Lark Distilling Co Ltd
ASX:LRK
Intrinsic Value
Lark Distilling Co. Ltd. engages in the further development of investment opportunities in the Australian craft distilling industry. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
LRK
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.849
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 1.095 AUD,
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
is
Overvalued by 22%.
LRK's market price has consistently been higher than its intrinsic value.This persistent overvaluation suggests the market may be overly optimistic about
LRK or that its price is influenced by factors unrelated to fundamentals.
Lark Distilling Co Ltd's market capitalization is 82.6m AUD.
LRK stock price is 1.095 AUD.
LRK stock (0.849 AUD) is 22% less than its price (1.095 AUD).
LRK. Open DCF Valuation
LRK stock (0.849 AUD) is 22% less than its price (1.095 AUD). Open Relative Valuation
LRK has upside potential of 124% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
LRK's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 3% per year over the next 3 years.
LRK's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from -1% to -5%, and is approaching profitability.
LRK's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 0% to -5%.
LRK's Revenue has been growing by 17% per year for the last 3 years.
LRK's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -5%.
LRK's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -5%.
LRK's Revenue has dropped by 23% over the past 12 months.
LRK has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
LRK has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 0%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
LRK has negative Operating Income for the last twelve months.
LRK has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
LRK has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -7%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
LRK has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
LRK's short-term assets (26m AUD) exceed its short-term liabilties (7m AUD).
LRK's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.01.
LRK's long-term assets (112m AUD) exceed its long-term liabilties (8m AUD).
LRK has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (6m AUD) than debt (1m AUD).
LRK's Altman Z-Score is very high and is equal to 6.9.
LRK earns more than enough operating income (-6m AUD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (-169k AUD).
Valuation Backtest
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
LRK
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Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
| Current Assets | 25.9m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 5.5m |
| Receivables | 1.8m |
| Other Current Assets | 18.6m |
| Non-Current Assets | 86.3m |
| PP&E | 16.5m |
| Intangibles | 21.3m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 48.5m |
| Current Liabilities | 7m |
| Accounts Payable | 2.6m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 520.6k |
| Other Current Liabilities | 3.9m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 1.4m |
| Long-Term Debt | 1.4m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 76.2k |
Earnings Waterfall
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
|
Revenue
|
17.5m
AUD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-7.5m
AUD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
10m
AUD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-15.9m
AUD
|
|
Operating Income
|
-5.9m
AUD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
848.4k
AUD
|
|
Net Income
|
-5.1m
AUD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
LRK Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Lark Distilling Co Ltd's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Lark Distilling Co Ltd's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
LRK Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Lark Distilling Co Ltd's solvency score is 99/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Lark Distilling Co Ltd's solvency score is 99/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
LRK Price Targets Summary
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
LRK
is 2.458 AUD
with a low forecast of 1.434 AUD and a high forecast of 3.57 AUD.
Shareholder Return
LRK Price
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 90.06% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 160.19% |
| Max Drawdown | -81% |
| Market Capitalization | 82.6m AUD |
| Shares Outstanding | 75 743 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Lark Distilling Co. Ltd. engages in the further development of investment opportunities in the Australian craft distilling industry. The company is headquartered in Hobart, Tasmania. The company went IPO on 2003-11-12. The firm primarily operates in Tasmania and Australia markets. The firm markets through traditional off premise retailers and on-premises bars, and consumer business, including hospitality and online e-commerce. The company is primary focused on Whisky and the Lark brand and it also has Forty Spotted Gin. The firm operates through three segments: whisky, gin, and other.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
LRK
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.849
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 1.095 AUD,
Lark Distilling Co Ltd
is
Overvalued by 22%.
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