` Comparison: CAKE, CMG - Alpha Spread

CAKE
vs
CMG

Over the past 12 months, CAKE has significantly outperformed CMG, delivering a return of +4% compared to the CMG's 40% drop.

Valuation Growth Profitability Solvency Stocks Performance
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CAKE
CMG
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Stocks Compared:
CAKE CMG
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Valuation Comparison

CAKE Intrinsic Value
71.8 USD
Undervaluation 30%
Intrinsic Value
Price
CMG Intrinsic Value
32.77 USD
Overvaluation 11%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Cheesecake Factory Inc
NASDAQ:CAKE
50.26 USD
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
37 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
CAKE, CMG

CAKE
CMG
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Cheesecake Factory Inc
Revenue
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
CAKE, CMG

CAKE
CMG
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Cheesecake Factory Inc
NASDAQ:CAKE
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

CAKE
78.1%
CMG
30.9%

Operating Margin

CAKE
5.9%
CMG
16.6%

Net Margin

CAKE
4.3%
CMG
13%

FCF Margin

CAKE
4.3%
CMG
13.4%

ROE

CAKE
40.2%
CMG
45%

ROA

CAKE
5.3%
CMG
16.8%

ROIC

CAKE
6.9%
CMG
19.8%

ROCE

CAKE
9.3%
CMG
24.2%

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
CAKE, CMG

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CAKE
CMG
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Performance Gap
CAKE, CMG

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CAKE
CMG
Difference
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1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y

Performance By Year
CAKE, CMG

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CMG
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