Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one MDLZ stock under the Base Case scenario is 71.3 USD. Compared to the current market price of 70.66 USD, Mondelez International Inc is Undervalued by 1%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Mondelez International Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Mondelez International Inc. is a leading global snack company, renowned for its expansive portfolio of beloved brands that include Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone, and Triscuit. With roots tracing back to the spin-off of Kraft Foods in 2012, Mondelez focuses on delivering delicious snacks that cater to diverse consumer preferences across more than 150 countries. As the demand for convenient and indulgent snacks continues to rise, Mondelez has embraced innovation and sustainability to maintain its competitive edge. The company’s ambitious growth strategies, reinforced by a commitment to quality and responsible sourcing, position it as a key player in the ever-evolving snack industry. For investors,...
Mondelez International Inc. is a leading global snack company, renowned for its expansive portfolio of beloved brands that include Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone, and Triscuit. With roots tracing back to the spin-off of Kraft Foods in 2012, Mondelez focuses on delivering delicious snacks that cater to diverse consumer preferences across more than 150 countries. As the demand for convenient and indulgent snacks continues to rise, Mondelez has embraced innovation and sustainability to maintain its competitive edge. The company’s ambitious growth strategies, reinforced by a commitment to quality and responsible sourcing, position it as a key player in the ever-evolving snack industry.
For investors, Mondelez presents an attractive opportunity supported by strong financial performance and a solid dividend history. The company generated nearly $30 billion in revenue in recent years, demonstrating resilience and adaptability, particularly during economic shifts. With a keen focus on expanding its core categories through both organic growth and strategic acquisitions, Mondelez is poised to capture market share in the rapidly growing snacking sector. Additionally, the company's dedication to sustainability and social responsibility aligns with shifting consumer values, further enhancing its reputation. As the global landscape of snack consumption evolves, Mondelez International stands out as a robust investment for those looking to capitalize on a company that harmonizes tradition with innovation.
Mondelez International Inc. is a global leader in the snack industry with a diverse portfolio of well-known brands. The company's core business segments are primarily categorized into three areas:
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Snacking: This is the largest segment for Mondelez, encompassing a wide range of snack products that cater to various consumer preferences. This includes:
- Biscuits: Brands such as Oreo, Chips Ahoy!, and belVita fall under this category.
- Confectionery: This includes chocolate products from brands like Cadbury, Toblerone, and Milka, as well as gum and candy brands.
- Cheese and Dairy: Products such as cream cheese under the Philadelphia brand are included in this segment.
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Beverages: Mondelez has ventured into the beverage market, particularly through partnerships and acquisitions that allow them to offer products like coffee and tea, which complement their snack offerings.
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Nutritional Snacks: This segment includes healthier snack options, catering to the growing demand for nutritious products. Brands in this category may include health-oriented snacks, granola bars, and other products aimed at health-conscious consumers.
Mondelez's strategy focuses on strengthening these core segments through innovation, expanding international markets, and efficient supply chain management, thereby enhancing brand value and driving growth. The company aims to maintain its leadership position through continuous investment in product development, marketing initiatives, and strategic acquisitions.
Mondelez International Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that enhance its position in the highly competitive snack food industry. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: Mondelez owns a diverse range of well-established brands, including Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone, and Ritz. These brands enjoy strong consumer recognition and loyalty, which provide a competitive edge over rivals.
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Global Presence: With operations in over 150 countries, Mondelez benefits from a vast international reach. This global footprint enables it to tap into various markets, adapt products to local tastes, and gain economies of scale.
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Focus on Snacks: Mondelez has strategically chosen to focus primarily on the snacking category, which has been witnessing robust growth. This specialization allows the company to innovate and optimize its supply chain specifically for this segment, unlike competitors that may have a more diversified product range.
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Innovation and R&D: The company invests significantly in research and development, which allows it to introduce innovative products that cater to changing consumer preferences, such as healthier options and new flavor profiles. This proactive approach helps maintain consumer interest and fosters brand loyalty.
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Efficient Supply Chain: Mondelez has developed a highly efficient supply chain and distribution network, enabling it to respond quickly to market demands and reduce costs. This operational efficiency supports competitive pricing while maintaining product quality.
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Sustainability Initiatives: As consumers increasingly prioritize sustainability, Mondelez’s commitment to responsible sourcing and environmental sustainability initiatives can enhance brand reputation and consumer trust. This positions the company favorably against competitors that may not prioritize these aspects.
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Strong Marketing and Advertising: Mondelez has a robust marketing strategy that leverages digital and traditional advertising. The company’s ability to engage consumers effectively through various media channels helps build brand equity and drive sales.
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Strategic Acquisitions: Mondelez has a history of strategic acquisitions that enhance its product lineup and market share. This capability allows the company to integrate complementary products and enter new categories or regions more effectively.
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Adaptability to Trends: Mondelez has demonstrated an ability to adapt to consumer trends, such as increasing demand for snacking convenience and premium products. This agility allows it to stay relevant and compete effectively in a dynamic market.
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Strong Financial Position: With solid revenue generation and cash flow, Mondelez has the financial stability to invest in growth initiatives, marketing, and innovation, allowing it to stay ahead of competitors.
These competitive advantages contribute to Mondelez International's leading position in the snack food market, helping it balance growth with consumer expectations and market dynamics effectively.
Mondelez International Inc., a leading multinational confectionery, food, and beverage company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its operations and performance. Key areas of concern include:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing global supply chain issues, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, could lead to delays, increased costs, and reduced availability of raw materials needed for production.
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Inflation and Cost Pressures: Rising costs for inputs such as sugar, cocoa, and packaging materials could impact profit margins. Inflation can also affect consumer purchasing behavior, leading to potential declines in sales if products become too expensive for consumers.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: There is a growing trend toward healthier eating and snacking habits, which may reduce demand for traditional snack foods. Mondelez must adapt to these changing preferences by innovating and expanding its product offerings to include healthier options.
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Regulatory Challenges: Mondelez operates in diverse markets, each with its regulatory landscape. Changes in food safety regulations, labeling requirements, or environmental standards could lead to increased compliance costs and operational challenges.
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Competition: The snack food market is highly competitive, with both established brands and new entrants vying for market share. Mondelez must continuously invest in marketing, innovation, and product development to maintain its competitive edge.
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Geopolitical Tensions: Political instability, trade barriers, and tariffs can affect Mondelez's ability to source materials and distribute products globally. This is particularly significant for a company that relies on international markets for growth.
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Sustainability and Environmental Concerns: Increasing consumer and regulatory scrutiny regarding sustainability practices necessitates investments in environmentally friendly practices throughout the supply chain. Failure to meet these expectations could harm the brand's reputation.
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Digital Transformation: The shift towards e-commerce and digital marketing is transforming the retail landscape. Mondelez needs to invest in its digital capabilities and adapt its strategies to effectively reach consumers in a rapidly evolving marketplace.
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Economic Downturns: Economic recessions or downturns in key markets can lead to reduced consumer spending on non-essential goods, impacting sales volumes.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As Mondelez increasingly relies on digital systems, it becomes more vulnerable to cyber threats. A significant breach could disrupt operations and lead to financial and reputational damage.
To mitigate these risks, Mondelez will need to employ strategic planning, invest in innovation, enhance supply chain resilience, and remain responsive to consumer trends and regulatory changes.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Mondelez International Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Mondelez International Inc
Current Assets | 15.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.4B |
Receivables | 4B |
Other Current Assets | 9.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 57.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.5B |
PP&E | 10.1B |
Intangibles | 42.8B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.6B |
Current Liabilities | 22.4B |
Accounts Payable | 8.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 3.3B |
Short-Term Debt | 838m |
Other Current Liabilities | 9.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 23B |
Long-Term Debt | 16.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 6.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
Mondelez International Inc
Revenue
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36B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-21.5B
USD
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Gross Profit
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14.5B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-8.2B
USD
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Operating Income
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6.3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-2.4B
USD
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Net Income
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3.9B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Mondelez International Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the recent earnings call, the company reported a 2.5% increase in organic net revenue and a robust 25% growth in adjusted EPS. Emerging markets showed strong performance with a 4.5% revenue increase, while developed markets grew by 1.2%. Despite challenges in the European market due to customer disruptions, key brands like OREO and Ritz gained market share. The company also highlighted significant investments in marketing and promotional activities, alongside a strategic partnership with Lotus Bakeries. Looking ahead, the company affirmed its revenue guidance of 3-5% growth, emphasizing its focus on sustainable long-term gains.
What is Earnings Call?
MDLZ Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Mondelez International Inc's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Mondelez International Inc's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MDLZ Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Mondelez International Inc's solvency score is 46/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Mondelez International Inc's solvency score is 46/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MDLZ Price Targets Summary
Mondelez International Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MDLZ is 80.63 USD with a low forecast of 72.72 USD and a high forecast of 92.4 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for MDLZ is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
MDLZ Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Mondelez International, Inc. engages in the manufacture and marketing of snack food and beverage products. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois and currently employs 79,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2001-06-13. The firm makes and sells primarily snacks, including biscuits, such as cookies, crackers and salted snacks, chocolate, gum and candy as well as various cheese and grocery and powdered beverage products. Its segments include Latin America, AMEA, Europe and North America. Its portfolio includes snack brands, such as Cadbury, Milka and Toblerone chocolate; Oreo, belVita and LU biscuits; Halls candy; Trident gum and Tang powdered beverages. The firm sells its products to supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores and other retail food outlets. The company has operations in approximately 80 countries and sells its products in over 150 countries. The firm's subsidiaries include Mondelez Argentina S.A., Mondelez Oesterreich Production GmbH and Mondelez Australia Holdings Pty. Ltd., among others.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one MDLZ stock under the Base Case scenario is 71.3 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 70.66 USD, Mondelez International Inc is Undervalued by 1%.