AGL Energy Ltd
ASX:AGL

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AGL Energy Ltd
ASX:AGL
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Price: 9.47 AUD 2.27%
Market Cap: AU$6.4B

P/OCF

7.1
Current
4%
More Expensive
vs 3-y average of 6.9

Price to Operating Cash Flow (P/OCF) ratio compares a company`s market value to the cash it generates from its core operations.

P/OCF
7.1
=
Market Cap
AU$6.6B
/
Operating Cash Flow
AU$892m

Price to Operating Cash Flow (P/OCF) ratio compares a company`s market value to the cash it generates from its core operations.

P/OCF
7.1
=
Market Cap
AU$6.6B
/
Operating Cash Flow
AU$892m

Valuation Scenarios

AGL Energy Ltd is trading above its 3-year average

If P/OCF returns to its 3-Year Average (6.9), the stock would be worth AU$9.1 (4% downside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
2/4
Maximum Downside
-45%
Maximum Upside
+85%
Average Upside
26%
Scenario P/OCF Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 7.1 AU$9.47
0%
3-Year Average 6.9 AU$9.1
-4%
5-Year Average 3.9 AU$5.19
-45%
Industry Average 12.1 AU$16.11
+70%
Country Average 13.2 AU$17.51
+85%

Forward P/OCF
Today’s price vs future operating cash flow

Not enough data available to calculate forward P/OCF

Peer Comparison

All Multiples
P/OCF
P/E
All Countries
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Market Distribution

Lower than 76% of companies in Australia
Percentile
24rd
Based on 1 393 companies
24rd percentile
7.1
Low
0.2 — 8.9
Typical Range
8.9 — 19.2
High
19.2 —
Distribution Statistics
Australia
Min 0.2
30th Percentile 8.9
Median 13.2
70th Percentile 19.2
Max 8 864.3

AGL Energy Ltd
Glance View

AGL Energy Ltd, a venerable name in the Australian energy sector, operates at the intersection of tradition and transformation. Founded in 1837, the company has grown from humble beginnings as a gaslight provider in Sydney to become one of Australia's leading integrated energy companies. AGL's business model hinges on its extensive operations in both electricity generation and retailing, allowing it to control a substantial portion of the energy value chain. With a diverse portfolio ranging from thermal power plants—relying predominantly on coal and gas—to a burgeoning array of renewable energy sources, AGL navigates the complexities of both maintaining legacy systems and pioneering innovations to capture new market opportunities. Central to AGL's revenue generation is its ability to supply energy to millions of homes and businesses across Australia. Revenue streams primarily flow from the sale of generated electricity, leveraging its significant production capacity. The retail segment plays a vital role, as AGL provides tailored electricity and gas solutions to consumers, competing fiercely in a deregulated market. However, the company is not without its challenges as it faces increasing regulatory scrutiny and pressure to transition to cleaner, more sustainable energy sources. AGL is consequently investing heavily in renewable technologies, such as wind and solar, while simultaneously managing the decline of its traditional coal-fired assets. This strategic dance ensures AGL maintains its market dominance while navigating the industry's evolving landscape.

AGL Intrinsic Value
14.81 AUD
Undervaluation 36%
Intrinsic Value
Price AU$9.47
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