Warner Music Group Corp
NASDAQ:WMG

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Warner Music Group Corp
NASDAQ:WMG
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Price: 31.14 USD -0.57% Market Closed
Market Cap: 16.2B USD

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one WMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.44 USD. Compared to the current market price of 31.14 USD, Warner Music Group Corp is Undervalued by 10%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

WMG Intrinsic Value
34.44 USD
Undervaluation 10%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Warner Music Group Corp

Intrinsic Value History
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Uncover deeper insights with the Valuation History. Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
WMG
Valuation History
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Valuation History Unavailable

Historical valuation for WMG cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints.

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Fundamental Analysis

Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

WMG’s heavy reliance on third-party streaming services exposes it to unfavorable royalty negotiations and sudden shifts in platform strategy, creating potential revenue volatility if major streaming partners change terms or distribution strategies.

Bull Theses

WMG’s broad catalog of iconic artists and its global reach position it to benefit from continued growth in digital music consumption, generating stable, recurring licensing royalties across multiple geographies.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Warner Music Group Corp

Current Assets 2.7B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 802m
Receivables 1.2B
Other Current Assets 713m
Non-Current Assets 6.4B
PP&E 712m
Intangibles 4.5B
Other Non-Current Assets 1.2B
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Warner Music Group Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
Warner Music Group Corp

Revenue
6.3B USD
Cost of Revenue
-3.4B USD
Gross Profit
3B USD
Operating Expenses
-2.1B USD
Operating Income
872m USD
Other Expenses
-367m USD
Net Income
505m USD
Fundamental Scores

WMG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Warner Music Group Corp's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
62/100
Profitability
Score

Warner Music Group Corp's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

WMG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Warner Music Group Corp's solvency score is 27/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
Positive Net Debt
27/100
Solvency
Score

Warner Music Group Corp's solvency score is 27/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

WMG Price Targets Summary
Warner Music Group Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast WMG stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WMG is 36.67 USD with a low forecast of 23.23 USD and a high forecast of 46.2 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
23.23 USD
25% Downside
Average
Price Target
36.67 USD
18% Upside
Highest
Price Target
46.2 USD
48% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
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100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for WMG is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Ownership

WMG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

WMG News

Other Videos
What is the Intrinsic Value of one WMG stock?

The intrinsic value of one WMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.44 USD.

Is WMG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 31.14 USD, Warner Music Group Corp is Undervalued by 10%.

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