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China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd

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China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd
Price: 0.84 HKD +5%
Updated: May 31, 2023

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 31, 2023.

Estimated DCF Value of one 1756 stock is 1.12 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 0.84 HKD, the stock is Undervalued by 25%.

DCF Value
Base Case
1.12 HKD
Undervaluation 25%
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 1.12 HKD
China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd Competitors:
DCF Valuation
Udemy Inc
D2L Inc
3P Learning Ltd
Adtalem Global Education Inc
Graham Holdings Co
IDP Education Ltd
PowerSchool Holdings Inc
YDUQS Participacoes SA

Present Value Calculation

The first step in the DCF calculation process is to estimate the company's future free cash flow. Once free cash flow is forecasted, it is discounted at a risk-appropriate discount rate. The resulting value is the present value of the company's free cash flow. You can change any model inputs below.

Available Valuation Models
1 valuation model available
Alpha Spread
Updated on May 31, 2023
Default Valuation
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Model Settings
Discount Rate
Forecast Period
5 Years
Terminal Growth
Discount Rate
Terminal Growth
Growth Period
5 Years
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DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

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DCF Model

To view the process of deriving the DCF Value of one share from the estimated Present Value, see the DCF Value Calculation block.

DCF Value Calculation

Depending on which type of operating model is chosen (equity or whole firm valuation model), the resulting value is either the value of equity or the value of the entire firm. In the case of the latter, to move from the value of the firm to the value of equity, liabilities are subtracted and assets are added.

Capital Structure
From Present Value to DCF Value

Present Value 2.4B CNY
+ Cash & Equivalents 804M CNY
+ Investments 184M CNY
Firm Value 3.4B CNY
- Debt 2.2B CNY
Equity Value 1.2B CNY
/ Shares Outstanding 1.2B
Value per Share 1.02 CNY
CNY / HKD Exchange Rate 1.1024
1756 DCF Value 1.12 HKD
Undervalued by 25%

To view the process of calculating the Present Value of China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd' future free cash flow, see the Present Value Calculation block.

Valuation Analysis

After the valuation process, in order to gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between risk and opportunity, it is useful to study the dynamic of company's valuation under various inputs to the DCF model in use.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

1B 1.3B
Operating Income
428M 524M
33.9M 174M

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

See Also

Similar Stocks
What is the DCF value of one 1756 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 1756 stock is 1.12 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 0.84 HKD, the stock is Undervalued by 25%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Using the DCF Operating Model we project China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd's future free cash flow and discount it at a selected discount rate to calculate its Present Value (2.4B CNY).

2. DCF Value Calculation. We use the company's capital structure to calculate the total Equity Value based on the previously computed Present Value of the free cash flow. Dividing the Equity Value by the number of shares outstanding gives us the DCF Value of 1.12 HKD per one 1756 share.