` Comparison: MPL, 1299 - Alpha Spread

MPL
vs
1299

Over the past 12 months, MPL has underperformed AIA Group Ltd, delivering a return of +27% compared to the AIA Group Ltd's +51% growth.

Valuation Growth Profitability Solvency Stocks Performance
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MPL
1299
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Stocks Compared:
MPL 1299
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Valuation Comparison

MPL Intrinsic Value
4.51 AUD
Overvaluation 5%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Intrinsic Value
94.14 HKD
Undervaluation 12%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Medibank Private Ltd
ASX:MPL
4.76 AUD
AIA Group Ltd
HKEX:1299
82.5 HKD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
MPL, 1299

MPL
1299
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Medibank Private Ltd
Revenue
AIA Group Ltd
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
MPL, 1299

MPL
1299
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Medibank Private Ltd
ASX:MPL
FCF is not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
HKEX:1299
FCF is not applicable for financial companies
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

MPL
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

Operating Margin

MPL
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

Net Margin

MPL
6.1%
AIA Group Ltd
23.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
AIA Group Ltd

FCF Margin

MPL
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

ROE

MPL
21.6%
AIA Group Ltd
15.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
AIA Group Ltd

ROA

MPL
10.7%
AIA Group Ltd
2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
AIA Group Ltd

ROIC

MPL
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

ROCE

MPL
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
MPL, 1299

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MPL
1299
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1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y
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Performance Gap
MPL, 1299

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MPL
1299
Difference
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1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y

Performance By Year
MPL, 1299

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MPL
1299
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