Xiaomi Corp DCF Valuation - Xiaomi Corp - Alpha Spread

Xiaomi Corp
HKEX:1810

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Xiaomi Corp
HKEX:1810
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Price: 23.75 HKD 1.93% Market Closed
Market Cap: 970.8B HKD
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Oct 12, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one 1810 stock is 9.84 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 23.75 HKD, the stock is Overvalued by 59%.

DCF Value
Base Case
9.84 HKD
Overvaluation 59%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
9.84
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 9.84 HKD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 28.2B CNY. The present value of the terminal value is 165.3B CNY. The total present value equals 193.5B CNY.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 193.5B CNY
+ Cash & Equivalents 39.3B CNY
+ Investments 157.2B CNY
Firm Value 390B CNY
- Debt 23.6B CNY
- Minority Interest 624.1m CNY
Equity Value 365.8B CNY
/ Shares Outstanding 40.9B
Value per Share 8.95 CNY
CNY / HKD Exchange Rate 1.0996
1810 DCF Value 9.84 HKD
Overvalued by 59%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
378.4B 627.1B
Operating Income
16.9B 33.8B
FCFF
2.4B 13.4B

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one 1810 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 1810 stock is 9.84 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 23.75 HKD, the stock is Overvalued by 59%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Xiaomi Corp's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 193.5B CNY.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 9.84 HKD per share.

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