Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
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Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Intrinsic Value
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Internet & Direct Marketing Retail industry. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
BABA
stock under the Base Case scenario is
113.713
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 76.341 USD,
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
is
Undervalued by 33%.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's market capitalization is 181.4B USD.
BABA stock price is 76.341 USD.
BABA stock price (76.341 USD) is 33% less than its Intrinsic Value (113.713 USD).
BABA stock price (76.341 USD) is 26% less than its Relative Value (103.189 USD). Open Relative Valuation
BABA has upside potential of 43% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
BABA has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
BABA's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 10%.
BABA's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 8%.
BABA's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 8% to 10%.
BABA has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
BABA has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 9%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
BABA's Revenue has grown by 8% over the past 12 months.
BABA's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 9% per year over the next 3 years.
BABA has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 7%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
BABA's Revenue has been growing by 9% per year for the last 3 years.
BABA's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 17% to 8%.
BABA's short-term assets (753B CNY) exceed its short-term liabilties (422B CNY).
BABA has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
BABA's long-term assets (2T CNY) exceed its long-term liabilties (778B CNY).
BABA has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
BABA's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 1.22.
BABA's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.14.
BABA earns more than enough operating income (124B CNY) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (8B CNY).
BABA has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (571B CNY) than debt (142B CNY).
Valuation Backtest
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
BABA
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Strong Revenue Growth Amid Strategic Investments
Earnings Call Summary
Alibaba reported an 8% increase in total revenue for fiscal year 2024, reaching RMB 941.2 billion. The company saw a 12% rise in consolidated adjusted EBITDA to RMB 165 billion and an 11% boost in non-GAAP net income to RMB 157.5 billion. Despite a minor decline in the March quarter results, the company remains optimistic, with strong growth in major segments like Alibaba Cloud and Taobao Tmall Group. The board has also approved significant dividends and share repurchases, totaling USD 16.5 billion, reflecting a commitment to shareholder value.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
| Current Assets | 752.9B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 571B |
| Other Current Assets | 181.8B |
| Non-Current Assets | 1T |
| Long-Term Investments | 424.1B |
| PP&E | 185.2B |
| Intangibles | 286.6B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 116.1B |
| Current Liabilities | 421.5B |
| Accounts Payable | 297.9B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 123.6B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 356.8B |
| Long-Term Debt | 141.8B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 215B |
Earnings Waterfall
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
|
Revenue
|
941.2B
CNY
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-586.3B
CNY
|
|
Gross Profit
|
354.8B
CNY
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-231B
CNY
|
|
Operating Income
|
123.9B
CNY
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-44.1B
CNY
|
|
Net Income
|
79.7B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
| CNY | |
| Free Cash Flow | CNY |
BABA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BABA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BABA Price Targets Summary
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
BABA
is 109.042 USD
with a low forecast of 80.8 USD and a high forecast of 153.3 USD.
Click here to dive deeper.
Price Appreciation
BABA Price
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
| Average Annual Return | -10.73% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 31.19% |
| Max Drawdown | -80% |
| Market Capitalization | 181.4B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 2 376 009 984 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 3.67% |
BABA News
Last Important Events
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.
Sentiment Analysis
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Company Profile
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Internet & Direct Marketing Retail industry. The company is headquartered in Hangzhou, Zhejiang and currently employs 259,316 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2014-09-19. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is a holding company that provides the technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands and other businesses to leverage the power of new technology to engage with users and customers to operate. The firm operates four business segments. The Core Commerce segment provides China retail, China wholesale, International retail, International wholesale, Cainiao logistics services and local consumer services through Taobao Marketplace and Tmall. The Cloud Computing segment provides complete suite of cloud services, including database, storage, network virtualization services, big data analytics and others. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment provides consumer services beyond the core business operations. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment is to innovate and deliver new services and products.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
BABA
stock under the Base Case scenario is
113.713
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 76.341 USD,
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
is
Undervalued by 33%.
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