` Comparison: 384, 3 - Alpha Spread

384
vs
3

Over the past 12 months, China Gas Holdings Ltd has outperformed Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd, delivering a return of +19% compared to the Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd's +9% growth.

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384
3
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
We need a little more time to summarize the results

Valuation Comparison

Intrinsic Value
15.81 HKD
Undervaluation 48%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Intrinsic Value
8.14 HKD
Undervaluation 14%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
China Gas Holdings Ltd
HKEX:384
8.25 HKD
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
HKEX:3
6.98 HKD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
384, 3

Revenue
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
China Gas Holdings Ltd
Revenue
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
384, 3

Free Cash Flow
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
China Gas Holdings Ltd
HKEX:384
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
HKEX:3
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

China Gas Holdings Ltd
14.2%
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
41.7%

Operating Margin

China Gas Holdings Ltd
8.3%
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
14.7%

Net Margin

China Gas Holdings Ltd
4.1%
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
10.3%

FCF Margin

China Gas Holdings Ltd
9.4%
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
4.6%

ROE

China Gas Holdings Ltd
6%
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
9.7%

ROA

China Gas Holdings Ltd
2.2%
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
3.6%

ROIC

China Gas Holdings Ltd
4.2%
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
5.2%

ROCE

China Gas Holdings Ltd
6.6%
Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd
6.8%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
384, 3

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Performance Gap
384, 3

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384
3
Difference
www.alphaspread.com

Performance By Year
384, 3

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