` Comparison: RAIL3, NSC - Alpha Spread

RAIL3
vs
NSC

Over the past 12 months, RAIL3 has underperformed NSC, delivering a return of -22% compared to the NSC's +24% growth.

Valuation Growth Profitability Solvency Stocks Performance
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RAIL3
NSC
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Stocks Compared:
RAIL3 NSC
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Valuation Comparison

RAIL3 Intrinsic Value
20.31 BRL
Undervaluation 29%
Intrinsic Value
Price
NSC Intrinsic Value
199.4 USD
Overvaluation 32%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Rumo SA
BOVESPA:RAIL3
14.52 BRL
Norfolk Southern Corp
NYSE:NSC
291.47 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
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Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
RAIL3, NSC

RAIL3
NSC
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Rumo SA
Revenue
Norfolk Southern Corp
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
RAIL3, NSC

RAIL3
NSC
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Rumo SA
BOVESPA:RAIL3
Norfolk Southern Corp
NYSE:NSC
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

RAIL3
45.8%
NSC
50%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Rumo SA
Norfolk Southern Corp

Operating Margin

RAIL3
39.8%
NSC
35.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Rumo SA
Norfolk Southern Corp

Net Margin

RAIL3
2.7%
NSC
24.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Rumo SA
Norfolk Southern Corp

FCF Margin

RAIL3
3.9%
NSC
17.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Rumo SA
Norfolk Southern Corp

ROE

RAIL3
2.6%
NSC
20.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Rumo SA
Norfolk Southern Corp

ROA

RAIL3
0.7%
NSC
6.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Rumo SA
Norfolk Southern Corp

ROIC

RAIL3
4.6%
NSC
8.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Rumo SA
Norfolk Southern Corp

ROCE

RAIL3
12.4%
NSC
10.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Rumo SA
Norfolk Southern Corp

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
RAIL3, NSC

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RAIL3
NSC
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Performance Gap
RAIL3, NSC

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RAIL3
NSC
Difference
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1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y

Performance By Year
RAIL3, NSC

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NSC
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