Costco Wholesale Corp banner

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) under the Base Case is 832.2 USD per share. Compared with the current market price of 992.43 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 16% .

The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes Costco's revenue grows about 7.9% a year over the next five years, slower than its 9.1% pace over the last five. If revenue growth repeated that past pace, the estimate would be about $991.

Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .

COST Intrinsic Value
$832.2
Overvaluation 16%
Intrinsic Value
Price $992.43

COST is more expensive than usual. It was this expensive or more expensive on just 22% of days in the past 5 years.

Monitor COST
Get notified when the price drops
Track Buy Zone
20% below Intrinsic Value $665.76
Get notified when the price drops into your buy zone
Current Price $992.43
Intrinsic Value $832.2
Margin of Safety 20% $665.76
Or choose another margin of safety
0% below Intrinsic Value
10% below Intrinsic Value
30% below Intrinsic Value
40% below Intrinsic Value
50% below Intrinsic Value
Custom
Alternatives to COST

Fundamental Analysis

What Costco Wholesale Does

Retail Consumer Staples

Costco Wholesale runs membership warehouse clubs that sell groceries, household goods, electronics, apparel, and many other everyday items in large pack sizes. It also offers services such as pharmacy, optical care, gasoline, tires, and travel bookings in many locations. Its main customers are households and small businesses that want low prices and are willing to buy in bulk.

Headquarters
United States of America US
Employees
341 000
IPO date
Dec 5, 1985
Read the full company overview
View Company Overview

Costco Wholesale has a wide economic moat

No Moat Narrow Wide

Buying huge quantities of a limited selection and moving goods through simple warehouses lets Costco keep prices low while remaining profitable. Matching that combination requires purchasing volume and operating efficiency that smaller retailers cannot easily build.

Read the full moat analysis

Latest Earnings Call

Q4 fiscal 2026 · September 24, 2026

Open the earnings call

Costco is returning tariff refunds through lower prices while expanding digital access, with management emphasizing member engagement as well as membership growth.

EPS
$6.60
Expected
$6.48
Surprise
+1.9%
Stock, next trading day
+2.9%
View Earnings Call
Financials
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Costco Wholesale Corp

Wall St Price Targets

Capital Returns

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

COST Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one COST stock?

The intrinsic value for Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) under the Base Case is 832.2 USD.

Is COST stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared with the current market price of 992.43 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 16% .

Back to Top