` Comparison: JOY, COP - Alpha Spread

J
JOY
vs
COP

Over the past 12 months, JOY has significantly outperformed COP, delivering a return of +79% compared to the COP's 4% drop.

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JOY
COP
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Valuation Comparison

J
JOY Intrinsic Value
5.83 CAD
Undervaluation 40%
Intrinsic Value
Price
COP Intrinsic Value
112.78 USD
Undervaluation 14%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
J
Journey Energy Inc
TSX:JOY
3.5 CAD
Conocophillips
NYSE:COP
96.71 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
JOY, COP

JOY
COP
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
J
Journey Energy Inc
Revenue
Conocophillips
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
JOY, COP

JOY
COP
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
J
Journey Energy Inc
TSX:JOY
Conocophillips
NYSE:COP
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

JOY
50.9%
COP
46.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
J
Journey Energy Inc
Conocophillips

Operating Margin

JOY
11.7%
COP
21.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
J
Journey Energy Inc
Conocophillips

Net Margin

JOY
11.8%
COP
14.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
J
Journey Energy Inc
Conocophillips

FCF Margin

JOY
-9%
COP
11.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
J
Journey Energy Inc
Conocophillips

ROE

JOY
6%
COP
15.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
J
Journey Energy Inc
Conocophillips

ROA

JOY
3.4%
COP
8.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
J
Journey Energy Inc
Conocophillips

ROIC

JOY
2.9%
COP
8.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
J
Journey Energy Inc
Conocophillips

ROCE

JOY
3.8%
COP
12.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
J
Journey Energy Inc
Conocophillips

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
JOY, COP

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Performance Gap
JOY, COP

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JOY
COP
Difference
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Performance By Year
JOY, COP

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JOY
COP
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