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thyssenkrupp AG
XETRA:TKA

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thyssenkrupp AG
XETRA:TKA
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Price: 4.821 EUR 2.4%
Updated: May 2, 2024

Earnings Call Analysis

Q1-2024 Analysis
thyssenkrupp AG

Thyssenkrupp's Fiscal Q1 Results and Prospects

Thyssenkrupp's Q1 reported sales of €8.2 billion, a 9% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to lower spot market prices in materials businesses. Adjusted EBIT was €84 million, and free cash flow before M&A was a negative €531 million, both in line with expectations. The company confirmed the full-year guidance for EBIT and free cash flow before M&A, aiming for a positive low 3-digit million euro range. Thyssenkrupp's net cash decreased by €0.4 billion to €3.8 billion, while pension liabilities rose by €0.6 billion to €6.1 billion and the equity ratio declined to 36.2%. Despite a net loss for the quarter, the balance sheet remains solid. The firm simplified its structure, reporting on five segments, with a focus on green technologies and services in its new Decarbon Technologies segment. They're expecting the closing of the sale of a 55% stake in Polysius, a segment now focusing on green technologies, in Q3. More than 2,500 measures are in place to improve performance, with four initiatives anticipated to deliver over €50 million in savings.

Thyssenkrupp's Q1 Performance and Emphasis on Transformation and Efficiency

thyssenkrupp began its fiscal year facing a complex and volatile macro environment. Despite this, the company made headway on key management priorities, including a significant restructure that reduced its reporting segments to five. This change aimed to reduce complexity and is part of the company's ongoing transformation journey. A notable transaction was the agreement to sell a 55% share in Polysius, part of the new Decarbon Technologies segment, expected to close in fiscal Q3 pending regulatory approval. The company's dedication to performance is evident in their Q1 results matching expectations and affirming the full-year guidance for adjusted EBIT and free cash flow before M&A, despite recognizing that overall performance can be improved. Key to this improvement is the APEX performance program, seen stabilizing Q1 earnings. Amidst a market of challenges, the adjusted EBIT of EUR 84 million met guidance.

Prioritizing Green Transformation and Recognizing Opportunities

thyssenkrupp is positioning itself as a catalyst for green transformation. Newly formed Decarbon Technologies is developing sustainable solutions, notably signing contracts at COP28 to drive the decarbonization of emission-heavy sectors. This includes technologies like Polysius' new combustion chamber to replace fossil fuels entirely in cement production and Uhde's venture into large biopolymer plants for Gulf Biopolymers. These green initiatives, besides their environmental benefits, aim to deliver financial value and reflect thyssenkrupp's proactive approach to a green future.

Financial Highlights and Future Guidance

Financially, thyssenkrupp's balance sheet retains resilience. Free cash flow before M&A was down by EUR 0.4 billion resulting in a net cash position of EUR 3.8 billion. Pension liabilities increased, illustrated by the effect of declining interest rates relevant for corporate bond yields. The company experienced impairments leading to a net loss for the quarter. Looking ahead, for full-year goals, thyssenkrupp reinforces its unchanged guidance with expected EBIT adjusted in the high 3-digit million euro range, and Steel Europe significantly contributing to this. Free cash flow before M&A is predicted to land in the low 3-digit million euro range, aligning with the company's positive trajectory.

Strong Holds and Optimistic Outlook for Segments

Given the difficult market conditions, thyssenkrupp's segments experienced varying performance. Automotive Technology saw an increase in adjusted EBIT, Materials Services compensated for spot market price effects through cost-cutting measures, while Steel Europe's EBIT adjusted declined year-on-year due to spot market prices normalizing. Decarbon Technologies and Marine Systems also faced challenges but are anticipated to benefit from growth initiatives and high-margin orders in the pipeline. The overall strategy remains committed to operational improvement, with an order backlog of EUR 12.7 billion by end of Q1.

Dispelling Rumors Around Steel Disposal

During the Q&A session, concerns were raised about thyssenkrupp's recent write-downs in its Steel segment and whether it was a precursor to a disposal. The executives clarified that the write-down was a technicality influenced by the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) calculations impacted by interest rate changes rather than a strategic shift towards divestiture. The carrying value of the steel business was questioned, with indications that it may be around EUR 3.6 billion less the recent impairment.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q1

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the thyssenkrupp Conference Call Interim Report First Quarter 2023/2024. [Operator Instructions]. I will now hand you over to Andreas Trösch. Please go ahead.

A
Andreas Trösch
executive

Thank you very much, operator. Hello, everyone. This is Andreas Trösch from Investor Relations. Also on behalf of my entire team, I wish you a very warm welcome to our conference call on the Q1 results. With me in the room are our CEO, Miguel Lopez; and our CFO, Klaus Keysberg; and also my colleagues [ Shack ] and Anika from my team.

Before I hand over to the CEO and Klaus for the presentation, some housekeeping, all the documents, as usual, for this call, are available in the IR section on the website. The call will be recorded, and a replay will be available shortly after the call. After the presentations, there will be a Q&A session. Please only ask 2 maximum 3 questions at a time so that everyone has a chance to ask the questions.

And with that, I would like to hand over to our CEO, Miguel Lopez.

M
Miguel Angel Lopez Borrego
executive

Thank you, Andreas. And since this is your first conference call with thyssenkrupp, welcome on Board officially. Also a warm welcome from my side to all of you in today's Q1 conference call. So it's a real pleasure. And at the beginning of our new fiscal year, we have to continue to cope with a still challenging and volatile macro environment, yet we were able to clearly deliver on our management priorities that you are well aware of.

Let's get to portfolio first. By the end of the last fiscal year, we simplified our group structure and now only report 5 segments, which leads to less complexity. This includes, as part of our transformation journey, that we created the segment Decarbon Technologies for which we would present first actuals today. And at Decarbon Technologies, there is one transaction I want to highlight. At the end of January, we signed the agreement to sell our remaining 55% share in our Polysius business thyssenkrupp Industries India to the core shareholders.

With Polysius now being part of Decarbon Technologies, they are focusing on services and green technologies in the cement and lime business, whereas thyssenkrupp Industries India is involved in the mining business amongst others, the direction that we do not want to pursue any further.

Closing is expected in fiscal Q3 after fulfillment of the necessary closing conditions, in particular after approval of the transaction by the Indian Merger Control Authority. Of course, we will continue the transformation at the other segments as well and relentlessly strive for stand-alone solutions for Steel Europe and Marine Systems.

Our second priority, as you all know, is performance. And here, I'm happy to state that our Q1 results are in line with our expectations and that I can confirm our full year guidance for EBIT adjusted and free cash flow before M&A. Regardless of this, we all are aware that our performance is not where it should be. Therefore, we decided to anchor the performance ambition even more into our DNA and into our management Board by now having 2 additional board members each being responsible for a segment.

Ilse Henne being responsible for Materials Services and Volkmar Dinstuhl , taking over responsibility for Automotive Technology from first of January 2024. If we look at our new performance program, APEX, I'm happy to report that the program is well on track and already showed first effect stabilizing our Q1 earnings. Our third item on our priority list is green transformation. Last but not least, with the formation of Decarbon Technologies, we are leveraging business opportunities by positioning ourselves as an enabler of green technologies and decarbonization.

I have the great pleasure to participate in many extensive and fruitful discussions at the COP28 in Dubai last December, a very important platform to exchange ideas that will actually change our climate. Here, we are able to sign contracts for 2 projects that will drive forward decarbonization of emission-intensive industries, both based in the United Arab Emirates.

Polysius and Fujairah Cement Industries will cooperate to replace fossil fuel in cement production. Our cement business Polysius has developed a new combustion chamber technology that allows fossil fuels to be completely replaced by green alternatives, thereby reducing emissions and operating costs. Uhde will build a large biopolymer plant for Gulf Biopolymers, the biopolymer from that plant will be derived from renewable biomass sources is biodegradable and has a substantially lower carbon footprint compared to synthetic polymers made from fossil fuels. Let me assure you, thyssenkrupp wants to play a proactive role in the green transformation, and this will pay off for all our stakeholders. Coming back to our second priority, I would like to provide you with some more color and give you some examples on actual APEX measures.

At Decarbon Technologies or to be more precise at Polysius, we have launched a large-scale service transformation program. The aim is to enable Polysius to evolve its original business model as a mechanical engineering and construction company even further in the direction of services in order to generate high-margin and stable sales growth.

The second example comes from Steel Europe. Here, we have identified further potential in marketing by products from steel production, such as granulated blast furnace slag. It is a byproduct for blast furnaces and is used in the construction materials industry, especially in cement and concrete production.

At Marine Systems, leasehold contracts for shipyard capacities that are not permanently utilized in full due to the order situation have been renegotiated. Initially, until the beginning of 2025, this flexibilization will deliver significant savings. Materials Services is expanding its business with value-added services in the areas of supply chain management and optimization, material procurement and raw material supply as part of the extension of a long-term contract with a leading aerospace company.

These 4 examples alone will generate a total effect of over EUR 50 million. Now you might ask, is that really a lot? However, please keep in mind that these are only 4 examples of the more than 2,500 measures we have identified so far. With that having said, I would like to hand over to Klaus for the Q1 financial highlights.

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Yes. Thank you, Miguel, and also a warm welcome from my side to today's Q1 conference call. Overall, looking at the financials, I'm happy to state that we made a rather straightforward quarter in an ongoing challenging market environment. The solid set of numbers that I will present to you met our expectations for the quarter. It is a confirming start for our full year goals and support our guidance, at least for our 2 most important KPIs, EBIT adjusted and free cash flow before M&A. And I'm happy to state, as Miguel already mentioned, the first positive effects from the APEX program -- performance program made their way already into our profit and loss.

Now let us have a closer look at our financial highlights for Q1. Sales came in at EUR 8.2 billion with 9% below last year's level. This development is primarily driven by the materials businesses. Here, mainly the lower spot market prices resulted in our sales whereas shipments at Steel Europe and the stock holding business [ and SMEs ] came in stable year-on-year.

With regard to earnings, EBIT adjusted of EUR 84 million in Q1 came in as expected and met our guidance. In line with sales, the year-on-year earnings development was also affected by lower spot market prices, mainly at our materials businesses, but also driven by a momentary decline in Decarbon Technologies. On the positive side, the first positive effects resulting from APEX had an offsetting effect and stabilized group earnings. On the back of typical seasonality at the beginning of our fiscal year, free cash flow before M&A was in a negative territory at minus EUR 531 million. This, of course, will reversed during the fiscal year, and we are striving for an again, positive free cash flow before M&A with a figure in the low 3-digit million euro range.

But let us continue now with some further balance sheet highlights, which you can see on the next slide. So overall, our balance sheet continues to show a very solid picture and provides resilience with while navigating through a really challenging market environment. Moreover, our balance sheet enables us to tackle strategic opportunities whenever possible. Looking at the details, year-to-date, driven by the free cash flow before M&A our net cash decreased by EUR 0.4 billion, resulting in a net cash position of EUR 3.8 billion for the group. Pension liabilities increased by EUR 0.6 billion to EUR 6.1 billion from end of September. Here, the recent decline in relevant interest rates became noticeable as we have to use the pricing and yield data from long-term AA corporate bonds as of 31st of December 2023.

In light of increased pensions as well as further impairments that resulted in a net loss for the quarter. Our equity ratio decreased to 36.2%, still a very comfortable level. These impairments represent mainly technical effects as Europe included by an increased risk free rate for valuation purposes that seems to currently decrease again. Let us now jointly take a more detailed look on the financials and start with the Q1 performance of the group. On the top line, we saw a decrease in sales as [ listed ] before by minus 9% year-on-year. Mainly driven by softer spot market prices at our materials businesses, namely Material Services and Steel Europe. Partially weaker demand with somewhat muted market dynamics, for instance, for the direct-to-customer business at Materials Services.

In light of a persistent challenging market environment, EBIT adjusted was down to EUR 84 million. Here, the spot market price levels also weighed on the performance of our materials businesses even though Materials Services was able to more than compensate those effects mainly due to positive effects from cost-cutting measures. The efficiency measures counteractive top-line price decline to a large extent, not only as Material Services, but throughout the group. The implementation of APEX is very well progressing and already supported the performance of our businesses in Q1.

Free cash flow before M&A came in as expected at minus EUR 531 million with typical seasonality on the back of net working capital buildup at the beginning of our fiscal year, but fully in line with our guidance. Please also note that Marine Systems had some significant milestone payments in the previous year as well as also some earlier-than-expected customer payments in Q4 that resulted in a respective rebound in Q1.

EBIT adjusted on the next page, let us have a closer look on the composition, namely EBIT adjusted by segment in our new structure and let us start with Automotive Technology that improved year-on-year earnings slightly in an overall robust market environment. EBIT adjusted increased by EUR 3 million to EUR 48 million. Our colleagues would benefit from lower material costs especially electronic products, however, had to process inflationary driven higher personnel expenses.

Decarbon Technologies EBIT adjusted temporarily came down by EUR 36 million year-on-year, grew minus EUR 17 million. Despite good contribution from performance and efficiency measures, all businesses were pulled down by various partially nonpersistent reasons.

At Rothe Erde our bearings business competition, especially in the wind industry in China keeps going on. Uhde and to deal with nonconformity costs and Polysius with higher cost base. Thyssenkrupp nucera invested in growth initiatives with currently higher costs that will bear fruit, of course, later. Materials recorded an EBIT adjusted of EUR 26 million, an increase of EUR 6 million year-on-year. The satisfying year-on-year development was supported by ongoing efficiency measures, for instance, further network optimization but also tailwind from freight costs. On the opposite, market demand, especially in Europe remains weak year-on-year.

At Steel Europe, EBIT adjusted came down by EUR 21 million year-on-year to EUR 69 million. Again, the ongoing normalization of spot market prices compared to last year drove earnings development and overshadowed favorable cost development, for instance, for energy and raw materials. Shipments, on the other hand, were almost stable year-on-year. Consequently, EBITDA per ton also decreased EUR 50 per ton.

Marine Systems is almost stable with earnings down EUR 2 million year-on-year to EUR 17 million. The focus remains on performance improvements and project execution. In addition, we strive to further stabilize the older and less profitable orders and thus benefit from the higher margin orders in the pipeline. Please also note that our order backlog stood at EUR 12.7 billion, at the end of Q1.

Last but not least, our headquarters and others came in lower by EUR 33 million year-on-year due to higher administrative costs and mainly due to a positive one-timer including the others, meaning a onetime reconciliation effect in the prior year.

Having talked about that the past quarter, let us now have a look at the full year outlook on the next slide. Let us start with our most important KPIs, EBIT adjusted and free cash flow before M&A. To sum it up, our guidance for these KPIs is confirmed and thus unchanged. Let me shortly remind you, on the earnings side, we projected EBIT adjusted to increase to a figure in the high 3-digit million euro range. This projection includes an earnings contribution of Steel Europe in the mid-3-digit million range and which is expected to be higher year-on-year.

Overall, we also increased earnings at Automotive Technology, Materials Services and Marine Systems. For free cash flow before M&A, we are again striving to end up in a positive territory. That means that we expect free cash flow before M&A with a figure in the low 3-digit million euro range. Please note that the macro environment and the payment profile in our project businesses, especially at Marine Systems, both have an essential impact on that development.

Let us now look at the top line here. We now expect sales at the prior year level compared to slightly up as expected before, mainly driven by lower shipment expectations at our materials businesses, giving the ongoing challenging market environment. But that also implies that we have effective countermeasures in place to tackle those market and top line headwinds. Having said that, I would like to hand over to Miguel again.

M
Miguel Angel Lopez Borrego
executive

Thank you, Klaus. Please let me take this opportunity to also confirm our view beyond the current fiscal year. Here, you can see our midterm targets on group level until fiscal year '24/'25 that we confirm with our annual report in November last year. As the AGM is just behind us, I would also like to highlight that we again paid a dividend of EUR 0.50 per share and thus, underline our clear ambition to pay a reliable dividend going forward.

Please also consider that the midterm targets are just the milestone on our journey. Beyond the midterm, the upside potentials for instant through the progress in our transformation also leading to much better operational performance, leveraging the potential of our leading technology positions, further reducing restructuring cash out and normalized but still above the D/A invest levels will support our cash flow generation in the longer term. And with that, we are at the end of our presentation. Thank you, and now we are ready for your questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And our first question does come from the line of Jason Fairclough from Bank of America.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

A couple of questions for me, both on Steel. So the first one, you've taken another write-down. And I guess my question is, could this be a prelude to a disposal? And could you give us some color on the timing of the steel disposal. So that's first. Second question on Steel. Slide 43 in your presentation, I'm confused by a couple of things. Capital spend is normally a few hundred million per quarter. This quarter, you're saying positive EUR 8 million. Also, the capital employed in this business was most recently reported is EUR 5.4 million, and it's dropped to EUR 3.6 million. So I'm just wondering what's driving that.

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

So maybe I can start with the questions regarding capital employed, the EUR 5.4 million you referred to, this was the capital employed before the impairment of the last fiscal year. You might recall that in Q4 of the last fiscal year, we had an impairment. And with this impairment, we reduced capital employed from EUR 5.4 million to EUR 3.6 million.

And then you were referring regarding the capital expenditure. Here, you see the positive EUR 8 million this is a net number because we received funds from the government. And then you see the net number, the net number is because we received more funds than our CapEx number.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

And sorry, Klaus, is that related to decarbonization sector or?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Of course, you know that we told you that we get funds or subsidies of roughly EUR 2 billion until the end of the erection of the direct reduction plant. And of course, we already received payments. And this is one payment we received in this Q1. This is EUR 193 million, which we received.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

Then the write-down and disposal timing?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

The write-down, which we see now -- which we saw in the Q1 was just a technical one. When we are calculating the work, we know that we do quarterly in impairment testing on the asset base. And what we saw in the first quarter the end of September until the end of December, if you calculate the WACC, there is 1 interest rate, which is a risk-free interest rate, which was increasing. And this increasing effect led to the phase that also the WACC increased. And just this technical effect led to the situation that we had to impair the asset value of the steel.

Just for information, this risk-free interest rate, meanwhile, is decreasing again. So we cannot exclude that we see the opposite. So [indiscernible] See not -- this is something [indiscernible], which we might see in the next quarters coming. So when we enter the disposal...

M
Miguel Angel Lopez Borrego
executive

So it's clearly, Jason. It's clearly not a prelim of a disposal. It's the effect that Klaus just mentioned, are in the calculation of the WACC.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

Okay. And so just so that I'm clear, so what is the carrying value of the steel business today? Is it EUR 3,563 million? Or is it something close to that? Or is it EUR 3,563 million minus EUR 200 million for the write-downs.

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

It is meanwhile, EUR 3.6 million. So including the write-downs, it is roughly EUR 3.6 million.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

Okay. And so to the extent that you made a disposal tomorrow, if it were above that, you make a profit if it were below that, you take further loss on it, yes?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

It is the way, yes.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Alain Gabriel from Morgan Stanley.

A
Alain Gabriel
analyst

Just a follow-up on Jason's question on the Steel Europe division. Do you have the self-imposed deadline or time line for your ongoing discussions with respect to the future of that business with the other party you're negotiating with? Or is it an open-ended discussion? That's my first question.

M
Miguel Angel Lopez Borrego
executive

Well, the current status of the conversation is we are building a new business plan. And with this new business plan, then we will continue the discussions with our partners, potential partners. There is no limit that we have imposed because we want to be going for a good agreement.

A
Alain Gabriel
analyst

And then my second question is on your EBIT guidance for the full year. You would need to lift your quarterly EBIT run rate by threefold to keep and keep it there for the next 3 quarters to meet your full year guidance or to meet where consensus sits today. What are the biggest moving parts that will boost your profits at the group level, if you were to think in the next 9 months ahead.

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

I mean if you look at our development here, normally in a seasonal pattern, you normally see in spite of any, let's say, overall economic developments, you see the first quarter is always weak. We definitely see an improvement in EBIT development in our Decarbon Technologies and also in most -- every of the segments here because still just a function of the sales numbers, which is going to increase during the year. And you know that starting from January or February, volumes are always growing. And of course, this is what the market perspective is. And of course, you know that we have this APEX program and with the APEX program, we are really contributing to this development also.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Bastian Synagowitz from Deutsche Bank.

B
Bastian Synagowitz
analyst

My first question is also coming back to your guidance, please. So if we look at your guidance framework, you've been cutting the sales back part of your guidance despite the fact that the price dynamics in steel are probably admittedly a little bit stronger than one could have expected back at November time. So I'm wondering what are the moving parts here? And as this did not impact the EBIT part of your guidance, so would you say that you gain more conviction in achieving the target for improving EBIT versus the last year? That's my first question.

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Yes. You got it. Absolutely. So this is clearly what we said, we can confirm with your statement is here.

B
Bastian Synagowitz
analyst

Okay. So basically -- but just maybe coming back on the deals -- so where are you able -- to what led you to cut the -- to basically cut the sales guidance I guess, prices are slightly better? Has it been lower volumes? And if it's lower volumes, where have you been able to compensate the sales part of your guidance within the EBIT framework?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Yes. As we said before, so of course, we saw in the first quarter some sales effects, which were some driven by volumes, but also by prices. And then bringing up what the normal seasonal pattern is regarding volumes, regarding pricing. We don't see too much optimistic pricing, if you -- we can now say that we are optimistic with pricing and in the materials business it's not the case. We don't see that too much dynamic but if we calculate this in comparison with raw material costs, in comparison with energy costs, in comparison with the APEX things, which we see and also some development in other business areas. We are confident that with this slightly lower sales number, we will be able to deliver this EBIT guidance.

B
Bastian Synagowitz
analyst

Okay. Very clear. Then maybe also going even a bit more into detail on the steel business. And I guess, I know you should have pretty good visibility on your order book. But without talking about shipments where I guess the call-off rates can still be a little bit uncertain, do you expect to be able to keep your gross margins in Steel, at least flat into the second quarter?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Well, you know that with the gross margin, we normally do not comment on the gross margin, we know because it's a function of our sales or price and also on raw material customer, things like this. So we are only guiding, let's say, full year numbers. But I think you know this.

B
Bastian Synagowitz
analyst

Okay, fair enough, at least worth a try, but maybe then moving over to my last question on Marine. Where you entered the next phase, and I think you started negotiations with KfW and from what I understand, that has been a very important step. But I guess there are also some articles suggesting that your 2 main competitors potentially aim to transfer the control to the German government as well.

So can you maybe update us here what you're aiming to achieve? And what is really the desired end game scenario for Marines you were looking for?

M
Miguel Angel Lopez Borrego
executive

Yes. So first of all, you just mentioned it. I believe we made a very, very important step in getting the next phase of analysis where the KfW have been asked to analyze a potential take of a stake in Marine Systems. So this is a very, very important step because as you know, and we have been commenting in previous conversations, it is about to be on the same level of competitiveness as our European competitors because they have -- not the need for the same level of guarantees as we do have. So this is a very important step in order to now get a result in the next months around the decision to whether a stake is possible or not. So and we are confident and positive about it. So and then from -- as soon as we have this confirmation, we will then take the next steps, and we will keep you then informed.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Moses Ola from JPMorgan.

M
Moses Ola
analyst

I have 3 questions, but just a housekeeping question firstly. So you've not provided quarterly guidance with this report should we assume that this will be a protocol now going forward? And why is this the case, please?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Yes, exactly what you said. This has nothing to do with a short-term decision or just for the next quarter, this is a principal decision we take that we do not guide the next quarter any longer. So but first to say, which does not imply anything regarding our full year guidance. So we very convinced that we will achieve our full year guidance is just let's say, a principal decision to do that not any longer.

M
Moses Ola
analyst

Why is that please?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Because it makes -- for us, it makes more sense and it makes really -- to be very clear, to say that we just do the full year guidance and not have so much discussions around what the next quarter is and what not.

M
Moses Ola
analyst

Okay. And then just on Steel Europe, please. What has been the evolution of your annual contract negotiations this year, calendar year versus last calendar year? And if you could also give any color on a half year contracts as well, please?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Can you repeat this? So what is the...

M
Moses Ola
analyst

Output. So yes, contract -- annual contract negotiations in terms of the pricing year-on-year, what you were able to see from negotiations and then also, if you could give color on some of the half year contracts as well.

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Yes, you know that we do these contracts on the first of January, some half year, some full year 12-month and 6-month contracts, we do this also in April and also in January. What we can say so far that we, of course, were able to fix the contracts regarding our estimation. And the estimation also is -- what the outcome is that we, of course, we are able to fixed prices above spot markets, but we are not commenting any further on pricing issues just to understand.

M
Moses Ola
analyst

That's clear. Could we assume maybe a step down year-on-year given where we saw spot prices in 2023 versus 2022?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

We don't comment on prices. Sorry for that.

M
Moses Ola
analyst

No worries. And then just finally, could you please just give up-to-date value for current pension liabilities associated with just Steel Europe.

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

If you look at the pension liabilities in total is EUR 6 billion, and you can consider 50% of them to Steel Europe.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question is a follow-up question from Jason Fairclough from Bank of America.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

So just a quick follow-up. Apparently, I'm hearing from investors that there's somebody suggesting that you're not going to be in a position to repay the debt that you've got coming due this year. I think you've got a EUR 1.5 billion debt maturity this year. Just given the cash on the balance sheet, I'm surprised to hear that somebody is suggesting that, but could you confirm to us that there's no problem at all to repay the debt that's due this year?

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Yes, I could clearly confirm this. So there is a maturity from EUR 1.5 billion, which will be due in February. And of course, we will repay. So clearly.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

Yes. So there's no issues at all with liquidity for the group given that your capital balance is great. Your net cash balance is bigger than market capital.

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

Absolutely. Clear confirmation.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

While we're at it, what do you think about buying back all the shares since you've got more cash than the market cap.

K
Klaus Keysberg
executive

We discuss this sometimes. So as we said before, so we consider -- now that we have so many moving parts at the moment. We bring our performance. We will show you that our free cash flow is on a positive sustainable level. And then we have some portfolio issues and within fixed dollars, then we can maybe some -- make some decisions on some of the issues, but it's not the right time to do it at that point in time.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

So look, joking aside, guys, I mean, the shares are trading down 10% today. I don't know if you're surprised by that. On top of that, the market cap is much less than the net cash balance. And then you've got your APEX program where you're talking about saving EUR 2 billion a year in EBIT or generating EUR 2 billion a year in EBIT. And meanwhile, the market cap is only EUR 3 billion. So there's a giant valuation disconnect here, right, which to me suggests either that the market doesn't trust you or something else? What are your thoughts?

M
Miguel Angel Lopez Borrego
executive

Well, there is a clear position of ours that we will make our full year guidance. That's what we have been mentioning a couple of times already. And this is our clear way forward. The Q1 was in line with our expectations. And of course, as mentioned before, in this call, we will see of course, then EBIT adjusted and free cash flow increasing over the next quarters, and that's our clear mission and clear path.

J
Jason Fairclough
analyst

How do you think about surplus liquidity? And why wouldn't you put some money to work in a buyback given the extreme discount on the equity?

M
Miguel Angel Lopez Borrego
executive

Well, as Klaus mentioned before, this is not on our agenda right now. We are talking about our 3 priorities which is to find solutions for our portfolio initiated topics and, of course, also increase the performance and to drive the green transformation, as you know. So these are the priorities right now. As soon as we are at a more mature level of achievement of these priorities, then we will think about what you just mentioned. For us, the priority right now is again to be paying a dividend at the end of the fiscal year and continue the path to be reliable on the dividend level.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And there are no further questions registered. I now hand back to our speakers for any closing comments.

A
Andreas Trösch
executive

Thank you very much for everyone -- to everyone for participating in that call. If you have more questions, remarks then the Investor Relations team is always available. Thanks, everyone, and have a nice day.

Operator

This now concludes our conference. Thank you all for attending. You may now disconnect.

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