PDD Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Pinduoduo Inc - Alpha Spread

Pinduoduo Inc
NASDAQ:PDD

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Pinduoduo Inc
NASDAQ:PDD
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Price: 144.76 USD 2.25% Market Closed
Market Cap: 201B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one PDD stock under the Base Case scenario is 262.09 USD. Compared to the current market price of 144.76 USD, Pinduoduo Inc is Undervalued by 45%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

PDD Intrinsic Value
262.09 USD
Undervaluation 45%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

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Pinduoduo Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Pinduoduo Inc. has emerged as a formidable player in China’s fast-evolving e-commerce landscape, captivating millions of consumers with its innovative approach to online shopping. Founded in 2015, Pinduoduo revolutionized the traditional retail model by introducing a unique social shopping platform that encourages users to share products with friends and family to unlock discounts and deals. This innovative strategy not only enhances customer engagement but also builds a robust community-driven buying experience. Within a few short years, the company has catapulted to the forefront of the industry, boasting over 800 million active buyers and an impressive growth trajectory that rivals establ...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Pinduoduo Inc

Current Assets 359.7B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 284.9B
Receivables 11.5B
Other Current Assets 63.3B
Non-Current Assets 73B
PP&E 5.1B
Intangibles 21.1m
Other Non-Current Assets 67.9B
Current Liabilities 170.8B
Accounts Payable 78.7B
Accrued Liabilities 70.6B
Other Current Liabilities 21.5B
Non-Current Liabilities 7.9B
Long-Term Debt 5.3B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 2.7B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Pinduoduo Inc

Revenue
341.6B CNY
Cost of Revenue
-128.3B CNY
Gross Profit
213.3B CNY
Operating Expenses
-115.7B CNY
Operating Income
97.6B CNY
Other Expenses
1.2B CNY
Net Income
98.8B CNY

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Pinduoduo Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q2 2024, PDD Holdings achieved an 86% year-over-year revenue increase to RMB 97.1 billion, driven by significant growth in online marketing and transaction services. However, operating expenses also rose by 48%, and the company emphasized it will continue investing heavily in high-quality development and supply chain efficiencies. Consequently, despite strong current earnings, profitability is expected to trend downward starting in Q3 due to increased competition and strategic investments in platform and merchant ecosystem enhancements. PDD holds RMB 284.9 billion in cash and short-term investments, ensuring substantial liquidity for its long-term growth plans.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

PDD Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Pinduoduo Inc's profitability score is 89/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive Free Cash Flow
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Gross Profit
89/100
Profitability
Score

Pinduoduo Inc's profitability score is 89/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

PDD Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Pinduoduo Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
69/100
Solvency
Score

Pinduoduo Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

PDD Price Targets Summary
Pinduoduo Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast PDD stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PDD is 163.59 USD with a low forecast of 121.2 USD and a high forecast of 246.75 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
121.2 USD
16% Downside
Average
Price Target
163.59 USD
13% Upside
Highest
Price Target
246.75 USD
70% Upside
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Dividends

Pinduoduo Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for PDD is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Profile

Pinduoduo Inc Logo
Pinduoduo Inc

Country

China

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

201B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Pinduoduo, Inc. operates as a holding company, which engages in the development and management of an e-commerce platform. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, Shanghai. The company went IPO on 2018-07-26. The company offers Pinduoduo, a mobile e-commerce platform. The Company’s platform provides value-for-money merchandise and interactive shopping options. The platform is built to resemble a virtual bazaar of a broad spectrum of products. The company offers both individual and team purchase options. The company offers a suite of product categories that include apparel, shoes, bags, childcare products, food and beverage, fresh produce, electronic appliances, furniture, household goods, cosmetics, sports and fitness goods, and auto accessories. The platform provides a range of online payment options that include Weixin Pay, QQ Wallet, Alipay and Apple Pay.

Contact

SHANGHAI
Shanghai
28F, No. 533 Loushanguan Road, Changning District
+862152661300.0
www.pinduoduo.com

IPO

2018-07-26

Employees

7 986

Officers

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one PDD stock?

The intrinsic value of one PDD stock under the Base Case scenario is 262.09 USD.

Is PDD stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 144.76 USD, Pinduoduo Inc is Undervalued by 45%.

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