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Kogan.com Ltd
ASX:KGN

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Kogan.com Ltd Logo
Kogan.com Ltd
ASX:KGN
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Price: 7.89 AUD -0.75% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 28, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Kogan.com Ltd. operates as an online retailer with a portfolio of retail and services businesses that includes Kogan Retail, Kogan Marketplace, Kogan Mobile, Kogan Broadband, Kogan Insurance and Kogan... [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one KGN stock under the Base Case scenario is 4.57 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 7.89 AUD, Kogan.com Ltd is Overvalued by 42%.

Key Points:
KGN Intrinsic Value
Base Case
4.57 AUD
Overvaluation 42%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Kogan.com Ltd

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Fundamental Analysis

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Kogan.com Ltd

Current Assets 161.7m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 83.3m
Receivables 6.9m
Other Current Assets 71.6m
Non-Current Assets 136.6m
PP&E 24.7m
Intangibles 86m
Other Non-Current Assets 25.9m
Current Liabilities 120.5m
Accounts Payable 84.8m
Accrued Liabilities 1.9m
Other Current Liabilities 33.8m
Non-Current Liabilities 16.7m
Long-Term Debt 16.2m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 512k
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Kogan.com Ltd

Revenue
462.2m AUD
Cost of Revenue
-299m AUD
Gross Profit
163.2m AUD
Operating Expenses
-157.3m AUD
Operating Income
5.9m AUD
Other Expenses
778k AUD
Net Income
6.7m AUD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Kogan.com Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
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Fundamental Scores

KGN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Kogan.com Ltd's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Low ROIC
34/100
Profitability
Score

Kogan.com Ltd's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

KGN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Kogan.com Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
57/100
Solvency
Score

Kogan.com Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

KGN Price Targets Summary
Kogan.com Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast KGN stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KGN is 7.21 AUD with a low forecast of 5.56 AUD and a high forecast of 9.45 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
5.56 AUD
30% Downside
Average
Price Target
7.21 AUD
9% Downside
Highest
Price Target
9.45 AUD
20% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Shareholder Return

KGN Price
Kogan.com Ltd

1M 1M
0%
6M 6M
+54%
1Y 1Y
+111%
3Y 3Y
-37%
5Y 5Y
+140%
10Y 10Y
+489%
Annual Price Range
7.89
52w Low
3.49
52w High
8.64
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 42.97%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 116.44%
Max Drawdown -89%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 800.2m AUD
Shares Outstanding 101 055 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted
N/A

KGN Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

Company Profile

Kogan.com Ltd Logo
Kogan.com Ltd

Country

Australia

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

800.2m AUD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Kogan.com Ltd. operates as an online retailer with a portfolio of retail and services businesses that includes Kogan Retail, Kogan Marketplace, Kogan Mobile, Kogan Broadband, Kogan Insurance and Kogan Travel. The company is headquartered in South Melbourne, Victoria. The company went IPO on 2016-07-07. The firm's businesses include Kogan Retail, Kogan Marketplace, Kogan Mobile, Kogan Internet, Kogan Insurance, Kogan Travel, Kogan Money, Kogan Cars, Kogan Energy, Dick Smith and Matt Blatt. Its offering comprises products under exclusive brands, such as Kogan, Ovela, Fortis, Vostok and Komodo (Exclusive Brands Products) and products sourced from imported and domestic third-party brands. In addition to product offerings, the Company earns seller-fee based revenue from Kogan Marketplace and commission-based revenue from the New Verticals, including Kogan Mobile, Kogan Internet, Kogan Insurance, Kogan Money, Kogan Cars, Kogan Energy and Kogan Travel. The firm's subsidiaries include Kogan Mobile Operations Pty Ltd, Kogan Mobile Pty Ltd, Kogan Australia Pty Ltd and Kogan HR Pty Ltd.

Contact

VICTORIA
South Melbourne
139 Gladstone St, South Melbourne
+61362858572.0
https://www.kogancorporate.com/

IPO

2016-07-07

Employees

-

Officers

Founder, CEO, MD & Executive Director
Mr. Ruslan Kogan BBS
CFO, COO & Executive Director
Mr. David Matthew Shafer
Chief Executive Officer of Mighty Ape
Ms. Gracie MacKinlay
Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Goran Stefkovski
Company Secretary
Mr. Mark Andrew Licciardo B Bus (Acc), FCIS, FGIA, GAICD, GradDip CSP
Director of Strategy
Mr. Ross Metherell
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Deputy Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Joanne Smith
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one KGN stock?

The intrinsic value of one KGN stock under the Base Case scenario is 4.57 AUD.

Is KGN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 7.89 AUD, Kogan.com Ltd is Overvalued by 42%.