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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
NASDAQ:GO

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
NASDAQ:GO
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Price: 8.35 USD 5.56% Market Closed
Market Cap: $819.6m

P/FCFE

104.6
Current
225%
More Expensive
vs 3-y average of 32.1

Price to Free Cash Flow to Equity (P/FCFE) ratio compares a company`s market value to the free cash flow available to its shareholders. It`s similar to the P/OCF ratio but more precise, since it accounts for capital expenditures deducted from operating cash flow.

P/FCFE
104.6
=
Market Cap
$696.9m
/
Free Cash Flow to Equity
$7.8m

Price to Free Cash Flow to Equity (P/FCFE) ratio compares a company`s market value to the free cash flow available to its shareholders. It`s similar to the P/OCF ratio but more precise, since it accounts for capital expenditures deducted from operating cash flow.

P/FCFE
104.6
=
Market Cap
$696.9m
/
Free Cash Flow to Equity
$7.8m

Valuation Scenarios

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp is trading above its 3-year average

If P/FCFE returns to its 3-Year Average (32.1), the stock would be worth $2.57 (69% downside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
0/4
Maximum Downside
-79%
Maximum Upside
No Upside Scenarios
Average Downside
73%
Scenario P/FCFE Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 104.6 $8.35
0%
3-Year Average 32.1 $2.57
-69%
5-Year Average 32.1 $2.57
-69%
Industry Average 25.3 $2.02
-76%
Country Average 21.9 $1.75
-79%

Forward P/FCFE
Today’s price vs future free cash flow to equity

Not enough data available to calculate forward P/FCFE

Peer Comparison

All Multiples
P/FCFE
P/E
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/FCFE P/E
US
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
NASDAQ:GO
819.6m USD 104.6 -3.6
ZA
Shoprite Holdings Ltd
JSE:SHP
151.8B ZAR 35.5 20
CA
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
TSX:ATD
73.8B CAD 17.4 19.4
CA
Loblaw Companies Ltd
TSX:L
73.4B CAD 28.4 27.4
UK
Tesco PLC
LSE:TSCO
32.4B GBP 28.8 18.1
US
Kroger Co
NYSE:KR
43.5B USD 18 43.1
NL
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV
AEX:AD
35.5B EUR 40.5 15.7
IN
Avenue Supermarts Ltd
NSE:DMART
3T INR -390.3 103.7
JP
Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd
TSE:3382
5T JPY -33.2 17.1
US
Caseys General Stores Inc
NASDAQ:CASY
30.9B USD 97.1 47.6
AU
Woolworths Group Ltd
ASX:WOW
42B AUD 27.5 69.2

Market Distribution

Higher than 91% of companies in the United States of America
Percentile
91th
Based on 7 576 companies
91th percentile
104.6
Low
0 — 13.1
Typical Range
13.1 — 36.5
High
36.5 —
Distribution Statistics
the United States of America
Min 0
30th Percentile 13.1
Median 21.9
70th Percentile 36.5
Max 3 188 432.5

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
Glance View

Market Cap
819.6m USD
Industry
Retail

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates with a business model that distinguishes itself in the discount retail sector. Known as the "extreme value retailer," this company takes advantage of opportunities in the surplus inventory market. Grocery Outlet partners with manufacturers to buy excess products at substantial discounts, whether due to packaging changes, surplus production, or regional demand imbalances. These deals allow them to offer quality, brand-name groceries, and other household essentials at significantly reduced prices, often up to 40-70% below the regular retail cost. The company relies on a network of independently operated stores, which empowers local entrepreneurs to tailor their offerings to the unique preferences of their communities while maintaining the overarching strategy of delivering exceptional savings. The operational model of Grocery Outlet is further fortified through its franchise-like Independent Operators (IOs) system, which enables it to optimize costs and harness entrepreneurial energy. These IOs are not franchise owners in a traditional sense but act more like partners, sharing a portion of the store's profits with the corporation while also reaping rewards from their operational ingenuity. Each store offers a "treasure hunt" experience where customers are encouraged to visit frequently due to rotating stock dictated by what deals the corporation can secure. Thus, Grocery Outlet not only thrives by providing value-driven shopping experiences but also maintains a resilient market presence through its adaptive and scalable approach to grocery retailing. This business model allows for strong margins despite the company's discount pricing, supporting the sustenance and growth of the brand in a competitive marketplace.

GO Intrinsic Value
18.32 USD
Undervaluation 54%
Intrinsic Value
Price $8.35
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