of 2020, a testament to the high-quality of assets in which we invest. The significant growth in market capitalization and public float to date also externally validates the fundamentals of our strategy and the future potential of the operating platform we have established alongside our partnership with CAPREIT, not only the property and asset manager for the ERES, but also its majority unitholder, thereby fully aligning CAPREIT's interests with ERES unitholders. Slide 5 outlines a few highlights from the quarter and how we are achieving our stated objectives. The fair value of our investment property stands at EUR 1.355 billion up EUR 7.2 million for the quarter, and we are excited to have recently entered into an agreement to acquire a multi-residential property of 120 residential suites in the Netherlands for EUR 20.5 million, which speaks positively to the gradual reopening and recovery of the Dutch and European economy. We also closed on mortgage financing during the period at favorable interest rates in line with our low weighted average mortgage interest rate and used the proceeds to repay our credit facility and promissory note borrowings, thereby making available EUR 141 million in liquidity as that period end that reinforced our conservative financial profile as a defense against unknown future disruption. We are proud to report strong operating results at such turbulent times with FFO per unit of $0.033 and AFFO per unit of $0.03 for the second quarter 2020. That brings us to Slide 6, which outlines the extensive measures that have been put in place by the Dutch government in order to mitigate the adverse impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and to protect the welfare of its people and their incomes. In general, focus has been to maintain as much as possible people's incomes by measures which include employer wage contributions, small business loan extensions and government support for international trade, to name a few. Such measures have assisted tenants during these challenging times to maintain their rental payment even if they've experienced job disruption. The government's road map for reopening the economy was accelerated and speaks to the efficacy of the measures which they implemented in order to safeguard the well-being of the country and its citizens, known as an intelligent lockdown approach. With the extension of many measures by several months until at least the fall, the government continues to prioritize the protection of tenant welfare, while remaining prepared for any adverse turning conditions. It must be noted that similar to many other geographies globally, there has been a resurgence in COVID cases in the Netherlands over the past weeks, but so far, remain well below the peak earlier in the pandemic. To highlight some key aspects of our portfolio, on Slide 7, you can see that our suites are nearly evenly divided between regulated and liberalized, providing balanced growth potential in rents as well as the opportunity to liberalize more suite. Importantly, over 40% of our current properties are located in the high-growth urban conurbation of the Randstad with approximately 25% directly located in the cities of Amsterdam, Rotterdam, The Hague and Utrecht. The rest of the portfolio was situated in smaller urban areas throughout the country. Slide 8 provides more detail on our current residential portfolio. Average occupied monthly rents were EUR 832 at the end of June, with high and stable occupancy of 98.8%. Our turnover was 7.5% for the first month of 2020, which is high on an annualized basis compared to 13.2% turnover achieved in 2019. This, however, is partly a result of higher vacancy going into 2020 due to portfolios acquired toward the end of 2019. The ERES portfolio is well diversified by number of bedrooms, ensuring we meet the demand for smaller units as well as for family. You can also see that approximately half of the current portfolio was constructed since 1980, providing an average age of under 40 years, resulting in lower ongoing repair and maintenance costs and driver being higher asset values. And with that, I will now turn the call over to Scott.

S
Scott Cryer
CFO & Corporate Secretary

Thanks, Phillip. We are proud to continue to report strong operating results as we progress through 2020 despite such trying time, which have been particularly prevalent through the second quarter. As shown on Slide 10, operating revenues and NOI have both increased significantly compared to the prior year period, predominantly driven by acquisitions, but also higher monthly rents on the stabilized portfolio. Our NOI margin has also remained strong, albeit impacted by higher property and costs compared to the prior year period, including higher R&M, insurance and advertising costs, in connection with the aforementioned reduction in vacancies coming into 2020. We also had a relatively minor impact from the increased bad debt expense relating to the retail portion of our mixed-use property in the Netherlands. FFO and AFFO have increased by approximately 70% for the second quarter of 2020 as compared to quarter 2 of 2019. However, we are impacted by higher current income tax and general and administrative expenses during the quarter. This was partially offset by an increase in NOI on our stabilized portfolio and as well by acquisitions to date, which have been accretive. FFO and AFFO per unit was significantly impacted by a greater weighted average number of units outstanding during 2020. As detailed on Slide 11, our operating metrics have preserved against the backdrop of unprecedented challenges to conventional operating conditions. Residential occupancy increased to 98.8% compared to the same period last year, in part, evidencing the effectiveness of our property management through a focused minimization of inherited vacancy. Occupied average monthly rents on a stabilized portfolio increased by 5%, a result of contractual indexation, turnover and the conversion of regulated suites to liberalized suites. Stabilized portfolio NOI decreased slightly compared to the prior year due to several of the increased property costs described earlier and partially offset by higher monthly rents. I'll remind that last year, in Q2, we had a significantly an abnormally high NOI margin, thus the difference for this quarter. Finally, our weighted average interest rate continues to decrease, down 30 basis points compared to the same time last year, substantiating the strong spreads we are achieving between cap rates and interest costs, including on our mortgage financing obtained during the quarter. As we continue to scale the business, we remain focused on maintaining a conservative financial profile, as you can see on Slide 12. This has been especially important given the recent economic uncertainty onset by COVID-19 pandemic. Despite such uncertainty and in combination with the rapid and significant increase in the size of our asset base, we are seeing conservative leverage, which we expect to keep between 45% and 50% as we continue to grow down the line. Lower interest cost as a result of having secured financing to date by capitalizing on the persistent low rates in the European Union and a conservative 4.9-year term to maturity for our mortgage portfolio. In addition, we had approximately EUR 141 million of immediate available liquidity as at June 30, inclusive of EUR 100 million in undrawn lines of credit with the remainder sitting in cash. Using assumed 60% LTV ratio on long-term mortgage financing, we could have immediate capacity to acquire over EUR 300 million in assets. Accounting for the anticipated cash acquisition of the Doorwerth property quarter 3, this will slightly be reduced. Slide 13 provides more detail on our well-staggered mortgage portfolio, with the nearest debt maturity not occurring until December 2022. In addition, the majority of our mortgages are nonamortizing. As we continue to grow, we will ensure to maintain our smooth maturity profile in order to reduce renewal risk. Thanks for your time. I'll turn things back to Phillip to wrap up.

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

Thanks, Scott. In summary, such challenging times have provided ERES with the opportunity to test the operating platform we have established and the team that manages it, which thus far has proven proficient. Our liquidity and risk profiles have remained robust as we continue to navigate through complex operating conditions, both prudently and strategically, while remaining focused on the well-being of our staff and tenants as a first priority. We remain confident in our long-term ability to safely and responsibly address and absorb the regulatory, economic, social and health impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic that may materialize going forward. With the gradual reopening of the Dutch economy and our recent graduation to the Toronto Stock Exchange, we remain optimistic about the opportunities, which the multi-residential sector in Europe continue to provide and our ability to capitalize on such prospects. In this regard, we believe that ERES continues to offer a compelling investment opportunity. The REIT provides a unique opportunity to invest in the fast-growing and attractive European multi-residential real estate market. Our partnership with CAPREIT brings significant benefits to our unitholders. We are growing our portfolio at very attractive yield spreads with strong and highly accretive organic and external growth opportunities. We have established a strong foothold in the Netherlands multi-residential market, and we are building size and scale to drive value going forward. Our conservative balance sheet and financial position provides the flexibility and resources to drive further growth and we have in place an experienced management team and a seasoned Board of Trustees. Thank you for your time this morning, and we would now be pleased to take any questions you may have. Operator, over to you, please.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Jonathan Kelcher with TD Securities.

J
Jonathan Kelcher
Analyst

First question, just on the comparison maintenance, obviously up this quarter. Was there anything in there that was sort of onetime related to COVID, like extra cleaning or anything like that?

S
Scott Cryer
CFO & Corporate Secretary

Yes. There were some COVID-related costs. It's approximately EUR 50,000 that relates to the sanitization and cleaning services.

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

And Jon, I'll just point out again that last year was kind of a very low R&M run rate during the quarter. So it's kind of a little bit exacerbated when you do quarter-over-quarter. So that is part of the change year-over-year.

J
Jonathan Kelcher
Analyst

Okay. And I'd assume that EUR 50,000 goes on into Q3, Q4?

S
Scott Cryer
CFO & Corporate Secretary

It certainly goes on to Q3.

J
Jonathan Kelcher
Analyst

Okay. And then just -- and this might -- just on the revenue -- the same-property revenue was only up 2.5%. And I'm just trying to figure the math behind that, given that your same property occupancy was up over 100 basis points and your average monthly rents were up at 4%, 5%. So just curious on why that number is just 2.5%.

S
Scott Cryer
CFO & Corporate Secretary

There was some -- just in terms of revenue, last year was a bit of a busy year, and there was some cleanup you can say that impacted the revenue number. So -- which looks like there was a higher revenue, but there was some adjustments that were made in the prior year. So if you look at going forward, I would stick with the go-forward, the current year's revenue as a run rate.

J
Jonathan Kelcher
Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. And then lastly, just on the acquisition that you've announced, when did you start looking at that? And what's the current acquisition market like?

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

It actually -- the acquisition that we've already announced was part of a larger portfolio that was brought to market pre-COVID. It actually didn't end up trading. And then it was broken up into pieces. And so we actually took 1 asset, 3 buildings out of it, sort of as a semi off-market with the vendors. So we really -- we're looking at it at the very beginning of the year, but then we paused all of our acquisitions. And then as we came back to starting looking or starting to be prepared to look at doing acquisitions again, it's an opportunity that we were very familiar with. We have assets in the market. So again, I think we signed it July 31. I don't know the exact date, but I'm guessing we started looking at that in mid-June.

J
Jonathan Kelcher
Analyst

Okay. In terms of current market?

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

In terms of the current market, I mean, it's been a fairly robust year. Honestly speaking, there was a sort of a 6-week pause, where some things that had just been launched were sort of elongated and some things that were anticipated to be launched were probably delayed. But by our calculations, so far first 6 months of this year, there's been over EUR 1 billion worth of properties brought to market, almost 6,000 units. So that -- the ability, the supply of product is still there, even though we did take a pause and there really has not been a noticeable or there's been no softening in yields. Even some of the assets, I would say, have probably experienced flat or even slightly tighter yields to what we were seeing at the end of last year. So I don't want to dismiss COVID as not having impacted the market. But from the acquisitions and the supply side and the opportunity side, I still think there's a great runway for us. Obviously, we need to be very cognizant of liquidity. We're certainly looking at things now, but we just need to be aware that we can't exhaust all of our liquidity on acquisitions, given the remaining uncertainty around COVID and being honest, where our stock price trades versus NAV?

Operator

Next question is from Himanshu Gupta with Scotiabank.

H
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst

So just on the residential occupancy so that increased compared to the last quarter. Just wondering what are the factors that led to the positive increase despite the COVID crisis? And in general, do you think market occupancy is trending differently for Randstad versus non-Randstad regions or maybe liberalized versus regulated categories?

S
Scott Cryer
CFO & Corporate Secretary

I don't think we've seen a noticeable bifurcation, keeping in mind that our average rents are -- still would be considered middle-income, sort of between EUR 800 to EUR 900. Our most expensive is still not getting into luxury. So we're very much in that middle segment. So we're seeing very strong occupancy across all of our segments. I think, as Stephen has said, as we've discussed before, some of our occupancy uplift was just getting back to what we think is a more normal run rate because we started the year a bit high. But we also saw continued positive leasing throughout the COVID crisis. We did some rationalization of our broker network and brought in a new broker who's really performed well. And I think it's a real testament to the platform and the team that we're running it where we are now at sort of only 1.2% vacancy. And we're also seeing because the vacancy is so low an ability on turnover to perhaps maximize rents a little bit more than you would have seen in the comparable 3 or 6 month periods of last year. Whether or not it's an overall trend, I hesitate to say, but our platform and our team, I think, are doing very well on the top line revenue side. And there's nothing that I see that would cause a dramatic impact on that. We remain cautious of any lag on effect that might happen or delayed effect that might happen from COVID, but so far, the government has already extended their measures into the autumn. So I would expect us to stay sort of where we're at for the time being.

H
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst

Got it. And then on the rent collection, I mean, obviously very strong, do you know what percentage of your tenants are on some kind of government assistance programs? And as and when the stimulus stops or slows down, you said until autumn, do you expect any change in rate of collection then?

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

Again, our collection rates have been very consistent throughout the COVID period as they were before the COVID period. So we -- it's just been very much steady as she goes. Again, once I -- on one side, I think it's just the place where our rents are positioned, very much in the middle-income market. The biggest government program that helps is really the wage subsidy by small, medium-sized enterprises. It was originally going to end in June. Now it's ending in October. So maybe that is the reason, but we don't have visibility on that. But across all of our account receivable duration bucket, we've been able to trend those down slightly as well. So I don't want to overlook COVID in any way. And I do have some fear, particularly see resurgence everywhere, where there's a lag on effect. But so far, our portfolio has been incredibly defensive and the collections have come in consistent with past performance.

H
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst

Got it. And then just on the acquisition, the Doorwerth property, $20 million acquisition. So how competitive is the market at this dollar price range? And do you think better pricing is available at this range compared to the portfolio transactions because traditionally, you have done mostly portfolio transactions?

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

Yes. I mean we bought this, in my mind, at a very attractive cap rate, 4.3%-ish. That's very attractive. But I think that's more of a one-off. So it's being opportunistic. It's a single asset. It's not in the Randstad pad. I think there's people out there that wouldn't be interested in it. Because it's not great for privatization, but we already have assets nearby. It's easy for us operationally to integrate. It's high occupancy, we really, really like that asset and the pricing on it was very, very attractive. But I don't think that's representative necessarily of single asset deals versus portfolio deal. Again, I had seen that the cap rates remain steady or tighten slightly, which you've seen in our own portfolio throughout the first half of this year. So I don't think there's necessarily amazing bargains out there. But I also -- we're going to be prudent whether we're bidding on EUR 100 million deal or a EUR 10 million deal. I think if you get too much smaller than you have like the moms and pops, single investors that can invest. So I think it's a robust liquid market across the size profile, but you just need to be prudent in the way that you underwrite it and you have to assume there's going to be competition. But I think in the 18 months since inception, we've demonstrated our ability to grow and to at least get our appropriate share of that deal pipeline.

H
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst

Got it. And maybe just final question from me. In terms of any legislation, I mean, in terms of any potential rent freeze, is there any legislation in progress at the Senate level or any discussion in this regard? I mean my question is simply, how solid is the 2.4% spend indexation increase in the next 12 months?

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

I mean in every country, I think, globally, there's discussions about how do you protect the tenants and in this environment, particularly the -- or in the Netherlands, that's already supply constrained. And there was a discussion in Parliament about rent freezes earlier in the year, but the ministry of housing has very firmly pushed back on that because she does not believe that, that's the right approach. She recognizes it's more of a supply side problem. She also recognizes that if they were to implement something like that, it would have dramatic impact on the investment that people are prepared to put into the assets. They also would have a dramatic effect on the housing associations, which are -- used to be government-owned. They're pseudo government entities now. So she's very forcefully pushed back on a rent freeze. So I don't see that coming. She's been advocating other measures. I think we've discussed it in the past, potentially bringing in a cap on the contribution that the [ wows ] value of the initial tax value can add to your points. If something like that comes in, it's -- it doesn't have a major impact on our portfolio. I think that would be more likely than a rent freeze as I see it today.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Matt Kornack with National Bank Financial.

M
Matt Kornack
Analyst

Just wanted to quickly clarify one of the responses to Jonathan's question with regards to same-property revenue. Should we be focusing more on the occupancy gains and the rent growth on the same property portfolio? There's no noise in those figures, correct? The noise would be in the revenue for the prior year period for the same property portfolio?

S
Scott Cryer
CFO & Corporate Secretary

Yes. That's correct, Matt.

M
Matt Kornack
Analyst

Okay. And then with regards to turnovers, you got some pretty good rents on turnover, I assume that, that speaks to market strength, particularly in the liberalized conversions. Can you speak to maybe where market rents on liberalized suites have been moving? Has there been a COVID impact? I mean we've seen a bit of rent issues here in Toronto on the higher end, but I'm wondering what rents have done on a market basis in the Netherlands?

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

Yes. I mean we found, again, I'm trying to ensure that we remain sensitive to the dynamic that we're in, but you can look and see that our turnover uplift, either across the regulated, across liberalized or across the conversions have outperformed both in the 6-month and the 3 months period to date versus last year. I think, one, it's because the assets that we bought are well located. I think they're in high demand. I think we continue to improve our leasing ability and with our occupancy being as tight or as high as it is or our vacancy being as tight as it is, it also gives us the ability to increase testing elasticity of that price. So we continue to see the ability in our markets and in our assets, particularly on the regulated to liberalized conversions to test the pricing. And you're seeing that come through in a noticeable way when you compare to what we were doing last year. But again, I would hesitate to say that the overall market is seeing enormous rental uplifts at the moment. I just think our conversion program works well. I think us rationalizing our broker. Our relationship has been working well, and the team just continues to work better as we get more mature. And as we also had so many acquisitions, we've really -- and the one good thing, if you will, the first half of this year has allowed us to really bed in and remediate any of the operational items that we'd set out for ourselves from the acquisitions that we did in September, October and December.

M
Matt Kornack
Analyst

Makes sense. You mentioned supply side has been an issue. Has COVID impacted supply at all on the multifamily side? I understand that the closing government entities are providing some of that, but have they had employment issues or anything that would have slowed supply?

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

I mean it was already slowing down in 2020 anyway because you have all of the green, the nitrogen legislation and all that, the permits were coming down far below where they needed to be, to be running at a rate that would start to reduce the shortage. So all people expect that the shortage is getting worse. So then you had the incremental environmental legislation coming in. And then with the COVID virtually, everything, truly shutting down for that 8-week period. Nobody was submitting applications. And even if they were, the government wasn't able to process those planning applications. So again, I think it is -- it will be another substantial underperforming year in terms of delivering new supply. And again, I mean, the Minister of Housing, her name is [indiscernible], she seems aware of that. And she is on record stating that rent freezes, to Himanshu's question, would be very disruptive and counterproductive to address the supply side. So I don't see it getting better. I think this year, the shortage will increase, which, again, plays to the landlord favor and certainly ERES' favor.

M
Matt Kornack
Analyst

Fair enough. And last question for me. In terms of underwriting on the financing side, any change in approach on lenders in terms of acquisitions, in terms of interest rates versus LTVs, et cetera, on mortgage debt?

S
Scott Cryer
CFO & Corporate Secretary

No, I don't think so. I think we've seen -- obviously, during -- in all markets, during the initial phase of COVID, we saw some potential pressure, but it seems like everything is kind of settled back in, and we're looking at similar LTVs to what we would have been doing before at 60% [ non-am ] and with great rates. So there was a quick little moment in time where there was some pressure on that, but it seems to be back in line.

Operator

There no further questions registered at this time, so I'll turn the meeting back over to Mr. Burns.

P
Phillip Wesley Burns
CEO & Trustee

Once again, thank you, everybody, for joining us, and we wish you to have a great day.

Operator

The conference has now ended. Please disconnect your lines at this time and we thank you for your participation.