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Amazon.com Inc
NASDAQ:AMZN

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Amazon.com Inc Logo
Amazon.com Inc
NASDAQ:AMZN
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Price: 121.66 USD +1.29% Market Closed
Updated: May 31, 2023
Section:
 

Intrinsic Value

Amazon.com, Inc. is a multinational technology company, which engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one AMZN stock under the Base Case scenario is 70.1 USD. Compared to the current market price of 121.66 USD, Amazon.com Inc is Overvalued by 42%.

Key Points:
AMZN Intrinsic Value
Base Case
70.1 USD
Overvaluation 42%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
What is intrinsic value?

Fundamental Analysis

Financials
525B
+2%
Revenue
Growth Rates:
1 Year
+10%
3 Years
+77%
5 Years
+172%
7 Years
+363%
10 Years
+720%
13.4B
+9%
Operating Income
Growth Rates:
1 Year
-32%
3 Years
-5%
5 Years
+166%
7 Years
+338%
10 Years
+1 908%
4.3B
Net Income
Growth Rates:
1 Year
-80%
3 Years
-59%
5 Years
+9%
7 Years
+268%
10 Years
-
54.3B
+16%
Operating Cash Flow
Growth Rates:
1 Year
+38%
3 Years
+37%
5 Years
+199%
7 Years
+369%
10 Years
+1 180%
-62.9B
-1%
Capital Expenditures
Growth Rates:
1 Year
-2%
3 Years
+209%
5 Years
+387%
7 Years
+1 004%
10 Years
+1 446%
-8.6B
+49%
Free Cash Flow
Growth Rates:
1 Year
+65%
3 Years
-
5 Years
-
7 Years
-
10 Years
-

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Amazon.com Inc

464B
Assets
310B
Liabilities
464B
Assets
310B
Liabilities
Current Assets 136B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 64.4B
Receivables 37.3B
Other Current Assets 34.5B
Non-Current Assets 328B
Long-Term Investments 4.4B
PP&E 259B
Intangibles 22.7B
Other Non-Current Assets 42B
Current Liabilities 148B
Accounts Payable 66.9B
Accrued Liabilities 64.1B
Other Current Liabilities 16.5B
Non-Current Liabilities 162B
Long-Term Debt 84.5B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 77.8B
Efficiency
45%
Gross Margin
Average:
3 Years
42%
5 Years
41%
3%
Operating Margin
Average:
3 Years
5%
5 Years
5%
1%
Net Margin
Average:
3 Years
4%
5 Years
4%
-2%
FCF Margin
Average:
3 Years
1%
5 Years
3%
3%
ROE
Average:
3 Years
19%
5 Years
21%
1%
ROA
Average:
3 Years
6%
5 Years
6%
5%
ROIC
Average:
3 Years
10%
5 Years
11%
5%
ROCE
Average:
3 Years
10%
5 Years
11%
Fundamental Scores

AMZN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Amazon.com Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
52/100
Profitability
Score

Amazon.com Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AMZN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Amazon.com Inc's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
54/100
Solvency
Score

Amazon.com Inc's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

See Also
Fundamental Analysis
Profitability Analysis Solvency Analysis Revenue Breakdown Earnings Call Transcripts
Profitability Analysis Solvency Analysis Revenue Breakdown Earnings Call Transcripts

Wall St
Price Targets

AMZN Price Targets Summary
Amazon.com Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMZN is 136.4 USD with a low forecast of 90.9 USD and a high forecast of 173.25 USD.

AMZN Lowest Forecast
Wall Street Target
90.9 USD
25% Downside
AMZN Average Forecast
Wall Street Target
136.4 USD
12% Upside
AMZN Highest Forecast
Wall Street Target
173.25 USD
42% Upside
Lowest
Price Target
90.9 USD
25% Downside
Average
Price Target
136.4 USD
12% Upside
Highest
Price Target
173.25 USD
42% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

AMZN Competitors
Amazon.com Inc

AMZN Suppliers & Customers
Amazon.com Inc

Suppliers
756
Customers
532
Suppliers Map
Customers Map

Ownership

AMZN Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Amazon.com Inc insiders have sold more shares than they have bought in the past 12 months.

During the last 12 months Amazon.com Inc insiders bought 115 USD , and sold 53.9M USD worth of shares. The last transaction was made on May 25, 2023 by Bezos Jeffrey P (Executive Chair), who bought 115 USD worth of AMZN shares.

Summary Transactions
Sold
0-3
months
10.2M USD
6
3-6
months
16.9M USD
7
6-9
months
15.1M USD
8
9-12
months
11.7M USD
6
Bought
0-3
months
1
115 USD
3-6
months
0
0 USD
6-9
months
0
0 USD
9-12
months
0
0 USD
Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
10.2M USD
115 USD
-10.2M
6 Months
27.1M USD
115 USD
-27.1M
9 Months
42.2M USD
115 USD
-42.2M
12 Months
53.9M USD
115 USD
-53.9M
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

AMZN Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

Market capitalization of AMZN shares increased by 57.9% over the past 5 years. The primary factor behind the change was a decrease in net margin from 3% to 0.8%, leading to a drop in the market capitalization of Amazon.com Inc by 165.25%.

Period
5 Years
1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 7 Years 10 Years

Market capitalization of AMZN shares increased by 57.9% over the past 5 years. The primary factor behind the change was a decrease in net margin from 3% to 0.8%, leading to a drop in the market capitalization of Amazon.com Inc by 165.25%.

+57.9%
790B 1.2T
Market Cap Growth
+106.01%
125.9 290.6
P/E Change
-48.11%
6.3B 4.3B
Earnings Growth
Market Cap Growth
+57.9%
P/E Change
+106.01%
Earnings Growth
-48.11%
What is price return decomposition?

AMZN Price
Amazon.com Inc

1M 1M
+19%
6M 6M
+27%
1Y 1Y
+1%
3Y 3Y
-2%
5Y 5Y
+49%
10Y 10Y
+804%
Annual Price Range
121.66
52w Low
81.82
52w High
144.78
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 23.15%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 32.08%
Max Drawdown -56%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 1.2T USD
Shares Outstanding 10 171 000 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 0.85%

Company Profile

Amazon.com Inc Logo
Amazon.com Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

1.2T USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Amazon.com, Inc. is a multinational technology company, which engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. The company is headquartered in Seattle, Washington and currently employs 1,608,000 full-time employees. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content that it purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The company also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, and Ring, and it develops and produces media content. The company operates through three segments: North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The AWS segment consists of global sales of compute, storage, database, and other services for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company provides advertising services to sellers, vendors, publishers, authors, and others, through programs, such as sponsored advertisements, display, and video advertising. The company serves consumers through its online and physical stores. Customers access its offerings through websites, mobile applications, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores.

Contact

WASHINGTON
Seattle
410 Terry Ave N
+12062661000.0
https://www.amazon.com/

IPO

1997-05-15

Employees

1 608 000

Officers

Pres, CEO & Director
Mr. Andrew R. Jassy
Sr. VP & CFO
Mr. Brian T. Olsavsky
Sr. VP, Gen. Counsel & Sec.
Mr. David A. Zapolsky
Chief Exec. Officer of Amazon Web Services, Inc.
Mr. Adam N. Selipsky
VP, Worldwide Controller & Principal Accounting Officer
Ms. Shelley L. Reynolds
Chief Technology Officer
Dr. Werner Vogels
Show More
Director of Investor Relations
Mr. Dave Fildes
CMO & Director of User Growth
Ms. Anuradha Aggarwal
Sr. VP of Worldwide HR
Ms. Beth Galetti M.B.A.
Sr. VP
Mr. Steven Kessel
Show Less

See Also

Summary
AMZN intrinsic value, competitors valuation, and company profile.
DCF Valuation
AMZN stock valuation using Discount Cash Flow valuation method.
Relative Valuation
AMZN stock valuation using valuation multiples.
Wall Street Estimates
AMZN price targets and financial estimates made by Wall st analysts.
Profitability Analysis
Detailed analysis of the company's profitability.
Solvency Analysis
Analysis of the financial position and solvency of the company.
Financials
Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement.
Discount Rate
AMZN stock discount rate: cost of equity and WACC.
Summary
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Wall Street Estimates
Profitability Analysis
Solvency Analysis
Financials
Discount Rate
Similar Stocks
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AMZN stock?

The intrinsic value of one AMZN stock under the Base Case scenario is 70.1 USD.

Is AMZN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 121.66 USD, Amazon.com Inc is Overvalued by 42%.

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