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Sherritt International Corp
TSX:S

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Sherritt International Corp Logo
Sherritt International Corp
TSX:S
Watchlist
Price: 0.315 CAD 1.61% Market Closed
Updated: May 3, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q2

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Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Sherritt International Second Quarter 2023 Results Conference Call and Webcast. [Operator Instructions] I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded today, Thursday, July 27, 2023, at 10:00 AM Eastern Standard Time.

I would now like to turn the presentation over to Mark Preston, Manager, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

M
Mark Preston
Investor Relations

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Before we begin, I just want to make mention of a couple of items. As you know, we released our Q2 results last night and all of our disclosure materials, including the press release, the MD&A, financial statements and they're all available on our website as well as on SEDAR. As is customary, during today's conference call and webcast, we will be using a presentation that is available on our website in the Investor Relations section.

In addition, we will be making forward-looking statements and references to certain non-GAAP financial measures Cautionary notes on forward-looking statements can be found on Slide 3 and the non-GAAP measure discussions and reconciliations to the most directly comparable IFRS measures are included in the appendix to the presentation.

With me today are Sherritt's Chief Executive Officer, Leon Binedell; and Chief Financial Officer, Yasmin Gabriel, who will be reviewing the results in detail. Following this discussion, we will open the call to questions.

It's now my pleasure to pass the call on to Leon.

L
Leon Binedell
President, CEO & Director

Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I'm starting on Slide 4. This quarter was highlighted by the fact that we received almost $100 million in the quarter on our Cobalt Swap agreement. This is a testament to the quality and effectiveness of the agreement and the strong working relationship we have with our Cuban partners. With the success of this first year, we are confident that the remaining 4 years will be equally successful. And just for some context, while $76 million of the dividends were redirected by our partner, GNC to pay down the receivables, an equal amount came to share is our 50% share in dividends for the year-to-date. This was the second highest dividend payment from the joint venture behind last year when we benefited from strong nickel and cobalt prices and record high fertilizer prices.

At the end of the quarter, we had approximately $125 million in cash and available liquidity in Canada. We're also excited that we started receiving additional gas from two new wells drilled on behalf of CUPET that will have a significant positive impact on our power operations for years to come. And with the continuing success of the Moa swap, which provides Energas with foreign currency on a monthly basis, we can start to look forward to receiving dividend distributions from the Power business in the future.

Operationally, we had a bit of a mixed quarter, but the biggest challenge, which was out of our control, was commodity prices. Each of the nickel, cobalt and fertilizer prices were significantly lower in the current quarter than last year. Sales volumes for each of the commodities were higher than last year, and we benefited from lower input commodity prices. But the 63% decrease in cobalt realized prices and a 35% decrease in fertilizer prices had a material impact on our net direct cash cost and profitability. I'll go into these in a bit more detail and provide additional operational updates, and then Yasmin will elaborate on our financial results. I'll come back and talk about our '23 guidance before we take questions.

Turning to Slide 5 on our strategic priorities. We continue to focus on delivering and advancing our strategic priorities. Foremost, we strengthened our balance sheet during the quarter with a Cobalt Swap I just mentioned, and Yasmin will elaborate on this. We continue to progress the Moa JV expansion, which remains on budget and on schedule for a 2024 completion, which when completed, we expect we'll see production of contained nickel from Moa increased by 20%. We issued our 2022 sustainability reports, which showed continued progression towards our ESG targets.

In our Technologies division, we continue to advance our commercialization activities. We commenced the mixed hydroxide precipitate test program, which is supported by funding commitments from Natural Resource Canada, which we announced last quarter. And we advanced our flowsheet for our next-generation laterite processing technology, or NGL, as we call it, and commenced new batch testing on specific laterite opportunities to test NGL's applicability.

I will now review our operating results for the quarter. Sadly, during the quarter, Sherritt reported two fatalities at the Moa site. While we've been demonstrating improved safety performance for a number of years in our total recordable and lost time injury frequency rates, over the past quarter, we failed to deliver a significant most fundamental expectation of zero fatalities. Following the incident, the President of GNC, our Cuban partner and I visited the site to express our condolences and to demonstrate our personal commitment to health and safety and our continued support for the organization. Our initial focus was on ensuring support for the families and coworkers who lost loved ones and close friends.

Together, we moved swiftly to investigate and assess the safety culture, procedures and protocol failures that ultimately contributed to these incidents. In collaboration with local management and the authorities, these incidents were investigated using a rigorous root cause analysis methodology and a diagnostic gap analysis of the site's fatality prevention measures was completed. We are committed to implement improvements to prevent fatalities in collaboration with our Cuban partner. To date, Moa has reinvigorated training and compliance with fatality prevention standards and completed an ICAM investigation and commenced the implementation of the recommendations for improvement following these two incidents. We also performed in a fatality prevention maturity assessment, and we are working closely with our joint venture partners to also enhance the safety improvement tracking at Moa.

Q2 production results for the Moa joint venture are outlined on Slide 8. Operationally, this quarter again saw a number of challenges for Moa JV, particularly in maintaining or enhancing appropriate feed availability to the refinery. At the Moa mine, while ore blending related issues from Q1 were resolved in Q2, we continue to see challenges in increasing mixed sulphide production effectively to build our feed stockpile at the refinery. An unplanned maintenance incident occurred in the quarter where a sulfur pipeline leaked sulfur into a steam feed and filled the hydrogen plant catalyst, causing an outage in the hydrogen plant. This course was a loss of approximately 600 tonnes of metal in MSP at Moa during the quarter. Sherritt's 50% share of finished nickel production in Q2 was 3,268 tonnes or 12% lower than the prior year. Finished cobalt production during the quarter was at 331 tonnes, down 16% from Q2 2022, primarily due to the lower feed availability from Moa stemming from the Q1 challenges. Production for the second half is expected to be at normalized rates at the refinery following the planned annual refinery maintenance shutdown in Q2, and we'll start to access new mining areas in late 2023 to further enhance blending opportunities in Moa.

Maintenance challenges at the Moa mine in the first half of the year, coupled with the ore blending challenges from Q1, have impacted feed availability at the refinery. And as a result, full year production is expected to be at the lower end of the guidance range for the year. However, additional third-party feed has been secured to utilize the existing refinery capacity to help offset these shortfalls. I'll talk a little more about this when we review the outlook for the remainder of the year.

As you can see from the graph on Slide 9, our net direct cash cost or NDCC was significantly higher in the current quarter compared to last year. The most significant impact was the lower byproduct credits compared to the prior year. Despite higher cobalt and fertilizer sales volumes, a 63% lower cobalt realized price and 35% lower fertilizer prices and the impact of our biannual sulfuric acid maintenance activities in Q2 this year collectively amounted to almost $3.50 impact on a per pound basis of nickel sold. As a reminder, Q2 last year saw record high fertilizer prices and a spike in cobalt prices as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Higher NPR costs reflect lower production volumes and the costs associated with the significantly higher cobalt sales volumes in the current year period and additional maintenance costs related to the issues mentioned. The higher NPR costs were partly offset by lower input commodity prices in Q2, where we saw a 49% decrease in global sulfur price, 30% decrease in natural gas prices and a 24% decrease in fuel oil prices.

Based on the NDCC for the six months to June of $6.88 per pound, expected production levels for the rest of the year and materially lower realized prices for cobalt and fertilizers, we have revised our '23 guidance, and I'll cover this shortly.

On Slide 9, just a quick update on the Moa JV expansion program. We continue to make good progress and the program remains on time and on budget. To date, the structural steel and field assembly on the Slurry Preparation Plant is complete, and the piping, electrical and slurry water return piping are all progressing on schedule and for project completion in early 2024. For the six leach train, more than half of the contracts have been awarded collectively within budget and included all the long lead items. This sets this project up for principal construction in 2024 and for completion by the end of 2024 on budget. The asset tank construction, the vendor has been selected and a contract will be awarded once the permits are granted in the second half of this year. Just a reminder for everyone that this program is being fully funded by the joint venture itself and does not impact Sherritt's liquidity. Given the low capital requirement and the amounts already spent to date, we are confident that the joint venture will have sufficient liquidity to complete these projects as planned.

Turning to our Power division on Slide 11. Electricity production for Q2 was 172 gigawatt hours, 29% higher than the prior year period. The increase in electricity production is a result of increased equipment availability as one turbine was brought back online following completion of maintenance work in order to utilize the successful increase in the available gas. During the quarter, Energas began receiving the additional gas from two new wells drilled on behalf of CUPET, the Cuban oil company. As part of the joint venture agreement, the gas is provided to Energas free of charge for use in power generation. We continue to investigate opportunities to further increase gas supply for additional power production to maximize the available capacity of these facilities.

Unit operating costs for Q2 were higher than Q2 last year as a result of the timing of maintenance spend, partly offset by the higher electricity production and sales. As a result of the increased available gas and the increased equipment availability, we updated the 2023 annual guidance ranges for our Power business as well. Since the last earnings presentation, we had a number of inquiries about Sherritt's interest in the gas production of these wells. And I want to say that while our oil and gas business unit provided the drilling services for these wells to CUPET, we have no economic interest in the gas production, but we receive gas free of charge principally for power production and for domestic gas sales through the Energas joint venture.

And with that, I will hand over to Yasmin to summarize our financial highlights before I return to our guidance.

Y
Yasmin Gabriel
CFO

Thank you, Leon. Start today with our key financial metrics on Slide 13. Both adjusted EBITDA and net earnings from continuing operations for Q2 2023 were lower than Q2 2022. The most significant factor was the reduction in average realized prices for nickel, cobalt and fertilizer. Combined, these changes had just over a $60 million impact on adjusted EBITDA and net earnings. In addition, we had higher costs associated with the significantly higher cobalt sales volume in the current year period and additional maintenance costs impacting production, as Leon noted earlier. We also had a $15 million lower noncash share-based compensation recovery resulting from a 44% decrease in the share price on a higher number of vested units in Q2 of last year. Despite these factors, we maintained profitability with higher sales volume from each of the commodities.

Shifting to Slide 14 for an update on our Cobalt Swap agreement. As Leon mentioned earlier, we are very pleased to have successfully completed the first year of the Cobalt Swap agreement before midyear. This demonstrates the strong working relationship we have with our Cuban partners and reinforces our confidence that we will receive the full benefit of the Cobalt Swap over the next four years. It will not only provide significant liquidity in excess of our second lien notes maturing in November 2026 but will also provide us with strategic optionality.

As we previously disclosed in June, the Moa joint venture distributed the annual maximum cobalt volume of 2,082 tonnes with an in-kind value of $88 million. With the downside protection in the agreement, a cash top-up dividend of $64 million was distributed by the Moa joint venture in June to reach the annual minimum dollar amount of US$114 million. Half of the cobalt and cash received which totaled US$57 million or CAD76 million with redirected to share it by GNC to settle the outstanding Cuban receivable.

To date, we have sold more than 90% of the cobalt for $73 million and have received $67 million in cash from these sales. We continue to sell the remaining volume into the market and expect to receive all remaining cash from sales by the end of Q3.

Turning to our liquidity position on Slide 15. At the end of Q2, our available liquidity was $125 million compared to $82 million at the end of last quarter. The increase results primarily from the almost $100 million we received from the sale of cobalt plus the cash top-up dividend received under the Cobalt Swap I mentioned on the previous slide. This increase was offset by a number of items, including $18 million used at our Fort Site operations, primarily due to the timing of payments relative to strong presales received in Q1. We also paid our semiannual interest on our second lien notes of about $9 million, and we repurchased $7 million of our PIK notes on the open market at a 27% discount. We were not required to make a mandatory redemption of second lien notes in April as the minimum liquidity threshold was not met.

Finally, as a reminder, with the completion of the current year obligations under the Cobalt Swap, any further dividends from the Moa joint venture this year will be distributed equally to each partner in cash.

On Slide 16, I'll provide an update on our PIK notes. Year-to-date, we've repurchased $11 million on the open market at a 30% discount, and that includes the $7 million repurchase in the quarter, as I mentioned in the previous slide. This week, we made the semiannual interest payment on the PIK notes in cash rather than adding to the principal balances we've done in the past, stopping the compounding impact of capitalized interest. With the liquidity from the Cobalt Swap and the expectation that it will be equally successful in the remaining four years of the agreement, we are looking ahead in pursuit of significant strategic options, including providing returns to our shareholders. In order to pay dividends or repurchase shares, we need to make two consecutive cash interest payments on the PIK notes, so again in January 2024, to utilize the permitted spending capacity under the terms of the second lien notes. The amount of permitted spending as a point-in-time calculation, and at the end of the quarter, we had approximately $114 million of capacity. This capacity provides us with significant flexibility to pursue investments and future returns to our shareholders.

That concludes my remarks. I'll pass back to Leon to discuss the 2023 guidance.

L
Leon Binedell
President, CEO & Director

Thank you, Yasmin. Slide 18 outlines our revised guidance for 2023. As we mentioned last quarter and again earlier today, the volatile cobalt prices had a significant impact on our year-to-date NDCC. The current year-to-date cobalt credit is $1.81 per pound compared to $3.14 in the prior year. And we came into the year forecasting a US$23.50 per pound cobalt reference price. And in updating our NDCC guidance, we are currently using a forecast annual reference price of US$16.80 per pound, which is materially lower requiring an update to our NDCC guidance.

In addition to the cobalt market challenges, we have reduced our expected fertilizer credits on the back of lower fertilizer prices as mentioned. During the annual shutdown this quarter, we had planned on commencing replacement of an old compressor in the ammonia plant and had a new one ready to go. On cutover to a rental unit, which we were planning to use during the replacement work, we discovered that the rented compressor was effective. We have addressed the situation in late July, but in the meantime, we purchased ammonia. And while nickel and cobalt production will not be impacted, fertilizer production will be negatively impacted until the new compressor is fully operational at the end of the year. As a result, we are also factoring in lower fertilizer sales volumes into our NDCC guidance.

The additional third-party feed purchases in the second half of the year is expected to offset MSP production shortfalls from Moa, but will have an incremental cost impact to our estimated 2023 NDCC as well. As a result, we have increased our NDCC guidance from US$5 to US$5.50 per pound to US$6.75 to US$7.25 per pound of nickel sold, but we maintained our production guidance. On a positive note, the additional gas received from the two new wells will have a positive impact on both our 2023 power production and cost. We increased the annual production guidance ranges from 575 to 625 gigawatt hours to a new range of 650 to 700 gigawatt hours for the year, and reduced unit operating cost guidance range from $28.50 to $30 per megawatt hour down to $27.25 to $28.75 per megawatt hour for the year.

Moving to our final Slide 19. In conclusion, we continue to focus on meeting our strategic objectives within the confines of the current volatile market conditions, but continue to believe that the long-term fundamentals for our commodities remain robust. With the success of the Cobalt Swap, and anticipated cash flows from it, we will continue to focus our attention on building a stronger and expanded operating profile while managing our balance sheet effectively. We believe we have strong cash generating capacity to effectively manage our balance sheet and pursue our strategic objectives concurrently.

I'd like to thank everyone for your time today. And operator, I'd like to open the call for questions at this time.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question will come from Gordon Lawson at Paradigm Capital.

G
Gordon Lawson
Paradigm Capital

Could you please elaborate on the fertilizer production issues? And how much tonnage do you expect to lose in the coming quarters?

L
Leon Binedell
President, CEO & Director

Thanks, Gordon, for your question. The impact on the second half of the year from fertilizer sales is still somewhat unclear in terms of the total volumes that we might be able to sell. But we've assumed fairly low value or low volumes of sales for the back half of the year. So not really a material credit to NDCC at all.

G
Gordon Lawson
Paradigm Capital

Okay. And the second question relates to the swaps. So cobalt prices where they are, can you just clarify that it will, in fact, not affect the structure of the slot payment as it relates to the cash dividend?

L
Leon Binedell
President, CEO & Director

At this stage, we don't anticipate that there will be any negative impact to the Cobalt Swap. The Cobalt Swap agreement is tied to both volume but also minimum cash value associated with those. And so we anticipate that in a lower price environment, we will have cash top of dividends as we did this year. Given the current expected commodity prices and long-term operating parameters, we expect to receive a Cobalt Swap in each of the remaining four years.

Operator

Your next question comes from Tony Robson at Global Mining Research.

T
Tony Robson
Global Mining Research

Just following up on that cobalt issue, it looks like Chinese capital and know-how is now entering the HPAL space in Indonesia with slurry. Do you -- are you worried about the cobalt prices, in say, a two, three-year outlook as Indonesia ramps up their cobalt production? Or do you see that lithium ion battery demand for cobalt will mark up the expected Indonesian increase?

L
Leon Binedell
President, CEO & Director

Thanks, Tony, for the question. Yes, we certainly have seen an increase in cobalt production from the HPAL facilities in Indonesia backed by Chinese investment. Just for context, those are significantly lower volumes on a per operation basis than what we see coming out of the DRC still. The DRC copper operations still drive over 70% of current global cobalt supply. So whilst it's incremental supply, it's not nearly to the same magnitude. We do see that the ongoing electric vehicle adoption and consumer using lithium-ion batteries will eventually mop up all that added capacity in supply. There will be some price pressure in the near term and some volatility as this unfolds as none of these facilities come on smoothly. They come in fits and starts as well as the consumption in electric vehicles as new gigafactories are being built and the cobalt consumed. But in the mid to long term, we do see that we're getting into a position of a supply shortfall again.

Operator

Mark, please proceed with any closing remarks.

M
Mark Preston
Investor Relations

That's all the callers we have, then I'd like to thank everybody for joining us today, and we'll talk to you next quarter. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude your conference call for this morning. We would like to thank you all for participating and ask you to please disconnect your lines.