Aspen Group Ltd
ASX:APZ

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Aspen Group Ltd
ASX:APZ
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Price: 3.955 AUD 0.38% Market Closed
Market Cap: 889.9m AUD

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one APZ stock under the Base Case scenario is 3.735 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 3.955 AUD, Aspen Group Ltd is Overvalued by 6%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

APZ Intrinsic Value
3.735 AUD
Overvaluation 6%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Aspen Group Ltd

APZ is more expensive now compared to how it was valued on average over the past 4 years. What does this mean?

What is Valuation History?
Compare APZ to

Fundamental Analysis

Company Overview
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

Aspen Group’s exposure to holiday parks and leisure-oriented assets increases its revenue volatility in the face of economic downturns, where consumer discretionary travel spending could decline sharply and reduce occupancy rates.

Bull Theses

Aspen Group’s strategic emphasis on affordable living and holiday parks positions it well to capture stable demand, even during economic turbulence, due to customers trading down to budget-friendly options.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Aspen Group Ltd

Current Assets 76.7m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 43.3m
Receivables 2.2m
Other Current Assets 31.3m
Non-Current Assets 604.6m
Long-Term Investments 550.3m
PP&E 40.7m
Intangibles 170k
Other Non-Current Assets 13.5m
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Aspen Group Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
Aspen Group Ltd

Revenue
100.2m AUD
Cost of Revenue
-35.8m AUD
Gross Profit
64.4m AUD
Operating Expenses
-33m AUD
Operating Income
31.3m AUD
Other Expenses
26m AUD
Net Income
57.3m AUD
Fundamental Scores

APZ Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Aspen Group Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional Net Margin
Positive 3Y Average ROE
Exceptional Operating Margin
Strong 3Y Average Net Margin
55/100
Profitability
Score

Aspen Group Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

APZ Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Aspen Group Ltd's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
51/100
Solvency
Score

Aspen Group Ltd's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

APZ Price Targets Summary
Aspen Group Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast APZ stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APZ is 3.927 AUD with a low forecast of 3.858 AUD and a high forecast of 4.095 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
3.858 AUD
2% Downside
Average
Price Target
3.927 AUD
1% Downside
Highest
Price Target
4.095 AUD
4% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for APZ is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Competitive Landscape

Company Market Cap Intrinsic Valuation Profitability Solvency Price Change
1Y 3Y 5Y

Ownership

APZ Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one APZ stock?

The intrinsic value of one APZ stock under the Base Case scenario is 3.735 AUD.

Is APZ stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 3.955 AUD, Aspen Group Ltd is Overvalued by 6%.

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