` Comparison: COG, MS - Alpha Spread

COG
vs
MS

Over the past 12 months, COG has outperformed MS, delivering a return of +48% compared to the MS's +42% growth.

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COG
MS
One-click summary across all key metrics.
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
We need a little more time to summarize the results

Valuation Comparison

COG Intrinsic Value
2.19 AUD
Undervaluation 21%
Intrinsic Value
Price
MS Intrinsic Value
366.26 USD
Undervaluation 61%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
COG Financial Services Ltd
ASX:COG
1.73 AUD
Morgan Stanley
NYSE:MS
143.01 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
COG, MS

Revenue
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
COG Financial Services Ltd
Revenue
Morgan Stanley
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
COG, MS

Free Cash Flow
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
COG Financial Services Ltd
ASX:COG
Morgan Stanley
NYSE:MS
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

COG
38.1%
MS
54.4%

Operating Margin

COG
11.3%
MS
17.1%

Net Margin

COG
2.4%
MS
12.5%

FCF Margin

COG
8.9%
MS
-26.8%

ROE

COG
7.9%
MS
13.6%

ROA

COG
1.9%
MS
1.1%

ROIC

COG
8.5%
MS
1.5%

ROCE

COG
16.8%
MS
3.3%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
COG, MS

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Performance Gap
COG, MS

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COG
MS
Difference
www.alphaspread.com

Performance By Year
COG, MS

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