` Comparison: UPST, AXP - Alpha Spread

UPST
vs
AXP

Over the past 12 months, UPST has significantly outperformed AXP, delivering a return of +221% compared to the AXP's +26% growth.

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UPST
AXP
One-click summary across all key metrics.
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
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Valuation Comparison

UPST Intrinsic Value
57.25 USD
Overvaluation 31%
Intrinsic Value
Price
AXP Intrinsic Value
307.45 USD
Overvaluation 1%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Upstart Holdings Inc
NASDAQ:UPST
83.53 USD
American Express Co
NYSE:AXP
311.61 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
UPST, AXP

UPST
AXP
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Upstart Holdings Inc
Revenue
American Express Co
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
UPST, AXP

UPST
AXP
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Upstart Holdings Inc
NASDAQ:UPST
American Express Co
NYSE:AXP
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

UPST
78%
AXP
61.4%

Operating Margin

UPST
-10.6%
AXP
17.2%

Net Margin

UPST
-9.2%
AXP
13.4%

FCF Margin

UPST
15.8%
AXP
14.8%

ROE

UPST
-10.3%
AXP
32.4%

ROA

UPST
-3.2%
AXP
3.5%

ROIC

UPST
-4.9%
AXP
4.7%

ROCE

UPST
-4.2%
AXP
10.1%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
UPST, AXP

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Performance Gap
UPST, AXP

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UPST
AXP
Difference
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Performance By Year
UPST, AXP

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UPST
AXP
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