` Comparison: CAKE, CMG - Alpha Spread

CAKE
vs
CMG

Over the past 12 months, CAKE has significantly outperformed CMG, delivering a return of +64% compared to the CMG's 16% drop.

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CAKE
CMG
One-click summary across all key metrics.
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
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Valuation Comparison

CAKE Intrinsic Value
72.4 USD
Undervaluation 13%
Intrinsic Value
Price
CMG Intrinsic Value
35 USD
Overvaluation 21%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Cheesecake Factory Inc
NASDAQ:CAKE
62.99 USD
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
44.04 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
CAKE, CMG

CAKE
CMG
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Cheesecake Factory Inc
Revenue
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
CAKE, CMG

CAKE
CMG
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Cheesecake Factory Inc
NASDAQ:CAKE
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

CAKE
78%
CMG
31.1%

Operating Margin

CAKE
5.8%
CMG
16.9%

Net Margin

CAKE
4.3%
CMG
13.3%

FCF Margin

CAKE
3.6%
CMG
12.7%

ROE

CAKE
43.3%
CMG
42.6%

ROA

CAKE
5.3%
CMG
17%

ROIC

CAKE
6.8%
CMG
20.3%

ROCE

CAKE
9.2%
CMG
24.4%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
CAKE, CMG

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Performance Gap
CAKE, CMG

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CAKE
CMG
Difference
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Performance By Year
CAKE, CMG

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CAKE
CMG
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