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Transat AT Inc
TSX:TRZ

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Transat AT Inc
TSX:TRZ
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Price: 3.25 CAD -0.31% Market Closed
Updated: May 18, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2022-Q2

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Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Transat Conference Call. This call is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Christophe Hennebelle, Vice President, Corporate Affairs. Mr. Hennebelle.

C
Christophe Hennebelle
VP, Corporate Affairs

Thank you, Frank. Hello, everyone, and welcome to the Transat conference call for the presentation of the financial results of the second quarter ended April 30, 2022. I'm here with Annick Guérard, President and CEO; and Patrick Bui, CFO. Annick will provide her comments and observations on the current situation and on the operational and commercial plans for the future, before Patrick reviews the financial results in more details. We will then answer questions from financial analysts. Questions from journalists will be handled offline.

The conference call will be held in English, but questions may be asked in French or English. As usual, our investor's presentation has been updated and is posted on our website in the Investors section. Patrick may refer to it as he presents the results.

Today's call contains forward-looking statements. There are risks that actual results will differ materially from those contemplated by those forward-looking statements. For additional information on such risks, we invite you to consult our filings with the Canadian Securities Commission. Forward-looking statements represent Transat's expectations as at June, 09, 2022 and accordingly are subject to change after such date. However, we disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than as required by law.

Finally, we may refer to IFRS and non-IFRS financial measures. In addition to IFRS financial measures, we are using non-IFRS measures to assess the Corporation's operational performance. It is likely that the non-IFRS financial measures used by the Corporation will not be comparable to similar measures reported by other issuers or those used by financial analysts as their measures may have different definitions.

The measures used by the Corporation are intended to provide additional information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for IFRS financial performance measures. Additional information on non-IFRS financial measures such as their definition and their reconciliation with the more comparable IFRS measures are available in our Annual Report and our investor presentation.

With that, let me turn the call over to Annick for opening remarks.

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

Thank you, Christophe. Good morning, everyone. During the second quarter, February was still quite slow, but as the effect Omicron subsided, we saw a strong rise in demand and capacity, which resulted in a strong rebound for March and April travel and in bookings for summer travel dates.

Our final capacity for the quarter was slightly below 50% of the levels we had in 2019, starting at one third in February and reaching two thirds in April. On the other hand, load factors tapped out at 67% in February. They were slightly below 80% in March, but slightly above 80% in April. As a result, we generated revenues of $358 million for the quarter. What matters most is that our volume increased steadily throughout the quarter.

This ramp up is reflected in our sales for the summer. From mid-December to the beginning of March, summer net bookings were significantly lower than 2019. Afterwards, we saw sales similar to those of 2019, but they have been higher since the beginning of May.

Clients are booking later than they were before the pandemic, but the pace is steadily increasing. Our capacity for the summer is at about 90% of 2019 levels. If this trend holds, we expect to see good volumes in the months ahead.

Our customers are obviously looking forward to be flying again and we have been proactive in taking advantage of this strong demand, both in the short term and in the long term to deploy and consolidate our strategic plan. An integral part of our plan is the way we are reshaping our network. We want it to be stronger, denser and more centered around Eastern Canada. That means more choices for our customers and more efficiency for us.

In 2019, we were offering around 500 possible itineraries. This summer, we are offering more than 1,200. Of these, 550 itineraries will be our own. We have reopened most of our existing roots and added some. In addition, we have new destinations such as San Francisco and Los Angeles from Montreal. We also have new direct routes to existing destinations, such as Amsterdam from Montreal and London from Quebec City, both of which we were already serving from Toronto.

And finally we have made it possible to connect between Europe and the United States on our wings. For instance, our customers are now able to book a trip from Paris to San Francisco with a layover in Montreal.

320 itineraries will come from our co-chair agreements. Sales are now open on our co-chair agreement with WestJet. As an example, our customers in Winnipeg can now buy a trip to Farrow in Portugal with a stopover flight change in Toronto. The first leg is operated by WestJet and the second leg, of course, from Toronto to far Faro is operated by Transat.

This is in addition to train and air combinations that we are offering with [indiscernible] on many destinations in France and Belgium from Canada. And we will add other itineraries in default through our co-chair agreement with Porter. More than 400 itineraries are made possible through our virtual Interline agreement within Connectair by Air Transat allowing our customers to connect with eight airlines to more than 245 destination in Europe, North Africa, the Middle East, South and Central America, as well as Canada.

This is all made possible by our renewed and more efficient fleet. We are still expecting two more A321 new LRs this summer, which will increase this type of aircraft within our fleet to 12. No need to explain to you again, how much this fuel efficient and versatile aircraft, which we are the only Canadian airline to operate this summer will contribute to our success. Nor do I need to dwell on the advantages of the mix fleet flying operation that we will be using between these aircraft and our A330s.

Also we are very pleased to have extended our pilot's collective agreement for an extra three years, protecting us against unexpected labor cost fluctuation, and giving us some stability for the years to come while we are implementing our restart and deploying our plan. I want to thank our pilots and their representatives for working with us towards this mutually beneficial agreement.

On June 1, we welcome Marc-Philippe Lumpé, our new Chief Airline Operation Officer. In this role, Mr. Lumpé will be in charge of all airline operations, replacing Jean-François Lemay who has held Air Transat since 2013. Marc's extensive experience in aviation, particularly in the areas of operations, quality, maintenance, procurement and IT are undeniable assets for the long term recovery and development of our ideation activities.

So in a nutshell, even though we are not able yet to generate profitability because as explained during Q1, we are still carrying significant link to the restarting of our operation. We have certainly seen the volumes come back and our top line is gradually rebuilding, which is a good sign for the upcoming summer. In the meantime, we have continued implementing our strategic plan to build a stronger, more resilient company that is both ready to take advantage of much more robust demand and to tackle whatever bumps in the road lay ahead of us.

Patrick will now give you details about our financials.

P
Patrick Bui
CFO

Thank you, Annick and good morning, everyone. As mentioned by Annick, the quarter started in difficult circumstances with the effect of Omicron greatly impacting our financial results and negatively impacting our liquidity position, but ended on a positive note in April, notably surpassing our pre-Omicron top line expectations.

As you will see in the investor presentation that we posted on the website, bookings in the past four weeks have surpassed 2019 levels. From a financial strategy perspective, our focus has been on building the resiliency and the flexibility required to navigate through these yet improving, but tumultuous times.

As we mentioned in our Q1 earnings call, we analyze the opportunity to implement a hedging strategy against the surge in oil prices, the most important risk we face this summer. Prices were already impacting our Q2 results. For example, without the recent increase, our EBITDA would've been positive in the month of April for the first time in more than two years. In our analysis, we considered the industry's ability to share the cost with the consumers and ultimately we decided to execute on a hedging strategy starting in June for our summer period to ensure greater resiliency in our company.

With respect to financing, as we mentioned also in our Q1 earnings call, we are pursuing discussions with all current lenders, including the Government of Canada in a spirit of continued collaboration regarding amendments to the existing financing agreements in order to ensure greater financial flexibility to the corporation.

With respect to cash burn, during the second quarter, we are happy to report that our monthly cash burn decreased to an average of $3 million compared to $27 million in the first quarter, as a result of the recovery and demand after the effect of Omicron. We highlight however that cash burn should accelerate during the shoulder period, May and June, while potentially turning positive during the peak July and August.

And now with respect to our Q2 results, revenue stood at $358 million up from $8 million in 2021, driven by the resumption of operations after Omicron subsided at the end of February. As you may remember, we had to stop our operations at the beginning of the second quarter in 2021. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $51 million for the quarter, identical to the $51 million negative in 2021. Although EBITDA remained the same, our results are encouraging since they included the costs of ramping up our operations and since the first half of the quarter was still suffering from the lack of demand as a result of Omicron.

Furthermore, during the quarter, we made great progress in the recall of our pilots in order to get ready for the summer season. Pilots needed to be requalified and properly trained. This had an impact on salary and training expenses, but this was a conscious investment in the reboot of our activities.

And lastly, fuel prices increased dramatically in the quarter and heavily weighed on our financial results. Adjusted net loss was $112 million compared with $103 million last year. And as per our financial statements, the net loss was $98 million compared to $70 million last year a $28 million deterioration.

This includes a foreign exchange loss of $7 million, mainly from the unfavorable exchange effect on lease liabilities related to aircraft, compared to a foreign exchange gain of $30 million in 2021. Our Q2 net loss also included a gain on long-term debt modification of $22 million as a result of lower interest rates on the unsecured financing negotiated and announced with the government of Canada last March.

Now, with respect to our balance sheet, as of April 30, the corporation's cash and cash equivalent remains solid at $511 million with undrawn facilities of $4.7 million for a total unrestricted liquidity of $515.9 million. Cash and trust and otherwise reserve totaled $192 million while deposits for future travel stood at $994 million.

After reimbursing more than $500 million of travel credits in the past year, we were able to rebuild 80% of our pre-pandemic order book, reflecting the strong recovery in demand. Drawdowns on our credit facilities totaled $859 million compared to $678 million last quarter. During the quarter, an additional amount of $142 million was drawn on our $390 million lead facility and $39 million was drawn on our $353 million travel credits facility.

Lease liability stood at $931 million, which includes 10A321 Neo LRs. Off balance sheet agreements excluding agreements with suppliers stood at $596 million. This is an undiscounted figure mainly related to seven Airbus A321 Neo LRs yet to be delivered as of April 30. As we previously mentioned, we expected the delivery of two A321 Neo LRs during the upcoming summer.

So in summary, we capped off Q2 on a much more positive note. We're thinking specifically about April leading indicators, suggesting the business is gaining steam, for example, booking trends and client deposits, but we still have headwinds from heightened oil prices, which we decided to manage through our recently implemented hedging strategy. Thank you,

C
Christophe Hennebelle
VP, Corporate Affairs

Frank, are we taking questions?

Operator

[Operator instructions] For the first question, our first question comes from Konark Gupta with Scotiabank. Please proceed.

K
Konark Gupta
Scotiabank

Thanks operator. Good morning, everyone. So my first question is on fuel hedging. I think you guys said that you're hedging this summer, starting from June. Can you provide any sense in terms of what percentage of consumption is being hedged here and are you hedging WTI rent or something else in that and any sense on how much protection can it provide in terms of price?

P
Patrick Bui
CFO

Yeah, thanks for the question. So first of all, the strategy that we've implemented is a gradual strategy where we've started taking positions today and we'll continue taking positions in the following -- in the following weeks. The way we thought about it, just taking a step back, field price increase could be managed many ways. From our end, the fact that we have -- the fleet that we have with the A321, obviously there's a decision that we've taken a few years ago is very helpful.

There's obviously the whole notion of changes to the pricing structure. Pricing structure also includes ancillary services, and then there's a portion that needs to be managed through financial derivatives we believe. So we don't disclose necessarily the exact percentage again, because we are currently implementing the strategy, but we want the coverage to be a meaningful percentage. And so what we're trying to protect just to be clear is we're trying to protect ourselves against an additional surge in the price and if the price of oil remains high and what we mean by the oil price is through derivatives related to and you mentioned at Konark, related to the WTI. I

K
Konark Gupta
Scotiabank

That's great, Patrick, thanks so much. And then, like recently all the media articles, and I think a lot of us have been traveling and we have seen significant delays and maybe cancellations happening at Toronto Pearson and maybe Vancouver as well. From your operational perspective, have you seen any disruptions in operations due to delays at the airports and if you have what do you think what's driving these issues at this point? Is it the shortage of people or customs or ground staff at the airports and how's that being fixed by the government? We saw some announcement by Minister of Transport, but is that enough?

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

Yes, we've had the delays in Pearson among our other places. There are challenges in Europe as well. Demand for travel ramps up Canada's border policies and resources in airports, whether it's [indiscernible] CBSC need to reflect this new reality. Processing times for passenger are very much higher with the current public health restriction.

It would normally take customs agent 30 seconds to process a passenger and now it's taking two to four times that because of public health protocols. Normal travel volumes very difficult to coexist with current public health protocol in place within our airport facilities in Canadian airports as stated by the Canadian Airports Council. So we have collaborated closely with the government to implement each layer of public health measure for travel during the pandemic. Our employees continue to implement and enforce these measures.

Our sector made certain to be ready to welcome back travelers and meet the anticipated pent-up demand for travel that we are now experiencing, which is significant. And we are joining, travelers, consumers groups, airports in expressing hope that the government will be there to really scale up and meet a strong demand of Canadians and visitors to resume travel.

So we are in discussion with the right organizations. We are putting pressures. Of course the pent-up demand is going very high in a short period of time. Everybody needs to adjust, but we remain hopeful that everything's going to be ready for the peak times for July and August.

K
Konark Gupta
Scotiabank

Yeah, that's great color. Thanks Annick. I'll turn it over

Operator

[Operator instructions] Our next question comes from Tim James with TD Securities. Please proceed.

T
Tim James
TD Securities

Thank you. Good morning. Transat is at according to the presentation, putting about 75% of the seats in the market relative to 2019. And this is for the transatlantic this summer. That appears to be kind of the lower end of what competitors are doing in terms of their capacity relative to '19. Is that a strategic decision by Transat or are there sort of limitations related to your own capacity or employee base that are driving that lower relative amount of capacity?

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

No, it's part of our strategy to rebuild our European network step by step. We were looking at the upcoming summer and we made some adjustment as we saw an increased demand on south destination. So we made some adjustment to be able to rebalance our network. We are using this summer all our aircraft and maximizing utilization. So the way we have designed our network, overall network is very well balanced between Europe, South domestic and the US market and we have made sure that we've optimized aircraft utilization.

T
Tim James
TD Securities

Okay. Thank you. My second question is I'm wondering if you can comment or put some approximate numbers around how much of your domestic and US trans-border traffic is connecting onto your transatlantic network. Is there a very high degree of connectivity, or do you have a high -- an unusually large amount of just point-to-point within North America, basically on that service?

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

You're talking about the domestic or the US market?

T
Tim James
TD Securities

Well, I'm talking about I guess domestic, if we can focus on that, the domestic business, how much of it -- of that traffic is connecting on to your transatlantic services versus just a trip within Canada that ends -- starts and ends within Canada. And then the same question on your US trans-border.

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

It's a little bit more than 40%. So of the Canadians connecting on our network to the European destination and as I explained so this was -- this has been connecting for a while now and we opened the connection between the US market and the European market, and this is increasing week after week.

T
Tim James
TD Securities

Okay. And then my final question, just a housekeeping question here quickly. Can you confirm, or are there any changes to the timing of the 321 LR deliveries that you have planned relative to planning at the end of the last quarter?

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

Yeah. So you know that overall we have 17 firm command. We have right now, as we speak, we have 10. We are expecting two additional, A321 LR for this summer. There has been some delays, not only for us, but for the overall market because of the supply chain disruption. So there has been delays for a couple of weeks for both the two aircraft we are expecting this summer, but we have been able to adjust and add an aircraft in ACMI.

So we've compensate. We had some mitigation measures to be able to maintain our capacity in the market. And these aircrafts will arrive in July. As for the remaining five that are scheduled to arrive in 2003 and 2024, we do not expect that this time any delays, but this of course still needs to be confirmed as we move along to the next month.

T
Tim James
TD Securities

Okay. Great. Thank you very much Annick.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. Pardon me. There's actually one more question, just from Michael Kypreos with Desjardins Securities. Please proceed.

M
Michael Kypreos
Desjardins Securities

Yes. Hi, just regarding the networking -- net weekly booking that increased over a 100% at the end of May and June, do you guys really see this as sustainable throughout the whole summer and fall, or as a big jump in spike because of the reopening and people taking their vacation time for the summer? Thank you.

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

No, we really see this as being sustainable as published by IATA. International traffic took up really in April of 2022. As you know domestic -- during the pandemic, domestic and trans-border markets were the first markets to get back on track and now since April, we are really see the demand pick up on the international market. So this is really encouraging. It's really a sign that we are getting back to normal trends.

M
Michael Kypreos
Desjardins Securities

Perfect. Thank you. And maybe just on that cash burn, I know you said it's going to turn positive maybe in July and August. When looking at the fall, are you thinking about the same thing or staying around the $15 million to $20 million range that you had previously mentioned?

P
Patrick Bui
CFO

Yeah, it's difficult to say. We don't provide guidance on our cash burn. Obviously there's -- we mentioned was tumultuous times. Obviously, fuel prices impacting that. I think our comment was, there are shoulder seasons in our program shoulders. Shoulder season includes May-June and then when you look at the end of the summer, October could be considered October-November shoulder season. So we don't provide guidance there, but you should expect once we hit that other shoulder season at the end of the summer, we should be still in a cash consumption mode.

M
Michael Kypreos
Desjardins Securities

Perfect. Thank you for the time

Operator

We have a follow up question from Konark Gupta with Scotiabank. Please proceed.

K
Konark Gupta
Scotiabank

Thank you. Couple of follow ups actually. On the Trans-Atlantic, I know you disclosed some capacity recovery versus 2019. But curious, what are you seeing in terms of volumes, pricing and load factors compared to 2019 in Trans-Atlantic this summer?

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

Yeah. So everything is going up. We have been able to increase our pricing steadily over the last weeks, and we are as well as the pacing. So both pacing and fuel velocity and pricing is higher than pre-pandemic. So that's really encouraging. And at the same time, it shows also less -- it highlights also less when bookings that we have been seeing since the pandemic -- the beginning of the pandemic. So all of this is very encouraging at this time.

K
Konark Gupta
Scotiabank

That's great. Thanks. And then last one in terms of your employee base, pilots, airport staff, we have heard from a lot of the US airlines having issues, finding the talent and getting their pilots and other people back. A few Canadian airlines have said something opposite. They have not had this issue. Where do you stand? Do you have issues finding the pilots in wrapping up capacity in operations and in ground staff?

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

Overall? It's, it's going well, it's going pretty well. We still have a lot of attraction power within our company for the different positions within the organization. We are dealing with some contractors at the airport, and we are in ongoing collaboration with discussions to make sure they have the proper level of staffing to be able to support our operation. I'm not saying it's 100% where it should be right now, but we are progressing and making progress, and everybody is helping each other to make sure that we are able to deliver good service levels.

K
Konark Gupta
Scotiabank

Okay, perfect. That's great. Thank you.

Operator

We have a follow-up from Tim James with TD Securities. Please proceed.

T
Tim James
TD Securities

Thank you. Actually, my follow-up is somewhat similar to Konark's first question, just maybe a little bit more specific here. I'm wondering if you can comment that your plans for 90% of capacity for the summer, how is load factor on that capacity tracking currently relative to the same time in 2019?

A
Annick Guérard
President and CEO

Yeah. Load factors compared to same time in 2019 are lower for different reasons. First of all, as I said, the international traffic took off mostly in April. There is still more last minute demand. However, the gap in load factor between 2019 and this year is reducing week after week, so because we have a higher velocity at this time compared to same time in 2019. So the gap is closing more and more.

T
Tim James
TD Securities

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time.

C
Christophe Hennebelle
VP, Corporate Affairs

Okay. So thank you, everyone. Let me remind you that our third quarter results will be released on June -- sorry, that's September, I think 2020. Thank you and have a good day.

Operator

That does conclude the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your line.