` Comparison: CFP, LPX - Alpha Spread

CFP
vs
LPX

Over the past 12 months, CFP has underperformed LPX, delivering a return of -12% compared to the LPX's +0% growth.

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CFP
LPX
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
We need a little more time to summarize the results

Valuation Comparison

CFP Intrinsic Value
11.41 CAD
Overvaluation 10%
Intrinsic Value
Price
LPX Intrinsic Value
66.42 USD
Overvaluation 28%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Canfor Corp
TSX:CFP
12.7 CAD
Louisiana-Pacific Corp
NYSE:LPX
92.82 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
CFP, LPX

CFP
LPX
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Canfor Corp
Revenue
Louisiana-Pacific Corp
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
CFP, LPX

CFP
LPX
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Canfor Corp
TSX:CFP
Louisiana-Pacific Corp
NYSE:LPX
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

CFP
19.5%
LPX
25.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Canfor Corp
Louisiana-Pacific Corp

Operating Margin

CFP
-7%
LPX
14.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Canfor Corp
Louisiana-Pacific Corp

Net Margin

CFP
-12.2%
LPX
10.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Canfor Corp
Louisiana-Pacific Corp

FCF Margin

CFP
-5.6%
LPX
9.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Canfor Corp
Louisiana-Pacific Corp

ROE

CFP
-19.5%
LPX
17.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Canfor Corp
Louisiana-Pacific Corp

ROA

CFP
-11.3%
LPX
11.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Canfor Corp
Louisiana-Pacific Corp

ROIC

CFP
-5.8%
LPX
16.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Canfor Corp
Louisiana-Pacific Corp

ROCE

CFP
-7.9%
LPX
18.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Canfor Corp
Louisiana-Pacific Corp

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
CFP, LPX

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Performance Gap
CFP, LPX

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CFP
LPX
Difference
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Performance By Year
CFP, LPX

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CFP
LPX
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