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Hellofresh SE
XETRA:HFG

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Hellofresh SE
XETRA:HFG
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Price: 4.441 EUR 2.19% Market Closed
Market Cap: €706.1m

EV/EBITDA

2.3
Current
54%
Cheaper
vs 3-y average of 5

Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.

EV/EBITDA
2.3
=
Enterprise Value
€950.8m
/
EBITDA
€452.1m

Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.

EV/EBITDA
2.3
=
Enterprise Value
€950.8m
/
EBITDA
€452.1m

Valuation Scenarios

Hellofresh SE is trading below its 3-year average

If EV/EBITDA returns to its 3-Year Average (5), the stock would be worth €9.68 (118% upside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
4/4
Maximum Downside
No Downside Scenarios
Maximum Upside
+309%
Average Upside
246%
Scenario EV/EBITDA Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 2.3 €4.44
0%
3-Year Average 5 €9.68
+118%
5-Year Average 9.3 €18.16
+309%
Industry Average 8.3 €16.07
+262%
Country Average 9 €17.52
+295%

Forward EV/EBITDA
Today’s price vs future ebitda

Today's Enterprise Value EBITDA Forward EV/EBITDA
€950.8m
/
Jan 2026
€452.1m
=
2.3
Current
€950.8m
/
Dec 2026
€392.8m
=
2.4
Forward
€950.8m
/
Dec 2027
€429m
=
2.2
Forward
€950.8m
/
Dec 2028
€445.9m
=
2.1
Forward
€950.8m
/
Dec 2029
€545.7m
=
1.7
Forward
€950.8m
/
Dec 2030
€565.6m
=
1.7
Forward
€950.8m
/
Dec 2031
€585.5m
=
1.6
Forward
€950.8m
/
Dec 2032
€601.4m
=
1.6
Forward
€950.8m
/
Dec 2033
€619.3m
=
1.5
Forward

Forward EV/EBITDA shows whether today’s EV/EBITDA still looks high or low once future ebitda are taken into account.

Peer Comparison

All Multiples
EV/EBITDA
P/E
All Countries
Close
Market Cap EV/EBITDA P/E
DE
Hellofresh SE
XETRA:HFG
655.8m EUR 2.3 -7.1
ZA
Shoprite Holdings Ltd
JSE:SHP
153.7B ZAR 7.8 20.3
CA
Loblaw Companies Ltd
TSX:L
72.7B CAD 12 27.4
CA
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
TSX:ATD
71.7B CAD 9.9 18.4
US
Kroger Co
NYSE:KR
43.2B USD 6.6 42.8
UK
Tesco PLC
LSE:TSCO
33.1B GBP 8.3 18.5
NL
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV
AEX:AD
36.6B EUR 6.7 16.2
AU
Woolworths Group Ltd
ASX:WOW
46.3B AUD 35.4 76.7
IN
Avenue Supermarts Ltd
NSE:DMART
2.9T INR 59.3 100.4
JP
Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd
TSE:3382
5T JPY 8.2 17
US
Caseys General Stores Inc
NASDAQ:CASY
29.6B USD 22.5 45.5

Market Distribution

Lower than 96% of companies in Germany
Percentile
4th
Based on 2 491 companies
4th percentile
2.3
Low
0.1 — 6.2
Typical Range
6.2 — 13.6
High
13.6 —
Distribution Statistics
Germany
Min 0.1
30th Percentile 6.2
Median 9
70th Percentile 13.6
Max 6 112.6

Hellofresh SE
Glance View

HelloFresh SE, a pioneer in the meal kit delivery service industry, emerged from the bustling streets of Berlin in 2011. Founded by Dominik Richter, Thomas Griesel, and Jessica Nilsson, the company set out to revolutionize the way people approach home cooking. Against the backdrop of fast-paced modern life, HelloFresh designed its business model around the pillars of convenience and customization. By delivering pre-measured ingredients and chef-curated recipes directly to customers' doors, it sought to eliminate the hassle of meal planning and grocery shopping. This direct-to-consumer approach not only saves time but also caters to diverse dietary preferences and culinary levels, creating a personalized cooking experience for every customer. Financially, HelloFresh has carved out its space in the market by tapping into a subscription-based revenue model, which ensures a steady stream of income. Customers subscribe to weekly meal plans that range from two to five meals, selecting from an evolving menu that adapts to seasonal ingredients and culinary trends. This model effectively keeps customer engagement high and churn rates manageable. In addition, HelloFresh's operational efficiency is boosted by leveraging data analytics to forecast demand accurately, optimize supply chains, and reduce food waste, which aligns with growing consumer demand for sustainable business practices. As a result, the company's ability to deliver value through convenience, choice, and sustainability keeps it a formidable player in the competitive landscape of home dining solutions.

HFG Intrinsic Value
9.941 EUR
Undervaluation 55%
Intrinsic Value
Price €4.441
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