` Comparison: TPS, GEO - Alpha Spread

TPS
vs
GEO

Over the past 12 months, TPS has underperformed GEO, delivering a return of 0% compared to the GEO's +100% growth.

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TPS
GEO
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
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Valuation Comparison

TPS Intrinsic Value
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GEO Intrinsic Value
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Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Threat Protect Australia Ltd
ASX:TPS
0.35 AUD
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
25.05 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
TPS, GEO

TPS
GEO
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Threat Protect Australia Ltd
Revenue
Geo Group Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
TPS, GEO

TPS
GEO
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Threat Protect Australia Ltd
ASX:TPS
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

TPS
39.7%
GEO
26.4%

Operating Margin

TPS
-10.6%
GEO
12.3%

Net Margin

TPS
-61.5%
GEO
1.6%

FCF Margin

TPS
0%
GEO
4.4%

ROE

TPS
64.2%
GEO
3.7%

ROA

TPS
-38.6%
GEO
1.4%

ROIC

TPS
-8%
GEO
8.6%

ROCE

TPS
-722%
GEO
11.4%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
TPS, GEO

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Performance Gap
TPS, GEO

Performance Gap Between TPS and GEO
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Performance By Year
TPS, GEO

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TPS
GEO
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