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Amazon.com Inc
NASDAQ:AMZN

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Amazon.com Inc Logo
Amazon.com Inc
NASDAQ:AMZN
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Price: 174.48 USD 0.03% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 19, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Amazon.com, Inc. is a multinational technology company, which engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one AMZN stock under the Base Case scenario is 113.61 USD. Compared to the current market price of 174.48 USD, Amazon.com Inc is Overvalued by 35%.

Key Points:
AMZN Intrinsic Value
Base Case
113.61 USD
Overvaluation 35%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Amazon.com Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Significant Turnaround in Operating Results
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Significant Turnaround in Operating Results

The company's International segment saw a substantial reduction in operating loss, from $1.8 billion year-over-year to $419 million, due to efficiency improvements and strong growth in established countries like the UK, Germany, and Japan. AWS impressed with a 13% revenue increase to $24.2 billion, an operating income surge to $7.2 billion (up $2 billion), and operating margin growth over 500 basis points to 29.6%. Anticipation for generative AI is high among customers. Free cash flow soared by $48.3 billion year-over-year, thanks to increased operating income and working capital gains. Full year CapEx decreased by $10.2 billion due to less spending on fulfillment and transportation, setting a solid foundation for expected CapEx growth, infrastructure investments, and advanced AI initiatives in the coming year. There's also a projected $900 million positive impact on operating income in Q1 2024 from extended server lifespan accounting adjustments.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Amazon.com Inc

Current Assets 172.4B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 86.8B
Receivables 46.4B
Other Current Assets 39.2B
Non-Current Assets 355.5B
Long-Term Investments 5.7B
PP&E 276.7B
Intangibles 22.8B
Other Non-Current Assets 50.3B
Current Liabilities 164.9B
Accounts Payable 85B
Accrued Liabilities 55.9B
Other Current Liabilities 24B
Non-Current Liabilities 161.1B
Long-Term Debt 75B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 86.1B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Amazon.com Inc

Revenue
574.8B USD
Cost of Revenue
-304.7B USD
Gross Profit
270B USD
Operating Expenses
-233.2B USD
Operating Income
36.9B USD
Other Expenses
-6.4B USD
Net Income
30.4B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Amazon.com Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
Chart
Table
What is Free Cash Flow?
Fundamental Scores

AMZN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Amazon.com Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
53/100
Profitability
Score

Amazon.com Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AMZN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Amazon.com Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
69/100
Solvency
Score

Amazon.com Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

AMZN Price Targets Summary
Amazon.com Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMZN is 210.32 USD with a low forecast of 161.6 USD and a high forecast of 241.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
161.6 USD
7% Downside
Average
Price Target
210.32 USD
21% Upside
Highest
Price Target
241.5 USD
38% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

AMZN Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

AMZN Price
Amazon.com Inc

1M 1M
+4%
6M 6M
+27%
1Y 1Y
+79%
3Y 3Y
+13%
5Y 5Y
+98%
10Y 10Y
+835%
Annual Price Range
174.48
52w Low
97.24
52w High
178.75
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 8.23%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 47.99%
Max Drawdown -56%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 1.8T USD
Shares Outstanding 10 610 000 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 0.85%

AMZN Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

AMZN News

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Last Important Events
Amazon.com Inc

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Sentiment Analysis
Amazon.com Inc

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Last 7 Days 7D
Last 30 Days 30D
Last 90 Days 90D

Company Profile

Amazon.com Inc Logo
Amazon.com Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

1.8T USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Amazon.com, Inc. is a multinational technology company, which engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. The company is headquartered in Seattle, Washington and currently employs 1,608,000 full-time employees. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content that it purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The company also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, and Ring, and it develops and produces media content. The company operates through three segments: North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The AWS segment consists of global sales of compute, storage, database, and other services for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company provides advertising services to sellers, vendors, publishers, authors, and others, through programs, such as sponsored advertisements, display, and video advertising. The company serves consumers through its online and physical stores. Customers access its offerings through websites, mobile applications, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores.

Contact

WASHINGTON
Seattle
410 Terry Ave N
+12062661000.0
https://www.amazon.com/

IPO

1997-05-15

Employees

1 608 000

Officers

Founder & Executive Chairman
Mr. Jeffrey P. Bezos
President, CEO & Director
Mr. Andrew R. Jassy
Senior VP & CFO
Mr. Brian T. Olsavsky
Senior VP of Global Public Policy & General Counsel
Mr. David A. Zapolsky
Chief Executive Officer of Worldwide Amazon Stores
Mr. Douglas J. Herrington
Chief Executive Officer of Amazon Web Services, Inc.
Mr. Adam N. Selipsky
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VP, Worldwide Controller & Principal Accounting Officer
Ms. Shelley L. Reynolds
Chief Technology Officer
Dr. Werner Vogels
Director of Investor Relations
Mr. Dave Fildes
CMO & Director of User Growth
Ms. Anuradha Aggarwal
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AMZN stock?

The intrinsic value of one AMZN stock under the Base Case scenario is 113.61 USD.

Is AMZN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 174.48 USD, Amazon.com Inc is Overvalued by 35%.