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Splunk Inc
NASDAQ:SPLK

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Splunk Inc Logo
Splunk Inc
NASDAQ:SPLK
Watchlist
Price: 156.9 USD Market Closed
Updated: Mar 28, 2024

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Mar 28, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one SPLK stock is 124.69 USD. Compared to the current market price of 156.9 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 21%.

SPLK DCF Value
Base Case
124.69 USD
Overvaluation 21%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
124.69
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 124.69 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 7.4B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 14.7B USD. The total present value equals 22.1B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 22.1B USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 1.6B USD
+ Investments 397.9m USD
Firm Value 24.1B USD
- Debt 3.1B USD
Equity Value 21B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 168.5m
SPLK DCF Value 124.69 USD
Overvalued by 21%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
4.7B 7.6B
Operating Income
1.4B 2.1B
FCFF
1.7B 1.8B

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one SPLK stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one SPLK stock is 124.69 USD. Compared to the current market price of 156.9 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 21%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Splunk Inc's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 22.1B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 124.69 USD per share.

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