Amazon.com Inc
NASDAQ:AMZN
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Amazon.com Inc
NASDAQ:AMZN
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) under the Base Case is 241.54 USD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 262.02 USD, the stock appears
Overvalued by 8% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes Amazon's net margin jumps to 16% in 2026, above its six-year high of 11%, then eases slightly. If its margin stayed at its five-year average of 6.4%, the estimate would be about $101.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Amazon.com Does
Amazon is a retailer and marketplace operator that helps consumers buy everything from everyday household items to electronics and media online. It sells goods directly, but it also lets outside merchants list products on its site and use its payment, shipping, and customer service systems. A large part of its business comes from fulfillment and shipping fees, seller services, advertising, subscription services such as Prime, and direct product sales.
- Headquarters
- United States of America US
- Employees
- 1 575 000
- IPO date
- May 15, 1997
Amazon.com has a wide economic moat
Amazon’s buyers attract sellers, and those sellers bring more choice that attracts buyers, making a competing marketplace difficult to build. Its extensive delivery network is costly to reproduce, while businesses using Amazon Web Services face substantial work and disruption when moving their systems elsewhere.
Read the full moat analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Amazon.com Inc
Earnings Waterfall
Amazon.com Inc
The intrinsic value for Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) under the Base Case is 241.54 USD.
Compared with the current market price of 262.02 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 8% .
