Muyuan Foods Co Ltd
SZSE:002714
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Muyuan Foods Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 59.54 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 44.2 CNY, Muyuan Foods Co Ltd is Undervalued by 26%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Muyuan Foods Co Ltd is one of China’s leading players in the pork production industry, renowned for its significant contributions to both domestic markets and the global supply chain. Founded in the late 1990s, the company has established a robust and vertically-integrated business model that covers everything from breeding and farming to processing and distribution. This strategic approach not only enhances their operational efficiency but also ensures rigorous quality control at each stage of production. With the growing demand for pork and the recent shifts in consumer preferences towards more sustainable and ethically-sourced meat, Muyuan has positioned itself as a market leader. Investo...
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd is one of China’s leading players in the pork production industry, renowned for its significant contributions to both domestic markets and the global supply chain. Founded in the late 1990s, the company has established a robust and vertically-integrated business model that covers everything from breeding and farming to processing and distribution. This strategic approach not only enhances their operational efficiency but also ensures rigorous quality control at each stage of production. With the growing demand for pork and the recent shifts in consumer preferences towards more sustainable and ethically-sourced meat, Muyuan has positioned itself as a market leader. Investors are drawn to the company not only for its solid financial performance but also for its innovative technologies in animal husbandry, which help to minimize disease outbreaks and optimize feed utilization.
As a publicly listed company on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, Muyuan Foods has demonstrated impressive growth trajectories, consistently reporting strong revenue and profit margins. The firm benefits from economies of scale that lower production costs, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing in a rapidly changing market. However, the company faces challenges, including fluctuations in feed prices and the impacts of regulatory changes in food safety and animal welfare. Despite these challenges, Muyuan’s commitment to continuous improvement and expansion into new markets, including export opportunities, makes it an attractive prospect for investors seeking exposure to the burgeoning animal protein sector in China and beyond. The combination of sustainable practices, technological advancements, and a keen understanding of market dynamics lays a promising foundation for future growth, capturing the attention of savvy investors looking for reliable returns in the agri-food space.
Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. is one of the largest pork producers in China and is involved in various segments of the food supply chain. Here are the core business segments of Muyuan Foods:
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Pig Farming: This is the primary segment of Muyuan Foods, where the company breeds and raises pigs. The company focuses on both selective breeding and the health management of its livestock to ensure high-quality pork production.
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Meat Processing: Muyuan processes the pork harvested from its farms. This includes butchering and packaging the meat for distribution. The company aims to maintain high standards of hygiene and quality in its processing plants.
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Food Products: Beyond raw pork, Muyuan also manufactures a variety of processed pork products, which may include sausages, ham, and other value-added products. This segment is aimed at both consumer and foodservice sectors.
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Animal Feed: Muyuan produces animal feed, which is crucial for its pig farming operations. Producing its own feed helps ensure the quality of nutrition for its livestock and can also represent a revenue stream if sold to other farmers.
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Breeding Technology: The company invests in research and development for breeding technology to enhance genetic quality and disease resistance in pigs, which is a critical area for maintaining productivity.
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Export and Distribution: Muyuan Foods also engages in the distribution of its products within China and potentially into international markets, reflecting the growing demand for pork both domestically and abroad.
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Vertical Integration: Muyuan Foods operates with a vertically integrated model that allows for greater control over its supply chain—from breeding to processing and distribution—ensuring quality and cost efficiencies.
These segments together enable Muyuan Foods to maintain a comprehensive and competitive position in the pork industry, which is critical for meeting the demands of the Chinese market and addressing the global food supply challenges.
Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd., one of the leading pork producers in China, has several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the agricultural and livestock sectors. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Vertical Integration: Muyuan maintains a highly integrated supply chain, controlling various stages from breeding to sales. This reduces dependency on external suppliers, lowers costs, and enhances quality control.
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Advanced Technology Adoption: The company utilizes cutting-edge technology in breeding, feeding, and health management of livestock. This includes applying big data and artificial intelligence for monitoring and optimization, which increases efficiency and improves animal welfare.
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Economies of Scale: Muyuan Foods benefits from significant economies of scale due to its large production volume. This allows for lower per-unit costs and enhances competitive pricing capabilities.
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Strong R&D Capabilities: The company invests heavily in research and development to innovate breeding techniques and improve feed efficiency. This R&D focus positions Muyuan to enhance productivity and respond quickly to industry changes.
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Brand Recognition and Market Position: As one of the top producers in China, Muyuan has established a strong brand and market presence. This recognition fosters customer loyalty and can provide a buffer against competitive pressures.
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Compliance with Regulations: Muyuan demonstrates strong compliance with food safety and environmental regulations, which can enhance its reputation and appeal to increasingly health-conscious consumers.
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Established Distribution Network: The company has an extensive distribution network covering both urban and rural markets, enabling effective product reach and availability, which can be challenging for newer or smaller competitors.
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Commitment to Sustainability: Muyuan has made strides in environmentally sustainable practices, appealing to consumers and investors who prioritize corporate social responsibility.
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Strategic Partnerships: The company often engages in strategic partnerships with suppliers and distribution channels that can enhance operational efficiency and market reach.
These advantages position Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. favorably within the competitive landscape of the Chinese pork production industry, allowing it to maintain a strong market presence and pursue growth opportunities.
Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd., as one of the leading players in the Chinese pork production sector, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some of the key risks and challenges that the company may encounter:
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Market Volatility: Fluctuations in pork prices can significantly impact profitability. The company must navigate the effects of supply-demand imbalances and changing consumer preferences.
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Disease Outbreaks: The swine industry is vulnerable to diseases such as African Swine Fever (ASF), which can lead to significant loss of livestock, increased costs, and disruptions in supply chains.
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Regulatory Changes: Strict regulations regarding food safety, animal welfare, and environmental impact can pose challenges. Compliance costs may rise, impacting overall profitability.
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Environmental Sustainability: Increasing pressure for sustainable practices may require additional investment in eco-friendly technologies and practices to comply with regulations and meet consumer demand.
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Labor Shortages: The agricultural sector often faces labor shortages, which can affect production capacity and operational efficiency.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global events, such as pandemics or geopolitical tensions, can disrupt supply chains, affecting the availability and costs of feed, equipment, and other essential inputs.
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Competition: Intense competition from both domestic players and imported products may affect market share and pricing power.
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Consumer Trends: A shift towards alternative proteins or plant-based diets could impact demand for pork products, necessitating strategic adjustments in production and marketing.
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Economic Conditions: Macroeconomic factors, including inflation and changes in disposable income levels, can influence consumer spending on meat products.
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Technological Adoption: Keeping pace with technological advancements in farming practices and processing technologies is essential for efficiency but may require significant capital investment.
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Global Trade Issues: Tariffs, trade barriers, and international trade relations can impact export opportunities and affect supply chains.
Understanding these risks is crucial for Muyuan Foods as it strategizes for growth and sustainability in the evolving market landscape. The company will need to develop comprehensive risk management strategies to mitigate these challenges effectively.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd
Current Assets | 62.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 14.9B |
Receivables | 1.2B |
Other Current Assets | 46.4B |
Non-Current Assets | 129.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 1B |
PP&E | 126.8B |
Intangibles | 1.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 164.8m |
Current Liabilities | 91.5B |
Accounts Payable | 21B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.4B |
Short-Term Debt | 57.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 11.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 36B |
Long-Term Debt | 25.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 10.3B |
Earnings Waterfall
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd
Revenue
|
115.9B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-108.9B
CNY
|
Gross Profit
|
6.9B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-3.7B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
3.3B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
-3.9B
CNY
|
Net Income
|
-654.8m
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Muyuan Foods Co Ltd is 52.67 CNY with a low forecast of 32.32 CNY and a high forecast of 59.85 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Muyuan Foods Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. engages in breeding and sale of pigs. The company is headquartered in Nanyang, Henan and currently employs 137,520 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2014-01-28. is a China-based company principally engaged in the breeding and distribution of pigs. The Company’s main products consist of piglets, boars and commodity pigs. The firm operates its business mainly through feedstuff processing, hog breeding, boar breeding and commodity pig feeding. The firm operates its business in domestic market.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Muyuan Foods Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 59.54 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 44.2 CNY, Muyuan Foods Co Ltd is Undervalued by 26%.