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Spotify Technology SA
SWB:639

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Spotify Technology SA
SWB:639
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Price: 414.5 EUR -0.02%
Market Cap: €51.3B

EV/EBIT

37.1
Current
5%
More Expensive
vs 3-y average of 35.3

Enterprise Value to EBIT (EV/EBIT) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest and taxes. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.

EV/EBIT
37.1
=
Enterprise Value
€84.8B
/
EBIT
€2.2B

Enterprise Value to EBIT (EV/EBIT) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest and taxes. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.

EV/EBIT
37.1
=
Enterprise Value
€84.8B
/
EBIT
€2.2B

Valuation Scenarios

Spotify Technology SA is trading above its 3-year average

If EV/EBIT returns to its 3-Year Average (35.3), the stock would be worth €394.66 (5% downside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
0/3
Maximum Downside
-64%
Maximum Upside
No Upside Scenarios
Average Downside
25%
Scenario EV/EBIT Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 37.1 €414.5
0%
3-Year Average 35.3 €394.66
-5%
Industry Average 35.3 €394.3
-5%
Country Average 13.3 €148.62
-64%

Forward EV/EBIT
Today’s price vs future ebit

Today's Enterprise Value EBIT Forward EV/EBIT
€84.8B
/
Jan 2026
€2.2B
=
37.1
Current
€84.8B
/
Dec 2026
€3.1B
=
27.5
Forward
€84.8B
/
Dec 2027
€3.9B
=
21.5
Forward
€84.8B
/
Dec 2028
€4.8B
=
17.6
Forward

Forward EV/EBIT shows whether today’s EV/EBIT still looks high or low once future ebit are taken into account.

Peer Comparison

All Multiples
EV/EBIT
P/E
All Countries
Close
Market Cap EV/EBIT P/E
LU
Spotify Technology SA
SWB:639
106.2B EUR 37.1 40.8
US
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
390.8B USD 28 29.1
US
Walt Disney Co
NYSE:DIS
186.9B USD 15.7 15.1
US
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
NASDAQ:WBD
66.7B USD 72.6 92.4
NL
Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG
36.6B EUR 19.5 23.9
US
TKO Group Holdings Inc
NYSE:TKO
36.1B USD 38.4 157.8
US
Live Nation Entertainment Inc
NYSE:LYV
36.1B USD 29.9 -663.1
US
Roku Inc
NASDAQ:ROKU
17B USD -5 709.3 192
FR
Bollore SE
PAR:BOL
14.8B EUR -47.6 42.6
US
Warner Music Group Corp
NASDAQ:WMG
15.1B USD 18.5 50.5
CN
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
NYSE:TME
14.3B USD 8 8.9
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
LU
Spotify Technology SA
SWB:639
Average EV/EBIT: 29.7
37.1
30%
1.2
US
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
28
20%
1.4
US
Walt Disney Co
NYSE:DIS
15.7
16%
1
US
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
NASDAQ:WBD
72.6
11%
6.6
NL
Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG
19.5
14%
1.4
US
TKO Group Holdings Inc
NYSE:TKO
38.4
28%
1.4
US
Live Nation Entertainment Inc
NYSE:LYV
29.9
23%
1.3
US
Roku Inc
NASDAQ:ROKU
Negative Multiple: -5 709.3 N/A N/A
FR
Bollore SE
PAR:BOL
Negative Multiple: -47.6 N/A N/A
US
Warner Music Group Corp
NASDAQ:WMG
18.5
20%
0.9
CN
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
NYSE:TME
8
14%
0.6

Market Distribution

In line with most companies in Luxembourg
Percentile
66th
Based on 167 companies
66th percentile
16.5
Low
0 — 9.8
Typical Range
9.8 — 22.5
High
22.5 —
Distribution Statistics
Luxembourg
Min 0
30th Percentile 9.8
Median 13.3
70th Percentile 22.5
Max 1 142.5

Spotify Technology SA
Glance View

Spotify Technology S.A., founded by Daniel Ek and Martin Lorentzon in 2006, emerged as a revolutionary force in the music streaming industry, transforming how people consume music. The company, headquartered in Sweden, turned the music world on its axis with its user-friendly platform that allows seamless access to a vast library of music tracks and podcasts from across the globe. Spotify operates on a freemium model—users can opt for an ad-supported free service or pay a subscription fee for an enhanced, ad-free experience with additional features like offline listening. This dual-tier service has been central to Spotify's strategy, drawing in massive user numbers while compelling enough of them to convert to paying subscribers, thus forming a stable revenue stream. The heart of Spotify's business model lies in its relationships with record labels and music rights holders, agreements that enable it to host a monumental catalog of songs. Monetization is primarily driven through subscriptions and advertising. Premium subscriptions not only provide a steady revenue channel but also buffer against the variability of ad-generated income. On the advertising front, Spotify sells digital ad space in various formats, such as audio, video, and display ads within its free service. By leveraging data analytics and user personalization, Spotify enhances ad targeting capabilities, offering value to advertisers through highly targeted campaigns, and, in turn, securing its position as a leading player in the music streaming ecosystem.

Intrinsic Value
276.21 EUR
Overvaluation 33%
Intrinsic Value
Price €414.5
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