MDLZ Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Mondelez International Inc - Alpha Spread

Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ

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Mondelez International Inc Logo
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
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Price: 70.66 USD -0.67% Market Closed
Market Cap: 94.4B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one MDLZ stock under the Base Case scenario is 71.3 USD. Compared to the current market price of 70.66 USD, Mondelez International Inc is Undervalued by 1%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

MDLZ Intrinsic Value
71.3 USD
Undervaluation 1%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
Best Case

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Mondelez International Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Mondelez International Inc. is a leading global snack company, renowned for its expansive portfolio of beloved brands that include Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone, and Triscuit. With roots tracing back to the spin-off of Kraft Foods in 2012, Mondelez focuses on delivering delicious snacks that cater to diverse consumer preferences across more than 150 countries. As the demand for convenient and indulgent snacks continues to rise, Mondelez has embraced innovation and sustainability to maintain its competitive edge. The company’s ambitious growth strategies, reinforced by a commitment to quality and responsible sourcing, position it as a key player in the ever-evolving snack industry. For investors,...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Mondelez International Inc

Current Assets 15.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.4B
Receivables 4B
Other Current Assets 9.8B
Non-Current Assets 57.9B
Long-Term Investments 2.5B
PP&E 10.1B
Intangibles 42.8B
Other Non-Current Assets 2.6B
Current Liabilities 22.4B
Accounts Payable 8.4B
Accrued Liabilities 3.3B
Short-Term Debt 838m
Other Current Liabilities 9.9B
Non-Current Liabilities 23B
Long-Term Debt 16.1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 6.8B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Mondelez International Inc

Revenue
36B USD
Cost of Revenue
-21.5B USD
Gross Profit
14.5B USD
Operating Expenses
-8.2B USD
Operating Income
6.3B USD
Other Expenses
-2.4B USD
Net Income
3.9B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Mondelez International Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the recent earnings call, the company reported a 2.5% increase in organic net revenue and a robust 25% growth in adjusted EPS. Emerging markets showed strong performance with a 4.5% revenue increase, while developed markets grew by 1.2%. Despite challenges in the European market due to customer disruptions, key brands like OREO and Ritz gained market share. The company also highlighted significant investments in marketing and promotional activities, alongside a strategic partnership with Lotus Bakeries. Looking ahead, the company affirmed its revenue guidance of 3-5% growth, emphasizing its focus on sustainable long-term gains.

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Fundamental Scores

MDLZ Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Mondelez International Inc's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
55/100
Profitability
Score

Mondelez International Inc's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

MDLZ Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Mondelez International Inc's solvency score is 46/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Average Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
46/100
Solvency
Score

Mondelez International Inc's solvency score is 46/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

MDLZ Price Targets Summary
Mondelez International Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast MDLZ stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MDLZ is 80.63 USD with a low forecast of 72.72 USD and a high forecast of 92.4 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
72.72 USD
3% Upside
Average
Price Target
80.63 USD
14% Upside
Highest
Price Target
92.4 USD
31% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Previous Payment
-
Today
Next Payment
-
Today
Oct 12, 2024
Previous Payment
-
Next Payment
-
Ex-Dividend Date
-
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for MDLZ is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Highest
Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Ownership

MDLZ Insider Trading
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Profile

Mondelez International Inc Logo
Mondelez International Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Food Products

Market Cap

94.5B USD

Dividend Yield

2.47%

Description

Mondelez International, Inc. engages in the manufacture and marketing of snack food and beverage products. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois and currently employs 79,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2001-06-13. The firm makes and sells primarily snacks, including biscuits, such as cookies, crackers and salted snacks, chocolate, gum and candy as well as various cheese and grocery and powdered beverage products. Its segments include Latin America, AMEA, Europe and North America. Its portfolio includes snack brands, such as Cadbury, Milka and Toblerone chocolate; Oreo, belVita and LU biscuits; Halls candy; Trident gum and Tang powdered beverages. The firm sells its products to supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores and other retail food outlets. The company has operations in approximately 80 countries and sells its products in over 150 countries. The firm's subsidiaries include Mondelez Argentina S.A., Mondelez Oesterreich Production GmbH and Mondelez Australia Holdings Pty. Ltd., among others.

Contact

ILLINOIS
Chicago
905 West Fulton Market, Suite 200
+18479434000.0
www.mondelezinternational.com

IPO

2001-06-13

Employees

79 000

Officers

See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one MDLZ stock?

The intrinsic value of one MDLZ stock under the Base Case scenario is 71.3 USD.

Is MDLZ stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 70.66 USD, Mondelez International Inc is Undervalued by 1%.

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