` GRG (Greggs PLC) vs MCD (McDonald's Corp) Comparison - Alpha Spread

GRG
vs
MCD

Over the past 12 months, GRG has underperformed MCD, delivering a return of -40% compared to the MCD's +21% growth.

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GRG
MCD
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
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Valuation Comparison

GRG Intrinsic Value
3 081.47 GBX
Undervaluation 44%
Intrinsic Value
Price
MCD Intrinsic Value
210.55 USD
Overvaluation 30%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Greggs PLC
LSE:GRG
1 732 GBX
McDonald's Corp
NYSE:MCD
299.91 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
GRG vs MCD

GRG
MCD
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Greggs PLC
Revenue
McDonald's Corp
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
GRG vs MCD

GRG
MCD
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Greggs PLC
LSE:GRG
McDonald's Corp
NYSE:MCD
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

GRG
61.7%
MCD
56.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Greggs PLC
McDonald's Corp

Operating Margin

GRG
9.7%
MCD
45.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Greggs PLC
McDonald's Corp

Net Margin

GRG
7.6%
MCD
31.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Greggs PLC
McDonald's Corp

FCF Margin

GRG
3.5%
MCD
26%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Greggs PLC
McDonald's Corp

ROE

GRG
29.7%
MCD
-189.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Greggs PLC
McDonald's Corp

ROA

GRG
13.2%
MCD
15%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Greggs PLC
McDonald's Corp

ROIC

GRG
18%
MCD
17.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Greggs PLC
McDonald's Corp

ROCE

GRG
22%
MCD
23.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Greggs PLC
McDonald's Corp

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
GRG vs MCD

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Performance Gap
GRG vs MCD

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GRG
MCD
Difference
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Performance By Year
GRG vs MCD

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GRG
MCD
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