Saturn Oil & Gas Inc
XTSX:SOIL

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Saturn Oil & Gas Inc
XTSX:SOIL
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Price: 2.2 CAD Market Closed
Updated: May 31, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2022-Q3

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S
Scott Sanborn
executive

Thank you for joining us for Saturn Oil & Gas Third Quarter 2022 Shareholder Webcast for the financial and operating results. I'm Scott Sanborn, Chief Financial Officer. I am joined by John Jeffrey, Chief Executive Officer; and Justin Kaufmann, Chief Development Officer. We will present an update presentation and then afterwards, be happy to answer your questions or take your comments. John, I'll now hand off to you.

J
John Jeffrey
executive

Yes. Thank you, Scott. What we want to do today is touch on a few highlights. It's going to then go to Scott so he can get into details of the quarter itself. And then over to Justin, our newest Chief Development Officer, and he can get into the drilling results and walk you through our capital program. And really, what I want to emphasize here is the key takeaway is to Saturn's ongoing ability to increase value for our shareholders through driving up cash flow per share by both the drill bit and through acquisitions.

A couple of the highlights for the quarter. Q3 was a record revenue quarter for Saturn. We did over $105 million of revenue in the quarter. Another quarter-over-quarter new record for us was our EBITDA increase. So we increased EBITDA by 150% to over $50 million. So again, that helps with the acquisition we did as well as a nice high oil price and the success we've experienced with the drill bit.

The most important highlight for the quarter again was just for our ability to showcase our continued ability to add value, again, through drilling with acquisitions. That's illustrated through our cash flow per share of $0.69, which again was a 53% increase from the prior quarter.

The big highlight for us this Q3 was the closing of the Viking acquisition. So that closed July 6 of this year. It is a big game-changing acquisition for us. It took us to that size and scale of over 12,000 barrels a day that we are to date, significantly lowered our average royalty rate and our average operating cost per barrel, which contributes to a higher corporate netback. Those are some of the highlights, and I'll pass it over to Scott for a more detailed breakdown of what the quarter looked like.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

Thanks, John. It was a very busy quarter for Saturn. We closed our Viking acquisition, acquiring approximately 4,000 BOE per day of light oil located in West Central Saskatchewan, leading to record average production of approximately 11,000 BOE per day. Current production today, approximately 12,500. The transaction closed for a cash purchase price of $241 million after interim closing adjustments, resulting in a gain on acquisition of [ $9.8 million ], representing an excess fair value over consideration paid, net of asset retirement obligations.

From the financial perspective, we converted our previously announced subscription receipts to common shares following our $75 million bought deal equity offering and expanded our term debt with our existing senior secured lender by $200 million. The combined proceeds were used to fund the acquisition and the balance [ toward ] our capital program where the company invested $37 million, drilling 30 100% working interest wells, 23 Viking, 7 Frobisher; and spud an additional 4 100% working interest Viking wells, which were ongoing at quarter end.

WTI this quarter averaged approximately USD 92 per barrel compared to USD 108 per barrel in the second quarter. Despite this decrease in commodity prices, Saturn realized an operating netback net of derivatives of approximately $50.60 BOE, up from $21.91 per BOE in the second quarter, primarily due to the Viking acquisition, which bolstered the operating netback compounded by additional oil hedges the company put on in June 2022 during peak oil prices.

On a cash flow basis, the company achieved record adjusted EBITDA of approximately $50 million, up from $18 million prior quarter; record adjusted funds flow of $39.8 million or $0.69 per share, up from $14.4 million or $0.45 per share prior quarter; and free cash flow of $2.8 million after investing $37 million in capital expenditures. The company repaid $12.3 million of debt in the third quarter related to a senior term loan and $24.5 million year-to-date, resulting in net debt of approximately $230 million at quarter end, implying an annualized Q3 '22 net debt to cash flow of about 1.5x.

In total, the company realized net income of $167 million or $2.89 per share compared to $21.9 million or $0.68 per share in the second quarter of 2022. The change in period earnings relate primarily to unrealized hedged mark-to-market swing caused by the decrease in [ forward ] prices offset by adjusted EBITDA. I will now hand it off to Justin to talk about the operations.

J
Justin Kaufmann
executive

Thank you, Scott. Saturn is extremely excited about what we've been able to achieve with the drilling program this year. As previously outlined in guidance, it made up of approximately 30 wells in West Central Saskatchewan in the Viking and then approximately 30 wells in Southeast in the Mississippian.

With regards to Viking, 25 of the 30 wells are on the asset we acquired from Crescent Point, extremely good results with several of those wells averaging over 100 barrels a day in the first 30 days. This further essentially helps align Saturn's geological model with the area. And so we are extremely impressed with that. The Southeast wells, they're coming online along with guidance. And that is with -- making up by drilling several different specific formations, including the Tilston, Frobisher and [ Alita ]. As far as the production optimization in the Southeast, which makes up a big part of our capital program, they have the highest rate of return of any capital activity that Saturn completes. So we are proud of what we've been able to achieve there. And that has spurred the addition of a production wing at Saturn. So we can fairly focus on essentially reactivating some of the inactive wells and optimizing some of our lower-producing Saturn wells in Southeast Saskatchewan.

J
John Jeffrey
executive

Yes, absolutely. Thank you, Justin. And I think all of this just goes to show we are on track to meet or exceed guidance. We're confident in our ability to do that. But really, I think the takeaway here is it just highlights the accretive nature of the acquisition that we closed in July, 4,000 barrels a day. We got it at a great price, a low multiple. But it's the 90,000 acres of additional land that we got right in the heart of the Viking, that I think we're just starting to unlock that value. And I think shareholders are going to be excited once they start to continue to see well results like we've been seeing. Again, 43% above our guidance expectations in the Viking really goes to show that thanks to Justin and his team, on being able to extract and unlock that value, it's all just going to add to that increased value per share that we keep mentioning here.

So $0.69 a share in cash flow. And again, that's just for the quarter. Really excited to see what Q4 looks like. So far, we're continuing to drill outstanding wells. We're confident in our ability to meet or exceed guidance. So I think all in all, this was a great quarter. And I think it gives us a first real look to what Saturn looks like at its current size. So exciting for that. Excited for everyone's interest and looking forward to taking any questions that you guys have.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

Thanks, John. We have a couple of questions here that have come up, so I'll present those to the group. First here is did the acquisition come with any drilling locations? Or is it just production?

J
John Jeffrey
executive

I'll pass that over to Justin.

J
Justin Kaufmann
executive

Yes, I'll handle that. So the acquisition did come with about 138 booked locations. While those are the reserve booked locations, there was an additional 150 unbooked locations that the team identified based on our previous knowledge of the area. Of the 138 booked locations we acquired, we've drilled up approximately 20 of those and with additional 5 of those being on Crescent Point lands, where we previously didn't have booked locations. So we're already recognizing some production from them and booked based on what the technical team's background is of the area. So we do think that there's probably about 10 years of drilling inventory based on the knowledge we have now. But further to the wells we fill this year, we think that will continue to expand our presence in the Viking, and we are also active in crown and freehold sales to help further expansion in the Viking.

J
John Jeffrey
executive

Thanks, Justin. Next question.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

Given the daily production with operating netback of about $50, quarterly profit should be about $50 million instead of reported CAD 167 million. So what is the increase in attributable profit? I can speak to that a little bit. So the difference in the delta between operating income and net income is the change in fair value of our open hedge position. So as the future strip changes, so too does the mark-to-market gain or loss. In this period, we did see a gain to the decrease in oil prices. So that should answer your question on that front.

The next question here we have is regard to the Viking wells. The Viking wells have been producing 40% above expectations. What is the cause of the better drilling results?

J
Justin Kaufmann
executive

I would say it's further refining of our geological model in the area, how we essentially map the edges as opposed to the [ structure loads ] and the [ strat phases ] that we're chasing and also increased presence in our technical team. Through these last few years in acquisitions, we've grown our team substantially between the engineers and geologists. And so I believe that, that leads to a lot of the success of the team growing and working together in, like I said, toward this refinement of our geological model of the area.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

That's great. That's great. Thanks, Justin. The -- another question here. Do you plan to expand the hedging program over the coming quarters? And if so, at what price?

J
John Jeffrey
executive

Yes. I think we're always looking to lock in price certainty. I think the volatility that we've seen kind of in recent months and definitely within recent years always cause this concern. What I'd hate to see is that we deploy capital, we're getting these great drilling results, and all of a sudden, we see the bottom fall out of oil. So we are constantly looking to update our hedges shorter term.

I think you can expect us to layer on more 12- to 18-month hedges kind of in the coming months. As we continue to get good drill results, if we can lock in 100-plus rate of return for our shareholders, I think that's probably going to be something we'd love to do. So locking in those returns or redeploying that capital is certainly that -- we have that locked up. That's a strategy that we can always use. And I think that's one we're just going to maintain into the future.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

That's great. Thanks, John. What was Q3 production? And what is the company producing as now? I know for Q3, approximately 11,000 BOE per day. For current production, Justin, if you want to take it over for current daily production rates?

J
Justin Kaufmann
executive

Yes. We're currently just over 12,000 barrels. Previous guidance was 12,500 for Q4. We are on pace to hit that right now. There is some Viking wells that we are bringing online in the next few weeks that will help those Q4 averages. And we expect to end the year close to about 13,000 barrels to make that 12-odd Q4 average.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

Thanks, Justin. Another question here on the hedges. Do you -- or what is the current weighted average oil price currently over the portfolio? So currently, with our hedges, our hedges on a declining basis quarter-over-quarter. So individual ones are layered on -- noted on Note 14 in the financial statements. So I will direct you there for the actual per barrels and average prices per quarter.

J
John Jeffrey
executive

Yes. Another area where that lives too is in the corporate presentation, and you can find that on our website. I believe it's Slide 24 here gives you a breakdown of -- 24 and 23. So 23 illustrates the hedge book that we have in place and how it rolls off over time, and then 24 gives you the actual breakdown of the swaps, the collars, the strike price and all the details around that.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

Thanks, John. Another question came in here. You kind of talked about it a couple of different times. But given the excellent production rates in the Viking and potential reserve upside, has your view on capital allocation into this play changed since initial guidance post the acquisition?

J
Justin Kaufmann
executive

John, do you want to handle...

J
John Jeffrey
executive

Yes. You know I'll have you jump in here. I mean, it's -- the results we're seeing are great. One of the things we have noticed is that we are seeing a little bit more in terms of inflationary costs in the Viking. The rate of return between the South and East and the Viking is fairly similar. I still think that the Southeast, I think adjusting even at these prices, I think the Southeast becomes a little more favored. But it's just the ability to deploy capital, the timing of that deployed capital and the certainty of the results.

So I think what you'll see is a fairly even split between allocating capital between the 2 pools. Yes, I've been translating into the account the results we have and the operating cost between the 2 areas. I'm sure any context you have, Justin, would be appreciated too.

J
Justin Kaufmann
executive

Yes. Essentially, we are seeing better or increased IP30s in the Viking. The EURs in our Southeast wells have longer tails on them, just lower decline rates. So like John says, the economics are similar. We do have a bit of deeper inventory in the Southeast with 95% seismic coverage over top of it. And we've been reprocessing that seismic this year, which is kind of helping with those development hedges and strat hedges that we're tracking. So we've actually been seeing improved results in the Southeast. But further to John's point, I think it will be a pretty similar split, but both areas have been -- we've been seeing some extremely good results this year.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

Thanks, Justin. Another question came through. Can you please comment on the financing? I thought that was completed in the second quarter. I can take that one. In the second quarter, they were -- the actual proceeds were issued via subscription receipts. So at the end of the second quarter, they were sitting as a receivable. Subsequent per [ rent ], those were converted in full equity. So that's why you see them as a subsequent event in the second quarter. And in the third quarter, you see the cash in the door, offset by equity. Last question here, looks like it's leaning out. With inflation costs in the Viking, do you expect to keep capital allocations the same? And I think that was already kind of asked and answered before.

J
John Jeffrey
executive

1 Yes. I think just to recap that is we are seeing a little more inflation in the Southeast, mainly being the fracking cost. In Viking, I mean, mainly the fracking cost. I think that's more than offset by the outstanding results that we are seeing. So for now, we're going to keep it fairly balanced, I think, just when we have added a few more wells to the Viking this year, just given the fact that we have seen those outstanding results. And that's one thing that we're really excited to get out into public hands here. Hopefully in the coming months, we can get those last 20 wells of data out in news releases as well.

J
Justin Kaufmann
executive

Yes. I would say supply chain issues are supposed to ease up in the future quarters too. And while our next year's guidance will be based off prices we're seeing right now, what we're hearing from our suppliers and vendors is that there should be some easing of those inflationary pressures into Q1.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

It appears we have no further questions. So if there are no questions or comments, on behalf of the executive team here, I would like to say thank you for joining our third quarter earnings call, and we look forward to speaking again next quarter.

J
John Jeffrey
executive

Thank you very much.

J
Justin Kaufmann
executive

Thanks, everyone.

S
Scott Sanborn
executive

Thanks, guys.

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