Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
NASDAQ:CRDO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CRDO stock under the Base Case scenario is 11.35 USD. Compared to the current market price of 39.13 USD, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd is Overvalued by 71%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. is an innovative player in the semiconductor industry, specializing in providing high-performance connectivity solutions. Founded in 2018 and based in San Jose, California, the company has quickly forged a path by developing advanced technologies that enable faster data transfer and improved signal integrity. Credo's flagship products, including its state-of-the-art multiplexers and optical transport systems, cater to a variety of markets, including data centers, telecommunications, and enterprise networking. By focusing on the growing demand for greater bandwidth and low-latency connections, Credo positions itself as a pivotal company in an era where seam...
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. is an innovative player in the semiconductor industry, specializing in providing high-performance connectivity solutions. Founded in 2018 and based in San Jose, California, the company has quickly forged a path by developing advanced technologies that enable faster data transfer and improved signal integrity. Credo's flagship products, including its state-of-the-art multiplexers and optical transport systems, cater to a variety of markets, including data centers, telecommunications, and enterprise networking. By focusing on the growing demand for greater bandwidth and low-latency connections, Credo positions itself as a pivotal company in an era where seamless connectivity is crucial for businesses, consumers, and an increasingly digital world.
For investors, Credo Technology Group presents an exciting opportunity in a sector poised for exponential growth. As global data consumption surges, driven by trends such as cloud computing and artificial intelligence, demand for efficient and robust semiconductor solutions is projected to rise significantly. Credo’s commitment to research and development enables it to stay ahead of the curve, allowing it to innovate rapidly and adapt to market needs. Moreover, the company has strategically aligned itself with major tech players, ensuring a robust customer base and significant revenue potential. With its unique product offerings and a focus on capitalizing on market trends, Credo Technology Group is not just keeping pace with the industry; it's leading the charge for the future of digital connectivity.
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. operates primarily in the technology sector with a focus on providing high-performance connectivity solutions. Here are the core business segments of the company:
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High-Speed Connectivity Solutions: This includes products that facilitate high-speed data transfer essential for data centers, cloud computing, and telecommunications. Credo designs and manufactures components like transceivers, switches, and related technologies.
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Data Center Solutions: Credo provides innovative solutions that cater specifically to data centers, addressing the growing demand for bandwidth and speed in data processing and storage. Their offerings may include advanced networking and connectivity products tailored for large-scale data operations.
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Telecommunications: The company supplies products for various telecommunications applications, focusing on enabling efficient and fast communication networks, which are critical for modern connectivity infrastructure.
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Consumer Electronics: Credo's technology is also leveraged in consumer electronics, where high-speed data transfer and connectivity enhance the user experience in devices like smartphones and tablets.
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Emerging Technologies: The company is involved in the development of new technologies that cater to the evolving needs of industries such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and IoT (Internet of Things), which require fast and reliable data transmission methods.
These segments reflect Credo Technology Group's commitment to innovation and its strategic focus on sectors that are poised for growth, aligning with broader trends in technology and digital transformation.
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd possesses several unique competitive advantages that help it stand out in the semiconductor industry, particularly in high-speed connectivity solutions. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Innovative Technology: Credo focuses on advanced and proprietary technology, particularly in the realm of high-speed interconnects. Their optical and electrical connectivity technologies are well-suited for data centers and cloud computing, offering superior performance and efficiency.
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Niche Market Positioning: The company has carved out a niche in high-speed data transmission, which is increasingly critical as data demands grow in various sectors, including cloud computing and artificial intelligence. This specialization can lead to stronger brand recognition and reduced competition.
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Strong Intellectual Property: Credo’s portfolio includes a robust set of patents and proprietary technologies, providing them an edge in product development and offering barriers to entry for competitors.
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Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with key players in the semiconductor, networking, and telecommunications industries may provide advantages in terms of distribution, market penetration, and product development.
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Focus on Sustainability: With growing emphasis on environmentally friendly technologies, Credo’s commitment to developing energy-efficient solutions can attract customers conscious of sustainability, enhancing their brand reputation.
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Experienced Leadership: A management team with significant industry experience and a track record in the semi-conductor space can lead to better strategic decisions, innovation, and adaptation to market changes.
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Scalability: The company's technology is designed to scale easily with the growing demands of high-performance computing environments, which positions them to capitalize on emerging market trends.
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Customer-Centric Approach: Credo’s focus on working closely with customers to provide tailored solutions can foster long-term relationships and customer loyalty, giving them a competitive edge over rivals who may offer more generic products.
By leveraging these advantages, Credo Technology Group can effectively differentiate itself in a competitive market, meet evolving customer needs, and position itself for future growth.
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd, like many companies in the tech sector, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its performance in the near future. Here are some key factors to consider:
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Market Competition: The tech industry is highly competitive, with numerous established players and new entrants. Credo may face challenges in differentiating its products and maintaining market share.
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Technological Advances: Rapid technological advancements require constant innovation. If Credo fails to keep up with new technologies or customer needs, it could lose relevance in the market.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The global semiconductor industry has experienced significant supply chain issues in recent years. Any sustained disruptions could lead to delays in production or increased costs.
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in regulations, particularly regarding data privacy, cybersecurity, and trade policies, can pose risks to operations. Compliance with these regulations can increase operational costs and complexity.
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Intellectual Property Risks: The tech sector is rife with intellectual property disputes. Credo may face litigation risks, which can be costly and negatively impact reputation and operations.
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Economic Conditions: Global economic downturns can reduce customer spending on technology solutions, impacting revenue. This is particularly relevant in the context of potential recessions or geopolitical tensions.
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Customer Concentration: If a significant portion of Credo’s revenue comes from a small number of customers, it risks financial performance if one or more major customers reduce their orders or switch to competitors.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The competitive landscape for skilled personnel, especially in technology fields, poses a challenge. Credo needs to attract and retain top talent to sustain its innovation and growth.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a tech company, Credo is vulnerable to cyberattacks that could compromise its systems, leading to operational disruptions and damage to customer trust.
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Global Supply Chain Issues: Events such as geopolitical tensions or pandemics can lead to global supply chain challenges, affecting the availability of necessary components or technologies.
In summary, Credo Technology Group faces a multifaceted set of risks and challenges that it must navigate to sustain growth and maintain a competitive edge in the technology market. Continuous evaluation and strategic planning will be essential for mitigating these risks.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Current Assets | 542.4m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 398.6m |
Receivables | 96.3m |
Other Current Assets | 47.5m |
Non-Current Assets | 102.5m |
PP&E | 86.1m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 16.4m |
Current Liabilities | 69.4m |
Accounts Payable | 38.5m |
Accrued Liabilities | 21.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 9.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 22.3m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 22.3m |
Earnings Waterfall
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Revenue
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217.6m
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-81.7m
USD
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Gross Profit
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135.9m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-173m
USD
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Operating Income
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-37.1m
USD
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Other Expenses
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10.9m
USD
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Net Income
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-26.2m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q1 fiscal 2025, Credo reported revenues of $59.7 million with non-GAAP gross margins at 62.9%. Product revenues surged 30% from the previous quarter, reaching a record $57.3 million. This growth was fueled by expanding AI deployments. Despite the quarter-over-quarter revenue drop of 2%, the year-over-year increase was a robust 70%. While IP revenue was down 14% year-over-year, the product business, excluding engineering services, set a new record at $53.8 million. Credo expects a new 10% customer in Q2, and guidance indicates continued strength driven by existing and new customer engagements, especially in the AI and connectivity solutions markets.
What is Earnings Call?
CRDO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's profitability score is 32/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's profitability score is 32/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CRDO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CRDO Price Targets Summary
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CRDO is 38.76 USD with a low forecast of 27.27 USD and a high forecast of 48.3 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CRDO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
CRDO Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. engages in the development of connectivity solutions and products for the data infrastructure market. The firm is focused on providing connectivity solutions throughout the data infrastructure market. Credo's products are based on its Serializer/Deserializer (SerDes) and Digital Signal Processor (DSP) technologies. Its product families include integrated circuits, Active Electrical Cables (AECs) and SerDes Chiplets. Credo's products and solutions includes HiWire AECs, Optical DSPs, Line Card PHYs, SerDes Chiplets and SerDes IP. HiWire AECs are copper interconnect cables designed for, low power operation. Credo provides 50G to 400G PAM4 optical DSPs across a range of use cases, speeds and bandwidths. Line Card PHY product families include Black Hawk and Bald Eagle products for Retimers and Gearboxes. SerDes technology enables data transmission at high rates while minimizing the number of interconnects required. SerDes IP is designed for the easy System-on-Chips (SoC) integration of SerDes lanes.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one CRDO stock under the Base Case scenario is 11.35 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 39.13 USD, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd is Overvalued by 71%.