Adecoagro SA
NYSE:AGRO

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Adecoagro SA Logo
Adecoagro SA
NYSE:AGRO
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Price: 12.52 USD -5.65%
Market Cap: $1.8B

EV/EBITDA

11.2
Current
74%
More Expensive
vs 3-y average of 6.4

Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.

EV/EBITDA
11.2
=
Enterprise Value
$3.1B
/
EBITDA
$250.1m

Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.

EV/EBITDA
11.2
=
Enterprise Value
$3.1B
/
EBITDA
$250.1m

Valuation Scenarios

Adecoagro SA is trading above its 3-year average

If EV/EBITDA returns to its 3-Year Average (6.4), the stock would be worth $7.2 (42% downside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
0/4
Maximum Downside
-42%
Maximum Upside
No Upside Scenarios
Average Downside
38%
Scenario EV/EBITDA Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 11.2 $12.52
0%
3-Year Average 6.4 $7.2
-42%
5-Year Average 6.6 $7.38
-41%
Industry Average 6.6 $7.4
-41%
Country Average 8.2 $9.19
-27%

Forward EV/EBITDA
Today’s price vs future ebitda

Today's Enterprise Value EBITDA Forward EV/EBITDA
$3.1B
/
Jan 2026
$250.1m
=
11.2
Current
$3.1B
/
Dec 2026
$566m
=
5.5
Forward
$3.1B
/
Dec 2027
$541.9m
=
5.7
Forward
$3.1B
/
Dec 2028
$358.6m
=
8.6
Forward

Forward EV/EBITDA shows whether today’s EV/EBITDA still looks high or low once future ebitda are taken into account.

Peer Comparison

All Multiples
EV/EBITDA
P/E
All Countries
Close
Market Cap EV/EBITDA P/E
LU
Adecoagro SA
NYSE:AGRO
1.9B USD 11.2 -212.2
JP
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
53.2T JPY 186 542.5 540 752.8
CH
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
205.8B CHF 14.1 23.2
US
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
74B USD 18.3 30.1
FR
Danone SA
PAR:BN
43.3B EUR 9.8 23.8
ZA
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
48.7B ZAR 9.4 12.8
US
Hershey Co
NYSE:HSY
39B USD 21.3 43.8
CN
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd
SZSE:002714
237.6B CNY 22 24.3
CN
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
231.2B CNY 24.7 32.8
ZA
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
32.7B ZAR 8.6 12.7
CH
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG
SIX:LISN
23.8B CHF 19.2 32.4

Market Distribution

In line with most companies in Luxembourg
Percentile
62st
Based on 182 companies
62st percentile
11.2
Low
0 — 6.2
Typical Range
6.2 — 13.8
High
13.8 —
Distribution Statistics
Luxembourg
Min 0
30th Percentile 6.2
Median 8.2
70th Percentile 13.8
Max 1 142.5

Adecoagro SA
Glance View

Adecoagro SA is a distinctive player operating within the dynamic sphere of agricultural and renewable energy sectors in South America. Founded in 2002, the company has established a significant presence across Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay, leveraging the rich soils and favorable climates of these regions to flourish. Adecoagro thrives on a diversified business model that includes farming activities—such as crop production, dairy operations, and cattle farming—as well as sugar, ethanol, and energy production. This diversity allows the company to mitigate risks commonly associated with agriculture, such as climatic volatility and market price fluctuations, while capitalizing on the synergy between food production and bioenergy, reflecting a strategic alignment with sustainable development trends. The company's core operations are centered around its extensive farmland, where it grows a variety of crops including rice, corn, soybeans, and wheat. Adecoagro captures value from the entire agricultural cycle, from cultivation to the sale of its products both domestically and globally. In addition to crops, the company manages a substantial dairy farm operation. Yet, perhaps its most progressive venture lies in its sugar and ethanol segment in Brazil. Here, Adecoagro processes sugarcane into sugar, ethanol, and energy, demonstrating the ability to adapt to the world's increasing demand for renewable energy sources. By integrating these processes, Adecoagro not only maximizes the utility of its agricultural outputs but also generates electricity, contributing both to its bottom line and to regional energy needs. This strategic blend of agriculture with renewable energy production positions Adecoagro as an influential force driving both economic and sustainable growth in South America.

AGRO Intrinsic Value
8.45 USD
Overvaluation 33%
Intrinsic Value
Price $12.52
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