Bike24 Holding AG
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Price: 1.33 EUR -1.85%
Updated: May 27, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q1

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Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. On behalf of Montega, a warm welcome to today's earnings call of the BIKE24 Holding AG following the publication of the Q1 figures of 2024. BIKE24 will be represented by the CEO, Andrés Martin-Birner; the CFO, Timm Armbrust, as well as Moritz Verleger from Investor Relations, who will speak in a moment and guide us through the presentation and the results.

The floor will be opened for upcoming questions following the presentation. Having said that, I hand over the floor to you Moritz.

M
Moritz Verleger
executive

Thanks, Alex. Good evening, good afternoon, good morning to -- from wherever you are joining us virtually today, and welcome to our First Quarter 2024 Results Conference Call. Following our first comments on current trading amount during our full year results release. Today, we would like to update you on our nonfinancial as well as sales KPIs, provide a detailed gross margin, inventory and P&L overview, finishing with the confirmation of our 2024 full year guidance.

As always, our presenters today are Founder and CEO, Andrés Martin-Birner; and the CFO, Timm Armbrust. Andre, this stage is yours.

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

Thank you, Moritz, and also a warm welcome from my side. As always, please allow me to start with the general update on the first quarter of this year. Before I hand over to Timm for the business update, and I'm finishing with a general summary and the confirmation of our 2024 guidance.

It's promising to see that we managed to increase our absolute gross profit by 4% despite total sales being down 11% quarter-over-quarter. The sales decline was in line with what we anticipated already as we reduced promotional activities significantly throughout the quarter to focus on improved profitability. That said, this is in line with our planning and did not have any impact on our full year guidance.

Sales growth improved sequentially over the quarter, which is encouraging to see, especially now that we just started into the cycling season. Moving on to localized markets. Also during this first quarter of the year, the strong momentum of the Benelux markets continued and even accelerated versus the fourth quarter with these markets growing 95% during Q1.

Belgium and the Netherlands again outperformed all other markets significantly with sales growth of 115% and 104%, respectively. Sales in Southern Europe slowed down a little bit as we concentrated our available marketing capacities on the German-speaking countries.

Moving on, please allow me to quickly touch on the gross margin development again. Absolute gross profit increased, although the total sales volume was 11% lower than last year. In other words, our Q1 gross margin improvement was 3.6 percentage points to now 25.1%. This is still below what we managed to achieve in the pre-COVID normalized past this gross margins of 28% to 29%. But the improvement shows that market prices, especially in the PAC segment started to normalize also in preseason times and the worst overcapacities impact us here.

We made strategic price adjustments across all product segments based on demand and supply, and we are confident that margins in PAC will continue to recover further throughout the year. Timm will speak about the details later on. In terms of balance sheet positions, we managed to keep 2 important positions stable during the quarter despite the first quarter of each year being an intake quarter for seasonal inventory with corresponding cash outflow.

Although we indeed replaced all merchandise with fresh one, strong cash flow management resulted in basic inventory and cash positions at the end of March 2024. Lastly, we are confidently confirming our full year guidance first published in March this year, which assumes a sales growth of between 1% and 5% and a positive adjusted EBITDA margin between 0.7% and 4.2%.

As already communicated in March, the expected top and bottom line drivers will materialize in the second half of the year. So this was the info from my side. Timm, now over for you to the financials.

T
Timm Armbrust
executive

Yes. Thanks, Andrés. So I would now like to share always some details in the financial and nonfinancial KPIs of this first quarter 2024 with you. Our active customer base was slightly down to 906,000 at the end of March. This was, on the one hand, due to the ongoing weakness of the consumer sentiment in the German-speaking countries. And on the other hand, this is the absence of strong promotion activities, which took place during the first quarter of last year.

However, this reduced customer activation in the old markets was partly offset by new customers in the new markets, Belgium and the Netherlands, where the number of new customers more than tripled. The repeat order rate was more or less stable at 69%. The other active customer KPIs, revenue and average number of orders per active customer declined by 8% and 6%, respectively. The reason for this is the long-term orientation of these KPIs.

They are measured on a 12-month basis and therefore, includes the very difficult quarters in 2023 and compare them with the strong quarter from 2022. The short-term development of these KPIs shows a much more positive picture. And we have added the respective figures, at the note to the slide. The slow recovery in the consumer sentiment can be detected.

As now our focus on top line performance. In our 2 segments, full-bike and PAC. The strategic focus on full-bike a couple of years ago continues to pay off, even if at a slower pace, we record ongoing growth for this segment despite the absence of major sales campaigns in this first quarter being a pre-seasonal quarter. The full-bike segment grew 2% to now EUR 9.2 million during the quarter.

As said on the other hand, were down minus 30% to now just over EUR 40 million. Again, we accepted these negative growth rates to focus on profitable orders only at the time of heavy overcapacities are over. The market prices, of course, all channels shows the recovery of a certain confidence among market participants to reduce discounts and educate the customer to pay higher prices again, even if that means forgoing certain things.

In total, Q1 revenues were down by 11% to now around EUR 49 million. On a way the positive note, I would like to share some more details on the gross margin development over the last couple of months. As already mentioned, our gross margin increased 3.6 percentage points to 25.1% during this first quarter. However as shown on the right-hand side of the slide, we already record sequential and consistent gross margin improvement in July of last year.

So in terms of profitability, July 2023 can be described as an inflection point because gross margins increased and then it continue to increase. We expect this positive year-over-year development to continue for the remainder of this year. And looking at the different geographies, we posted a decline of minus 9% during the third quarter in the DACH market. This too, the reason is the unnaturally high basis for comparison due to the aggressive discounting last year. However, in business in [indiscernible] for future quarters, total gross profit in these countries was up by 9% despite lower sales.

Within localized markets, the Benelux countries, which were localized during the first quarter of the previous year, recorded a stunning growth rate of 95%. This was, however, more than offset by the temporary weakness of our total European countries, Italy and Spain, as marketing activities were reduce significantly. On aggregate, book-like markets were slightly down by minus 4%. Nonetheless, in line with the DACH development, total gross profit here was up 22%.

The rest of the European economic area showed a decline of minus 18%, it shows how important localization is. Revenue in rest of world were down minus 40%. This is a nonstrategic segment. The development depends predominantly on the exchange rate of the euro as well as the transportation rate for private customers in the respective country.

Let's now turn to balance sheet and with that, in particular inventory. While we managed to decrease inventory significantly by the end of March 2023, we successfully kept it stable at now EUR 71 million during this first quarter. As already mentioned, this is a success, particularly because Q1 worsened with a heavy intake quarter for the upcoming summer season. However, with targeted selling and marketing campaigns, we managed to reduce order stock with still satisfactory margins and at the same time, add on new seasonal products.

In terms of profitability, we show a completely different picture compared to last year. As already mentioned, gross margin across all PAC segments increased significantly, mostly because of strategic price adjustments and less promotional activities. The stability we're mentioning again that also total gross profit is up by 4% despite total sales being down 11%. We continue to see these improvement margins going into the second quarter as well.

Performance marketing costs were flat at 1.4% and total sales as we reduced marketing activities with southern Europe and allocated these resources to the more, off to the German-speaking country as well and supporting the ongoing localization in the Benelux countries. Given the focus on the German-speaking countries, selling costs decreased by 0.4 percentage points to now 9% of total sales as a higher share of sales from these countries directly convert into lower shipping costs.

Personnel costs were negatively impacted by lower capitalization of IT expenses. Compared to the previous quarter, the projects could not be capitalized and are posted under personnel expenses. On a positive note, I would like to emphasize that the cash out for our digital platform is 36% lower than in the previous year. In total, we recorded a negative adjusted EBITDA margin of 3%. This was, however, already backed into our original plan is we expect sequential improvement going forward.

That's from my side now, Andrés, back to you.

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

Thank you, Timm. Before moving on the outlook, I would like to give you a brief recap of our start into the year. While we indeed still see temporary weaknesses across the vast majority of markets, it continues to be remarkable what we are achieving in western Europe. Belgium and the Netherlands recorded triple-digit growth rates and confirm that our business model also works in already cycling semi countries.

Second, it's encouraging to see that we already managed to increase our margins even during increased seasonal times. This will give our teams as well as the industry as a whole great tailwind for the important peak season, which just started. Lastly, and as Timm already outlined with Q1 being a heavy intake quarter with the sourcing of many seasonal products, we managed to keep healthy balance sheet position, especially in terms of inventory and cash.

However, we were still able to take on fresh products to continue delivering on our full service value proposition. To finish, let's look ahead. We already expected to start the year with negative sales growth, mainly due to reduced commercial activities, especially at the beginning of the quarter. We organized a huge discounting campaign in January 2023, and the sales driver was missing in this quarter. On the other hand, it led to significantly improve margins throughout the quarter.

With better gross margins, we also expect to see sequentially improving adjusted EBITDA margins and some across centers, which incurred during 2023 are either phased out or reduced over time, resulting in operating leverage. Lastly, in line with our communication in March. These improvements will materialize sequentially, but with a focus on the second half of the year. With that, thank you for your attention, and we are now open for questions.

Operator

Thank you very much, first of all for your presentation. [Operator Instructions] And we will start with the first question from [indiscernible]. Please go ahead.

U
Unknown Analyst

I hope you can hear me?

Operator

Yes, we hear you well.

U
Unknown Analyst

And I only have one question actually regarding the inventory level. As you already mentioned that Q1 is typically intake quarter. I was wondering which proportion of the current inventory level is due to new products for preparation towards the high season? Can you maybe say something about that?

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

Yes. I think it's difficult to give you an exact percentage number because the reason is that -- and the lifetime of this product is very long. But what I have to say in this, I think the very important thing here is that despite we managed to keep the absolute inventory level stable, our availability for the customer is increasing compared to last year significantly.

So if you look at the customer and on to our website, and would like to order product, then there is a big positive shift into availability, was for new products and also for, I think, a product that are on the market for many years, that are available and directly be fulfilled by Bike24.

U
Unknown Analyst

I mean it's part of your secret sauce, the point of availability and wide product assortment.

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

Yes. One of the same things for that. And that is also our main focus. So that's the KPI with the availability that we really control on a regular base, that's why we made so much effort and ordering more frequently on the one hand. So that's safe working capital, but also increase the availability.

U
Unknown Analyst

Yes. Maybe a second one. I mean I look on the calendar, beginning of May, so the Q2 is running. And just a small question is the high season starting like in line with your expectation? Or can you maybe say percentage to that?

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

So no. It's really in our plans, how the April is, yes, almost finished. So we don't have 100% clearance of the figures. But as an e-commerce there, you see very early what happens. So the weather condition was, I would say, sometimes difficult in the last weeks, but it was very cold, but still you see a big improvement compared to last year. On the one hand, still on the gross margin level, on the gross profit level, but also, it's not comparable, the revenue development as in the first quarter. So we see a slightly grow in the first -- in April compared to last year.

Operator

We received another question in the chat. [Operator Instructions] Can you give us some insight into the delivery channels? Are there any shortages of impact components?

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

So when I catch this question. So we see not really a big shortage in delivery of parts, I saw some closing also in bikes sells. So it's, I would say, it really normalizes when I compare to the COVID time.

Operator

And another question from [ Lucas Stan ].

U
Unknown Analyst

I would like to start with a question regarding the outlook. So you now start whether revenue decline, and as you said that top and bottom line will be more heavily or more pronounced by the second half of the year. But can you give us a little bit more color regarding the quarterly development until the end of the year because I think the main question from investors perspective is how much back-end loaded will be 2024.

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

Yes, thanks Lucas for the question. And to give you a little bit more transparency here. So last year, you saw that in the slide how we manage the gross margins, we increased prices end of May, and that had a directly impact on the revenue beginning of June. So there was then a significant decrease, 2023 continue on compared to 2022. So that's also the reason why it's a little bit backloaded in the quarter, the year 2024 because it's much easier to beat the previous year figures from Q3 onwards.

U
Unknown Analyst

So, do you expect still in Q2, a revenue decline or no?

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

We need to slightly increase of revenues.

U
Unknown Analyst

On the financial situation. You now move your -- the bigger part of the short-term debt to long-term debt, but there is still nearly EUR 10 million in short-term debt. Is there any kind of covenants or something like this that you had in the past that you must do EBITDA adjusted positive in the quarter or something like this? Or how is the conversation with the banks on the short-term part?

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

Yes. So the short-term part maybe as an explanation is, the regular down payment each quarter of EUR 2 million. So that's EUR 8 million in total. Then you see another balance sheet position also the interest payment, that we have provisioned for end of March and that we had to pay in June. And on top of that, there is also an IFRS effect in the short term from the bank loan that are effective interest method, but that's very complicated, but also only a small part of that.

So that's really a regulator already agreed, the short-term liability. On the other hand, regarding the positive EBITDA margin or EBITDA covenant, yes, we will disclose phase in, in Q4 this year. But until that, we have only a liquidity -- new liquidity a covenant is agreed with the banks. And there, we have more than comfortable enough headroom.

U
Unknown Analyst

Can you repeat the part of phase in, in Q4? I didn't get that.

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

From Q4 onwards, we have also a covenant on EBITDA level on adjusted but until Q4, it's only minimum liquidity.

Operator

Thank you very much. In the meantime, we did not receive further questions. It appears that everything is answered for the moment to all participants. Thank you very much for dialing in and your interest. And I hand over to you, Moritz, for some final remarks before closing.

M
Moritz Verleger
executive

Thank you, Alex, for the moderation. And in case anyone still have follow-up questions, feel free to reach out to the IR networks, and we will respond accordingly. Thank you very much. Have a good afternoon.

A
Andrés Martin-Birner
executive

Thank you very much. Bye-bye.

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