ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
HKEX:2057
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EV/EBITDA
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.
Valuation Scenarios
If EV/EBITDA returns to its 3-Year Average (11), the stock would be worth HK$191.98 (5% downside from current price).
| Scenario | EV/EBITDA Value | Implied Price | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 11.6 | HK$202.4 |
0%
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| 3-Year Average | 11 | HK$191.98 |
-5%
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| 5-Year Average | 13.9 | HK$242.67 |
+20%
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| Industry Average | 19.7 | HK$343.66 |
+70%
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| Country Average | 28.8 | HK$503.95 |
+149%
|
Forward EV/EBITDA
Today’s price vs future ebitda
| Today's Enterprise Value | EBITDA | Forward EV/EBITDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
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HK$138.2B
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/ |
Jan 2026
¥10.5B
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= |
|
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HK$138.2B
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/ |
Dec 2026
¥16.8B
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= |
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HK$138.2B
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/ |
Dec 2027
¥18.7B
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= |
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HK$138.2B
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/ |
Dec 2028
¥20.4B
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= |
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Forward EV/EBITDA shows whether today’s EV/EBITDA still looks high or low once future ebitda are taken into account.
Peer Comparison
| Market Cap | EV/EBITDA | P/E | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN |
|
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
HKEX:2057
|
158.6B HKD | 11.6 | 15.5 | |
| US |
|
FedEx Corp
NYSE:FDX
|
92.7B USD | 10.1 | 20.7 | |
| US |
|
United Parcel Service Inc
NYSE:UPS
|
90.8B USD | 9.3 | 16.3 | |
| DE |
|
Deutsche Post AG
XETRA:DPW
|
53.3B EUR | 5.3 | 9.9 | |
| DK |
|
DSV A/S
CSE:DSV
|
398.7B DKK | 24.3 | 49.1 | |
| CN |
|
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
SZSE:002352
|
183.5B CNY | 12.2 | 16.5 | |
| US |
|
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc
NASDAQ:CHRW
|
21.7B USD | 24.2 | 36.9 | |
| US |
|
Expeditors International of Washington Inc
NYSE:EXPD
|
19.8B USD | 16.5 | 24.4 | |
| CN |
|
JD Logistics Inc
HKEX:2618
|
102.5B HKD | 10.7 | 13.6 | |
| KR |
|
Hyundai Glovis Co Ltd
KRX:086280
|
17.3T KRW | 5.6 | 9.9 | |
| CN |
|
J&T Global Express Ltd
F:J92
|
9.8B EUR | 23.7 | 57.1 |
Market Distribution
| Min | 0 |
| 30th Percentile | 16.3 |
| Median | 28.8 |
| 70th Percentile | 53.1 |
| Max | 49 021 |
Other Multiples
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
Glance View
In the bustling landscape of China's logistics and delivery sector, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has carved a formidable presence. Founded in 2002 in Shanghai, ZTO Express capitalized on the maturing e-commerce market, riding the wave of China's digital retail boom. The company operates primarily in the express delivery services, adeptly managing an expansive network that integrates air, rail, and road haulage. It efficiently distributes parcels across China's vast territories, and increasingly to international destinations. ZTO's operational prowess is bolstered by a franchising model—a strategic masterstroke that empowers local entrepreneurs as delivery partners, thus enabling scalability and efficient last-mile delivery without the weighted investment in infrastructure ownership. Central to ZTO's business model is its revenue stream from parcel delivery services, supplemented by logistics and value-added services. The company's income hinges on volume, driven by China's e-commerce giants like Alibaba, which it counts among its key clients. By leveraging technology and analytics, ZTO maximizes route optimization and ensures a seamless logistical workflow, translating into reduced costs and enhanced delivery speeds. This strategic alignment with e-commerce giants, alongside a commitment to innovation and operational efficiency, allows ZTO Express to capture significant market share, making it one of the leading express delivery companies in the world.
