` Comparison: UBS, MS - Alpha Spread

UBS
vs
MS

Over the past 12 months, UBS has underperformed MS, delivering a return of +28% compared to the MS's +49% growth.

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UBS
MS
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Ranked results with clear takeaways.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
We need a little more time to summarize the results

Valuation Comparison

UBS Intrinsic Value
43.51 USD
Undervaluation 9%
Intrinsic Value
Price
MS Intrinsic Value
370.71 USD
Undervaluation 60%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
UBS Group AG
NYSE:UBS
39.55 USD
Morgan Stanley
NYSE:MS
147.29 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
UBS, MS

Revenue
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
UBS Group AG
Revenue
Morgan Stanley
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
UBS, MS

Free Cash Flow
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
UBS Group AG
NYSE:UBS
FCF is not applicable for financial companies
Morgan Stanley
NYSE:MS
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

UBS
MS
54.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
UBS Group AG
Not applicable for financial companies
Morgan Stanley

Operating Margin

UBS
MS
17.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
UBS Group AG
Not applicable for financial companies
Morgan Stanley

Net Margin

UBS
12.3%
MS
12.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
UBS Group AG
Morgan Stanley

FCF Margin

UBS
MS
-26.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
UBS Group AG
Not applicable for financial companies
Morgan Stanley

ROE

UBS
7.3%
MS
13.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
UBS Group AG
Morgan Stanley

ROA

UBS
0.4%
MS
1.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
UBS Group AG
Morgan Stanley

ROIC

UBS
MS
1.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
UBS Group AG
Not applicable for financial companies
Morgan Stanley

ROCE

UBS
MS
3.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
UBS Group AG
Not applicable for financial companies
Morgan Stanley

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
UBS, MS

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Performance Gap
UBS, MS

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UBS
MS
Difference
www.alphaspread.com

Performance By Year
UBS, MS

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