Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT

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Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
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Price: 648.25 USD -1.07% Market Closed
Market Cap: 130.2B USD

Relative Value

The Relative Value of one SPOT stock under the Base Case scenario is 227.46 USD. Compared to the current market price of 648.25 USD, Spotify Technology SA is Overvalued by 65%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

SPOT Relative Value
Base Case
227.46 USD
Overvaluation 65%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
1
vs Industry
11
Median 3Y
2.5
Median 5Y
4.1
Industry
1.4
Forward
6.5
vs History
12
vs Industry
5
Median 3Y
-31.2
Median 5Y
-67.6
Industry
17.8
Forward
57.1
vs History
88
vs Industry
7
Median 3Y
63.8
Median 5Y
96.2
Industry
11.1
vs History
57
vs Industry
9
Median 3Y
53.6
Median 5Y
53.6
Industry
15.9
vs History
11
vs Industry
2
Median 3Y
13.9
Median 5Y
14.7
Industry
1.7
vs History
1
vs Industry
12
Median 3Y
2.3
Median 5Y
3.8
Industry
1.5
Forward
6.1
vs History
11
vs Industry
8
Median 3Y
9.1
Median 5Y
14.1
Industry
3.3
vs History
50
vs Industry
5
Median 3Y
66.8
Median 5Y
66.8
Industry
8.5
Forward
41.5
vs History
26
vs Industry
5
Median 3Y
-29.7
Median 5Y
-37.9
Industry
12.2
Forward
46.1
vs History
88
vs Industry
8
Median 3Y
58.5
Median 5Y
91.4
Industry
10.4
vs History
88
vs Industry
9
Median 3Y
63.9
Median 5Y
121.2
Industry
13.1
vs History
3
vs Industry
1
Median 3Y
8.9
Median 5Y
10.5
Industry
1.4

Multiples Across Competitors

SPOT Competitors Multiples
Spotify Technology SA Competitors

Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
LU
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
132.9B USD 7.3 101.6 60.9 65
US
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
487.7B USD 12.1 52.6 18.3 44.3
US
Walt Disney Co
NYSE:DIS
194.6B USD 2.1 21.8 12 16.5
NL
Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG
49.4B EUR 4.2 23.7 23.4 28.8
US
Live Nation Entertainment Inc
NYSE:LYV
31.6B USD 1.4 45.7 16.9 24.6
US
TKO Group Holdings Inc
NYSE:TKO
27.3B USD 20.4 161.2 78.3 103.5
US
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
NASDAQ:WBD
22.3B USD 0.6 -2 2.6 93.9
CN
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
NYSE:TME
21.7B USD 5.5 23.6 18.8 18.8
FR
Bollore SE
PAR:BOL
15.7B EUR 5 8.6 12.2 -35.1
US
Warner Music Group Corp
NASDAQ:WMG
14.2B USD 2.2 28.2 14.4 19.9
US
Endeavor Group Holdings Inc
NYSE:EDR
13.8B USD 1.9 -17.6 34.6 -207.1
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
LU
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
Average EV/EBIT: 46.2
65
43%
1.5
US
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
44.3
22%
2
US
Walt Disney Co
NYSE:DIS
16.5
19%
0.9
NL
Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG
28.8
18%
1.6
US
Live Nation Entertainment Inc
NYSE:LYV
24.6
17%
1.4
US
TKO Group Holdings Inc
NYSE:TKO
103.5
50%
2.1
US
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
NASDAQ:WBD
93.9
52%
1.8
CN
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
NYSE:TME
18.8
21%
0.9
FR
Bollore SE
PAR:BOL
Negative Multiple: -35.1 N/A N/A
US
Warner Music Group Corp
NASDAQ:WMG
19.9
12%
1.7
US
Endeavor Group Holdings Inc
NYSE:EDR
Negative Multiple: -207.1 N/A N/A