Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
NASDAQ:GO
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P/FCFE
Price to Free Cash Flow to Equity (P/FCFE) ratio compares a company`s market value to the free cash flow available to its shareholders. It`s similar to the P/OCF ratio but more precise, since it accounts for capital expenditures deducted from operating cash flow.
Price to Free Cash Flow to Equity (P/FCFE) ratio compares a company`s market value to the free cash flow available to its shareholders. It`s similar to the P/OCF ratio but more precise, since it accounts for capital expenditures deducted from operating cash flow.
Valuation Scenarios
If P/FCFE returns to its 3-Year Average (32.1), the stock would be worth $2.57 (69% downside from current price).
| Scenario | P/FCFE Value | Implied Price | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 104.6 | $8.35 |
0%
|
| 3-Year Average | 32.1 | $2.57 |
-69%
|
| 5-Year Average | 32.1 | $2.57 |
-69%
|
| Industry Average | 25.3 | $2.02 |
-76%
|
| Country Average | 21.9 | $1.75 |
-79%
|
Forward P/FCFE
Today’s price vs future free cash flow to equity
Peer Comparison
| Market Cap | P/FCFE | P/E | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US |
|
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
NASDAQ:GO
|
819.6m USD | 104.6 | -3.6 | |
| ZA |
S
|
Shoprite Holdings Ltd
JSE:SHP
|
151.8B ZAR | 35.5 | 20 | |
| CA |
|
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
TSX:ATD
|
73.8B CAD | 17.4 | 19.4 | |
| CA |
|
Loblaw Companies Ltd
TSX:L
|
73.4B CAD | 28.4 | 27.4 | |
| UK |
|
Tesco PLC
LSE:TSCO
|
32.4B GBP | 28.8 | 18.1 | |
| US |
|
Kroger Co
NYSE:KR
|
43.5B USD | 18 | 43.1 | |
| NL |
|
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV
AEX:AD
|
35.5B EUR | 40.5 | 15.7 | |
| IN |
|
Avenue Supermarts Ltd
NSE:DMART
|
3T INR | -390.3 | 103.7 | |
| JP |
|
Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd
TSE:3382
|
5T JPY | -33.2 | 17.1 | |
| US |
|
Caseys General Stores Inc
NASDAQ:CASY
|
30.9B USD | 97.1 | 47.6 | |
| AU |
|
Woolworths Group Ltd
ASX:WOW
|
42B AUD | 27.5 | 69.2 |
Market Distribution
| Min | 0 |
| 30th Percentile | 13.1 |
| Median | 21.9 |
| 70th Percentile | 36.5 |
| Max | 3 188 432.5 |
Other Multiples
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
Glance View
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates with a business model that distinguishes itself in the discount retail sector. Known as the "extreme value retailer," this company takes advantage of opportunities in the surplus inventory market. Grocery Outlet partners with manufacturers to buy excess products at substantial discounts, whether due to packaging changes, surplus production, or regional demand imbalances. These deals allow them to offer quality, brand-name groceries, and other household essentials at significantly reduced prices, often up to 40-70% below the regular retail cost. The company relies on a network of independently operated stores, which empowers local entrepreneurs to tailor their offerings to the unique preferences of their communities while maintaining the overarching strategy of delivering exceptional savings. The operational model of Grocery Outlet is further fortified through its franchise-like Independent Operators (IOs) system, which enables it to optimize costs and harness entrepreneurial energy. These IOs are not franchise owners in a traditional sense but act more like partners, sharing a portion of the store's profits with the corporation while also reaping rewards from their operational ingenuity. Each store offers a "treasure hunt" experience where customers are encouraged to visit frequently due to rotating stock dictated by what deals the corporation can secure. Thus, Grocery Outlet not only thrives by providing value-driven shopping experiences but also maintains a resilient market presence through its adaptive and scalable approach to grocery retailing. This business model allows for strong margins despite the company's discount pricing, supporting the sustenance and growth of the brand in a competitive marketplace.