` 25 (Chevalier International Holdings Ltd) vs 53 (Guoco Group Ltd) Comparison - Alpha Spread

25
vs
53

Over the past 12 months, Chevalier International Holdings Ltd has underperformed Guoco Group Ltd, delivering a return of -7% compared to the Guoco Group Ltd's +1% growth.

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25
53
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
We need a little more time to summarize the results

Valuation Comparison

Intrinsic Value
11.74 HKD
Undervaluation 66%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Intrinsic Value
146.93 HKD
Undervaluation 52%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
HKEX:25
3.99 HKD
Guoco Group Ltd
HKEX:53
69.9 HKD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
25 vs 53

Revenue
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
Revenue
Guoco Group Ltd
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
25 vs 53

Free Cash Flow
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
HKEX:25
Guoco Group Ltd
HKEX:53
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
9.1%
Guoco Group Ltd
37.4%

Operating Margin

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
0.6%
Guoco Group Ltd
18.5%

Net Margin

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
-4.2%
Guoco Group Ltd
17.3%

FCF Margin

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
-3.9%
Guoco Group Ltd
47.6%

ROE

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
-3.5%
Guoco Group Ltd
6.4%

ROA

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
-1.7%
Guoco Group Ltd
2.9%

ROIC

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
0.7%
Guoco Group Ltd
-11.8%

ROCE

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd
0.3%
Guoco Group Ltd
3.7%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
25 vs 53

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Performance Gap
25 vs 53

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25
53
Difference
www.alphaspread.com

Performance By Year
25 vs 53

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