China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
NYSE:ZNH
Intrinsic Value
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Airlines industry. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
ZNH
stock under the Base Case scenario is
21.02
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 36.97 USD,
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
is
Overvalued by 43%.
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd's market capitalization is 100.4B CNY.
ZNH stock price is 36.97 USD.
ZNH stock (21.02 USD) is 43% less than its price (36.97 USD).
ZNH.
ZNH has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
ZNH's long-term assets (309B CNY) exceed its long-term liabilties (272B CNY).
ZNH's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from -15% to -11%, and is approaching profitability.
ZNH's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from -2% to 3%.
ZNH's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 3%.
ZNH's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 10% per year over the next 3 years.
ZNH's Revenue has been growing by 20% per year for the last 3 years.
ZNH's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 84% over the past 12 months.
ZNH's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -11%.
ZNH has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
ZNH has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
ZNH has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
ZNH has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -3%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
ZNH has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (171B CNY) than cash and short-term investments (13B CNY).
ZNH's short-term liabilties (129B CNY) exceed its short-term assets (28B CNY).
ZNH has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -28%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
ZNH's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very high and is equal to 4.66.
ZNH's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.4.
Valuation Backtest
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
ZNH
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
| Current Assets | 27.7B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 12.9B |
| Receivables | 12.2B |
| Other Current Assets | 2.6B |
| Non-Current Assets | 281.5B |
| Long-Term Investments | 10.9B |
| PP&E | 249.4B |
| Intangibles | 6.6B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 14.5B |
| Current Liabilities | 129.4B |
| Accounts Payable | 19.7B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 5.4B |
| Short-Term Debt | 51.6B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 52.7B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 143B |
| Long-Term Debt | 119.9B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 23.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
|
Revenue
|
159.9B
CNY
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-147.6B
CNY
|
|
Gross Profit
|
12.3B
CNY
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-7.8B
CNY
|
|
Operating Income
|
4.6B
CNY
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-8.8B
CNY
|
|
Net Income
|
-4.2B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
What is Free Cash Flow?
ZNH Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ZNH Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd's solvency score is 23/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd's solvency score is 23/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ZNH Price Targets Summary
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
ZNH
is 44.85 USD
with a low forecast of 30.33 USD and a high forecast of 61.87 USD.
Shareholder Return
Price
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
| Average Annual Return | -1.25% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 17.13% |
| Max Drawdown | -41% |
| Market Capitalization | 100.4B CNY |
| Shares Outstanding | 16 948 450 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Airlines industry. The company is headquartered in Guangzhou, Guangdong and currently employs 98,098 full-time employees. China Southern Airlines Company Limited is principally engaged in the operation of civil aviation, including the provision of passenger, cargo, mail delivery and other extended transportation services. The firm operates through two business segments, including Airline Transportation segment and Other segment. Airline Transportation segment consist of passenger and cargo and mail operations. Other segment includes hotel and tour operation, ground services, cargo handling and other miscellaneous services. . The firm also provides services of general aviation and aircraft maintenance. The firm acts as an agency of domestic and foreign airlines, and other aviation and related business, such as personal accident insurance and agency business.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
ZNH
stock under the Base Case scenario is
21.02
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 36.97 USD,
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd
is
Overvalued by 43%.
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