Arlington Asset Investment Corp
NYSE:AAIC
Intrinsic Value
Arlington Asset Investment Corp. engages in the acquisition and holding a portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
AAIC
stock under the Base Case scenario is
10.54
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 4.84 USD,
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
is
Undervalued by 54%.
Arlington Asset Investment Corp's market capitalization is 135.5m USD.
AAIC stock price is 4.84 USD.
AAIC stock price (4.84 USD) is 54% less than its Intrinsic Value (10.54 USD).
AAIC. Open DCF Valuation
AAIC stock price (4.84 USD) is 54% less than its Relative Value (10.54 USD). Open Relative Valuation
AAIC has upside potential of 14% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
AAIC's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 1% to 0%.
AAIC's Revenue has grown by 17% over the past 12 months.
AAIC's long-term assets (867m USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (654m USD).
AAIC's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 7% to -1%.
AAIC's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 0%.
AAIC's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -1%.
AAIC has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 0%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
AAIC has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
AAIC has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
AAIC has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -3%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
AAIC has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
AAIC's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very high and is equal to 3.01.
AAIC's short-term liabilties (555m USD) exceed its short-term assets (201m USD).
AAIC has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
AAIC's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 207% per year for the last 3 years.
AAIC has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (642m USD) than cash and short-term investments (9m USD).
AAIC's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to -2.54.
AAIC doesn't generate enough operating income (2m USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (32m USD).
Valuation Backtest
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
AAIC
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
| Current Assets | 201m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 9m |
| Receivables | 192m |
| Non-Current Assets | 666m |
| Long-Term Investments | 648m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 18m |
| Current Liabilities | 555m |
| Short-Term Debt | 555m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 99m |
| Long-Term Debt | 87m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 12m |
Earnings Waterfall
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
|
Revenue
|
52.2m
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-33m
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
19.2m
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-17.1m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
2.1m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-4.4m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
-2.3m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
AAIC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Arlington Asset Investment Corp's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Arlington Asset Investment Corp's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AAIC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Arlington Asset Investment Corp's solvency score is 13/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Arlington Asset Investment Corp's solvency score is 13/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AAIC Price Targets Summary
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
AAIC
is 5.5 USD
.
Ownership
AAIC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
AAIC Price
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
| Average Annual Return | -19.14% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 14.08% |
| Max Drawdown | -76% |
| Market Capitalization | 135.5m USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 28 322 700 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 0.32% |
Company Profile
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Arlington Asset Investment Corp. engages in the acquisition and holding a portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities. The company is headquartered in Mc Lean, Virginia and currently employs 11 full-time employees. Its investment capital is allocated between asset classes, including agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), mortgage servicing right (MSR) related assets, credit investments and single-family residential (SFR) properties. Its agency MBS consists of residential mortgage pass-through certificates, for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a United States government-sponsored enterprise (GSE), such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Its MSR-related assets represent investments, for which the return is based on the economic performance of specific MSRs. Its credit investments include investments in mortgage loans secured by either residential or commercial real property or MBS collateralized by residential or commercial mortgage loans or asset-backed securities (ABS) collateralized by residential solar panel loans.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
AAIC
stock under the Base Case scenario is
10.54
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 4.84 USD,
Arlington Asset Investment Corp
is
Undervalued by 54%.
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